Work After Prison - One-Year Findings from the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration, Redcross et al, 2010
Download original document:
Document text
Document text
This text is machine-read, and may contain errors. Check the original document to verify accuracy.
Work after Prison One-Year Findings from the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Cindy Redcross Dan Bloom Erin Jacobs Michelle Manno Sara Muller-Ravett Kristin Seefeldt Jennifer Yahner Alford A. Young, Jr. Janine Zweig October 2010 Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1786932 Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1786932 Work After Prison One-Year Findings from the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Cindy Redcross Dan Bloom Erin Jacobs Michelle Manno Sara Muller-Ravett Kristin Seefeldt Jennifer Yahner Alford A. Young, Jr. Janine Zweig October 2010 Funding for the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration is provided by The Joyce Foundation. Additional funding was provided by the JEHT Foundation and the U.S. Department of Labor. The Urban Institute and the University of Michigan’s Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy are research partners on the project. The National Transitional Jobs Network is providing technical assistance to the project. Dissemination of MDRC publications is supported by the following funders that help finance MDRC’s public policy outreach and expanding efforts to communicate the results and implications of our work to policymakers, practitioners, and others: The Ambrose Monell Foundation, The Annie E. Casey Foundation, Carnegie Corporation of New York, The Kresge Foundation, Sandler Foundation, and The Starr Foundation. In addition, earnings from the MDRC Endowment help sustain our dissemination efforts. Contributors to the MDRC Endowment include Alcoa Foundation, The Ambrose Monell Foundation, Anheuser-Busch Foundation, Bristol-Myers Squibb Foundation, Charles Stewart Mott Foundation, Ford Foundation, The George Gund Foundation, The Grable Foundation, The Lizabeth and Frank Newman Charitable Foundation, The New York Times Company Foundation, Jan Nicholson, Paul H. O’Neill Charitable Foundation, John S. Reed, Sandler Foundation, and The Stupski Family Fund, as well as other individual contributors. The findings and conclusions in this report do not necessarily represent the official positions or policies of the funders. For information about MDRC and copies of our publications, see our Web site: www.mdrc.org. Copyright © 2010 by MDRC.® All rights reserved. Overview More than 2 million people are incarcerated in the United States, and around 700,000 are released from prison each year. Those who are released face daunting obstacles as they seek to reenter their communities, and rates of recidivism are high. Many experts believe that stable employment is critical to a successful transition from prison to the community. The Joyce Foundation’s Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration (TJRD), also funded by the JEHT Foundation and the U.S. Department of Labor, is testing employment programs for former prisoners in Chicago, Detroit, Milwaukee, and St. Paul, using a rigorous random assignment design. MDRC is leading the evaluation, along with the Urban Institute and the University of Michigan. The project focuses on transitional jobs (TJ) programs that provide temporary subsidized jobs, support services, and job placement help. Transitional jobs are seen as a promising model for former prisoners and for other disadvantaged groups. In 2007-2008, more than 1,800 men who had recently been released from prison were assigned, at random, to a transitional jobs program or to a program providing basic job search (JS) assistance but no subsidized jobs. Both groups are being followed using state data on employment and recidivism. Random assignment ensures that if significant differences emerge between the two groups, those differences can be attributed with confidence to the different types of employment services each group received. This is the first major report in the TJRD project. It describes how the demonstration was implemented and assesses how the transitional jobs programs affected employment and recidivism during the first year after people entered the project, a period when the recession caused unemployment rates to rise substantially in all four cities. Key findings include: The TJRD project generally operated as intended. The TJ programs developed work slots and placed a very high percentage of participants into transitional jobs. About 85 percent of the men who were assigned to the TJ programs worked in a transitional job, reflecting a strong motivation to work. On average, participants worked in the TJs for about four months. The TJ group was much more likely to work than the JS group early on, but the difference between groups faded as men left the transitional jobs; overall, the TJ group was no more likely to work in an unsubsidized job than the JS group. The programs provided temporary jobs to many who would not otherwise have worked, but at the end of the first year, only about one-third of the TJ group — about the same proportion as in the JS group — was employed in the formal labor market. Overall, the TJ programs had no consistent impacts on recidivism during the first year of follow-up. About one-third of each group was arrested and a similar number returned to prison. Most of the prison admissions were for violations of parole rules, not new crimes. In one site, the transitional jobs group was less likely to be reincarcerated for a parole violation. These results point to the need to develop and test enhancements to the transitional jobs model and other strategies to improve outcomes for former prisoners who reenter society. They also raise questions about the assumed connection between employment and recidivism, since there were no decreases in arrests even during the period when the TJ group was much more likely to be employed. This is not the final word on the TJRD project; both groups will be followed up for another year, with two-year results available in 2011. iii Contents Overview List of Tables, Figures, and Boxes Preface Acknowledgments Executive Summary iii vii xi xiii ES-1 Chapter 1 Introduction Prisoner Reentry and Employment Transitional Jobs and Former Prisoners The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Research Design and Study Intake Timeframe and Data Sources Characteristics of the Study Participants Roadmap to the Report 2 Economic and Criminal Justice Contexts of the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Sites Economic Context Criminal Justice Context Baseline Characteristics and Criminal Histories of the Sample, by Site 3 Program Implementation Background of the Transitional Jobs and Job Search Organizations Study Recruitment Job Search Program Services Transitional Jobs Program Services Summary 4 Program Participation 21 21 22 26 31 32 36 40 41 57 59 59 64 65 Transitional Jobs Group Participation Job Search Group Participation Conclusion 5 1 1 3 5 7 10 13 19 Impacts on Employment and Earnings Impacts for the Full Sample Impacts for Sites Impacts by Study Enrollment Cohort Impacts for Other Subgroups Conclusion v 67 69 73 83 87 88 6 Impacts on Recidivism Impacts for the Full Sample Impacts by Site Impacts for Other Subgroups The Connection Between Employment and Recidivism Conclusion 7 8 Costs of the Programs in the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration 111 Methodology of the Cost Analysis Operating Costs Net Cost of the Traditional Jobs Program Conclusion 111 115 118 121 Qualitative Study of Transitional Jobs Group Members 123 123 126 137 144 149 The Field Work Plan Core Findings from the First Round of Interviews, 2008 Core Findings from the Second Round of Interviews, 2009 Core Findings from the Third Round of Interviews, 2010 Conclusion 9 91 91 98 106 107 109 Reflections and Next Steps An Update on the TJRD Transitional Jobs Programs Reflections on the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration What Next? 151 151 152 153 Appendixes A: Timeline for the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration B: Supplementary Exhibits for Chapter 2 C: Supplementary Exhibits for Chapter 5 D: Supplementary Exhibits for Chapter 6 E: Supplementary Exhibit for Chapter 7 F: Characteristics of the Qualitative Study Sample G: Results of Subgroup Analyses 159 163 181 193 201 205 209 References 241 Earlier MDRC Publications on Transitional Jobs 245 vi List of Tables, Figures, and Boxes Table ES.1 Transitional Jobs and Job Search Organizations in the Demonstration Sites ES.2 One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings: Full Sample ES-11 ES.3 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism: Full Sample ES-13 1.1 Transitional Jobs and Job Search Organizations in the Demonstration Sites 1.2 Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline: Full Sample 14 1.3 Criminal History Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline: Full Sample 17 2.1 Crime and Corrections Contextual Statistics: Comparison of TJRD State Averages and National Averages 25 2.2 Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline, by Site 27 3.1 Overview of the TJRD Study Sites: Transitional Jobs Providers 33 3.2 Overview of the TJRD Study Sites: Job Search Providers 34 3.3 Transitional Jobs Program Service Approaches in the Demonstration Sites 42 3.4 Characteristics of the Transitional Jobs and Job Placement Services in the Demonstration Sites 48 Participation in Transitional Jobs and Other Activities for the Transitional Jobs Group, by Site 60 4.2 Participation in Program Activities for the Job Search Group, by Site 65 5.1 One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings: Full Sample 70 5.2 One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Site 75 5.3 One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Exposure to Retention Bonuses (St. Paul) 79 5.4 One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Cohort 84 6.1 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism: Full Sample 92 4.1 vii ES-4 7 6.2 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Follow-up Time Periods: Full Sample 97 6.3 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Site 99 6.4 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Exposure to Retention Bonuses 104 7.1 Estimated Unit and Gross Costs for the Transitional Jobs Group (2008 Dollars) 116 7.2 Estimated Gross Costs for the Transitional Jobs Group, by Site (2008 Dollars) 119 7.3 Estimated Net Costs for the Transitional Jobs Group (2008 Dollars) 120 A.1 Timeline of Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Study 161 B.1 Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline (Chicago) 165 B.2 Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline (Detroit) 167 B.3 Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline (St. Paul) 169 B.4 Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline (Milwaukee) 171 B.5 Criminal History Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline (Chicago) 173 B.6 Criminal History Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline (Detroit) 175 B.7 Criminal History Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline (St. Paul) 177 B.8 Criminal History Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline (Milwaukee) 179 C.1 Quarterly Impacts on Employment and Earnings (Chicago) 183 C.2 Quarterly Impacts on Employment and Earnings (Detroit) 185 C.3 Quarterly Impacts on Employment and Earnings (St. Paul) 187 C.4 Quarterly Impacts on Employment and Earnings (Milwaukee) 189 C.5 Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline, by Exposure to Bonus 191 D.1 Quarterly Impacts on Combined Measures of Employment and Prison: Full Sample 195 D.2 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism (Chicago) 196 D.3 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism (Detroit) 197 D.4 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism (St. Paul) 198 viii D.5 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism (Milwaukee) 199 D.6 Quarterly Impacts on Combined Measures of Employment and Arrest: Full Sample 200 E.1 Estimated Net Costs for the Transitional Jobs Group Using Alternative Costs for Each Local Job Search Program, by Site (2008 Dollars) 203 F.1 Characteristics of Sample Members from the Qualitative Study, by Site 207 G.1 One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Age: Full Sample 211 G.2 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Age: Full Sample 214 G.3 One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Cohort: Full Sample 216 G.4 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Cohort: Full Sample 219 G.5 One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Employment History: Full Sample 221 G.6 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Employment History: Full Sample 224 G.7 One-Year Impact on Employment and Earnings, by Criminal History: Full Sample 226 G.8 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Criminal History: Full Sample 229 G.9 One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Exposure to Retention Bonuses: Full Sample 231 G.10 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Exposure to Retention Bonuses: Full Sample 234 G.11 One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Educational Attainment: Full Sample 236 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Educational Attainment: Full Sample 239 G.12 Figure ES.1 Quarterly Impacts on Total and Unsubsidized Employment 1.1 Month of Random Assignment and Follow-Up Period for Two Hypothetical Sample Members in the Impact Analysis 11 Average Monthly Unemployment Rates in the Study’s Metropolitan Statistical Areas: Full Sample 23 2.1 ix ES-9 5.1 Quarterly Impacts on Employment: Full Sample 74 6.1 Quarterly Impacts on Employment and Arrests: Full Sample 108 7.1 Simplified Diagram of Major Cost Components in the Transitional Jobs and Job Search Programs 114 Box 1.1 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Sample Compared with a National Sample of Prisoners 16 5.1 How to Read the Impact Tables in This Report 68 5.2 Participation in the St. Paul Transitional Jobs Program, by Bonus Exposure 82 6.1 Glossary of Recidivism Outcomes 94 9.1 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration and the Center for Employment Opportunities Evaluation: Similarities and Differences x 155 Preface Transitional jobs provide temporary, paid work for individuals who have great difficulty getting and holding employment, in order to prepare them to find jobs in the regular labor market. Among those individuals are former prisoners, who, as they reenter society, must persuade employers to hire them despite their criminal record and lack of recent work experience. But many of these individuals are very eager to work. The straightforward theory behind transitional jobs is that people are best able to learn to work by working, and program staff are best able to identify and address potential problems on the job by observing people working. In addition, by providing an alternative to street life and criminal activity in the form of an immediate source of legitimate income and the daily structure provided by a steady job during the critical period following release from prison, former prisoners might be less likely to commit crimes or violate the terms of parole. In 2006, The Joyce Foundation initiated the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration (TJRD) to test these theories. Participants — former prisoners in four midwestern cities who had been released within the past 90 days — were assigned, at random, to a program that offered temporary jobs, support services, and permanent job placement assistance or to a program providing basic job search assistance but no transitional jobs. Early results show mixed evidence: The transitional jobs programs dramatically increased employment and earnings, as they provided work opportunities for many who would not otherwise have found jobs. But former prisoners who had access to transitional jobs were no more likely to find work in the regular labor market and were no less likely to return to prison than those who were offered basic job search assistance without transitional jobs. On the one hand, neither the TJRD results to date nor the results of earlier evaluations indicate that transitional jobs, at least as currently designed and operated, help people get or hold permanent jobs. On the other hand, there were very high rates of employment in the transitional jobs, which suggests that many former prisoners need income support and are willing to work for it. Moreover, these employment results were obtained during the worst recession in 75 years. New employment initiatives, like the $45 million that the U.S. Department of Labor has allocated for supporting and studying transitional jobs, might take steps to develop stronger models, with an extra focus on improving long-term employability. Future programs, for instance, could be targeted more carefully to people who are unlikely to find work in the regular labor market and to those who have already tried job search services with no success. Or employment retention bonuses, which were offered in two sites in this study with potentially promising results, could be tested further as a way to help difficult populations remain employed. Programs must also focus more intently on improving the crucial transition to unsubsidized work. This is the first major report in the TJRD project, and another year of data collection remains. As a starting point, the study offers some direction about testing enhanced models of transitional jobs programs for a difficult population. Thus, these early results, while disappointing in some respects, can create a strong foundation for future research on strategies to improve outcomes for former prisoners and other vulnerable groups. Gordon Berlin President xi Acknowledgments The success of the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration reflects the contributions of many people, and the authors extend their appreciation to all those involved. In particular, the project benefited tremendously from the ongoing support and commitment of Whitney Smith and Jennifer Phillips of The Joyce Foundation. We thank our project officers, Peggy McGarry and Bob Crane, formerly of the JEHT Foundation, and David E. Balducchi and Mary Vines from the U.S. Department of Labor, for their input and guidance. We are deeply grateful to the current and former program administrators and staff in each of the four cities where the demonstration occurred, who have given generously of their time and whose commitment and cooperation were unwavering throughout the project. They include B. Diane Williams, Jodina Hicks, Kimberly Flennoy, and Judy Davis of the Safer Foundation; Keith Bennett and John Rykert of Goodwill Industries of Greater Detroit; Tamela Aikens, David Felton, and Erica Bailey of the Michigan Prisoner ReEntry Initiative; Julie Kerksick, Tom Back, and Terron Edwards of the New Hope Project; Michael Wirth-Davis, Rob Hope, Kelly Matter, and Sheila Olson of Goodwill-Easter Seals Minnesota; Claudia Wasserman, Chris Fotsch, Kate Ellefson, and Ann Pollard of the Amherst H. Wilder Foundation; Wendel Hruska from Project RETURN; Michael Reaume and Bambi Hites of JVS in Detroit; and Angela Reyes and Jessica Ascencio of the Detroit Hispanic Development Corporation. The following current and former officials from the Department of Corrections in each state in the demonstration were integral to the success of the evaluation and helped guide our understanding of each state’s criminal justice system: Gladyse Taylor and her predecessor, Deanne Benos, Illinois Department of Corrections; Patricia L. Caruso, Dennis Schrantz, and Gary W. Stockman, Michigan Department of Corrections; Farris Bell, Minnesota Department of Corrections; and Anthony Streveler and Mary Kay Kollat, Wisconsin Department of Corrections. Many staff from state agencies facilitated our access to the administrative data used in this study, provided multiple updates of key data files, and patiently answered our questions. Their names follow. Illinois: Christine Devitt, Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority; Steve Karr and Jennifer Rozhan, Illinois Department of Corrections; Dan Flanagan, Barry Isaacson, and Laura Chase, Illinois Department of Employment Security. Michigan: Chad M. Canfield and Nick Romanov, Michigan State Police; Terry Lippincott, Michigan Department of Corrections; Larry McLaren, Michigan Department of Labor and Economic Growth. xiii Minnesota: Katherine Engler, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension; Grant Duwe and Deb Kerschner, Minnesota Department of Corrections; Deb Serum, John Wiersma, and Pete Jonas, Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development. Wisconsin: Donald Stadler, Wisconsin Department of Corrections; Beatrice A. Dunning and Gil Peterson, Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development. From the Urban Institute, Shelli Rossman helped launch random assignment, conducted implementation research, and offered insightful reviews and advice throughout the study. David Thacher from the University of Michigan conducted implementation research. Vivian Byrd, Jennifer Cox, Alfred Defreece, Cory Honeyman, and Ariana LaBarrie of the University of Michigan provided assistance with the qualitative research. In addition, Amy Rynell and Melissa Young of the National Transitional Jobs Network were partners on the project from the start and provided thoughtful suggestions on earlier drafts of this report. We also thank the following people for their contributions to the project: Christy Visher, Joe Antolin, David Disabato, Abby Coppock, Tom Hurley, Joanne Halfacre, Kathleen Ludington, Stephanie Johnigan, and Mindy Tarlow. At MDRC, we thank Charles Michalopoulos, who served as the impact adviser for the project, offered thoughtful guidance on the analysis, and reviewed several drafts of this report. David Butler and Margaret Bald reviewed and commented on drafts of the report. John Wallace played key roles in the early stages of the project. Frieda Molina provided technical assistance to the sites in the early phases of the project. Johanna Walter provided advice and reviews of the cost analysis. Vanessa Martin was invaluable in launching random assignment and monitoring sample recruitment. Gilda Azurdia was integral to the data management and analysis on the project. Tojuana Riley and Emily Terwelp provided research assistance and coordinated the production of the report. Julia Gomez provided research assistance for the analysis and the initial stages of report production. Lauren Cates provided resource management. Alice Tufel ably edited the report, and Stephanie Cowell and David Sobel prepared it for publication. Finally, we are especially grateful to the men in the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration, who have allowed us to gain knowledge from their experiences and spoke openly and candidly to the researchers during the focus group sessions and the qualitative interviews. The Authors xiv Executive Summary More than two million people are incarcerated in prisons or jails in the United States, and about 700,000 people are released from state and federal prisons each year. Men and women who are released from incarceration often face daunting obstacles as they seek to reenter their communities; many end up returning to prison. The prisoner reentry issue has attracted growing attention in recent years, as states seek ways to reduce recidivism as a means to control surging corrections costs and improve public safety. Many experts believe that stable work is critical to a successful transition from prison to the community, and most reentry initiatives include services to help former prisoners find employment. Yet, little is known about what strategies are effective in helping former prisoners find and hold jobs. The Joyce Foundation’s Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration (TJRD) is designed to help fill this gap in knowledge. Also funded by the JEHT Foundation and the U.S. Department of Labor,1 the TJRD project is testing employment programs for former prisoners in four midwestern cities using a rigorous random assignment design,2 generally considered to be the most reliable method for assessing the impact of social programs. The project focuses in particular on transitional jobs programs that provide temporary, subsidized jobs; support services; and job placement assistance. Transitional jobs are widely seen as a promising employment model, both for former prisoners and for other disadvantaged groups. This is the first major report in the TJRD project. It describes how the demonstration was implemented, assesses how the transitional jobs programs affected employment and recidivism during the first year after individuals entered the project, presents information on program costs, and presents qualitative findings for a small group of program participants. The report was prepared by MDRC, which is leading the evaluation, along with the Urban Institute and the National Poverty Center at the University of Michigan. As discussed further below: 1 2 The transitional jobs programs dramatically increased employment early in the follow-up period, as the programs provided work opportunities for many who would not otherwise have found jobs. However, these gains were driven entirely by the temporary, subsidized program jobs. The JEHT Foundation ceased operating in January 2009. The TJRD project began in 2006, with random assignment beginning in 2007. The study will end in 2011. ES-1 Over the full one-year follow-up period, across all four sites, former prisoners who had access to transitional jobs were no more likely to find unsubsidized jobs, and no less likely to return to prison, than those who were offered basic job search assistance without transitional jobs. The follow-up period for this project coincided in part with the onset of the national recession, although the recession’s effects on the results are uncertain. These early results are not the final word on the TJRD project; the research team will continue collecting data for another year. Background After remaining relatively stable for decades, the per capita rate of incarceration in the United States started rising dramatically in the late 1970s. Between 1975 and 2004, the number of people incarcerated in state and federal prisons per 100,000 U.S. residents rose from 111 to 484.3 Corrections costs also surged during this period, and now approach $70 billion per year, with most of that total borne by state and local governments.4 Prisoners returning to the community often have difficulty finding housing and reconnecting with their families and other social supports. Finding steady work can be particularly daunting, since former prisoners often have low levels of education and skills and no recent work experience, and because many employers are reluctant to hire people with criminal records. Moreover, returning prisoners are heavily concentrated in a small number of struggling urban neighborhoods that lack resources to assist in the reentry process. The most recent national statistics show that two-thirds of released prisoners are arrested and about half return to prison within three years.5 Many states have developed multifaceted prisoner reentry initiatives in recent years. At the federal level, the Serious and Violent Offender Reentry Initiative, the Prisoner Reentry Initiative, and, most recently, the Second Chance Act of 2008 have supported those efforts. Many experts believe that stable employment is critical to a successful transition from prison to the community, and most reentry initiatives include a strong focus on employment services. And yet, the data on the relationship between crime and employment are mixed, and there is little evidence about what kinds of program strategies are effective at increasing employment for former prisoners. 3 Raphael and Stoll (2007). Bureau of Justice Statistics (2008). 5 Langan and Levin (2002). 4 ES-2 The Joyce Foundation initiated the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration in 2006 to learn whether one promising employment strategy — transitional jobs — is effective at increasing employment and reducing recidivism among former prisoners. Transitional jobs programs provide temporary paid jobs, support services, and job placement help to hard-toemploy individuals. One of a number of different subsidized employment approaches that have been implemented or tested in recent decades, the transitional jobs model is based on the assumption that some people have difficulty finding and holding jobs because they do not understand how to function in a work environment, and that people are best able to learn to work by working. The model also assumes that program staff are best able to identify and address workplace problems — tardiness, difficulty taking direction, and so on — by observing participants on the job, and that employers will be more likely to hire someone who has a track record of successful employment. Finally, in a reentry context, transitional jobs provide a source of legitimate employment during the critical period following release from prison, based on the assumption that former prisoners who have steady jobs, income to meet their basic needs, and the daily structure of work will be less likely to commit crimes or violate the terms of parole supervision. Two major random assignment studies have tested transitional jobs programs in recent years. An evaluation of the New York City-based Center for Employment Opportunities (CEO), which targets former prisoners, found that the program generated a large but short-lived increase in employment, driven entirely by the transitional jobs; there were no impacts on unsubsidized employment. Nevertheless, CEO significantly decreased recidivism — particularly for participants who came to the program shortly after release — and these effects lasted for at least three years. Another study, an evaluation of the Transitional Work Corporation, tested a transitional jobs program for long-term welfare recipients in Philadelphia. Like CEO, that program also generated short-lived employment gains that were mostly driven by transitional jobs; it also led to reductions in the number of participants receiving welfare payments and the actual dollar amounts of those payments. The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration The TJRD project was designed from the start as a rigorous evaluation. Like the CEO evaluation, it aims to learn whether transitional jobs programs are more effective than simpler, less costly programs that provide basic job search and referral services but no subsidized employment. To accomplish this goal, The Joyce Foundation used a competitive process to select and fund employment programs for former prisoners in four cities within its midwestern grantmaking area: Chicago, Illinois; Detroit, Michigan; Milwaukee, Wisconsin; and St. Paul, ES-3 Minnesota.6 In Detroit, Milwaukee, and St. Paul, two different organizations were identified in each city, one to run a transitional jobs program and the second to run a job search program; in Chicago, the same organization provided both types of services. The transitional jobs programs were selected based on their experience with the model and the target population, their ability to raise public or private funds to support the program, their linkages with state or local corrections agencies, and other factors. Table ES.1 lists the transitional jobs and job search organizations in each city. The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table ES.1 Transitional Jobs and Job Search Organizations in the Demonstration Sites Site Transitional Jobs Program Job Search Assistance Program Chicago Safer Foundation (through Pivotal Staffing Services) Safer Foundation Detroit Goodwill Industries of Greater Detroit JVS and Detroit Hispanic Development Corporation Milwaukee New Hope Project Project RETURN St. Paul Goodwill/Easter Seals Minnesota Amherst H. Wilder Foundation SOURCE: MDRC field research. The transitional jobs programs all shared some basic features, though they were structured somewhat differently. The Detroit and St. Paul programs were operated by Goodwill Industries affiliates, and participants worked in jobs in existing Goodwill enterprises such as retail stores or a light manufacturing plant. In Chicago, transitional jobs workers were employed by a staffing agency established by the Safer Foundation. The staffing agency contracted with a waste management firm that in turn had contracts with the City of Chicago to operate garbage recycling plants; almost all program participants worked in those facilities. The New Hope program in Milwaukee used a scattered site model: participants were placed in positions with local nonprofit organizations or small businesses but remained employed by New Hope, which 6 Initially a fifth site was selected, but research there was discontinued in 2007. ES-4 paid their wages. All of the transitional jobs programs offered an array of support services and helped participants find permanent jobs. The Milwaukee and St. Paul programs also offered bonus payments to participants who found and held unsubsidized jobs. These payments were designed to give participants a stronger incentive to stay employed — even in a low-paying job — and to stay in touch with program staff. Some studies have found that similar kinds of earnings supplements have led to increases in employment.7 The demonstration targeted men over 18 years of age who had been released from state prison within the past 90 days.8 Starting in early 2007, men who met those criteria and volunteered for the study were assigned, at random, to one of two groups: the transitional jobs group, whose members were referred to the TJRD transitional jobs program in their city and were offered a transitional job, support services, and job search and job placement help the job search group, whose members were referred to the job search program in their city, where they could get help finding employment but were not offered a transitional job Just over 1,800 men entered the study before enrollment ended in September 2008. The research team has collected several kinds of data for all members of the research sample. Each sample member completed a brief form just before random assignment to provide information on his demographic characteristics, prior work history, and educational attainment. The transitional jobs and job search programs provided information on sample members’ participation in program activities, and state agencies in all four states provided administrative records to measure sample members’ employment and criminal justice involvement. The employment data show each sample member’s quarterly earnings in jobs covered by unemployment insurance (UI), while the criminal justice records show arrests, convictions, and state prison stays, both before and after people entered the study. Because men were assigned to one group or the other through a random process, any significant differences in employment or recidivism that emerge between the groups during the 7 See, for example, Berlin (2000). Most of the positive results for earnings supplements have been for low-income single mothers. One study that did not use random assignment found promising results for “youth who have been or who are at risk of being under juvenile or criminal justice supervision” (Jenks, MacGilliveray, and Needels, 2006). 8 While the number of female prisoners is growing, a large majority of prison inmates are male. The project targeted men for research reasons. If the study had been open to both men and women, the number of female sample members would likely have been too small to analyze separately. ES-5 follow-up period can be attributed to the different types of employment services they received. These differences are referred to as impacts or effects of the programs. The project assessed program impacts for the full sample of about 1,800 men, for each site, and for subsets of the sample defined by criminal history, age, and prior employment. It also examined whether impacts varied for sample members who entered the project after the recession led to a spike in unemployment in all four cities. In addition to assessing program impacts, the research team studied the implementation and costs of the transitional jobs and job search programs. Finally, 33 men in the transitional jobs group participated in a series of in-depth interviews to shed light on their post-prison experiences. The Participants Most of the sample members are African-American men in their thirties. Only about one-fourth had graduated from high school, but about half had earned a General Educational Development (GED) certificate. Most had worked in the past, but only about half had worked six consecutive months for a single employer. The sample members had extensive histories with the criminal justice system, with an average of nine prior arrests and a total of six years in state prison. Almost all were under parole supervision when they entered the study. The characteristics of the sample members are generally similar from site to site, though the St. Paul sample stands out in some respects because the programs in that site targeted much of their recruitment to residents in halfway houses. Men living in those facilities after release from prison were often classified as “high risk” and were under a particularly intensive form of parole supervision. As discussed below, this situation has implications for the number of people who were later returned to prison for violating parole conditions. Program Implementation The TJRD project generally operated as intended; the transitional jobs programs were able to develop work slots and place a very high percentage of sample members into transitional jobs. The transitional jobs programs worked hard to place men into subsidized jobs quickly after they were randomly assigned; in three of the four sites, participants were usually at work within a few days. Thus, despite the instability in participants’ lives, about 85 percent of the men assigned to the transitional jobs group actually worked in a transitional job. On average, ES-6 those who were placed in transitional jobs worked for 53 days over a period of about four months. Data gathered from other transitional jobs programs in the participating cities suggest that very few men in the job search group worked in transitional jobs. With few exceptions, the transitional jobs were low-skill positions that were not designed to train participants in particular occupations. Rather, the jobs aimed to teach the “soft skills” that many employers value — such as showing up to work on time, cooperating with coworkers, and taking direction from supervisors. In the in-depth interviews, some participants expressed disappointment about the menial nature of the work on transitional job worksites. The study found that the transitional jobs programs cost about $4,000 per participant, on average. Nearly half of this amount went directly to participants in wages and other supports. The transitional jobs programs initially focused on recruiting participants and operating the subsidized jobs; activities designed to move participants into regular jobs took longer to develop. All of the sites had established linkages with local corrections agencies before the project began. Nevertheless, during the initial months of the project, most of the sites spent considerable time and energy working with their criminal justice partners to develop and refine referral and enrollment procedures for the demonstration; in some sites, these procedures were revised several times. Similarly, while all of the programs already operated transitional jobs programs, most found that changes were needed to accommodate the TJRD population. For example, in St. Paul and Milwaukee, the programs needed to develop new worksites to accommodate sex offenders, who are not permitted to work near vulnerable populations. The sites were generally able to overcome these early challenges, but such issues diverted attention away from the task of establishing strong job development and job placement activities for TJRD participants. The organizations running the transitional jobs programs already had experience with these activities, but in some cases, their existing staff had not worked extensively with former prisoners, a population that presents special challenges. Although job placement services improved over time in most of the transitional jobs programs, the research team concluded that these services were generally of average quality. In three of the sites, the staff working with the job search group had as much, or more, experience providing job placement services to former prisoners as the staff working in the transitional jobs programs. The job search programs used a variety of approaches but, at a minimum, they all helped participants develop a résumé and learn job-seeking skills. Thus, as expected, the transitional jobs themselves were the key element of the “treatment difference” between the groups. ES-7 Program Impacts The transitional jobs group was much more likely to work than the job search group early on, as the programs provided temporary jobs to many men who would not otherwise have worked. The difference between the two groups faded as men left the transitional jobs, however, and the transitional jobs group was no more likely to work in an unsubsidized job than the job search group. The top panel of Figure ES.1 shows the percentage of people employed in each quarter of the one-year follow-up period.9 The dark line shows the employment rate for the transitional jobs group and the lighter line shows the employment rate for the job search group. In this figure, a sample member is considered to be employed if he worked either in a TJRD transitional job or in any other job covered by unemployment insurance in a particular quarter. The asterisks at the bottom of the figure indicate quarters in which the difference between groups is statistically significant, meaning that it probably did not occur by chance; that is, it was very likely driven by the differences between the transitional jobs and job search programs. In the first two quarters of the follow-up period, the transitional jobs group was much more likely to be employed. For example, in Quarter 2, the employment rate was 75 percent for the transitional jobs group and 42 percent for the job search group, a difference of 33 percentage points, which is statistically significant. However, the difference between groups narrowed quickly as people left the transitional jobs and, by the end of the year, the two groups were almost equally likely to be employed. The bottom panel of Figure ES.1 shows the percentage of each group working in an unsubsidized job in each quarter. Unsubsidized jobs are defined as jobs that are covered by unemployment insurance but are not TJRD transitional jobs. This figure shows that, for the first three quarters of the follow-up period, the job search group was significantly more likely to be working in an unsubsidized job. This pattern suggests that some people in the transitional jobs group could have found a regular job fairly quickly if they had not been given a transitional job. It also means that the impact on overall employment shown in the top panel was driven entirely by the transitional jobs. It was sometimes difficult for the programs to determine which potential participants “needed” a transitional job. It appears that some people may have volunteered for the study in the hope of getting an immediate paid job but, once they were assigned to the job search group, found a job on their own or with help from the job search programs. 9 A small percentage of sample members were employed in the quarter before they were randomly assigned. This could have occurred, for example, if an individual was released from prison in February, found a job right away, but lost it in March, and was randomly assigned in April. ES-8 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Figure ES.1 Quarterly Impacts on Total and Unsubsidized Employment Percentage Employed Total Employment Transitional Jobs Group Job Search Group 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Pre-RA 1 *** 2 *** 3 *** Quarter after Random Assignment (RA) 4* Unsubsidized Employment Transitional Jobs Group Job Search Group 100 Percentage Employed 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Pre-RA 1 *** 2 *** 3 ** Quarter after Random Assignment (RA) 4 SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from each site and unemployment insurance (UI) wage records from each of the states in the demonstration (Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin). NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. The pre-random assignment quarter includes only data for Illinois and Wisconsin because complete UI wage records were not available for Michigan and Minnesota. Random assignment took place in Quarter 1. ES-9 Table ES.2 summarizes the impacts on employment and earnings. The transitional jobs group was much more likely to work overall during Year 1, but was less likely to work in an unsubsidized job. Similarly, total earnings were significantly higher for the transitional jobs group, but earnings from unsubsidized jobs were higher for the job search group. The employment results were similar across sites and across subgroups of participants; there is preliminary evidence that the use of employment retention bonuses may have led to stronger results, and that the transitional jobs programs may have been more effective in weaker labor markets. The research team examined the employment results separately for each site. While the site-specific results are less certain owing to the smaller sample sizes, the general pattern is similar in all sites, with a large but short-lived increase in overall employment. The results were also similar for subgroups of sample members defined by age, prior employment history, and criminal history. The pattern of impacts on unsubsidized employment differed somewhat across sites. In St. Paul, the job search group had a much higher rate of unsubsidized employment than the transitional jobs group. This may be because the transitional jobs program in that city placed men into transitional positions very quickly. Also, the employment rate for the job search group was unusually high in St. Paul, perhaps because the local economy was relatively healthy for much of the follow-up period, and because there was a strong, experienced job search program in place. In contrast, in Detroit, the transitional jobs group did not have a lower rate of unsubsidized employment than the job search group, probably because relatively few people in the job search group were able to find jobs in a labor market that was weak even before the recession began. Because unemployment rates rose dramatically in all four of the cities beginning in mid-2008, the analysis also compared results for people who entered the study in 2007 and early 2008 (the early cohort) with results for those who entered the study after March 2008 (the late cohort). Since the study followed each person for one year after he entered the study, those in the late cohort experienced the recession more directly during the study’s follow-up period. The impacts on overall employment were similar for the two cohorts but, once again, the pattern of impacts on unsubsidized earnings differed. In fact, in the late cohort, the transitional jobs group had significantly higher earnings from unsubsidized employment than did the job search group in the last half of the follow-up period. As with the site-by-site impacts, this pattern may reflect the fact that the job search group had more difficulty finding employment as the economy weakened; it may also reflect improvements in the operation of the transitional jobs programs over time. ES-10 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table ES.2 One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings: Full Sample Outcome Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) P-Value Transitional employment in Year 1a (%) Unsubsidized employment in Year 1 (%) Total employment in Year 1 (%) 85.2 50.3 92.8 0.0 59.2 59.5 85.2 *** -8.9 *** 33.2 *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 Number of quarters employed Employed in all 4 quarters (%) 2.3 20.2 1.4 11.6 0.9 *** 8.6 *** 0.000 0.000 2,044 2,292 4,336 0 2,917 2,917 2,044 *** -625 ** 1,419 *** 0.000 0.013 0.000 893 881 Transitional job earnings in Year 1a ($) Unsubsidized earnings in Year 1 ($) Total earnings in Year 1b ($) Sample size (total = 1,774) SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from each site and unemployment insurance wage records from each of the states in the demonstration (Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin). NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. aEarnings and employment from transitional jobs are based on payroll data from each of the sites. bTotal earnings may not be equal to the sum of transitional job earnings plus unsubsidized job earnings due to rounding. Another area where results may be more promising relates to the use of employment retention bonus payments. As noted earlier, both the Milwaukee and St. Paul transitional jobs programs offered participants bonus payments for getting and holding unsubsidized jobs. The payments could total up to about $1,500 over six to twelve months. It is difficult to draw conclusions about the bonus offer in Milwaukee because the bonuses are only one of many factors that distinguished that site from the others. In St. Paul, however, the bonus offer was implemented part-way through the study period, so it is possible to compare results for sample members who enrolled early and were not eligible for the bonus with results for those who enrolled later and were eligible for the payments. It appears that the employment and earnings results are significantly better for those who entered the transitional jobs program after the bonus offer was in place. It is not possible to attribute the stronger results to the bonus offer alone, however, since other aspects of the transitional jobs program and the local economy also changed over time. Moreover, there is no way to know whether the stronger ES-11 results could have been obtained with bonuses alone, without transitional jobs. Nevertheless, the results are promising enough to suggest that further testing would be worthwhile. There were no consistent impacts on recidivism during the first year of the follow-up period, though, in one site, the men in the transitional jobs group were less likely to be reincarcerated for a parole violation. Table ES.3 shows the impacts on several measures of recidivism: arrests, convictions, incarceration in state prison, and a combined measure that includes all of these events. There is only one statistically significant difference between the groups: the transitional jobs group spent about seven fewer days in prison than the job search group, on average, during Year 1. Further analysis (not shown) found that the reduction in prison days is concentrated in the St. Paul site, where the transitional jobs group was significantly less likely than the job search group to be incarcerated for a parole violation. As noted earlier, most of the sample members in St. Paul were on an intensive form of parole supervision and the percentage of sample members who returned to prison for a parole violation overall was much higher in that site than in the other sites. It may be that parolees were somewhat less likely to violate the terms of supervision while they were working in transitional jobs. Alternatively, it may be that parole officers were less likely to send someone back to prison for a relatively minor violation if he was working when the violation occurred. There were no statistically significant impacts on recidivism in the other three sites. Conclusions The first-year employment results from the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration are generally consistent with earlier random assignment studies of transitional jobs programs. They confirm that transitional jobs programs can be operated at a relatively large scale and can create temporary work opportunities for hard-to-employ populations, resulting in large increases in employment rates and earnings. However, there is little evidence that working in a transitional job, in and of itself, improves participants’ prospects in the regular labor market. Indeed, participants who were interviewed for the qualitative study who were working a year or two after entering the study typically reported that their experience in transitional jobs did not lead to their unsubsidized job. The fact that there were reductions in unsubsidized employment in some TJRD sites suggests that careful targeting is critical; it is not efficient to use scarce resources to provide subsidized jobs to people who can find unsubsidized jobs with much less intensive assistance. This issue appears to be less salient when the unemployment rate is very high, since former prisoners are less likely to be able to find unsubsidized jobs. ES-12 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table ES.3 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism: Full Sample Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Outcome Difference (Impact) P-Value Arrested (%) 38.8 35.3 3.5 0.119 Convicted of a crimea (%) Convicted of a felony Convicted of a misdemeanor 13.6 9.0 4.3 14.5 7.9 4.9 -1.0 1.1 -0.7 0.556 0.393 0.489 2.3 4.7 3.8 3.7 2.7 4.9 3.0 4.2 -0.4 -0.2 0.8 -0.6 0.556 0.864 0.356 0.547 Admitted to prison (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a parole/probation violation Admitted to prison for other reason 35.1 6.2 22.4 8.9 36.4 4.8 23.9 9.7 -1.3 1.4 -1.5 -0.8 0.537 0.201 0.407 0.512 Total days incarcerated in prison 40.2 47.5 -7.3 ** 0.040 Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) 53.5 56.1 -2.6 0.250 Sample size (total = 1,808) 909 899 Conviction categoriesb (%) Convicted of a violent crime Convicted of a property crime Convicted of a drug crime Convicted of a public order crime SOURCES: Calculations based on data from unemployment insurance records in each demonstration site, Michigan State Police, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority, and the Department of Corrections in each state. NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or prison admissions per person during the follow-up period. aEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Some convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment. These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment. Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. bThe categorization of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). It is interesting that the TJRD transitional jobs programs did not generally reduce recidivism in Year 1, since many people assume that employment and recidivism are causally related. If this were true, some difference would have been expected between the groups in arrests during the period when the transitional jobs group had an employment rate that was 40 ES-13 percentage points higher than the rate for the job search group. Of course, this study measured UI-covered employment only, and it is possible that a more complete measure of employment — including informal jobs — would show a smaller difference between groups. Moreover, the recidivism results might have looked different if there had been a large increase in unsubsidized employment rather than an increase only in temporary minimum-wage jobs. At a minimum, however, the results suggest that the relationship between employment and recidivism is more complex than many assume. In considering future directions, it is important to note that transitional jobs programs may have multiple goals. The immediate goal of these programs, like many other subsidized employment programs, is to provide income support to struggling people in a way that is seen as consistent with American values — that is, through work. The very low employment rates for the job search group in this study suggest that such support is needed for many former prisoners, and the high rates of participation among the transitional jobs group show that TJRD sample members were highly motivated to work. When thinking back, some of the study participants who were interviewed remembered their time in the transitional jobs program as a rare period of relative stability in an otherwise chaotic reentry process. However, transitional jobs programs also have a goal of increasing unsubsidized employment, and here the research record is much more sobering. The findings from this study to date suggest that the next round of evaluations in this area should test different approaches — for example, a “beefed up” transitional jobs program with more effective approaches to job placement and post-placement services, models that mix work and skills training or literacy programming, or different ways of using subsidies to build links to permanent jobs. ES-14 Chapter 1 Introduction This report presents results from the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration (TJRD), which is testing employment programs for former prisoners in four midwestern cities using a rigorous random assignment research design.1 The TJRD project was developed by the Joyce Foundation, with additional funding from the JEHT Foundation and the U.S. Department of Labor.2 The project focuses in particular on transitional jobs programs that provide temporary subsidized jobs, support services, and job placement assistance to former prisoners, in an effort to increase participants’ employment rates and reduce the odds that they will return to prison. This is the first major report in the study.3 It was prepared by MDRC, which is leading the TJRD evaluation, along with the Urban Institute and the National Poverty Center at the University of Michigan. The report describes the implementation and costs of the employment programs, presents data on how they affected employment and recidivism during the first year after people entered the study, and provides qualitative findings on a small number of the study participants. A second year of follow-up is planned, with results available in 2011. This chapter provides an overview of the TJRD project. It describes the program model, research design, and study intake process, as well as the data sources used in the analysis and the characteristics of the study participants. Prisoner Reentry and Employment The number of people incarcerated in the United States has more than quadrupled since the 1970s.4 Today, more than 2 million people are incarcerated in federal and state prisons and 1 The random assignment approach involves a lottery-like process that places individuals into either a program group (which, in this study, receives a transitional job and job search services) or a control group (which, in this study, receives basic job search services but not a transitional job). Random assignment ensures that the demographic characteristics, educational and employment histories, and motivation levels of participants in both the program and control groups are the same at the start of the study. 2 The JEHT Foundation ceased operating in January 2009. 3 A brief introduction to the project was published in 2009. See Bloom (2009). 4 On a per capita basis, the number of people in prison in the United States remained roughly constant — about 110 per 100,000 residents — from the 1920s to the 1970s. By 2004, there were 484 prisoners per 100,000 residents (Raphael and Stoll, 2007). 1 local jails,5 and about 700,000 people are released from state prisons each year.6 Corrections costs exceed $65 billion per year, with most of this total borne by state and local governments.7 People who are released from prison often face daunting obstacles as they move back to their communities. They frequently have difficulties finding jobs and housing, and experience problems reconnecting with family and other social supports. In addition, former prisoners are concentrated in a relatively small number of urban neighborhoods that lack resources to assist in the reentry process. Not surprisingly, many end up returning to prison. The most recent national statistics show that two-thirds of former prisoners are rearrested and half are reincarcerated within three years of release, most often for violations of parole conditions rather than for new crime convictions.8 Given these statistics, reducing recidivism is critical both as a means to reduce corrections costs and improve public safety, but also as a strategy for addressing the interrelated problems of low-income families and communities. The prisoner reentry issue has attracted increasing attention in recent years and a number of states have launched multifaceted prisoner reentry initiatives. The federal government has provided special funding to support these efforts through the Serious and Violent Offender Reentry Initiative, the Prisoner Reentry Initiative, and, most recently, the Second Chance Act of 2008. Many experts believe that stable employment is critical to a successful transition from prison to the community, and most reentry initiatives include services to help participants find jobs. In fact, it is very difficult to isolate the impact of employment on recidivism, and the evidence on this issue is not very clear. Former prisoners who are employed may be less likely to return to prison, but this does not mean that the relationship is causal. In other words, it may be that people who avoid recidivism have characteristics that also make them more likely to work. If that is the case, then it is not necessarily true that increasing employment among former prisoners will lead to lower recidivism. What is clear is that many former prisoners have great difficulty finding steady work. Follow-up studies typically find that half or more of former prisoners are not employed at any point during the year following release. A large proportion of former prisoners have low levels of education and work experience or health problems that make them hard to employ, particularly in a changing labor market that offers fewer well-paying opportunities for workers without a postsecondary education. While it is also difficult to isolate the impact of incarceration on 5 West (2010). Sabol, West, and Cooper (2009). 7 Bureau of Justice Statistics (2008). 8 Langan and Levin (2002); Petersilia (2003). 6 2 labor market outcomes, several studies have found that earnings — and possibly employment as well — are lower for individuals who have spent time in prison than for similar individuals who have not.9 This is not surprising because individuals fall behind their peers in work experience while incarcerated. Moreover, in many states, convicted felons are legally barred from specific occupations. Finally, studies have shown that employers are quite reluctant to hire former prisoners, particularly African-Americans, those with violent offenses, and those who were recently released — and that employers are increasingly likely to conduct background checks before making hiring decisions.10 As discussed further below, all of these barriers are likely to be compounded when the labor market is weak. There is very little reliable evidence about which types of employment services, if any, are effective for former prisoners. Despite a long history of research in the criminal justice field, including many experimental evaluations, there have been few rigorous studies of employmentfocused reentry models. For example, a meta-analysis of the effects of “community employment programs on recidivism among persons who have previously been arrested, convicted, or incarcerated” found only eight such studies that used random assignment designs, and several of those studies did not specifically target former prisoners. The authors note that “this systematic review…is hampered by inadequate contemporary research.” It also concluded that the programs did not lead to reductions in recidivism.11 In fact, few programs of any kind have produced consistent reductions in recidivism in rigorous evaluations.12 The most recent large-scale study, the SVORI evaluation, tested multifaceted reentry programs in 16 locations, mostly with a quasi-experimental research design (random assignment was used in two sites), and found no overall impacts on recidivism.13 One important exception to this pattern, the Center for Employment Opportunities (CEO) evaluation, is discussed below. Transitional Jobs and Former Prisoners Transitional jobs programs provide temporary paid jobs, support services, and job placement help to hard-to-employ individuals. The transitional jobs model emerged in the 9 Western, Kling, and Weiman (2001). Holzer, Raphael, and Stoll (2007); Pager (2007). 11 Visher, Winterfield, and Coggeshall (2005). 12 Some studies have indicated that drug treatment and cognitive behavioral therapy interventions have reduced recidivism. See Wilson et al. (2006); Mitchell et al. (2007); and Landenberger and Lipsey (2005). 13 Lattimore and Visher (2009). 10 3 1990s in the welfare system, but its roots stretch back to a number of different subsidized employment models that have been implemented or tested in the past.14 The transitional jobs model is based on the assumption that many people have difficulty finding or holding jobs because they do not understand how to function in a work environment. Further, the model hypothesizes that people are best able to learn to work by working, and that placing participants into temporary jobs in a program environment will give program staff an opportunity to identify and address workplace problems such as tardiness or difficulty taking direction that would likely lead to dismissal in a regular job. Thus, the model is designed to teach the vital “soft skills” that many employers say they value most. It is also assumed that employers will be more likely to hire someone who has performed well in a job environment for several weeks or months. In recent years, transitional jobs programs have increasingly targeted former prisoners. In the reentry context, these programs provide a source of legitimate income in the critical period immediately after release. Thus, if there is indeed a causal relationship between employment and recidivism, transitional jobs programs may lead to immediate reductions in recidivism, in addition to preparing participants for longer-term success in the labor market. The first rigorous test of a transitional, subsidized employment model for former prisoners was the National Supported Work Demonstration, which ran from 1975 to 1980. The Supported Work programs offered 12 to 18 months of highly structured paid work experience. Participants worked in crews to promote peer group support, and the model emphasized “graduated stress”; that is, expectations at the work site were supposed to increase over time until they approximated the expectations in a regular, unsubsidized job.15 Almost all the programs helped participants find regular jobs, though the intensity and quality of this assistance varied. Some of the Supported Work programs were “social enterprises” that sold products or services to partly offset the costs of running the program. Supported Work was tested for four hard-to-employ groups, including individuals who had been incarcerated in the prior six months. The sample included about 2,300 former prisoners (94 percent male) across seven sites. The program initially generated large increases in employment and earnings during the program period (the initial period, when many participants were working in subsidized jobs), but there was little evidence of longer-term impacts on employment or earnings. Overall, there were no impacts on recidivism except for some reduc14 See Bloom (2010). Throughout this report, the terms “unsubsidized jobs” and “regular jobs” are used interchangeably to represent employment in the regular labor market covered by unemployment insurance, as opposed to “subsidized jobs,” for which wages are subsidized by an employment program. 15 4 tions among participants who were older than 26 years of age, perhaps because they had reached a point in their lives when they were determined to avoid further incarceration and the jobs program helped them further this goal.16 In 2004, MDRC initiated a random assignment evaluation of the New York City-based CEO, one of the nation’s largest and mostly highly regarded employment programs for former prisoners, as part of the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services’ Hard-to-Employ project (also funded by the U.S. Department of Labor).17 CEO serves about 2,000 parolees each year. Participants begin with a four-day pre-employment class and then are placed into a CEO work crew. The crews, supervised by CEO staff, do maintenance and repair work under contract to city and state agencies. Participants work four days per week and are paid the minimum wage; they are paid daily at the work site. The fifth day is spent in the program office, where participants meet with job coaches and job developers and participate in supplemental activities, such as attending a fatherhood group meeting. The evaluation, which includes almost 1,000 parolees, compared CEO’s core model with a simpler, less costly model that provided job search assistance (but no subsidized jobs). As in Supported Work, there were large but short-lived increases in employment rates driven entirely by the subsidized jobs; there were no increases in unsubsidized employment. Interestingly, however, there were reductions in several measures of recidivism that persisted throughout the three-year follow-up period, well after the employment gains had disappeared; this pattern raises questions about the mechanism that produced the impacts and about the connection between employment and recidivism. The impacts on recidivism were concentrated among sample members who came to the program within 90 days of release from prison. Since the CEO evaluation is similar in many ways to the TJRD study, it provides a key point of reference for the TJRD findings. TJRD also offers an opportunity to examine whether CEO’s effects can be replicated in other transitional jobs models and in other locations. The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration was designed to determine whether transitional jobs are effective at increasing employment and reducing recidivism among former prisoners. Like the CEO evaluation, it compares transitional jobs programs with less expensive job search programs, which offered basic job search and placement assistance but did not provide transitional jobs. 16 17 Uggen (2000). Bloom, Redcross, Zweig, and Azurdia (2007); Redcross et al. (2009). 5 In mid-2006, the Joyce Foundation conducted a competition and selected employment programs in four cities to participate in the project — Chicago, Detroit, Milwaukee, and St. Paul.18 Each site received about $600,000 over three years, and the grantees were also expected to leverage existing funds or raise funds from state or local agencies to support their programs.19 Each state’s Department of Corrections was an active partner in the project and provided funding to support the employment programs. In each of the four project sites, former prisoners were assigned at random to a transitional jobs program or to a job search program. Table 1.1 shows the organizations that operated the transitional jobs and job search programs in each city. In Detroit, Milwaukee, and St. Paul, separate organizations provided the two types of services, while in Chicago, the same organization provided both. The TJRD transitional jobs programs were all structured somewhat differently, but there were some basic similarities. All provided participants with temporary, minimum-wage jobs that offered 30 to 40 hours of paid work each week. The transitional jobs that were provided to participants were not focused on building skills in any particular occupation, but all aimed to identify and address behavior or performance issues that emerged at the worksites. All provided a range of ancillary services and supports to participants, and all helped participants look for unsubsidized jobs to follow the transitional jobs, often with the help of job developers who approached employers to identify job openings for participants. The Milwaukee and St. Paul transitional jobs programs also offered participants retention bonus payments for getting and holding unsubsidized jobs. The payments could total up to $1,500 or so over six to nine months. The Detroit and St. Paul programs were operated by affiliates of Goodwill Industries, and participants worked in jobs in existing Goodwill enterprises such as retail stores or a light manufacturing plant. In Chicago, transitional jobs workers were employed by a staffing agency established by the Safer Foundation. The staffing agency contracted with a major waste management firm that in turn had contracts with the City of Chicago to operate garbage recycling plants; almost all program participants worked in those plants. The New Hope program in Milwaukee used a scattered site model; that is, participants were placed in positions with various local nonprofit organizations or small businesses, but they remained employed by New Hope, which paid their wages. 18 A fifth site was selected for the study, but withdrew from the project early on because of competing organizational priorities. Results for that site are not included in the analysis. 19 Most of the funds went to the transitional jobs programs, but the job search programs shared the funding in some sites. 6 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table 1.1 Transitional Jobs and Job Search Organizations in the Demonstration Sites Site Transitional Jobs Program Job Search Assistance Program Chicago Safer Foundation (through Pivotal Staffing Services) Safer Foundation Detroit Goodwill Industries of Greater Detroit JVS and Detroit Hispanic Development Corporation Milwaukee New Hope Project Project RETURN St. Paul Goodwill/Easter Seals Minnesota Amherst H. Wilder Foundation SOURCE: MDRC field research. The job search programs also used a variety of approaches but, at a minimum, all of them helped participants prepare a résumé, learn how to fill out job applications and interview for jobs (including how to answer questions about their convictions), and identify job leads. Some of the job search programs also provided referrals to housing and other assistance programs. The TJRD transitional jobs were designed based on the assumption that by increasing employment levels (both subsidized and unsubsidized), the programs would lead to lower recidivism. In addition to testing various transitional jobs models, the TJRD project also provides an opportunity to learn about the operations and impacts of transitional jobs and job search programs in a range of environments. There are important differences across the four cities, for example, in labor market conditions, population characteristics, and criminal justice practices, which are discussed in Chapter 2. Research Design and Study Intake The study includes four main components: an implementation analysis that examines how the transitional jobs and job search programs operated, an impact analysis that 7 assesses how the transitional jobs programs affected employment and recidivism, a cost analysis, and a series of in-depth interviews with study participants to gain a better understanding of their experiences after leaving prison.20 The TJRD project targeted men who were age 18 or older and who had been released from state prison within 90 days prior to enrollment in the study (a target that was based on early lessons from the CEO study findings, which suggested that the program is more effective for people who were recently released from prison).21 Men with all types of criminal histories were accepted into the project, with no project-wide restrictions based on the number or type of previous offenses (though there were some limitations in individual sites). Eligible participants had to be willing to work full time and could not have worked in a transitional job within the past year. The sites recruited men into the study from January 2007 through September 2008. Slightly more than 1,800 men entered the study in all, with the site totals ranging from about 375 to 500 each.22 Former prisoners who were eligible and who agreed to be in the study were assigned at random to one of two groups: The transitional jobs (TJ) group. The 912 individuals who were randomly assigned to this group were referred to the TJRD transitional jobs program in their city and were offered a transitional job and other support services such as pre-employment classes, job coaching, job search assistance, job placement, and post-placement services. The job search (JS) group. The 901 individuals who were randomly assigned to this group were referred to the job search program in their city and were offered basic job search and placement assistance but were not offered a transitional job. By tracking the two groups over time, the evaluation is able to assess whether the transitional jobs programs lead to employment and recidivism outcomes that differ from the outcomes for the job search assistance programs. Any differences that emerge between the two groups are considered “impacts” or “effects” of the transitional jobs programs because, owing to the random assignment research design, the research groups were comparable on measured and unmeasured characteristics when the study began. 20 See Appendix Table A.1, which provides a brief chronicle of the study timeline. To read more about CEO’s findings, see Redcross et al. (2009). 22 Total sample size by site is as follows: Chicago, 374; Detroit, 426; Milwaukee, 507; St. Paul, 506. 21 8 The research team worked with staff in the demonstration sites to develop procedures for enrolling individuals into the study. Each site hired or identified a staff member to serve as the research coordinator; that individual’s salary was subsidized by the project. The research coordinator served as the primary liaison to the research team and was responsible for overseeing the study enrollment and random assignment process. Although the enrollment process differed somewhat from site to site, the general steps were the same in all sites: Recruitment. Men were recruited for the study while they were in prison or shortly after they were released through information sessions, flyers, and other methods. Many men were referred to the project by their parole officer. In each site, staff from the transitional jobs and job search programs forged links with corrections and parole agencies to facilitate recruitment. Informed consent. Men who were interested in the project attended an intake session at the job search program, the transitional jobs program, or some “neutral” location. (Initially, the Detroit site enrolled people into the study the day before they were released, so the sessions took place in prisons.) At the session, the men received a brief, general description of the transitional jobs and job search programs and watched a five-minute video describing the project. The video stressed that the TJRD project was only open to people who agreed to participate in the evaluation, that a random process would be used to determine which type of employment service each person would receive, and that all data collected for the study would be kept private. Men who wanted to participate in the project then signed a consent form. Baseline data. Participants completed a brief questionnaire — called a Baseline Information Form (BIF) — to provide information about their demographic characteristics and prior employment and education history. Random assignment. To conduct random assignment, the research coordinator logged onto a secure MDRC Web site and entered a few pieces of identifying information for each study participant. Once the data were submitted for random assignment, a research group assignment (transitional jobs or job search) was displayed immediately. Participants were notified of their research assignment and told where and when to report to their assigned program. In some sites, study participants were already in the office of one of the programs when random assignment took place; in some others, they were transported directly to their assigned program. 9 Timeframe and Data Sources Data on each sample member were collected for one year after the date he was randomly assigned. Thus, the exact dates of the one-year follow-up period are different for each sample member and include data for the quarter of random assignment plus an additional three quarters of follow-up. Figure 1.1 illustrates the random assignment and follow-up periods for the impact analysis for two hypothetical sample members.23 As shown in the figure, Sample Member A was randomly assigned in May 2007, which means that his follow-up period ended in March 2008 (Quarter 4 for Sample Member A). Sample Member B was randomly assigned in September 2008, which means that his follow-up period ended in June 2009 (Quarter 4 for Sample Member B). The evaluation is using a variety of data sources: 23 Baseline data. As noted earlier, participants completed a short baseline questionnaire when they entered the study. These data provide a snapshot of the characteristics of the study participants just before they were randomly assigned. Program participation data. These data, collected from the management information systems (MIS) of both the transitional jobs and job search programs, provide information on each individual’s participation in the program for which he was eligible. The research team also obtained detailed payroll records to measure employment and earnings in the transitional jobs. Implementation research. The research team conducted two rounds of site visits — one in summer 2007 and another in spring 2008 — to the transitional jobs and job search programs in each city. The site visits were devoted to collecting qualitative information on program operations and the local criminal justice context. Financial expenditure reports, which were used in the cost analysis, were also collected during these visits. Each site visit lasted between two and three days and included interviews with program staff, criminal justice agency staff, observation of program activities, and visits to transitional job worksites. Case file reviews and focus groups were also conducted to get a better understanding of the participants and the services they received. The figure covers employment measures only, for which data are available quarterly. 10 11 F M A M J 2007 J A Q2 S O N Q3 D J F Q4 M A M J 2008 J A Q1 S O N Q2 D J F Q3 M A M Q4 Follow-up period, Sample Member B J 2009 J Sample Member B randomly assigned September 2008 and followed up through June 2009 A S O N NOTE: This figure covers employment measures only, for which data are available quarterly. Thus, while random assignment occurs in a particular month, follow-up employment data are collected quarterly. The month in which each sample member is randomly assigned determines his first quarter of follow-up, whether it is the first, second, or third month in that quarter. J Q1 Follow-up period, Sample Member A Sample Member A randomly assigned May 2007 and followed up through March 2008 Month of Random Assignment and Follow-Up Period for Two Hypothetical Sample Members in the Impact Analysis Figure 1.1 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration D In-depth interviews. A series of qualitative in-depth interviews were conducted with 33 men who were participating in the transitional jobs programs in all four sites. Between 2008 and 2010, three waves of on-site interviews, intermittent phone interviews, and visits to participants’ worksites and residential communities were undertaken. The objective of the interviews was to acquire an in-depth understanding of the participants’ transition experience.24 Employment data. Data from the state unemployment insurance (UI) agency was collected in each of the four states in the study and are used to measure quarterly employment in UI-covered jobs for each sample member during the follow-up period. UI data do not cover all jobs; for example, employment that is “off the books” and federal government jobs are not included. State criminal justice administrative data. The analysis uses arrest and conviction data from the State Police or a criminal history data depository in each of the states. The Department of Corrections in each of the states provided prison admissions and incarceration data. Taken together, these data provided information on a range of outcomes, including arrests, convictions, parole violations, and incarceration in state prison for each member of the study sample, both before and after study entry. The data have some limitations that should be recognized. First, the TJRD project does not include a client survey, so outcomes that were not available on administrative records data files are not included in the analysis. Several examples of outcomes that could not be measured without a survey include employment that is not covered by UI data, information about job characteristics, housing status, income, substance abuse, child and family engagement, criminal activities that did not lead to an arrest or parole revocation, and participation in education and employment activities outside the TJRD programs. Second, data were not collected from local jail facilities; therefore, incarceration in local jails, which may be quite common, was also not measured.25 24 Dr. Alford Young, from the University of Michigan, conducted the interviews. One research assistant worked with him on each site visit. 25 Jails are most often run by local governments and are designed to hold individuals who are awaiting trial or serving short sentences. Prisons are operated by state governments and the Federal Bureau of Prisons; they are designed to hold individuals who are convicted of crimes and are usually serving longer-term sentences. 12 Characteristics of the Study Participants Table 1.2 presents background characteristics of the research sample. These characteristics are based on information collected from the Baseline Information Form that all study participants completed just before random assignment. As expected in a random assignment design, there are very few significant differences in background characteristics between the two research groups. As the table shows, almost everyone in the sample (96 percent) reported being released from state prison, and a similar percentage (97 percent) reported that they were under parole supervision when they enrolled in the study. This is not surprising, since parole agencies were a key source of referrals to the project. The average age of study participants at baseline was 35 years, which is somewhat older than a national sample of former prisoners.26 Most of the TJRD sample (81 percent) is black/African-American. Nationally, fewer than half of released prisoners are AfricanAmerican, but it is not surprising that the racial composition of the TJRD sample does not mirror national statistics because the TJRD sites were in urban areas, where a concentrated number of non-white former prisoners return home. (Box 1.1 summarizes some additional similarities and differences between the TJRD sample and a nationwide sample of prisoners.) About half of the study sample (52 percent) had at least one child under age 19, although only 13 percent lived with any of their children.27 Among those with children, 45 percent reported having a formal child support order. The process of obtaining affordable housing upon release from prison is complicated because most returning prisoners do not have jobs and are not eligible for many forms of public assistance. In addition, public housing authorities can deny housing to individuals with a history of drug use or criminal behavior. Thus, many sample members were living with friends or relatives (48 percent) or in some type of transitional housing (30 percent); 5 percent reported living in a shelter or were homeless. 26 Langan and Levin (2002). The national sample of former prisoners refers to the Bureau of Justice Statistics national study on the rearrest, reconviction, and reincarceration of former prisoners who were tracked for three years after their release from prisons in 15 states in 1994. The former inmates represented two-thirds of all prisoners released in the United States that year. The report includes prisoner demographic characteristics (gender, race, ethnicity, and age), criminal record, types of offenses for which they were imprisoned, the effects of length of stay in prison on likelihood of rearrest, and comparisons with a study of prisoners released in 1983. 27 There is a small but statistically significant difference between the two groups in the percentage of sample members living with their children. The impact calculations presented in Chapters 5 and 6 are adjusted to account for this difference. 13 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table 1.2 Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline: Full Sample Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Characteristic Full Sample Age (%) 18-24 25-34 35-44 45 or older 17.2 34.9 28.4 19.5 16.9 36.4 28.0 18.8 17.0 35.6 28.2 19.1 Average age (years) 34.8 34.5 34.6 Race/ethnicity (%) White/non-Hispanic Black/non-Hispanic Hispanic Other 9.8 82.3 4.0 3.8 10.6 79.0 5.4 4.9 10.2 80.7 4.7 4.3 Has any children under age 19 (%) 51.5 52.7 52.1 Lives with own children under age 19 (%) 14.0 11.7 12.9 Among those with children Lives with own children under age 19 (%) Average number of children Has a child support ordera (%) 26.8 2.1 44.3 21.5 2.2 46.1 24.1 2.1 45.2 Education (%) GED certificate High school diploma Associate's degree/2- or 4-year college/beyond None of the above 48.6 21.3 5.4 24.7 43.8 24.5 6.1 25.7 46.2 22.9 5.8 25.1 Has occupational training certificate (%) 47.7 44.4 46.0 Marital status (%) Never married Married, living with spouse Married, living away from spouse Legally separated/divorced/widowed 75.5 3.3 4.7 16.5 78.2 2.9 4.0 14.9 76.8 3.1 4.4 15.7 Housing status (%) Owns/rents house or apartment Lives with friends or relatives Has transitional housing Lives in shelter/other 17.0 48.8 30.1 4.1 17.4 46.4 30.3 5.9 17.2 47.6 30.2 5.0 Ever employed (%) 86.0 86.9 86.5 Sig. * (continued) 14 Table 1.2 (continued) Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Characteristic Full Sample Sig. *** Ever employed 6 consecutive months for one employer (%) 49.5 55.7 52.6 Worked full time in the 6 months before incarceration (%) 42.7 46.5 44.6 Ever in drug or alcohol treatment (%) 56.4 54.8 55.6 Public assistanceb (%) No government assistance Temporary Assistance for Needy Families Food stamps Social Security Medicaid Housing assistance 53.1 9.7 33.4 1.5 11.2 5.3 54.8 8.2 32.3 1.5 12.2 6.7 53.9 9.0 32.9 1.5 11.7 6.0 Family assists with (%) Finding a place to live Finding a job Dealing with a drug or alcohol problem Financial support None of the above 37.5 37.0 15.5 37.8 37.2 38.2 36.0 15.1 37.6 37.6 37.8 36.5 15.3 37.7 37.4 Facility type of most recent release (%) Prison Jail 96.4 3.6 95.5 4.5 96.0 4.0 Under community supervision (parole/probation) (%) 96.8 97.9 97.4 Sample size (total = 1,813) SOURCE: MDRC calculations using the Baseline Information Form. 912 901 NOTES: In order to assess differences in characteristics across research groups, chi-square tests were used for categorical variables, and t-tests were used for continuous variables. Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. aThis measure is calculated only for those who have children and were ordered to pay child support. Some participants were ordered to pay but did not report the amount; they are missing from this measure. bFor Michigan, this variable is created only for those who were randomly assigned after January 8, 2008, when the site began random assignment after release. Other issues affect former prisoners’ ability to reenter the community after incarceration, including the support they receive from their families and the extent to which they battle substance abuse. In the TJRD sample, more than one-third of the participants reported that their families helped or supported them in some way. More than half had received drug or alcohol treatment at some point in their lives, prior to entering the study. 15 Box 1.1 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Sample Compared with a National Sample of Prisoners The study sample in the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration (TJRD) was similar to a national sample of former prisoners (released in 1994) in some respects and different from that national sample in other respects. The TJRD study was targeted to males, while the national sample, though overwhelmingly male, included a small percentage of females. The samples were similar in terms of criminal history: both the TJRD sample and the national sample had an average of nine prior arrests and four prior convictions. Differences between the two samples show up in race, with most of the TJRD sample black and the national sample evenly divided between black and white, and ethnicity, with less than 5 percent of the TJRD sample Hispanic compared with 25 percent of the national sample. The TJRD sample is somewhat older than the national sample, with nearly half of the TJRD sample being 35 or older compared with about one third of the national sample. Differences are also seen in the crime category of the most recent conviction; for example, a greater proportion of the TJRD sample was convicted of a violent crime, and a greater proportion of the national sample was convicted of a drug crime. Finally, length of the most recent incarceration differed, with the average time served being 33 months for the TJRD sample and 20 months for the national sample. ________________________________ SOURCE: Langan and Levin (2002) and MDRC calculations using the Baseline Information Form and data from Michigan State Police, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority, and the Department of Corrections in each state. Only about one in four participants had a high school diploma, but nearly half had a General Educational Development (GED) certificate at baseline; it seems likely that some of the men earned a GED certificate while incarcerated. Most had at least some employment history. Approximately 87 percent of the sample reported that they had ever worked, but only about half reported that they had worked for a single employer for six consecutive months at any point in their life.28 28 There is a small but statistically significant difference between the two groups in the percentage of sample members who worked for six consecutive months at some point in their lifetime. The impact calculations presented in Chapters 5 and 6 are adjusted to account for this difference. 16 Table 1.3 presents the criminal histories of study participants before random assignment.29 These data are from the criminal justice agencies in each of the states. Again, there are few differences between the two research groups. As expected, all the study participants have a history of arrest, conviction, and incarceration. The average lifetime total time spent in state prison for study participants was about 71 months, or approximately six years, and the average length of sample members’ most recent incarceration was 33 months. The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table 1.3 Criminal History Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline: Full Sample Transitional Jobs Group Job Search Group Full Sample 99.3 99.0 99.2 9.1 9.3 9.2 98.1 97.4 97.8 4.0 2.6 1.0 4.1 2.7 0.9 4.1 2.6 1.0 Ever convicted of a violent crimec (%) 57.1 58.6 57.8 Ever convicted of a drug crimec (%) 46.4 47.2 46.8 Ever convicted of sexual assault (%) 10.9 10.5 10.7 73.6 69.2 71.4 Characteristic Sig. Arrest history Any prior arrests (%) Average number of prior arrestsa Conviction history Any prior conviction (%) b Average number of prior convictions Number of prior felony convictions Number of prior misdemeanor convictions State prison history Lifetime number of months in state prison (continued) 29 These data include incarceration in state prison but not local jails. All criminal history calculations include only events that occurred between January 1, 1980, and the date of random assignment. 17 Table 1.3 (continued) Transitional Jobs Group Job Search Group Full Sample Crime category of most recent convictionb (%) Violent crime Drug crime Property crime Public order crime 33.4 24.4 22.5 19.7 36.1 25.9 21.0 17.0 34.8 25.1 21.7 18.3 Reason for most recent prison admission (%) New crime Parole/probation violation Other 60.4 36.5 3.1 61.1 34.3 4.6 60.8 35.4 3.8 Length of most recent incarceration (months) 33.3 33.1 33.2 Days between latest state prison release and random assignment 47.8 39.7 43.8 Sample size 898 906 1,804 Characteristic Sig. Most recent criminal justice events SOURCES: MDRC calculations based on data from Michigan State Police, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority, and the Department of Corrections in each state. NOTES: All criminal history calculations include only events that occurred between January 1, 1980, and the date of random assignment. There are no significant differences between the research groups on any measures in this table. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aEach arrest date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple crimes or charges on the same date, only the most serious charge is recorded in the analysis. bEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. The total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. cThe categorization of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). Before random assignment, study participants had been arrested an average of nine times — similar to a 1994 national cohort of former prisoners, as observed in Box 1.1.30 Before random assignment, study participants had been convicted an average of four times, with about three of those events being felony convictions and one a misdemeanor. Slightly over half of the sample (58 percent) had been convicted of a violent crime at some point in their lifetime, and 47 percent of the sample had at some point in their lifetime been convicted of a drug crime. 30 Langan and Levin (2002). 18 Table 1.3 also shows that, on average, sample members enrolled in the study 44 days after release; as noted earlier, the study targeted people who had been released fewer than 90 days earlier. Roadmap to the Report The remainder of the report is divided into the following chapters: Chapter 2 presents the criminal justice context and the economic environment in each of the study sites during the follow-up period. The chapter also describes the baseline characteristics and criminal histories of the sample by site, highlighting key differences. Chapter 3 describes the implementation of the transitional jobs and job search programs, and Chapter 4 presents data on the rates of participation in TJRD program services for both research groups. Chapters 5 and 6 cover the one-year impacts of the transitional jobs programs on employment and earnings and on recidivism. Chapter 7 presents data on program costs. Chapter 8 describes findings from the in-depth interviews. Chapter 9 reviews the status of the TJRD transitional jobs programs approximately one year after the operational phase of the demonstration ended, and presents some of the lessons the transitional jobs programs learned from TJRD. The chapter concludes by discussing the implications of the first-year TJRD results for future policy and research. 19 Chapter 2 Economic and Criminal Justice Contexts of the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Sites The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration (TJRD) focuses on a sample of men who were released from state prisons and who returned to Chicago, Detroit, Milwaukee, and St. Paul during portions of 2007 and 2008. This chapter describes the economic and criminal justice contexts in the four sites during the demonstration period. Economic Context One of the key goals of the TJRD programs was to increase the employment and earnings of participants. This section provides information about economic conditions during the timeframe of the project and the ways in which these conditions should be considered in the context of the study. Both the overall state of the economy and the variation in economic conditions across the four cities are considerations for interpreting the findings of this study — although, in an experimental framework, external factors, such as the economy, are the same for the transitional jobs group and the job search group. Thus, while local economic conditions may affect the levels of employment-related outcomes that are observed in the evaluation, it is unclear how or whether economic conditions will influence the impacts of the TJRD programs. Prior studies on the subject have found mixed results about whether the impacts of employment programs and policies are affected by economic conditions. Some prior studies that looked at the interaction between public policy and unemployment found that certain types of policies are somewhat more effective at increasing employment when the economy is in a downturn, while the effects of other types of policies are not sensitive to economic conditions.1 All of the TJRD programs enrolled participants between January 2007 and September 2008 and continued to serve study participants into 2009. Employment data for the current report extend through June of 2009 for those who were randomly assigned during the last part of the study enrollment period. During that timeframe, the national recession led to sharp increases in unemployment in all four cities. In addition, the four study cities vary somewhat in their local economic and employment conditions. For example, economic conditions in Detroit have been depressed for some time, with very high levels of unemployment and job loss even 1 Herbst (2008); Greenberg et al. (2001); Michalopoulos (2005). 21 prior to the national downturn. St. Paul and Milwaukee, on the other hand, had enjoyed somewhat better local economic conditions prior to the national downturn, characterized by relatively low levels of unemployment. Figure 2.1 shows the unemployment rates in each of the metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) for the four cities during the study follow-up period.2 As the figure shows, unemployment rates were relatively steady throughout 2007 and the first half of 2008. But beginning in mid-2008, all four cities experienced an increase in unemployment rates, followed by a very steep jump in unemployment during the first half of 2009. The rates of unemployment differed somewhat across MSAs, with the highest rates in Detroit and the lowest in St. Paul and Milwaukee. Nonetheless, unemployment in all of the cities was at its highest point in decades. By early 2009, each of the cities experienced a doubling of unemployment and job loss rates (job loss not shown). While it is unclear how the local economic conditions will affect the impacts of the TJRD programs on employment and recidivism, the rates of employment for the sample are expected to be lower during the time period affected most by poor employment conditions. As discussed in Chapter 1, obtaining employment is difficult for many former prisoners even when economic conditions are good. It would not be surprising to find that the troubled economic conditions in these cities made it unusually difficult for the staff in the transitional jobs programs to help participants make the transition to regular jobs. However, the same is likely to be true for the job search programs, and it is possible that the services received by the transitional jobs group are more valuable than they would be in better economic times, and program impacts could be more positive. The timeframe of the study offers an unusual opportunity to examine the impacts of transitional jobs programs in different labor market environments. In Chapters 5 and 6, impacts are explored separately for those who were randomly assigned late in the enrollment period, with all or most of their follow-up occurring during the worst part of the recession to date. The impacts of the TJRD programs are also analyzed for each site separately (see Appendixes C and D). Criminal Justice Context In addition to examining employment impacts, this report assesses the impacts of the transitional jobs programs on recidivism — that is, rearrest, reconviction, revocation of parole, return to incarceration, and length of incarceration. As with economic conditions, the criminal 2 Bureau of Labor Statistics (n.d.). 22 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Figure 2.1 Average Monthly Unemployment Rates in the Study’s Metropolitan Statistical Areas: Full Sample Chicago 18 Detroit Milwaukee St. Paul 16 Average Unemployment Rate (%) 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 Jun-09 Apr-09 May-09 Mar-09 Jan-09 Feb-09 Dec-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Sep-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Jun-08 May-08 Mar-08 Jan-08 Feb-08 Dec-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Sep-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Jun-07 Apr-07 May-07 Mar-07 Jan-07 Feb-07 0 Apr-08 Late cohort enrollment: 4/08 to 9/08 Early cohort enrollment: 1/07 to 3/08 Month of Follow-Up SOURCE: Based on data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showing the average unemployment rate in each of the metropolitan statistical areas. 23 justice context in which the TJRD programs existed might influence both the levels of recidivism and the impacts. In 2008, 735,454 people were released from state and federal prisons nationally.3 The TJRD states accounted for 66,728 of those releases. Because Chicago, Detroit, Milwaukee, and St. Paul (along with Minneapolis) are the major cities in the states of interest, a large share of released prisoners would be expected to return to those cities. Indeed, in 2008, 56 percent of the Illinois parole population lived in Cook County (Chicago).4 In the same year, 12 percent of the Minnesota population that was subject to supervised release lived in Ramsey County (St. Paul).5 When Hennepin County (Minneapolis) is included in addition to Ramsey County, this proportion jumps to 33 percent.6 Similarly, from 2003 to 2007, Milwaukee parole agencies supervised 25 percent of the state parole population.7 Among those who were released to parole in Michigan in 2003, 34 percent returned to Wayne County, and the majority of those individuals (80 percent) returned to Detroit specifically.8 Most criminal justice laws and policies are set at the state level, shaping how people are sentenced, the implementation of community supervision programs, and what state criminal justice agencies record in their administrative data records. Table 2.1 provides some information about the criminal justice context in each TJRD state. For each indicator of crime and corrections shown in the table, the position of each state relative to the national average is shown. Illinois, for instance, had a crime rate of 3,469 per 100,000 population in 2007, which was 7 percent lower than the national average of 3,731. Additional information about state operations that help provide a context for the TJRD data is presented below. Illinois. The Illinois criminal justice administrative data indicate that felony convictions nearly always lead to a prison admission. Also, prisoners in Illinois are able to earn “good time” and can be released early onto parole, leading to relatively shorter stays in prison and relatively longer stays on parole. 3 Sabol, West, and Cooper (2009). Illinois Department of Corrections (2008). 5 Minnesota Department of Corrections (2009). 6 Although most people returning from prison in Minnesota have probation sentences, the focus here is on the supervised release/intensive supervised release/parole population, given that few people on probation were recruited into the TJRD sample. (Intensive supervised release is for high-risk offender and involves greater contact with the supervising officer, as explained later in this chapter.) For the full St. Paul sample, 94 percent reported being on parole and 1 percent reported being on community supervision (presumably supervised release or parole). Only 1 percent reported being on probation and 3 percent reported not being on any type of supervision. 7 Van Stelle and Goodrich (2009). 8 Solomon and Thomson (2004). 4 24 25 6.1 -9% 22 +70% 277 -13% 499 +10% 3,527 +27% 2.6 -61% 120 -62% 181 -60% 3,411 +25% 3,037 -7% 289 -38% 536 +13% 3,066 -6% -11% 3,326 Minnesota -3% 3,602 Michigan 8 +16% 395 +19% 397 -11% 2,491 -3% 2,838 -13% 291 -38% -16% 3,129 Wisconsin NOTES: Positive percentages indicate that the measure is higher than the national average; negative percentages indicate that the measure is lower than the national average. aThe corrections population is the number of people under corrections supervision per 100,000 people, and corrections supervision includes the number of adults in prison, in jails, on probation, and on parole. SOURCES: National Institute of Corrections Library (2010); for number of releases in 2007, Sabol, West, and Cooper (2009). 6.7 344 +7% 319 Parolees per 100,000 (2007) Relative to national average Taxpayers' cost (2008), percent of state general fund spent on corrections Relative to national average 371 -17% 447 2,609 +1% 2,936 -10% 533 +12% -7% 3,469 Illinois Number incarcerated per 100,000 (2007) Relative to national average 2,572 3,264 Number of property crimes Relative to national average Corrections population per 100,000 (2004)a Relative to national average 467 3,731 National Average Number of violent crimes Relative to national average Relative to national average Number of crimes per 100,000 (2007) Variable Crime and Corrections Contextual Statistics: Comparison of TJRD State Averages and National Averages Table 2.1 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Michigan. As shown in Table 2.1, Michigan has a lower parole rate than do Illinois and Wisconsin, and lower than the national average. This is likely because in the late 1990s the state passed a “truth in sentencing” law that requires anyone sentenced to prison to serve the entire specified minimum sentence. In other words, Michigan prisoners cannot earn their way out of prison with good behavior; thus, longer prison stays and shorter stays on parole would be expected. Minnesota. For most prison sentences in Minnesota, a person spends two-thirds of his sentence in prison and one-third in the community on supervised release. As a result of the way the St. Paul site recruited people into the sample for TJRD (discussed below), about two-thirds of the St. Paul sample members were on intensive supervised release, a rate much higher than the countywide rate.9 Intensive supervised release is a supervision strategy for high-risk offenders that involves having contact with the supervising officer at least four times a week, including unannounced home visits. As discussed further below, the high proportion of sample members on intensive supervised release is likely related to the fact that the St. Paul staff targeted much of their recruitment to halfway houses, facilities that are often used for high-risk offenders. Wisconsin. Sentencing in Wisconsin changed as a result of laws that were implemented in the late 1990s, which affect rates of incarceration.10 Prisoners who committed an offense before June 1, 1984, can earn two types of “good time”: statutory good time and industrial good time. Among prisoners who committed an offense between June 1, 1984, and December 31, 1999, an automatic mandatory release date became part of their sentence, meaning that they serve two-thirds of the length of their sentence in prison. After the two-thirds date, prisoners can be held only for “institution misconduct” (violations of prison rules). People who committed an offense after December 31, 1999, are not eligible for sentence reduction, and they must serve out their entire sentence incarcerated. Thus, depending on the point in time when the crime was committed, length of prison stays in Wisconsin can be expected to vary. Baseline Characteristics and Criminal Histories of the Sample, by Site Table 2.2 reports selected background characteristics and criminal history characteristics of sample members at the time of random assignment, by site. The state context characteristics that are presented in Table 2.1 help to explain some of the differences that are found across sites. 9 The same proportion of the transitional jobs and job search groups were on intensive supervised release. Division of Community Corrections (2003). 10 26 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table 2.2 Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline, by Site Full Chicago Detroit Milwaukee St. Paul Sample Characteristic Average age (years) 35.1 36.6 33.2 34.2 34.6 Race/ethnicity (%) White/non-Hispanic Black/non-Hispanic Hispanic Other 3.2 89.7 6.5 0.5 6.6 88.6 2.8 1.9 6.9 88.6 2.4 2.0 20.2 65.5 4.8 9.5 10.2 80.7 4.7 4.3 Education (%) GED certificate High school diploma Associate's degree/2- or 4-year college/beyond None of the above 36.0 19.1 5.6 39.3 64.1 10.2 4.4 21.4 38.7 32.8 4.3 24.3 54.3 21.2 7.3 17.1 46.2 22.9 5.8 25.1 Housing status (%) Owns/rents house or apartment Lives with friends or relatives Has transitional housing Lives in shelter/other 19.0 58.7 15.2 7.1 17.2 68.4 11.0 3.3 19.3 55.6 23.5 1.6 13.1 18.7 63.3 4.8 17.2 47.6 30.2 5.0 Ever employed 6 consecutive months for one employer (%) 47.7 49.8 43.8 56.1 52.6 Worked full time in the 6 months before incarceration (%) 43.8 45.9 39.2 42.6 44.6 Average number of prior arrests 15.3 4.4 7.7 10.2 9.2 Ever convicted of a violent crimeb (%) 47.2 59.3 41.9 80.4 57.8 Ever convicted of a drug crimeb (%) 65.0 41.9 54.9 29.4 46.8 Ever convicted of sexual assault (%) 1.6 3.1 5.9 28.6 10.7 62.1 99.2 71.6 54.4 71.4 Crime category of most recent conviction (%) Violent crime Drug crime Property crime Public order crime 25.0 38.8 22.8 13.5 40.3 18.2 31.5 10.0 20.5 34.0 18.3 27.2 51.7 12.1 16.0 20.1 34.8 25.1 21.7 18.3 Length of most recent incarceration (months) 27.5 54.2 31.7 21.1 33.2 Sample size 374 426 507 506 1,813 (continued) a Lifetime number of months in state prison c 27 Table 2.2 (continued) SOURCES: MDRC calculations using the Baseline Information Form and data from Michigan State Police, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority, and the Department of Corrections in each state. NOTES: All criminal history calculations include only events that occurred between January 1, 1980, and the date of random assignment. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aEach arrest date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple crimes or charges on the same date, only the most serious charge is recorded in the analysis. bThe categorization of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). cEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. As shown in Table 2.2, the average age of the sample members was similar across sites. More sample members from St. Paul were white than in other sites and more people in St. Paul were categorized as a race other than white, black, or Hispanic. Sample members in Chicago reported the least amount of education, and more sample members in Detroit and St. Paul than in Chicago and Milwaukee reported having either a General Educational Development (GED) certificate or a high school diploma. Over half of the sample in St. Paul had been employed for six consecutive months by the same employer at some point before going to prison, which is slightly higher than in the other sites. One key difference across sites is housing status. Almost two-thirds of the St. Paul sample lived in transitional housing at the time of random assignment, which is much higher than in the other sites. As discussed earlier, this finding likely reflects the focus on recruiting residents of halfway houses, which are considered transitional housing. Differences among sites in criminal history information reveal several points of interest. First, the samples in Chicago and St. Paul had more prior arrests, on average, than those in Detroit and Milwaukee. This finding may reflect in part the fact that both Illinois and Minnesota report all arrests that individuals have in their history regardless of whether that arrest led to a conviction — in other words, they do not “seal” and restrict access to information on arrests.11 In addition, a much larger proportion of the St. Paul sample had ever been convicted of violent crimes and sexual assaults, compared with the other sites. As noted earlier, the St. Paul recruitment strategy resulted in a high-risk sample that appears to represent a group of men who committed more serious crimes than those in the samples from the other cities. 11 Office of the State Appelate Defender (2010); Minnesota Judicial Branch (n.d.). 28 At the other end of the spectrum, Detroit’s arrest rate is unusually low, likely because the state criminal justice agency seals arrest information for arrests that lead to a verdict of “not guilty.”12 This means that some data on arrests for which people are not convicted are not released as part of individual criminal histories. Finally, because Michigan has truth-in-sentencing, people from this state would be expected to spend more time in prison than in other states. This pattern is clear for both the lifetime length of time spent in prison and for the length of the most recent incarceration, with sample members from Detroit spending much more time in prison than those from the three other cities. 12 This scenario holds except in the case of certain violent crimes, if the person has already been convicted of a crime, or if the arrest record is otherwise ordered to be destroyed at the discretion of a judge despite the particular crime code or a previous conviction. See www.legislature.mi.gov. 29 Chapter 3 Program Implementation This chapter describes the organizations that operated the transitional jobs and job search programs in the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration (TJRD) and the services that each provided. Information in this chapter comes largely from two site visits to each city — one in summer 2007 and the other in spring 2008. The goals of the visits were to understand (1) how each program was implementing its transitional jobs or job search services, (2) what types of challenges the sites faced in operating the program, (3) how staff and participants viewed the programs and services, and (4) what types of variation existed in the local environment, in particular the social service and criminal justice contexts. During each visit, researchers interviewed staff from the organizations that were operating the transitional jobs and job search programs as well as community corrections staff. Researchers also observed program activities and visited transitional job work sites, during which time they interviewed site supervisors. The research team also conducted case reviews with staff from the transitional jobs programs to gain a better understanding of the issues faced by participants and services they received.1 Separate focus groups with transitional jobs and job search participants were conducted in summer 2007 in each city. Focus group participants were recruited from lists of enrolled TJRD participants; group sizes ranged from 2 to 18 men. While the views expressed by these men do not necessarily represent the experiences of all TJRD participants, they provide insights into the participant perspective on the program. After providing background information about each organization that was involved in the demonstration, the chapter describes study recruitment procedures. The types of services provided by the job search programs are then described, followed by details of the services provided by the transitional jobs programs. Various challenges that the sites encountered in implementing and running the transitional jobs portion of the demonstration are also described in this section. The chapter ends with a summary of the major implementation findings. 1 In summer 2007, case reviews were conducted of active participants. In 2008, case reviews were focused on individuals who had moved into unsubsidized employment after working in a transitional job. The research team selected cases for review in advance of the site visit. 31 Background of the Transitional Jobs and Job Search Organizations As introduced in Chapter 1, The Joyce Foundation used a competitive process to select and fund employment programs for former prisoners in four cities within its midwestern grantmaking area: Chicago, Detroit, Milwaukee, and St. Paul. In Detroit, Milwaukee, and St. Paul, two different organizations were identified, one to run a transitional jobs program and the second to run a job search program. In Chicago, the same organization ran both the transitional jobs and job search programs. The four transitional jobs programs were operated by different types of organizations, including a small community-based nonprofit organization (in Milwaukee), a large regional nonprofit organization (in Chicago), and a local affiliate of a national nonprofit organization (in Detroit and St. Paul). The four job search programs were also operated by different types of organizations but were primarily community-based nonprofit organizations (in Detroit, Milwaukee, and St. Paul). Although the transitional jobs program organizations had different levels of experience serving former prisoners, all had served this population in some capacity prior to being selected for the demonstration. Furthermore, all transitional jobs providers had previous experience providing transitional jobs to participants who met certain criteria (other than being former prisoners). In contrast, the organizations that were operating job search programs had more experience providing services to former prisoners. Tables 3.1 and 3.2 provide general characteristics of the programs in each city; further details of each are provided below. Chicago The Safer Foundation provided services to both the transitional jobs and job search groups in Chicago. Safer was founded in Chicago in 1972 to advocate on behalf of individuals with a criminal record who were attempting to find jobs. The Safer Foundation continues to provide services to individuals with a criminal record, with nine locations in Illinois and Iowa. Safer’s goal is to “reduce recidivism by supporting, through a full spectrum of services, the efforts of people with criminal records to become employed, law-abiding members of the community.” All of the employment and support services provided by Safer are targeted to former prisoners and are funded by a variety of organizations, including the Illinois Department of Corrections (IDOC), the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and private foundations. Safer also operates Pivotal Staffing, LLC, a temporary staffing agency providing a full range of hiring services for the employers that contract with them. Pivotal Staffing was started in January 2005 specifically for a contract with Allied Waste, the company that held waste management and recycling contracts with the City of Chicago. With the start of the contract, 32 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table 3.1 Overview of the TJRD Study Sites: Transitional Jobs Providers Characteristic Chicago Detroita Milwaukee Transitional jobs provider Safer Foundation Goodwill Industries of Greater Detroit New Hope Project Goodwill/Easter Seals Minnesota Organizational type Regional nonprofit organization Local affiliate of national nonprofit organization Community-based nonprofit organization Local affiliate of national nonprofit organization Previous experience Organization founded serving former prisoner with purpose of population serving this population Served this population through other programs; population not a specific focus until 2004 Served this population through other programs; population not a specific focus until 2004 Served this population through other programs; population not a specific focus until 2007 Previous experience providing transitional jobs Through industrial site Scattered site model part of original program Through retail outlet Through contracted company St. Paul SOURCE: MDRC field research. NOTE: aThe Michigan Department of Corrections, Prisoner Reentry Initiative, chose the transitional jobs and job search provider organizations and had overall leadership of the TJRD programs in Detroit. temporary jobs with Allied Waste were available to Safer clients, who could gain work experience and a paycheck before moving into other jobs, an arrangement approximating a transitional jobs program. Detroit Compared with the other cities in the evaluation, Detroit was unique in that an additional organizational layer was involved in the project. The Michigan Prisoner Reentry Initiative (MPRI), a statewide reentry effort, is operated by the Michigan Department of Corrections (MDOC) and was the original applicant to participate in the demonstration. MDOC envisioned the demonstration as part of the larger MPRI effort. 33 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table 3.2 Overview of the TJRD Study Sites: Job Search Providers Characteristic Chicago Detroita Milwaukee St. Paul Job seach provider Safer Foundation First JVS, then Detroit Hispanic Development Corporation Project RETURN Amherst H. Wilder Foundation Organizational type Regional nonprofit organization Metropolitan-area nonprofit (JVS)/ Community-based nonprofit (Detroit Hispanic) Community-based nonprofit organization Metropolitan-area nonprofit Served this population through other programs (JVS)/ contract to serve former prisoners (Detroit Hispanic) Organization Contract to serve founded with former prisoners purpose of serving this population Previous experience Organization founded serving former prisoner with purpose of serving this population population SOURCE: MDRC field research. NOTE: aThe Michigan Department of Corrections, Prisoner Reentry Initiative, chose the transitional jobs and job search provider organizations and had overall leadership of the TJRD programs in Detroit. Goodwill Industries of Greater Detroit was selected to deliver services to the transitional jobs group. Goodwill was founded in Detroit in 1921, originally to serve only the seriously disabled. Over time, Goodwill expanded its service population to include individuals who are HIV-positive, public assistance recipients, dislocated workers (people who have been laid off from their jobs), and former prisoners. Today, there are eight Goodwill locations in the metropolitan Detroit area. In 2004, the Ford Foundation provided funding to Goodwill to target male and female former prisoners for services. Goodwill has an on-site industrial facility and contracts to perform light assembly and related work for a variety of clients, including the automotive industry. Participants in the other Goodwill programs (for those with disabilities, dislocated workers, and others) work in the facility in transitional employment slots. MPRI initially selected JVS (formerly Jewish Vocational Services), through a requestfor-proposals process, to offer services to the job search group. JVS is a long-time employment and training organization, with more than 65 years of operating experience in Detroit and southeastern Michigan. In the Detroit office, JVS provides workforce development services for 34 welfare recipients, food stamp recipients, homeless people, and those with disabilities who are referred to the organization. JVS has a history of working with former prisoners in its various programs, although not with any specific funding stream or program dedicated to that population. JVS’s contract with MPRI expired on December 31, 2007, and was not renewed because JVS was also selected to operate a statewide transitional jobs initiative, and it would have been too complicated for the organization to operate both programs simultaneously. Therefore, in 2008, Detroit Hispanic Development Corporation (Detroit Hispanic) assumed the operation of job search services for TJRD sample members. Detroit Hispanic was founded in 1997 by its current executive director as a youth gang violence prevention program in southwestern Detroit, an area with a large Latino population. Detroit Hispanic also operated a welfare-to-work program in its early years. Although the organization serves adults, programs for youth remain its core focus. Before becoming involved in TJRD, Detroit Hispanic had been serving former prisoners through MPRI. Milwaukee The New Hope Project ran the transitional jobs program in Wisconsin. New Hope was created in 1991 as a demonstration project designed to help individuals leave poverty through employment. To that end, New Hope has provided transitional jobs (previously called “community service jobs”) for individuals who are unable to secure unsubsidized employment. New Hope’s programming has shifted several times over the years, both because of funding changes and because of changes in the political climate. The original demonstration program, which was evaluated by MDRC, ran from 1991 to 1999. Between 1999 and 2002, the organization primarily conducted policy analysis and advocacy work. In 2003, New Hope began offering services again. From 2003 to 2004, the organization had a contract to provide services through the Workforce Investment Act (WIA), and starting in 2004 it received funding from the Department of Corrections via the State of Wisconsin to work primarily with noncustodial parents and those with criminal records. In 2009, New Hope merged with the YWCA of Greater Milwaukee. Project RETURN (Returning Ex-offenders To Urban Realities and Neighborhoods) provided the job search services in Milwaukee. Project RETURN, which was incorporated in 1981, is a nonprofit organization that grew out of a “Social Concerns Committee” affiliated with Milwaukee’s Cross Lutheran Church, which was charged with determining which communities were not well served in its area. The group identified four minimum-security prisons located within a two-mile radius of the church and found few or no services available to the formerly imprisoned. Prior to involvement in this demonstration, Project RETURN offered job search services, a fatherhood program, alcohol and drug treatment services, and support groups that focused on anger management, social skills training, and the like, all of which were directed at the former prisoner population. 35 St. Paul Goodwill/Easter Seals Minnesota (G/ESM) operated the transitional jobs program in St. Paul. G/ESM is a large regional nonprofit organization that aims to help individuals, including those with disabilities, who face employment barriers to achieve economic success. The Minnesota chapter of Goodwill was founded in 1919 by a group of St. Paul civic and religious leaders. After World War II, Goodwill increasingly emphasized efforts to help individuals with disabilities overcome barriers to employment, and in 1984 its Minnesota chapter became affiliated with the National Easter Seals Society, which had a long history serving those with disabilities. Services to the disabled population remain an important focus of G/ESM, though the organization works with other groups, including welfare recipients, dislocated workers, and young fathers struggling with their responsibilities as parents. G/ESM has also been involved in a small number of programs targeted at prisoners who are on probation and released prisoners in Hennepin County. G/ESM is most closely associated with its 15 retail stores, which resell donated goods throughout the state. The Amherst H. Wilder Foundation provided services to the job search group in St. Paul. The Wilder Foundation is one of the largest nonprofit organizations in the Twin Cities, established in 1906 with a mandate to assist St. Paul’s needy, and today it provides a wide range of services to assist the elderly, at-risk youth, the homeless population, and other groups. Wilder has periodically worked with criminal justice clients; at the time of the demonstration, it provided pre- and post-release employment services through a contract with the Minnesota Department of Corrections. Study Recruitment The organizations in each city were charged with developing a strategy to recruit men within three months of their release from prison, and those strategies varied by site. In Chicago, study recruitment closely mirrored the Safer Foundation’s standard business practice, although that process was subsequently augmented. In St. Paul, the job search program used an existing referral pathway based on established ties with the corrections system and halfway houses, although those efforts were also supplemented. Since recruitment into the demonstration meant that only half of the men would be assigned to a transitional job (and the other half to the job search program), existing recruitment efforts alone often did not yield the numbers needed to conduct random assignment. Detroit and Milwaukee had to devise new recruitment practices. In Detroit, recruitment was overseen by staff employed by the Michigan Prisoner Re-entry Initiative, but in Milwaukee, staff in the transitional jobs and job search organizations both were involved with recruitment. 36 In Chicago, the Safer Foundation initially relied on its established referral paths to recruit individuals into the demonstration. That is, referrals came from contacts that the organization had developed with the Illinois Department of Corrections, parole and probation agencies, and the Illinois Department of Human Services. There were also a large number of walk-ins because Safer is well known in the community. However, most clients who came via those routes had been released from prison 6 to 12 months previously, making them ineligible for the TJRD study. Safer then instituted other recruitment strategies to increase the number of eligible referrals. Those strategies included meeting with inmates within 60 days prior to their release from an IDOC or other facility to explain the study, and meeting with parole and probation officers and staff from halfway houses to encourage them to refer men soon after their release date. Staff from New Hope and Project RETURN worked together closely to recruit participants in Milwaukee. Staff from both organizations conducted monthly presentations at correctional facilities throughout Wisconsin, particularly the Racine Correctional Facility and the Milwaukee Secure Detention Facility. Staff also distributed flyers at local parole offices and attended bimonthly meetings with community corrections personnel and their parolees in an effort to “market” the demonstration. Similarly, staff from the job search organization in St. Paul provided information about the study within correctional facilities at periodic “transition fairs,” which are information sessions for soon-to-be-released inmates. They also met with parole officers and staff from halfway houses and recruited internally from the existing employment program for former prisoners. Unlike the other sites, enrollment into the study in Detroit was initially conducted before men were released from prison. From February through December 2007, MPRI staff and representatives from the transitional jobs and job search organizations went into two facilities (Mound and Ryan, both located in Detroit) monthly to conduct presentations about the demonstration and to recruit participants. Only men to be released on the second or fourth Tuesday of each month were eligible, as this criterion represented the majority of the release population. Former sex offenders were not eligible because, in Michigan, sex offenders are sent to specialized parole agents. In January 2008, in response to relatively low enrollment rates, the site switched to a post-release process, and the study was opened to men released from all prisons in Michigan who were returning to Wayne County and who had been out of prison for less than 90 days. An MPRI staff person continued to give monthly presentations within the prisons to promote the demonstration, but potential participants were primarily referred by their parole officers after they were released. All the sites, regardless of their prior experience working with the criminal justice system, had to forge relationships with correctional facilities and the local parole system to ensure a consistent flow of potential client referrals. This relationship-building took time and 37 was often solidified only several months into the demonstration. Staff time was used to visit correctional facilities to present information about the demonstration to soon-to-be-released inmates, which required cooperation from the institutions’ leadership. Staff resources were also spent educating parole supervisors and officers about the demonstration project, including eligibility criteria and the potential benefits of referring their clients to the demonstration. During the second research visit to each site, many staff noted that they had just solidified these relationships with local community corrections when it was time to start winding down recruitment for random assignment. Intake Like recruitment generally, the intake process differed somewhat from site to site. In Chicago, the Safer Foundation assessed all new clients and referred them to one of three “pathways.” Those who were able to work but had relatively little work experience or education were assigned to the “transitional employment pathway.” Random assignment took place among clients within this pathway. After random assignment, individuals who were assigned to the transitional jobs group were usually placed in a transitional job at Allied Waste’s recycling plant within a day or two of random assignment. Individuals who were assigned to the job search group could receive assistance in finding a job, but they were not eligible for placement in a transitional job. As noted earlier, in St. Paul, random assignment took place at the job search program organization. Individuals who were assigned to the transitional jobs group were given a bus token and Goodwill’s phone number, and were immediately sent to Goodwill (located about four blocks away) for an appointment with a case manager that morning. They began work in a transitional job the following day. Individuals who were assigned to the job search group remained on-site to continue receiving services. In Milwaukee, where random assignment occurred in the building where both organizations had their offices, participants who were assigned to the transitional jobs and job search groups met with staff from the respective organizations immediately after random assignment to learn about available services. Individuals who were assigned to the transitional jobs group were given appointments to meet individually with their assigned case managers to begin choosing a transitional job worksite. Finally, in Detroit in 2007, when random assignment occurred within correctional facilities, participants were bused to the transitional jobs and job search program organizations upon their release, where they were able to contact friends or family. When random assignment was conducted post-release, individuals were taken by van from a neutral random assignment location to the transitional jobs program, while those in the job search group made appointments to meet with a case manager later that day or on another day. 38 Intake Challenges Intake into the demonstration was not constant throughout the course of the project, and sites had to devise new ways of attracting participants. Despite recruitment and other publicity efforts, at times only a handful of participants attended an orientation session. Even in Detroit, where staff were provided with information about release dates, it was not always possible to predict the number of participants. In some cases, release dates changed, or some men changed their minds about participating in the demonstration. After concerted efforts to increase enrollment, the sites had a large number of men attending orientations. A different challenge that was of particular concern in Milwaukee was ensuring that men who were randomly assigned were eligible for and could benefit from participating in the demonstration. In previous program offerings, New Hope had asked participants to first search for employment, and placed participants in a transitional job only if they were unable to secure unsubsidized employment on their own. While this is a valid design for an employment assistance program, it was not the intended TJRD model, and staff had to reorient their philosophies as well as develop new ways of talking about the demonstration. Although only half of those who were randomly assigned would become eligible for the transitional jobs program, it was vital that all men who were randomly assigned met the eligibility criteria. Before fine-tuning the recruitment message, staff in Milwaukee randomly assigned some individuals who already had jobs or who were not interested in being assigned to a transitional job. Employed individuals should have been screened out of the intake process for the demonstration although they may have qualified for services in the organization’s past. Similarly, in St. Paul, staff reported that it was sometimes difficult to tell who truly “needed” a transitional job. Potential clients heard about the demonstration at the job search program site. Staff emphasized that the transitional jobs paid minimum wage and sometimes urged men to look for a job before signing up for the demonstration if they thought they could get a better job. The idea was to urge men to self-select in or out of the project depending on their labor market prospects. In reality, however, there was very little risk for men in signing up for the project since they would have a 50/50 chance of getting a paid job within 24 hours. Some participants who could have done better may have reasoned that they could keep looking for another job while working in the transitional job. For participants, a major motivation for entering the study was the possibility of being assigned to the transitional jobs group and getting a paid job relatively quickly, which often made the assignment to the job search group less attractive. Staff in two of the cities noted that some participants, when they found out they were assigned to the job search group, were disappointed. As a staff person in St. Paul noted, “People say ‘you can go to the Wilder Job Club and they’ll get you a job in this here program.’ So they come here with the anticipation that they’re going to get hired. And then once they find out that it’s a random selection…and 39 they don’t get picked, they’re pissed off, and they just walk out.” Staff in Detroit also noted that some participants voiced a similar disappointment when they were assigned to the job search group. In Chicago, this issue was not raised. A number of the focus group participants noted that Safer had a good reputation in the community, so that being assigned to the job search group over the transitional jobs group was not a concern. Job Search Program Services As discussed in Chapter 1, the TJRD project was designed to test services that are built around transitional jobs against a set of more limited job search services. Most of this chapter is dedicated to the transitional jobs services; however, this section describes the services that were available to those who were randomly assigned to the job search group. All job search participants had access to computers, phones, and fax machines to assist in finding and applying for jobs. Some participants were able to access other ancillary services as well. For example, in Detroit, JVS provided access to clothing and packages of toiletries, and in St. Paul participants received a clothing allowance. Initially, all job search group members could participate in group activities offered by the service providers. During this time they were instructed on appropriate workplace behaviors and other soft skills, learned how to discuss their criminal records with employers, and received information about formatting résumés and filling out applications. The group activities varied in intensity. In Chicago these workshops ran for a full week and provided information on developing résumés, job search techniques, and appropriate workplace behavior. Offerings in St. Paul were similar. In Milwaukee, participants could join the 16-session “Fatherhood Initiative,” which focused on similar job-related issues, communication skills (including talking about offense histories), and interpersonal skills, as well as on parenting, although not all participants were fathers. The fatherhood group met for two hours a day, four days a week. In 2007, participants in Detroit could join a group job-readiness class that met three days a week; these classes included non-TJRD participants as well. When Detroit switched job search service providers to Detroit Hispanic, that organization did not offer group activities. Instead, case managers were available to assist participants individually with tasks such as developing a résumé. In the other cities, participants could meet one-on-one with case managers, but this practice was formalized only in Milwaukee, where staff met twice weekly with participants until they found a job. The degree to which job search group participants received assistance with finding employment (as opposed to help mastering job-seeking skills) also varied by city. In Chicago, staff called “sector managers” worked with local employers to identify open positions and then match those positions to participants (including those in the transitional jobs and job search groups, and those enrolled through other Safer Foundation programs). In Milwaukee, a con40 tracted staff person served as a “job developer.” Like the sector managers, the job developer met with area employers to learn about various job openings and then shared that information with participants through their case managers. While this individual spent more time with participants in the transitional jobs group, he shared job leads with staff working in the Milwaukee job search program. The initial Detroit job search provider also had a specialized job developer on staff. No staff person in the St. Paul job search provider was designated as a “job developer,” and this type of service was offered more informally. That is, staff talked with employers in the community and occasionally hosted employers at their site so that participants could learn more about what employers look for when they are hiring. Focus group participants had mixed assessments of the services offered by the job search providers. One man in Detroit said that for individuals who had limited work experience, learning about appropriate workplace attire and how to fill out applications was probably useful. On the other hand, he said, “If you’ve been in the employment field and you know how to fill out an application, you know how to dress yourself properly, and you know how to groom yourself, then their services [are] inadequate.” By contrast, in Milwaukee, focus group participants singled out the attention staff paid to them as an important part of the program. As one said, “They [the staff are] hands-on with you. You know, a lot of people out here talk about helping you get a job and this and that, [but] they sit down with you, you know; you send faxes right there in the office.” Transitional Jobs Program Services At the heart of this demonstration was a test of the transitional jobs model as a way to help returning former prisoners find unsubsidized employment. However, while “transitional jobs” share a broad set of characteristics, including being temporary in nature and providing more intensive support and supervision, the type of work offered, the setting of that work, and the nature of the supports and supervision may differ across programs. Indeed, although all the sites provided transitional jobs, each organization had slightly different staffing configurations, provided different types of employment support and case management services, and offered different experiences in the transitional job. Table 3.3 provides an overview of the structures of the transitional jobs programs. Staffing Each transitional jobs program had a different staffing configuration, but staff performed similar functions overall. The degree of specialization for any one staff member varied by transitional jobs organization. 41 42 Assessment, vouchers for transportation or work boots; soft skills group activities Pre-employment support services SOURCE: MDRC field research. Intake staff, case managers, job developers, on-site transitional job (TJ) supervisors Existing contracts with Illinois Department of Corrections; twicemonthly meetings with soon-to-be released inmates; recruiting from community activities; meetings with community corrections personnel, Dept of Human Services, community-based organizations, and halfway houses Study recruitment Staffing Chicago Characteristic Case managers, job developers, on-site TJ supervisors ID recovery, child support navigation, referral to support services, vouchers for transportation, clothing, other work necessities; voluntary support group Case managers, job developer, TJ site liaison ID recovery, small loans, child support navigation, vouchers for transportation, referrals for clothing, other work necessities; soft skills group activities as of fall 2007 ID recovery, child support navigation, vouchers for transportation, clothing, other work necessities; $20 daily stipend for one week; soft skills group activities Marketing within correctional facilities, particularly to soon-to-bereleased inmates; flyers provided to community corrections personnel and halfway houses Monthly presentations at correctional facilities in state; marketing efforts targeted to community corrections personnel Monthly presentations to soon-to-be-released inmates at Mound and Ryan correctional facilities; after January 2008, referrals from parole officers Case managers, job developer, on-site TJ supervisor St. Paul Milwaukee Detroit Transitional Jobs Program Service Approaches in the Demonstration Sites Table 3.3 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Staff Experience with Former Prisoners In all the transitional jobs programs except Chicago, former prisoners were not a focal population in prior program offerings, though all the programs worked with that population to some degree. Staff in these organizations, and new staff who were hired throughout the course of the demonstration, had to learn about issues that are unique to the population of former prisoners, such as complying with parole conditions. Both Milwaukee and Detroit had staff that resembled the TJRD population demographically — that is, young African-American men from the community, some of whom had a criminal record. Many case managers in Milwaukee, however, were hired on a short-term basis through volunteer programs, were temporarily relocated to Milwaukee from other parts of the country, and stayed in their position for approximately a year. In St. Paul, staff that resembled the TJRD population demographically were hired later in the demonstration. Staff Specialization The extent to which staff were specialized in their jobs varied. All programs had staff who performed case management functions, and they served as the primary contacts for the participants. Each program also had at least one job developer, whose role was to make connections with local employers and help place participants in unsubsidized jobs. Staff in Milwaukee, St. Paul, and Detroit tended to be less specialized, with the case managers assisting participants with a variety of issues, including lessons in soft skills, legal aid referrals, or résumé development. Staff in Chicago were slightly more specialized, with separate intake staff, case managers (called “retention specialists”), and job developers (called “sector managers”). The organizations in Chicago, Detroit, and St. Paul ran their transitional jobs programs on-site or at a single location, with additional staff supervising participants who were working in a transitional job. Although these staff were not necessarily funded by the demonstration, they interacted frequently with participants, and their role is described further in the discussion of the transitional jobs that appears later in this chapter. In the second year of the demonstration, Milwaukee, which ran a scattered site transitional jobs model, hired a staff person to develop new transitional job positions and sites, and to serve as a liaison with the existing jobs sites. As noted in Chapter 1, each demonstration site had a “research coordinator” position that was subsidized by the evaluation. This staff person, often an existing employee from one of the organizations involved in the demonstration, assumed responsibility for administrative functions related to the evaluation. For example, the research coordinator conducted random assignment and gathered all signed consent forms to send to MDRC. In Detroit, because the Michigan Prisoner Re-entry Initiative was the coordinating body for the demonstration, additional staff hired by MPRI were involved with the program. Those staff included the research coordinator, who conducted intake and random assignment, his supervisor, who was involved in 43 administrative issues related to the demonstration (for example, monitoring the flow of potential participants from the prisons), and support staff. Staff Turnover As expected, the sites experienced some turnover in staff; in Milwaukee the turnover was partially planned with the use of case managers who were hired on a short-term basis through volunteer programs. In all sites, new staff had to be recruited and trained, and then had to establish relationships with participants. Additionally, key positions sometimes went unfilled for some length of time, requiring certain tasks to be reassigned to staff who might not have had the relevant expertise. For example, in Detroit the job developer position was not filled for many months. In Milwaukee, before a transitional jobs site coordinator was hired, the job developer initially focused on developing transitional job sites, as opposed to private sector job leads. Employment Support Services and Case Management The transitional jobs programs offered similar sets of services, which were delivered in either group or individual settings. The degree of formalized contact with participants and types of support services offered varied. However, all programs provided support for transportation, housing, clothing or tools procurement, referrals to substance abuse or mental health treatment, or referrals to training programs. Program Orientation Once they were randomly assigned, all transitional jobs participants attended an orientation to the transitional jobs program, during which time expectations about attendance and other issues were explained. In Detroit, participants attended orientation on Tuesday and spent the rest of the first week obtaining identification and getting acclimated to life outside of prison; participants began their transitional jobs assignment the following Monday. For participants in Chicago, placement into the transitional job usually occurred within a few days to a week, depending upon the current staffing of the work site. In St. Paul, participants started working in their transitional job the day after random assignment. In those sites, any type of employment readiness and other group-based activities (explained in more detail below) were provided around work schedules. After random assignment in Milwaukee, participants first met with their case manager several times before beginning their transitional job placement; later in the demonstration, participants also attended a group workshop series before starting to work. 44 Case Management Each program provided some degree of case management services. All programs had case managers who were the primary point of contact and coordination for participants. However, the degree to which that contact was formalized or routinized varied quite a bit, even within a site, and sometimes differed depending upon a participant’s circumstances and his willingness to comply with various activities and referrals. One service provided by all but the Chicago program was identification recovery. Many former prisoners leave incarceration without any valid identification, such as a social security card or state identification, which are required to secure legal employment. One program noted that fully one-third of the participants could not be placed in a transitional job until they secured identification. However, the degree of assistance that was provided varied. Staff in St. Paul, Detroit, and Milwaukee identified applying for and obtaining social security cards and driver’s licenses as major challenges for participants but provided some support navigating through the process for each. Staff in Chicago determined that identification recovery (for example, obtaining a birth certificate, social security card, or a driver’s license) was a major barrier for participants to be “work ready” because men were often released without proper identification. However, Safer did not provide direct support to participants with that process, but referred them to an outside agency. Pre-Employment Support Services Other support services and materials that programs provided were child support navigation, vouchers for transportation, clothing, and tools or other materials needed for employment. Although staff noted that participants faced a host of health, mental health, housing, and family challenges (including owing back child support), the programs themselves were not able to offer comprehensive support services. As a staff person in St. Paul noted, for other populations, such as the disabled, dedicated programming often exists. However, for former prisoners, that is rarely the case. To the extent that program staff made referrals, substance abuse programs were commonly used. In Detroit, staff referred participants with substance abuse problems to treatment programs, and in Milwaukee participants were often mandated to participate in Alcohol and Other Drug Abuse (AODA) programs as a condition of their parole. In Chicago, participants with substance abuse issues were not allowed to begin their transitional job until they completed or, later in the program, at least started that site’s “supportive service pathway.” Within this pathway, staff assisted clients in resolving issues that could be barriers to successful employment, such as housing, substance abuse, or mental health issues, through referrals to outside agencies. In St. Paul, staff noted that many participants were already in treatment programs, as mandated by their parole officers. The program also started its own support group that participants could voluntarily attend to discuss issues such as reconnecting with family members. 45 Housing challenges were common among many participants, and staff and the participants themselves noted a dearth of resources in this area. In St. Paul, many participants were referred to the program from halfway houses and needed to quickly find another place to live. In focus groups, some of the men reported that when they were released, family members with whom they might have stayed had either moved away or were deceased. Another challenge frequently mentioned by staff and participants was transportation. Most programs provided some form of transportation support to participants, usually in the form of bus fare or transit passes. Group Activities In addition to case management services, all participants were offered the opportunity to participate in group activities that focused largely on the development of soft skills such as work-appropriate behavior, communicating about criminal history, and strategizing about how to handle potentially difficult situations at work. In all cities except Milwaukee, group activities were offered in combination with the transitional jobs. In Chicago, “retention groups” met weekly at the recycling plant and twice a month at the Safer office. In Detroit, groups met each afternoon after work and participants were paid for up to five hours a week for attending soft skills trainings. St. Paul participants were not involved in employment readiness or skills training until they had successfully demonstrated their seriousness about working, typically after working at least 30 days in a transitional job. Participants could then join the 16-hour employment readiness training as well as occupational skills training programs. Those in training worked fewer hours in their transitional job but continued to receive full wages. In early 2008, Milwaukee implemented an eight-day group workshop for participants prior to starting the transitional job. Participants met for two hours a day and covered topics such as goal setting and interest identification, workplace expectations, and life skills. Focus groups with program group participants revealed that participants had mixed assessments of the group activities and case management services, although comments tended to be more positive than negative. In particular, participants singled out the efforts of individual case managers, whom they perceived to be advocating on their behalf, whether to employers or to other individuals. However, a theme that came up frequently during the focus group sessions was that while the various services (and the transitional job) were very important, participants had to be motivated in order to succeed. The Transitional Job The time from random assignment to placement in the transitional job as well as the types of jobs varied across sites. The transitional jobs were primarily designed to teach general employability skills, not specific job 46 skills. The case managers and the transitional jobs supervisors communicated regularly for the most part. Timing of Transitional Job Placement Participants in Chicago, Detroit, and St. Paul usually began their transitional job assignment the day after random assignment (St. Paul) or within a week thereafter (Chicago and Detroit). In Milwaukee, placement typically occurred one to two weeks after entry into the program. First, transitional job slots needed to be available; in the early months of the demonstration, the Milwaukee program did not have enough transitional job opportunities for the number of participants who enrolled. Second, participants were required to interview for a particular position. Finally, a number of the transitional jobs sites could not accept participants with certain offense histories. For example, those who had been convicted of sex offenses could not take janitorial positions in day care centers. This was also an issue in St. Paul, where participants with violent or sexual offense histories could not work near individuals who were considered mentally or physically vulnerable. Transitional Jobs Models Used in the Demonstration As shown in Table 3.4, the transitional jobs differed significantly across the programs. There were three general models of transitional jobs: scattered site (Milwaukee), placement in existing enterprises (Detroit and St. Paul), and contracted work (Chicago). In Milwaukee’s scattered site model, participants were placed in positions with local nonprofit organizations or small businesses but New Hope paid their wages. For those organizations or businesses, hosting a transitional job slot meant getting an employee whose pay was fully subsidized. New Hope (Milwaukee’s transitional jobs program) had used a version of this model in its prior programs. Participants in Detroit and St. Paul worked in jobs in existing Goodwill enterprises. In Detroit the jobs were in Goodwill’s light industrial facility, and in St. Paul participants worked in one of Goodwill’s four retail-related facilities. In Chicago, as noted earlier, transitional jobs workers were employed by a staffing agency that had been established by the Safer Foundation and was contracted to work for Allied Waste, a waste management company that held a recycling contract with the City of Chicago. All sites paid participants the federal minimum wage or the state minimum wage, whichever was higher. Participants were generally scheduled to work between 30 and 40 hours a week.2 2 The structure of the management information system data did not allow for calculations of the actual average hours worked per week. 47 48 Case management services available; information about job search techniques, interview coaching Daily soft skills group; participants paid up to 5 hours a week for attending; resume development, soft skills coaching, interview coaching; identification recovery; emergency food, clothing, rent/utility assistance; transportation support; job search assistance; quarterly men’s groups and bi-weekly alumni luncheons Weekly soft skills group meeting at plant; twicemonthly soft skills group meetings at Safer;a participants eligible for gift cards for retention at 30, 60, 90 days; participants eligible for monthly bonuses based on production; interview coaching Services available during or after transitional job placement Scheduling varied by employer; 40-hour maximum work week 5 days/week for 30 hours with opportunity for overtime Janitorial, general labor, sorting/stocking, warehousing, auto repair, retail, maintenance, etc. Typically within two weeks 5 days/week for 40 hours Monday after random assignment Scattered site, nonprofits and small businesses Transitional job work hours Next day, if slots available Timing of placement Single site, existing enterprise Milwaukee Light manufacturing, reclamation, piecework, packaging for auto industry contracts Single site, contracted business Transitional job (TJ) model Detroit Type of work performed Pulling recyclable materials from conveyer belts of garbage plant Chicago Characteristic (continued) Case management services available; identification recovery; computer lab access; weekly men's group; job search assistance; full wages paid for training and job search; 16-hour group employment readiness class; skills training available (e.g., forklift operator, auto repair); transportation support 5 days/week for 32.5 hours; less when searching for unsubsidized employment Collecting, processing, selling merchandise at retail stores Next day Single site, existing enterprise (4 retail divisions) St. Paul Characteristics of the Transitional Jobs and Job Placement Services in the Demonstration Sites Table 3.4 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration 49 Weekly calls for 1 month by case manager; job developers followed up with employers Post-job placement services Not offered Case management services available; participants could continue to attend soft skills class Job developer met with local employers to learn about job openings; particular focus on small businesses Detroit Eligible for up to $1,500 over 12 months with proof of fulltime employment Case management services available Job developer met with local employers to learn about job openings Milwaukee Offered after December 1, 2007; after completing 30-day TJ, eligible for $175 monthly and additional $350 after 6 months of work, for total $1,400 Case management services available; weekly job club available Job developers met with local employers to learn about job openings; particular focus on small businesses St. Paul NOTE: aTopics addressed during the group meetings included workplace issues (tardiness, attendance), child support navigation, record expungement, coping or work management, and job opportunities. Vouchers for work apparel and bus transportation were also provided as appropriate. bThough Chicago did not offer retention bonuses to participants, production bonuses were available. SOURCE: MDRC field research. Not offeredb Case managers provided job leads during weekly group meetings; job developers contacted employers and then selected clients to interview for specific job openings Job development approach Retention bonus Chicago Characteristic Table 3.4 (continued) While working, participants had access to other services, including continued case management. As noted above, participants in Chicago and Detroit could attend group meetings that were designed to assist with soft skills development. Also, in Chicago, participants were eligible to receive gift cards for staying in a job for a specific amount of time, and cash bonuses were also paid out when the plant in which the participant worked pulled out the most recyclables. Transitional Job Responsibilities In general, the placements were designed to teach employability skills (for example, the importance of punctuality, proper workplace etiquette), rather than to train participants in specific occupations, which was consistent with participants’ impressions. For example, one focus group participant from Milwaukee noted, “I think the disadvantages to a transitional job is that all the transitional jobs is real menial type jobs. It’s not like you’re going to get welding, machine shop.” The types of tasks that participants performed, though, varied tremendously. In Chicago, most participants worked in garbage plants pulling recyclable materials from conveyer belts, which was physically strenuous and required constant focus. The work itself was not challenging, but the conditions of work, such as the odor of the garbage, the heat of the plants during warm months, and the potential hazard presented by some discarded items, could be difficult to endure. In Detroit, participants did light assembly and manufacturing work, piece work, and packaging of various items, including nails and screws.3 In St. Paul, participants began work in one of four Goodwill retail divisions: the salvage department, the retail shop floor, the ecommerce division, or the outlet store. Participants performed tasks that included sorting donations, pricing merchandise, doing janitorial work, or handling odd jobs. Participants in Milwaukee performed a variety of tasks, depending upon the transitional job site in which they were placed. Maintenance, janitorial work, sorting or stocking merchandise, warehousing, auto repair, retail, and general labor were among some of the tasks that participants performed; some participants worked as mentors to youth but this type of work was the exception. 3 Goodwill’s plant shut down for two weeks each in July and December to re-tool for changes in production work. During those weeks, participants did not work or receive wages. In June 2008, three other transitional jobs opportunities were developed to compensate for the decline in plant business, which was related to downturns in the auto industry. Approximately one dozen participants were placed with two construction firms and a sanitation company. 50 Supervision Practices Supervision practices varied across the transitional jobs programs. Participants in Milwaukee, because they were working in a variety of locations, were supervised primarily by managers or other employees of the nonprofit organization or business in which they were placed. However, New Hope case management staff were informed about problems and could intervene when necessary. Participants submitted weekly time cards in order to get paid, but these cards also had space for the job site manager to comment on the participants’ performance. Occasionally, case managers or the transitional jobs site liaison met with the site supervisors to discuss specific participants and issues that might have arisen. A regular meeting with the participant, case manager, and job site supervisor was also scheduled after 30 and 90 days at the transitional job. Participants could be terminated from their jobs, just like a regular employee, for issues related to performance, absenteeism, or other problems. In the other programs, communication between the case managers and the transitional jobs supervisors was more regular and direct. In Chicago, participants were supervised by plant managers who reported back to case managers about issues with specific participants. Participants could receive a written notice if they exhibited improper workplace behavior, such as tardiness or absenteeism. After three notices, participants could be suspended or possibly terminated. In both Detroit and St. Paul, on-site supervisors provided direct oversight of the transitional jobs work, but they communicated directly with case managers about problems or concerns. Additionally, case managers were easily able to come to the work site directly to observe or intervene, if needed. Participants’ Views Participants had varying assessments of the transitional jobs experience. Many focus group participants saw value in their transitional jobs, since the jobs provided a work history following their incarceration, gave relatively quick access to legitimate wages, and provided participants with feelings of general self-worth. One participant in Milwaukee noted how the transitional job allowed him to build a work history and keep forward momentum: “I really needed a transitional job … to build that work history while I look for another job. So I think in that sense it helped to keep me on the right track...just moving forward, trying to get a permanent job.” A participant in Detroit said that the transitional job got him used to the work environment again: “It got me back into the idea of getting up, going to work … being on time, get[ting] along with other workers and … getting back into the state of mind … Basically, it’s a mindset.” The participants also noted that having an income, even though minimum wage, was important to them and gave them a sense of worth. One participant in Chicago said, “I’ve been able to save money, and kind of hold my head up now because I know I’ve earned my pay … When I … meet my grandchildren, I can … do a little something and feel proud about it.” 51 On the other hand, a number of participants found certain aspects of their jobs to be rather negative. One Chicago focus group participant implied that his transitional job employer only wanted a “body” to do the job: “When you working there, you know they don’t care anything about you. And they work you very hard ... I don’t mind being a hard worker. I like stepping up making a living. I don’t mind working hard, but there some days they take it to the limit.” A participant in the St. Paul focus group noted similarly the hard work required by the job: “It’s almost like sweatshop type work ... They make your work real hard for little pay. Yeah, they know that you’re just grateful to have a job.” Transitional Jobs Challenges One challenge faced by case managers and participants in this demonstration was learning how to deal with the local corrections system beyond issues related to recruitment. Those who are released to community supervision often have many mandated requirements, such as participating in substance abuse programs, taking anger management courses, and meeting with parole officers. Additionally, those on supervision sometimes have curfews and restrictions on travel; individuals on a specialized or intensive supervision caseload may face even more mandates that require multiple meetings or “check-ins” with parole officers within a single week. As discussed in Chapter 2, in St. Paul, most of the participants referred from halfway houses were on intensive supervised release (ISR), a program for high-risk parolees. ISR parolees had more frequent meetings with parole officers and more mandates than the average parolee. Staff in the transitional jobs sites indicated that participants faced a challenge in balancing the conditions of supervision with their transitional job responsibilities while at the same time looking for permanent positions. Programs that had strong relationships with community corrections departments were able to help participants negotiate with their parole officers to modify check-in times or other conditions around their work schedules. While TJRD program staff generally did not have an issue with responding to specific requests from parole officers for information about individual participants, some staff noted that they did not want to be viewed as an extension of the corrections system. In Detroit, the relationship between program staff and community corrections staff was facilitated by the arrangement set up by the MPRI. All study participants (in both the transitional jobs and job search programs) were assigned parole officers who were designated specifically to work with TJRD participants. Initially, one parole officer each was assigned to the transitional jobs and job search groups, but more were added as enrollment in the study increased. When recruitment into the study occurred before prisoners were released, the parole officers met with participants right before release, as part of the orientation to the study. The parole officer(s) assigned to the transitional jobs group met subsequently with participants on the first and third Tuesdays of each month on-site, often at the transitional jobs program office. When the timing 52 of recruitment switched to the post-release period, participants were switched to one of the specialized parole officers once they were randomly assigned. A second challenge of transitional jobs involved balancing goals. The goal of the transitional jobs programs was to provide people with work opportunities in a somewhat more forgiving environment than they would otherwise experience in order to ease them back into the workforce. But, businesses also have particular goals to attain. The sites encountered a number of issues related to these dual goals. As noted in the discussion of recruitment, the number of men entering the transitional jobs group varied from one week to the next. Although the size of the weekly (or biweekly) inflow of participants did not necessarily strain the resources of case management staff, the unpredictability in the number of participants who needed to be placed in a transitional job posed some problems in terms of filling transitional jobs slots. A larger than usual number of participants one week sometimes meant that some men had to wait for a transitional jobs position to open in the contracted or existing enterprise settings. A lighter than usual number of participants could leave some positions unfilled, particularly as other men were completing their transitional job assignment. Yet, as one transitional jobs supervisor noted, the work of the organization needed to be done. For example, the Chicago program had a contractual obligation with a business to meet certain production goals. The business was concerned that the constant fluctuation of program participants in and out of positions and the need to train the new staff moving into these positions would affect the production goals for the organization. In the end, production was not compromised by the turnover, but this “mission versus business challenge,” as some termed it, sometimes caused tension. Additionally, all the sites offered services to individuals other than participants in the TJRD project, and in some cases, clients from these other programs needed to be placed into transitional jobs. In those instances, different internal programs were sometimes competing with each other for the same transitional jobs slots. In a couple of sites, the ebb and flow of available work at the transitional jobs locations meant that demand for workers fluctuated. In Milwaukee, if the businesses and nonprofit organizations that served as transitional jobs sites did not need additional labor, some participants had to wait to start their transitional jobs assignment until other participants vacated those positions. In Detroit, as noted earlier, the plant at Goodwill closed operations for two weeks every summer, coinciding with the automotive industry’s re-tooling for new production contracts. Men who were randomly assigned during this time period had to wait to begin working, while those who had already been assigned to the transitional job did not work or have a paycheck for two weeks. 53 Job Development and Permanent Job Placement The emphasis on permanent job search and placement was not a strong focus throughout the duration of the demonstration, nor did staff use participants’ experience working in a transitional job as a “selling point” to potential employers. The Transition to a Permanent Job Transitional jobs are designed to be temporary jobs. The transitional jobs in this study were meant to last approximately 90 days, although sites could keep participants in the job longer if enough slots were available. In all cities, the decision about when to start moving someone out of the transitional job was fairly individualized. In Chicago and Milwaukee, participants were sometimes allowed to stay in a position beyond 90 days. In Chicago, in fact, participants could and did continue in the transitional job as regular employees, eligible to purchase medical benefits and moving into regular jobs at the recycling plant without needing to search for another job. In Detroit, the transitional position ended after 90 days, but participants could continue to use program services. In St. Paul, participants were initially allowed to remain in a transitional job beyond 90 days, as long as they did not exhibit behavior problems, but by the second research visit, staff had instituted a time limit because they believed some participants were becoming too complacent in the transitional job and were not searching for unsubsidized employment. Staff in all sites monitored individuals’ behavior in the transitional job as an indicator of when someone was ready to focus on searching for permanent work. Although participants in Milwaukee were encouraged from the first day to begin searching for jobs, staff said that in practice most participants waited to look for work until near the end of their time in the transitional job. A common challenge expressed by focus group participants was the difficulty in searching for permanent employment while also working in the transitional job. One participant in Detroit summed up the challenges in this way: We work Monday through Friday from eight to one. Anybody that’s been in the job field, anybody that has been in society and seen somebody else work knows, that if you looking for a job, you need to be there. ASAP. First thing Monday morning. The problem we run into, we getting these lists [of jobs], and we don’t even get these lists until one o’clock. By the time we get the list, half the people that’s taking applications, they finished accepting the applications. I know if I’m an employer, looking to potentially employ someone, I’m going for the individuals that’s standing outside that door when I pulled up. Or the individuals that came right behind me in that door. I’m not looking for the laggers that’s going to come in after lunch. During the job search process, the programs offered some services to participants, at a minimum helping them prepare for interviews and, in St. Paul, offering a structured “employ54 ment readiness” workshop, which covered the same set of topics that other sites covered earlier in the process. St. Paul also offered the opportunity for participants to enroll in one of their skills training programs, such as forklift operation or auto repair. Participants could also enroll in other vocational training such as construction work, for which they received certificates that may have given them an edge with employers. Finally, the Milwaukee and St. Paul programs provided incentives to participants who worked in permanent jobs after working in a transitional job. These programs paid retention bonuses at preset intervals to participants who met the qualifications. Participants in Milwaukee were eligible to receive up to $1,500 over 12 months if they provided proof of full-time employment to their case manager. St. Paul instituted a similar incentive program with a total of $1,400 offered after six months of permanent employment. In reflecting on the program, the Milwaukee program director was surprised by how important that retention bonus was to participants, no matter how much they were actually making from their permanent jobs. The Role of Job Developers Many social service and employment assistance organizations have job developers on staff to assist disadvantaged populations — such as those who were formerly incarcerated or those with disabilities — with finding employment, including the organizations providing transitional jobs services. While the title of the staff person varied from site to site, all sites had at least one staff person whose job it was to assist clients in finding permanent jobs that paid a living wage (some were called “job developers” or “sector managers”). Although there is little evidence-based research to affirm the most important components of job development, at least one study team has observed the importance of job development as an individualized and person-centered approach that is based on the skills and interests of the job seeker and how those skills and interests match the needs and workplace culture of an employer.4 In the TJRD project, job developers did not necessarily find positions that matched participants’ interests and skills, nor did they necessarily pursue employment opportunities that would place participants on a long-term employment path. Furthermore, few job development staff used participants’ transitional job experience as a “selling point” to potential employers. Some staff felt that the brief duration of the placement — three months or less — did not provide enough work experience to be an enticement to employers who were looking for stable employees. On the other hand, other program staff believed that discussing participants’ time in transitional jobs with employers was extremely valuable. Staff reported that sharing attendance records, reports of on-the-job behavior, and assessments of soft skills, such as motivation, 4 Wyckoff and Clymer (2005). 55 helped employers get a sense of what they might be able to expect from the employee. However, job developers had a difficult time finding unsubsidized jobs for former prisoners. Seemingly as a result, they placed participants into whatever permanent positions became available. Chicago handled job placement somewhat differently from the other cities. Once a job developer had a lead on a potential job, all case managers in the organization (not just those who were working with the demonstration program) were alerted. Staff informed participants about available positions, determined whether they met the qualifications, and helped them prepare for interviews. The employer then interviewed the participants and made hiring decisions. Permanent Placement Challenges Perhaps the biggest challenged faced by the programs was placing participants in permanent positions after the transitional jobs. First, programs found it challenging to find employers who were willing to hire former prisoners in permanent positions. Additionally, as already noted, some participants had restrictions on the types of jobs they could seek given their offense histories, and employers were reluctant to hire people with certain conviction histories, such as crimes involving violence. Even if a participant did not have such restrictions, lack of reliable transportation was sometimes an impediment to finding and keeping a job. In Milwaukee, many of the available jobs were located in the suburbs, which were not accessible by public transportation. The St. Paul staff supervisor noted that over time program staff became more knowledgeable about the special circumstances that were involved in placing former prisoners in permanent jobs. Staff had also developed more connections with employers who were willing to hire this population, but not until later in the follow-up period. As noted in Chapter 2, the economic slowdown and subsequent recession played a role in the ability of participants to secure jobs. In Detroit and Milwaukee in particular, certain sectors of the low-skilled labor market shrank. For example, the construction industry, which for a number of years had provided relatively well-paying entry-level positions for people, declined, and instead of hiring new workers this industry was laying workers off. Staff also noted that former prisoners were part of the “last hired, first fired” group of workers. Thus, for places with few available jobs, former prisoners were not at the front of the hiring queue. Beyond structural concerns, staff reported that a number of personal issues made placing former prisoners into permanent jobs a difficult task. First, some staff reported that some participants seemed disinterested in and lacked motivation to find a permanent position. Second, staff believed some clients stayed in transitional jobs as long as possible because they were not ready to move on to positions outside of the program. And perhaps most important, staff reported that the issues facing former prisoners were very different from and more challenging than those of other populations typically served in transitional jobs programs. 56 Further, problems such as lack of housing, substance abuse problems, and untreated mental health problems were ones that employment alone — whether in a transitional or permanent position — could not address. Summary Aside from the offer of a transitional job, the services available to the transitional jobs and job search groups were not very different from each other. All participants had access to assistance with developing résumés, instruction in job search techniques, and learning how to discuss criminal histories, and all sites provided participants with job leads. Although the time that elapsed between random assignment and placement into a transitional job varied between Milwaukee and the other three demonstration cities, all participants who were assigned to the transitional jobs group were given the opportunity to work within a relatively short time following their release from prison. Given the difficulty that former prisoners face in finding jobs, it is likely that transitional jobs participants entered the workforce (that is, through a transitional job) sooner after release than participants in the job search group. Members in the job search group, if they participated in the activities offered by these programs, would have been involved in more group activities or unstructured job search before entering the workforce. Despite the variation across the transitional jobs programs, in general, each of the sites implemented the transitional jobs programs fairly quickly and without major problems. That said, the transitional jobs sites, even if they had previous experience running similar programs, had to devise new recruitment strategies, and most had to forge new relationships with parole officers and the larger criminal justice system, particularly so that they could enroll newly released men. Perhaps because of that, the sites put a great deal of effort into ensuring that the “front end” of the operations — recruitment and placement into the transitional job — was operating smoothly, while less emphasis was placed on the “back end” — placement into an unsubsidized job. Additionally, the lack of a job developer in Detroit for part of the demonstration and the time that the Milwaukee job developer spent finding transitional job placements in the community as opposed to unsubsidized positions (again, during the first part of the demonstration) may have also contributed to a lack of emphasis on placements relative to “front end” activities. 57 Chapter 4 Program Participation Chapter 3 describes the services provided by each of the organizations that participated in the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration (TJRD). This chapter presents data on the rates of participation in those services, both for transitional jobs (TJ) group members and for job search (JS) group members. The analysis uses data from the management information system (MIS) of each of the programs included in the study. Because survey data about participation in services were not collected for TJRD, it is not possible to know the extent to which sample members in both the TJ and JS groups received services from sources other than the TJRD programs. Therefore, the numbers reported in this chapter almost certainly underestimate service receipt for both groups. Transitional Jobs Group Participation Table 4.1 shows TJ group members’ participation in the transitional jobs programs, both for the full sample and by site. The first row in the table shows that participation was high, with 93 percent of TJ group members engaging in at least one program activity. These participation rates varied somewhat across sites, ranging from 88 percent in Milwaukee to 99 percent in St. Paul, but participation was high in all sites. As described below, this variation in participation rates may have been related to differences in the time it took sites to place participants into transitional jobs. The rate of participation in transitional jobs was high. The second panel of the table shows that participation in the transitional jobs, the key component of the program, was high, though the rate varied across sites. Overall, 85 percent of TJ group members worked in a transitional job. This is high compared with the rate of 72 percent for TJ participation in the evaluation of the Center for Employment Opportunities (CEO), a transitional jobs program for former prisoners in New York City (see chapters 1 and 9 for more details about the CEO evaluation).1 Transitional jobs participation was lowest in Milwaukee, where 70 percent of TJ group members worked in a transitional job — comparable to the CEO participation rate of 72 1 Redcross et al. (2009). 59 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table 4.1 Participation in Transitional Jobs and Other Activities for the Transitional Jobs Group, by Site Outcome Chicago Participated in any activity (%) Detroit Milwaukee St. Paul Full Sample 92.6 91.3 87.5 99.2 92.7 87.3 87.7 69.9 97.2 85.2 Weeks worked in a TJ (%) Never worked Less than 1 week 1-4 weeks 5-8 weeks 9-12 weeks 13-24 weeks More than 24 weeks 12.7 11.1 20.1 18.0 12.7 12.2 13.2 12.3 4.1 23.1 23.6 33.3 2.6 1.0 30.1 2.3 17.2 14.5 10.9 25.0 0.0 2.8 4.4 20.6 16.6 16.6 28.9 10.3 14.8 5.2 20.0 17.8 17.8 18.5 5.9 Average weeks worked a 10.3 6.7 7.0 12.0 9.0 Among those who worked in a TJ Average weeks worked 11.7 7.7 10.0 12.3 10.6 83.6 55.6 66.7 NA 91.3 73.8 89.2 NA 79.7 66.0 40.6 NA 99.2 96.0 77.5 28.1 88.6 74.0 67.2 NA Received a support service paymentb (%) NA 89.2 53.9 89.7 76.6 Placed in or reported an unsubsidized job (%) NA 25.6 38.3 32.8 32.8 Unsubsidized job characteristics Average starting hourly wage ($) Hours per week Employer provided benefits (%) NA NA NA 8.5 38.3 22.0 8.6 37.3 14.1 10.1 39.8 66.3 9.2 38.4 36.5 Received a retention bonusc (%) NA NA 45.9 76.3 54.4 Among those who received a retention bonus Number of retention bonuses received Total amount received in bonuses ($) NA NA NA NA 3.6 484 4.3 827 3.9 618 Transitional jobs Worked in a transitional job (TJ) (%) a Other program activities Participated in any activity other than TJ (%) Had an individual meeting with a case manager Participated in job readiness/job club activities Participated in vocational training Among those who were placed in or reported an unsubsidized job (continued) 60 Table 4.1 (continued) SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll and MIS data provided by each of the programs. NOTES: This table includes only participation activities that took place within one year of random assignment. NA indicates that data were not available for that site. aAverage weeks worked is created by dividing the total number of hours worked by the number of hours in a work week (30-40) for each site. Weeks may not be consecutive. bSupport service payments included cash payments and vouchers for transportation, education or vocational training, clothing, food, medical bills, identification cards, rent, utility bills, and other expenses. cCalculation includes only data from New Hope (Wisconsin) and Goodwill/Easter Seals (Minnesota), where retention bonuses were offered. Calculation for Goodwill/Easter Seals does not include those who were randomly assigned before December 1, 2007, when the program began offering retention bonuses. percent, but lower than the rate in the three other TJRD sites. This lower rate may reflect dropoff from the program while participants were waiting to be placed in a transitional job, which took a relatively long time in Milwaukee. As described in Chapter 3, the transitional jobs model in Milwaukee was a scattered site model, in which TJ participants were placed in temporary positions with nonprofit organizations and small businesses in the community. The process of placing participants in those positions usually took about two weeks, compared with less than one week in the other sites. Program staff had to first identify a transitional job that was suitable for a participant, and once such a job was found, participants were required to interview for the position. It is possible that difficulties making placements or participants’ dropping out of the program while that process was occurring led to the lower TJ participation rate in Milwaukee. In contrast, in St. Paul, placement in the transitional jobs occurred almost immediately, on the day after random assignment. This is most likely why the transitional jobs participation rate was so high in St. Paul, with 97 percent of TJ group members working for at least one day in a transitional job. In Chicago and Detroit, placements were usually made within one week of random assignment; in Detroit, participants attended three days of other program activities before placement, and in Chicago, transitional jobs slots were not always immediately open but were usually open within one week. These small delays in placement may explain why participation rates in Chicago and Detroit, at 87 percent and 88 percent, respectively, were between the St. Paul and Milwaukee placement rates. Table 4.1 shows that TJ group members typically spent one to three months in transitional jobs; 56 percent worked for between one and twelve weeks. About one-fourth stayed longer in the transitional job, working for more than 12 weeks. Overall, including zeroes for those who did not work, program group members averaged nine weeks (45 days) working in a transitional job (based on a five-day work week). Among those who worked, the average was 10.6 weeks (53 days). These numbers are an estimate of TJ “dosage” rather than a measure of consecutive weeks worked. They were calculated, using payroll data, by dividing the total number of hours worked by the number of hours in a work week for each site. Therefore, these 61 weeks may not have been consecutive. For example, a sample member may have worked in a transitional job for five weeks, left the program for two weeks, and returned to work for another two weeks; that participation would be calculated as a “dosage” of seven weeks in the transitional job. Thus, these measures estimate the amount of time spent working in a transitional job rather than the time elapsed between starting the program and exiting the program.2 Additional analysis indicates that, among those who worked, the 10.6 weeks of work in transitional jobs occurred over the course of about four months of engagement with the program.3 Time spent working in a transitional job was longest in the Chicago and St. Paul sites, where participants who worked in a transitional job averaged about 10 to 12 weeks. The St. Paul program site tended to allow participants to stay longer (or to return to the program if they had left previously), while in Chicago, participants were sometimes encouraged to stay longer in the transitional jobs.4 In those two sites, 13 percent of the participants in Chicago and 10 percent in St. Paul were in the transitional jobs for more than 24 weeks. A large percentage of transitional jobs group members participated in at least one other program activity, including case management, job readiness activities, job search preparation, job development, and vocational training. The second panel in Table 4.1 shows participation in activities other than the transitional job. Participation in those services was also high, with nearly 90 percent of TJ group members participating in at least one other activity. These activities included meetings with a case manager, job readiness and job club activities — including job club and other group job readiness classes, individual meetings about job search preparation and soft skills, and meetings with a job developer — and vocational training. About three-fourths of TJ group members participated in case management services, while about two-thirds participated in at least one type of job readiness or job club activity.5 These rates indicate that there was some degree of overlap, such that most participants were involved in more than one type of activity. Unfortu2 For more information about the timing of transitional job employment, relative to random assignment, see Chapter 5, which presents quarterly measures of transitional job employment. 3 The four months of engagement with the program do not include any contact that participants had with the programs after being placed in an unsubsidized job or dropping out of the transitional job. Thus, those four months do not include retention services related to the bonuses in St. Paul and Milwaukee (see Chapter 3). 4 In the Chicago site, Safer considered some participants to be “placed” in a permanent job after they had worked for 90 days in the transitional job, as they were allowed to stay with their job at Allied. 5 There was a good deal of variation across sites in the available data and in the structure of the program components — for example, whether job development was done primarily in a group or individual setting. In order to create a comparable measure across sites, it was necessary to combine the measures of job readiness, job club, and job development activities into one category. 62 nately, data on the number of sessions or the amount of time participants spent in these other activities was not available consistently across sites. As with work in the transitional jobs, participation in other activities was highest in St. Paul, at 99 percent overall. Nearly all TJ group members, 96 percent, were involved in case management services, while 78 percent participated in at least one job readiness or job club activity. In addition to case management and job readiness services, St. Paul offered forklift, construction, and automotive skills training to certain participants. Twenty-eight percent of TJ group members in St. Paul participated in at least one of these types of training.6 In addition to case management, job readiness, and job search services, all the TJ programs offered support service payments, which included cash payments or vouchers for transportation, education or vocational training, clothing, food, medical bills, identification cards, rent, utility bills, and other expenses. Among TJ group members in Detroit, St. Paul, and Milwaukee (data were not available for Chicago), 77 percent received at least one support service payment. According to program records, about one-third of TJ group members made the transition into an unsubsidized job. According to program records, about 33 percent of TJ group members obtained an unsubsidized job. This measure includes direct placements by program staff and jobs that were reported to staff by participants. Since these jobs include only those known to the program, they are not a complete measure of the jobs obtained by TJ group members. However, this measure provides some information about the proportion of TJ group members who were able to move into unsubsidized positions with the help of, or while they were supported by, the program. Although 93 percent of TJ group members participated in the programs and 85 percent worked in a transitional job, only one-third obtained an unsubsidized job known to the program. Data from unemployment insurance (UI) records, which provide a more complete picture because they include jobs that were not reported to program staff, show similar results. Thirty-eight percent of TJ group members obtained an unsubsidized job in the same quarter or in the quarter after they worked in a transitional job (not shown in table). The bottom panel of Table 4.1 shows the job characteristics that were reported by those who were placed in unsubsidized jobs. The mean wage for these jobs was $9.16 an hour and the jobs were mostly full time, averaging 38 hours per week. A little more than one-third of the jobs 6 The Milwaukee program referred participants to an outside organization that provided forklift training. Among Milwaukee TJ group members, 13.7 percent reported to their case managers that they were participating in that training. 63 offered benefits of any kind, including paid sick days, paid vacation days, health insurance, or other benefits. The highest rates of placement in or reporting of unsubsidized jobs were in the two sites that offered retention bonuses for remaining employed in an unsubsidized job: Milwaukee, where 38 percent were placed, and St. Paul, where 33 percent were placed. Once they obtained unsubsidized employment, participants could receive bonuses on a monthly basis if they provided proof of employment, for up to 12 months in Milwaukee and up to 6 months in St. Paul (see Chapter 3 for more information). Among participants who obtained an unsubsidized job, 46 percent in Milwaukee and 76 percent in St. Paul received a bonus.7 Among those who received a bonus, the average number of bonuses in both sites was four; in total, those in St. Paul received about $830 on average while those in Milwaukee received about $485 on average. It may be that the relatively high rate of unsubsidized job placement in those two sites was related to the bonuses, either because participants had more incentive to obtain employment or because they had more incentive to report employment that they obtained on their own. However, it is not clear whether bonuses had any effect on placement numbers, as a number of other factors, including the local job market or sample characteristics, could also have affected job placement or reporting. Job Search Group Participation Table 4.2 shows JS group members’ participation in the job search programs for the full sample and by site. As observed earlier, it is not possible to know the extent to which JS group members received services from sources other than the TJRD job search programs because survey data were not collected for TJRD. Therefore, the participation rates presented in this section almost certainly underestimate the services that job search group members received. In particular, it is possible that some JS group members may have accessed transitional jobs from other programs; however, information gathered from other transitional jobs providers suggests that very few JS group members worked in a transitional job.8 Nearly two-thirds of JS group members received at least one service from the job search program in their city. 7 For St. Paul, the calculation of the percent receiving a bonus includes only those who were randomly assigned after December 1, 2007, when the program there began offering the bonuses. 8 Several of the major providers of transitional jobs in the four sites provided the research team with information or data. 64 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table 4.2 Participation in Program Activities for the Job Search Group, by Site a Chicago Detroit Outcome Participated in any activity (%) Had an individual meeting with a case manager Participated in job readiness/job club activities Milwaukee St.Paul Full Sample 59.5 36.2 45.4 53.9 44.0 47.4 72.0 NA NA 66.4 NA NA 63.8 39.2 46.2 Received a support service paymentb (%) NA 61.2 NA 32.0 41.2 Sample size 185 193 250 253 881 SOURCES: MDRC calculations using management information system data provided by each of the programs. NOTES: This table includes only participation in activities that took place within one year of random assignment. NA indicates that data were not available for that site. aIn Detroit, the job search service provider changed during the study. Participants who were randomly assigned through December 31, 2007, were served by JVS; those who were randomly assigned after that date were served by the Detroit Hispanic Development Corporation (DHDC). Aside from "Participated in any activity," calculations for Detroit do not include data for DHDC, from which information was not available. For all other variables, calculations include only those who were randomly assigned before January 1, 2008. bSupport service payments included cash payments and vouchers for transportation, education or vocational training, clothing, food, medical bills, identification cards, rent, utility bills, and other expenses. Table 4.2 shows that about 64 percent of JS group members participated in at least one service at the job search program. The participation rates ranged from 54 percent in Detroit to 72 percent in Milwaukee. It is not clear why participation varied. In Chicago and Detroit, the two sites that provided detailed participation information, about 40 percent of the total JS group sample attended an individual case management meeting and about 46 percent participated in at least one job readiness or job club activity, including job development. Among participants in Detroit and St. Paul, 41 percent received a support service payment. Conclusion TJ group participation in the transitional jobs programs was high; 93 percent of TJ group members participated in a program activity and 85 percent worked in a transitional job. There was some variation across sites in the rates of participation, with participation generally highest in St. Paul and lowest in Milwaukee, but in all sites, a large percentage of TJ group members worked in a transitional job. Programs reported that one-third of program participants obtained an unsubsidized job that was known to the program. This suggests that although 85 percent of TJ group members worked in a transitional job, only one-third made the transition directly or indirectly into an 65 unsubsidized job. However, these data may be incomplete, as participants may have obtained jobs that were unknown to the program. Still, UI records show only a slightly higher percentage, 38 percent, making the transition to an unsubsidized job. Chapter 5 presents more comprehensive employment results using UI wage records. Participation by JS group members in the job search programs was low relative to the participation of TJ group members in the transitional jobs programs. Sixty-four percent of JS group members participated in at least one service at the job search program, while 89 percent of TJ group members participated in similar services at the transitional jobs program. However, it is possible that JS group members also accessed services at other programs that are not measured here. Nonetheless, available evidence suggests that very few job search group members participated in a transitional job, which is the key treatment tested in this study; thus, as expected, the transitional jobs themselves were the core feature of the treatment difference across sites. 66 Chapter 5 Impacts on Employment and Earnings The four transitional jobs programs in the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration (TJRD) aimed to increase the employment and earnings of former prisoners by placing transitional jobs (TJ) group members in immediate, wage-paying transitional jobs. It is believed that transitional jobs can be beneficial because they provide participants with legitimate income during the critical period just after release while also helping them gain basic skills and work experience. Because the transitional jobs provided participants with an incentive to actively engage in program services, program staff had ample opportunity to observe and address workplace behaviors that may hinder future employment success. The job search (JS) programs, which served the job search group, also sought to help participants find and keep unsubsidized (that is, regular) employment. Unlike the transitional jobs programs, however, these programs did not offer subsidized jobs to participants while they looked for employment. Thus, they reflect what would have happened in the absence of the transitional jobs programs and so provide a basis for comparison. This chapter presents the one-year impacts of the study’s transitional jobs programs on employment and earnings. Outcomes for TJ group members are compared with outcomes for JS group members, and are described in terms of increases and reductions. (For example, a finding that the TJ program did not increase unsubsidized employment means that the members of the transitional jobs group were no more likely to find unsubsidized employment than were the job search group members.) The difference between the two research groups on measures of employment and earnings represents the impact of the transitional jobs programs on these outcomes. (See Box 5.1 for a detailed explanation of how to read the impact tables in this report.) This analysis uses payroll data from each of the transitional jobs programs and unemployment insurance (UI) data from each of the four states in the demonstration. Notably, the employment and earnings data in this chapter differ from the data that are reported about job placement in Chapter 4, which were drawn from each program’s management information system (MIS) and include only job placements made by or reported to program staff. The ultimate goal of the TJRD programs was to increase the unsubsidized employment and earnings of participants, so it is useful to examine employment and earnings results for transitional jobs and unsubsidized jobs separately. The term “transitional job” in this study refers to the transitional jobs that the TJRD programs provided to TJ group members. All other 67 Box 5.1 How to Read the Impact Tables in this Report Most tables in this report use a similar format, illustrated below. Several employment and earnings outcomes are shown for the transitional jobs group and the job search group. For example, about 72 (72.1) percent of the transitional jobs group and about 32 (31.6) percent of the job search group were employed in Quarter 1. The “Difference” column in the table shows the differences between the two research groups’ earnings and employment rates — that is, the transitional jobs program’s estimated impact on employment. The estimated impact on employment in Quarter 1 can be calculated by subtracting 31.6 percent from 72.1 percent, yielding a 40.5 percentage point difference. Differences marked with asterisks are “statistically significant,” meaning that it is quite unlikely that the differences arose by chance; that is, they are likely attributable to the program. The number of asterisks indicates whether the estimated impact is statistically significant at the 10 percent (one asterisk), 5 percent (two asterisks), or 1 percent (three asterisks) level — and the lower the level, the less likely that the impact is a result of chance. For example, as shown in the second row of data, the transitional jobs group model had a statistically significant impact of 32.9 percentage points on employment in Quarter 2. This impact is statistically significant at the 1 percent level — meaning that there is a 1 percent chance that the impact on employment in Quarter 2 occurred by chance rather than as a result of the program. The p-value shows the exact level of significance. One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings Transitional Jobs Group Job Search Group Difference (Impact) Total employment (%) Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 72.1 74.9 31.6 42.0 40.5 32.9 *** *** 0.000 0.000 Total earnings ($) Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 789 1,467 307 844 482 624 *** *** 0.000 0.000 Outcome P-Value SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from each site and unemployment insurance wage records from each of the states in the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration (Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin). 68 UI-covered jobs that were not the TJRD transitional job are described as “unsubsidized” or “regular” jobs in this report.1 A job was considered “unsubsidized” if the federal employer identification number (FEIN), or tax ID, on the UI data file was different from the FEIN for the transitional job employer in that site.2 Impacts for the Full Sample Table 5.1 presents the impacts of the transitional jobs programs on employment and earnings for each of the four quarters of the one-year follow-up period, for all sites combined. Results are shown separately for transitional jobs, unsubsidized employment, and total employment (which combines transitional jobs and UI-covered unsubsidized jobs). The first section of the table shows the proportion of the sample that worked in a transitional job for at least one day during each of the four follow-up quarters.3 As expected, almost all (85 percent) of the TJ group members worked in a transitional job during the first year, while none of the JS group members accessed a TJRD transitional job during the followup period.4 Chapter 4 reports that most participants worked in the transitional job for about 11 weeks, which most often occurred during the first two quarters after random assignment.5 By Quarter 3, 26 percent of TJ group members worked in the transitional job; this decreased to 9 percent in Quarter 4. 1 Because some subsidized or transitional employment is reported in UI records, it is possible that a small number of these “unsubsidized” jobs were transitional jobs provided by other organizations in the sites’ communities. 2 The Detroit and St. Paul sites reported that state laws did not require the reporting of transitional jobs earnings to the state UI program and thus those earnings did not appear in UI data. The Chicago and Milwaukee sites’ transitional job earnings did appear in UI data; in those sites, the FEIN was used to distinguish which jobs were the TJRD transitional job and which were not. All employment records that were not associated with the employer ID of the transitional job were coded as “unsubsidized” in the analysis. Because two of the four TJRD transitional jobs programs reported to UI and two did not, payroll data were used to identify transitional employment for consistency across the four sites. The UI records in the two sites that reported to UI matched very closely to payroll data, and so this analysis strategy does not affect the outcomes or impacts of the study. 3 Unlike the information about “weeks worked in a transitional job” that was reported in Chapter 4, this table does not measure the dosage or the number of weeks worked in the transitional job. 4 While it is possible that some sample members accessed transitional jobs at other organizations in the sites’ communities, it is likely to be a very small number. As noted in Chapter 4, several of the major providers of transitional jobs in the four sites provided the research team with information or data that indicated that very few JS group (and TJ group) members accessed transitional jobs from these other programs. 5 The information reflecting weeks worked in a transitional job that is presented in Chapter 4 may not be consecutive and is not in “calendar” time. It is created by taking the total hours worked and dividing by the number of work hours in a week. Thus, the timing of the “weeks worked” in Chapter 4 does not correspond exactly to the quarterly data presented in this chapter. 69 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table 5.1 One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings: Full Sample Outcome Transitional Jobs Group Job Search Difference Group (Impact) P-Valuea Employment Transitional employmentb (%) Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 66.1 65.2 25.5 9.1 85.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.1 65.2 25.5 9.1 85.2 *** *** *** *** *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Unsubsidized employment (%) Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 16.6 25.9 30.0 28.8 50.3 31.7 41.8 34.3 31.4 59.2 -15.1 -15.9 -4.4 -2.5 -8.9 *** *** ** *** 0.000 0.000 0.045 0.238 0.000 Total employment (%) Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 72.1 74.9 47.9 35.5 92.8 31.6 42.0 34.3 31.3 59.5 40.5 32.9 13.5 4.2 33.2 *** *** *** * *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.057 0.000 Number of quarters employed 2.3 1.4 0.9 *** 0.000 Employed in all 4 quarters (%) 20.2 11.6 8.6 *** 0.000 Transitional job earningsb Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 592 986 344 122 2,044 0 0 0 0 0 592 986 344 122 2,044 *** *** *** *** *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Unsubsidized earnings Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 197 481 757 857 2,292 307 841 902 866 2,917 -110 -360 -145 -9 -625 ** *** * 0.016 0.000 0.098 0.926 0.013 Earnings ($) ** (continued) 70 Table 5.1 (continued) Outcome Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) Total earningsc Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Sample size (total =1,774) 789 1,467 1,101 979 4,336 307 844 902 865 2,917 893 881 482 624 199 113 1,419 P-Valuea *** *** ** *** 0.000 0.000 0.026 0.260 0.000 SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from each site and unemployment insurance (UI) wage records from each of the states in the demonstration (Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin). NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. aStandard errors are presented in this table for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000. Following are the standard errors for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000 (presented in the order in which they appear on the table). Employment: 1.542, 1.609, 1.468, 0.97, 1.177, 1.97, 2.19, 2.282, 2.11, 2.182, 2.263, 1.834, 0.06, and 1.708. Earnings: 21.737, 35.964, 26.895, 17.052, 69.527, 73.298, 49.66, 77.552, and 256.833. bEarnings and employment from transitional jobs are based on payroll data from each of the sites. cTotal earnings may not be equal to the sum of transitional job earnings plus unsubsidized job earnings due to rounding. The second section of Table 5.1 shows that TJ group members had lower rates of unsubsidized employment compared with JS group members in three of the four quarters of follow-up. This reduction occurred because some TJ group members substituted the transitional job for regular employment. If program staff believed that an individual could find a job on his own, they tried to get that person to self-select out of enrolling in the program, but it is not always easy to identify who really needs a transitional job among a large group of very disadvantaged men. The impact results suggest that some men volunteered for the study, and when they were placed in the JS group, they went out and found a job on their own or with help from the JS organizations. Alternatively, TJ group members were provided with a transitional job immediately, and therefore some may have delayed seeking employment in the regular labor market. Substitution of transitional jobs for regular employment has been found in previous evaluations of programs that provided a wage-paying transitional or community service job to participants.6 The Center for Employment Opportunities (CEO) evaluation, which is most similar to the present study, found some substitution of the transitional job for regular employment, but only very early in the study’s follow-up. The substitution in TJRD may have resulted 6 Redcross et al. (2009); Bos et al. (1999). 71 from the fact that participants had little time to seek employment on their own before being provided with the transitional job. By design, study participants were recruited and enrolled in the programs very shortly after being released from prison and in most cases started working in the transitional job almost immediately upon enrollment. Nonetheless, the TJRD transitional jobs programs did not increase the unsubsidized employment of TJ group members relative to their JS counterparts at any point in the one-year follow-up period. Even as TJ group members left the transitional jobs by Quarter 4, their rates of unsubsidized employment were not higher than those of JS group members. The TJRD transitional jobs programs generated a large increase in employment driven by the transitional jobs. This increase faded by the end of the first year. The third section of Table 5.1 shows that TJ group members had substantially higher rates of total employment than JS group members. This large increase in employment was due entirely to the transitional jobs provided to TJ group members. Nearly all TJ group members worked at least one day during the year (92.8 percent) compared with about 60 percent of the JS group, for a 33 percentage point increase in employment. During most quarters of the follow-up period, only a little more than 30 percent of JS group members were employed; this represents what employment levels would have looked like for TJ group members in the absence of the transitional jobs programs. Low levels of employment are common for reentry populations; similar quarterly employment rates were found among sample members in the CEO evaluation.7 The transitional jobs programs paid participants the state minimum wage for working in the transitional job. During the follow-up period for the study, the minimum hourly wage ranged from a low of $6.15 in St. Paul to a high of $8.00 in Chicago. The minimum wage increased in all four cities during the follow-up period.8 The bottom panel of Table 5.1 shows the impacts of the transitional jobs programs on earnings and is presented in the same format as the employment results discussed above. The table shows that TJ group members earned about $1,400 more than their JS group counterparts; this increase was driven by earnings from the transitional jobs. The TJ group earned about $625 less, on average, from unsubsidized jobs than the JS group. This reduction in unsubsidized earnings occurred because of the substitution of transitional jobs for regular employment discussed earlier. 7 Redcross et al. (2009). As a result of the Fair Minimum Wage Act of 2007, the federal government increased the federal minimum wage during the follow-up period. Where an employee is subject to both the state and federal minimum wage laws, the employee is entitled to the higher of the two minimum wages. The minimum wage rate in Chicago and Detroit is higher than the federal minimum; in Milwaukee it is the same; and in St. Paul it is lower than the federal minimum. 8 72 Figure 5.1 presents quarterly employment rates over the follow-up period. This figure provides an illustration of the results presented in the total employment section of Table 5.1 and shows TJRD’s transitional employment combined with unsubsidized employment. The figure is a useful illustration of how the patterns of employment changed over time. Differences that are statistically significant are indicated by asterisks next to the quarter number at the bottom of the graph. As reported above, the figure shows that the TJ group was much more likely than the JS group to be employed throughout the early part of the follow-up period. The impacts on employment faded over time and were much smaller in the last quarter of the follow-up period, as almost all TJ group members had left the transitional jobs by that time. One interesting point about the pattern of employment over the follow-up period is that the rates of employment increased early on and declined somewhat in the second half of the year for both research groups. While this pattern is expected for the TJ group (as they leave their transitional jobs), it is not a typical pattern for the JS group. The biggest drop-off in employment occurred between Quarter 2 and Quarter 3. This pattern suggests that some JS group members were able to find jobs soon after release, but lost them quickly. As discussed in Chapter 2, it is possible that declining economic conditions during the follow-up period contributed to this pattern. A subgroup analysis (discussed below) examines the employment outcomes separately for those who enrolled later and had most or all of their follow-up during the worst part of the recession. Impacts for Sites While the four programs all operated a transitional jobs model, there were key differences in the implementation strategies across the four sites, as described in Chapter 3. Also, Chapter 2 highlighted some differences in the local economic and criminal justice conditions in each site. This section explores whether differences in the local context or differences in the implementation of the program models translated into differences in the impacts of the transitional jobs programs on employment and earnings. Impact results shown by site should be interpreted with caution because the sample sizes are smaller. Despite differences in implementation strategies and local contexts, the impact of the transitional jobs programs on employment and earnings was similar across sites. Table 5.2 presents the impacts of the transitional jobs programs on employment and earnings for each of the sites separately. In general, the employment and earnings results are similar across the sites. All four transitional jobs programs generated large and statistically significant increases in total employment during the first year. In three of the four sites, the 73 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Figure 5.1 Quarterly Impacts on Employment: Full Sample 100 90 Transitional Jobs Group Job Search Group 80 Percentage Employed 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Pre-RA 1 *** 2 *** 3 *** 4* Quarter after Random Assignment (RA) SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from each site and unemployment insurance (UI) wage records from each of the states in the demonstration (Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin). NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. The pre-RA quarter includes only data for Illinois and Wisconsin because complete UI wage records were not available for Michigan and Minnesota. Random assignment took place in Quarter 1. 74 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table 5.2 One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Site Outcome Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) P-Valuea Difference Between Site Impacts Chicago Transitional employment in Year 1b (%) Unsubsidized employment in Year 1 (%) Total employment in Year 1 (%) Transitional job earnings in Year 1b ($) Unsubsidized earnings in Year 1 ($) Total earnings in Year 1c ($) 87.5 41.5 93.4 0.0 54.4 53.8 87.5 *** -12.9 ** 39.6 *** 0.000 0.016 0.000 ††† †† ††† 2,471 1,829 4,300 0 2,369 2,383 2,471 *** -540 1,918 *** 0.000 0.255 0.000 ††† †† 88.0 38.5 92.4 0.0 33.1 34.7 88.0 *** 5.4 57.7 *** 0.000 0.284 0.000 ††† †† ††† 1,461 1,700 3,161 0 1,252 1,245 1,461 *** 448 1,915 *** 0.000 0.389 0.000 ††† †† 70.2 58.1 87.7 0.0 66.5 67.4 70.2 *** -8.3 * 20.4 *** 0.000 0.055 0.000 ††† †† ††† 1,831 2,906 4,737 0 3,004 2,986 1,831 *** -98 1,751 *** 0.000 0.854 0.001 ††† †† 97.1 59.1 98.7 0.0 74.5 74.0 97.1 *** -15.5 *** 24.7 *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 ††† †† ††† 2,410 2,582 4,992 0 4,394 4,386 2,410 *** -1,813 *** 606 0.000 0.000 0.240 ††† †† Detroit Transitional employment in Year 1b (%) Unsubsidized employment in Year 1 (%) Total employment in Year 1 (%) Transitional job earnings in Year 1b ($) Unsubsidized earnings in Year 1 ($) Total earnings in Year 1c ($) Milwaukee Transitional employment in Year 1b (%) Unsubsidized employment in Year 1 (%) Total employment in Year 1 (%) Transitional job earnings in Year 1b ($) Unsubsidized earnings in Year 1 ($) Total earnings in Year 1c ($) St. Paul Transitional employment in Year 1b (%) Unsubsidized employment in Year 1 (%) Total employment in Year 1 (%) Transitional job earnings in Year 1b ($) Unsubsidized earnings in Year 1 ($) Total earnings in Year 1c ($) (continued) 75 Table 5.2 (continued) SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from each site and unemployment insurance wage records from each of the states in the demonstration (Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin). NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. The H-statistic was used to test for statistically significant differences in impact estimates across sites. Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent; †† = 5 percent; † = 10 percent. aStandard errors are presented in this table for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000. Following are the standard errors for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000 (presented in the order in which they appear in the table). Chicago employment: 2.537 and 4.201. Chicago earnings: 232.153 and 500.667. Detroit employment: 2.494 and 4.169. Detroit earnings: 92.587 and 531.609. Milwaukee employment: 2.982 and 3.703. Milwaukee earnings: 119.554. St. Paul employment: 1.067, 4.206, and 2.912. St. Paul earnings: 113.327 and 507.815. bEarnings and employment from transitional jobs are based on payroll data from each of the sites. cTotal earnings may not be equal to the sum of transitional job earnings plus unsubsidized job earnings due to rounding. increase in employment was driven entirely by the transitional jobs: in Chicago, St. Paul, and Milwaukee, the TJ group had lower rates of unsubsidized employment than the JS group during the one-year follow-up period. Three of the four sites (Chicago, Detroit, and Milwaukee) increased total earnings by amounts ranging from $1,750 to $1,900. In Chicago and Milwaukee, the impact on earnings was driven entirely by the transitional jobs. In Detroit, about one-fourth of the earnings impact ($448) was from unsubsidized employment (though the impact on unsubsidized earnings was not statistically significant). The St. Paul transitional jobs program did not have an impact on earnings during the first year. Appendix Tables C.1 through C.4 present quarterly employment and earnings results for each of the sites. Chapter 2 discusses some differences in local employment conditions that may have affected the ability of both TJ and JS group members to find and keep unsubsidized jobs. For example, local unemployment rates were particularly high in Detroit and lower in St. Paul and Milwaukee during the study’s follow-up period. The table shows that many JS group members found employment fairly quickly in St. Paul, even without having access to a transitional job. (About 53 percent of JS group members worked in Quarters 1 and 2, as shown in Appendix Table C.3). The relatively high rates of employment for the JS group in St. Paul (compared with the other three sites) may partially explain the larger substitution effects in that city (shown in the fourth panel of Table 5.2). However, the economy may not be the only factor affecting employment rates in St. Paul: the job search program that served JS group members (Amherst Wilder Foundation) may have been particularly strong, or the large number of participants who were under intensive supervised release in that site may have been under more pressure to seek 76 employment.9 Also, as discussed in Chapter 3, the transitional jobs program in St. Paul encouraged or required participants to work in transitional jobs for a certain amount of time before recommending that they begin to focus on moving into regular employment. This approach led to longer stays, on average, in the transitional job. Detroit, the site with the lowest rates of employment among JS group members, was the only site in which the JS group did not have higher rates of unsubsidized employment than the TJ group during the first year. In fact, as the second panel of Table 5.2 shows, TJ group members in Detroit had slightly higher rates of unsubsidized employment in Year 1 than their JS group counterparts (though the difference of 5 percentage points is not statistically significant). In addition to a severely troubled economy, the Detroit program also had limited availability in transitional jobs slots and thus had to move participants out of the transitional jobs quickly. The economy, the shorter stays in the transitional jobs, or other factors could have contributed to Detroit’s lower rate of substitution. Similar to St. Paul, the Chicago program also put less emphasis on helping participants make a quick transition into regular employment. In some cases, participants were encouraged to stay longer in the transitional jobs. For example, Chicago’s transitional jobs program, Safer Foundation, offered TJ group members financial and other incentives for reaching 30-, 60-, and 90-day milestones in the transitional job. Safer staff reported that once someone remained employed in the transitional job for 90 days, that participant was considered “placed” and was offered the option to purchase medical benefits.10 Even with the encouragement to stay on in the transitional job, the program’s impact on employment and earnings was similar to the other sites and faded by the end of the one-year follow-up period.11 The retention bonus in St. Paul showed promising effects. As discussed in earlier chapters, the Milwaukee and St. Paul transitional jobs programs implemented an employment retention bonus, or incentive, as part of the study design. It is difficult to isolate the impact of the bonus in Milwaukee because all TJ group members were 9 Participants on supervised release may have been more motivated to find and keep employment because they may have felt they could be found in violation of parole conditions and sent back to prison if they were not working. This fear of violation is likely to be more prevalent among those under intensive supervision. 10 Safer staff also reported that participants were given raises in their hourly wage upon reaching 90 days on the job. However, the payroll data for that site did not indicate a raise in wages for participants related to staying employed in the transitional job for 90 or more days. All earnings from payroll and UI data sources are recorded in the analysis. 11 Had this impact analysis counted the Chicago transitional job as “unsubsidized” after the participant stayed for 90 days, the program would have generated increases in unsubsidized employment in Quarter 3, and a small insignificant increase in Quarter 2. As shown in the total employment outcomes, impacts on having any employment faded by the end of the follow-up period in Safer (see Appendix Table C.1). 77 eligible to receive the bonus and it is not possible to separate the effect of the bonus from the effects of the other services provided by the TJ program in that site. In St. Paul, however, the bonus program was put in place midway through the enrollment period, which allows for a comparison of the program’s impacts for sample members who were eligible to receive the bonus with the impacts for sample members who were not offered this incentive. The sample members who were not offered a bonus were randomly assigned between January 2007 and November 2007, and those who were offered a bonus were randomly assigned between December 2007 and May 2008. Other contextual factors could also affect any differences observed in the impacts for these subgroups. For example, implementation research suggests that the programs improved their job development and placement services over time. In addition, about 25 percent of the sample to whom a bonus was offered overlaps with the late cohort that experienced much more of the economic downturn during their followup period than those who were not offered a bonus. Finally, caution should be taken when interpreting these findings because the sample size is small, with only 172 people in the subgroup that was eligible to receive a bonus. Table 5.3 presents the impacts of the St. Paul transitional jobs program on employment and earnings outcomes for the subgroups defined by bonus eligibility. The left side of the table shows the outcomes and impacts for the subgroup that was not eligible to receive a bonus, and the right side of the table shows them for the bonus-eligible subgroup. Statistical significance levels for differences in impacts between subgroups are shown in the rightmost column of the table. The table shows that the impacts of the St. Paul transitional jobs program on employment and earnings appear more positive for the bonus-eligible sample. There are fewer, less persistent reductions in unsubsidized employment. In fact, there are small positive impacts on unsubsidized employment in later quarters for those who were eligible for the bonus. For example, in Quarter 4, about 41 percent of TJ group members in the bonus subgroup worked in an unsubsidized job compared with 32 percent of JS group members (although this difference of 9 percentage points is not statistically significant). Most striking is the difference in impacts on being employed in all four quarters, which is much larger in the bonus subgroup. The daggers in the rightmost column of the table show that the differences in impacts between the subgroups are statistically significant. The bottom panel of the table presents the program’s impacts on earnings for each of the subgroups. For the bonus subgroup, the program generated an increase of $614 in earnings in Quarter 4 compared with a reduction in earnings in that same quarter for the no-bonus subgroup. This result suggests that TJ group members who were eligible for the bonus either worked more or had higher wages than their JS group counterparts. 78 79 25.9 Employed in all 4 quarters (%) 88.4 83.1 52.6 43.1 97.5 Total employment (%) Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 2.7 15.9 24.9 31.4 34.8 57.5 Unsubsidized employment (%) Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Number of quarters employed 88.7 76.5 34.5 12.1 96.2 Transitional employmentc (%) Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Employment Outcome 19.6 2.0 49.9 59.4 48.0 42.0 77.3 51.2 60.8 48.8 41.8 78.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 6.3 0.7 *** 38.4 *** 23.7 *** 4.6 1.1 20.2 *** -35.3 -35.9 -17.4 -7.0 -20.9 88.7 76.5 34.5 12.1 96.2 0.179 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.406 0.840 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.203 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 40.3 2.9 97.6 75.9 62.9 49.0 99.3 15.2 29.6 41.7 41.4 60.0 98.9 65.2 34.5 13.0 98.9 14.4 1.6 50.1 46.2 35.9 31.3 69.3 49.9 46.0 36.2 31.9 69.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ** *** 25.9 *** 1.2 *** 47.5 29.8 27.0 17.7 30.0 -34.6 *** -16.4 ** 5.5 9.5 -9.1 98.9 65.2 34.5 13.0 98.9 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.022 0.000 0.000 0.036 0.500 0.221 0.251 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 (continued) †† †† †† † †† †† † ††† †† Difference Exposure to Retention Bonuses Between Not Exposed to Retention Bonuses Exposed to Retention Bonuses Transitional Job Search Difference Transitional Job Search Difference Subgroup P-Valuea Impactsb P-Valuea Jobs Group Group (Impact) Jobs Group Group (Impact) St. Paul One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Exposure to Retention Bonuses Table 5.3 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration 80 93 346 802 898 2,139 850 1,401 1,200 1,034 4,485 Unsubsidized earnings Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Total earningsd Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 588 1,454 1,409 1,277 4,728 600 1,468 1,425 1,279 4,772 0 0 0 0 0 *** *** *** * *** *** *** *** *** *** 262 ** -54 -208 -243 -242 -507 -1122 -623 -381 -2634 758 1,055 398 136 2,347 0.027 0.790 0.370 0.291 0.704 0.000 0.000 0.007 0.097 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 962 1,636 1,615 1,580 5,794 35 563 1,150 1,442 3,189 928 1,074 465 138 2,605 527 1,278 1,132 966 3,903 550 1,252 1,128 984 3,913 0 0 0 0 0 *** *** *** *** *** 435 *** 359 484 614 * 1892 ** -515 *** -690 *** 22 458 -724 928 1,074 465 138 2,605 0.000 0.185 0.190 0.092 0.043 0.000 0.008 0.952 0.211 0.423 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.005 0.000 (continued) †† † † † †† NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. aStandard errors are presented in this table for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000. Following are the standard errors for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000 (presented in the order in which they appear in the table beginning with the "Not exposed" group). Employment: 2.595, 3.439, 3.671, 2.649, 1.535, 1.173, 5.532, 5.328, 3.547,1.173, 4.913, 5.274, 5.117, 7.298, 4.769, 4.922, 3.547, 6.002,7.478, 5.517, 0.139, 0.207, and 7.032. Earnings: 46.876, 73.959, 54.024, 37.221, 138.116, 59.689, 124.674, 90.728, 210.534, 109.486, 193.515, 631.298, 112.169, and 121.953. bThe H-statistic is used to assess whether the difference in impacts between the subgroups is statistically significant. Significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent, †† = 5 percent, and † = 10 percent. cEarnings and employment from transitional jobs are based on payroll data from each of the sites. dTotal earnings may not be equal to the sum of transitional job earnings plus unsubsidized job earnings due to rounding. Sample size (total = 506) 167 167 86 86 SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from St. Paul and unemployment insurance data from Minnesota. 758 1,055 398 136 2,347 Transitional job earningsc Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Earnings ($) Outcome Difference Exposure to Retention Bonuses Between Not Exposed to Retention Bonuses Exposed to Retention Bonuses Transitional Job Search Difference Transitional Job Search Difference Subgroup P-Valuea P-Valuea Impactsb Jobs Group Group (Impact) Jobs Group Group (Impact) Table 5.3 (continued) As discussed above, there are a number of reasons to be cautious about these results. Most important, there could have been differences in the characteristics of the sample or in program implementation later in the enrollment period, such as improvements in the job placement function. As described in Chapter 3, over time program staff became more knowledgeable about the special circumstances involved in placing former prisoners. Site staff had also developed more connections to employers who were willing to hire this population later in the follow-up period. Appendix Table C.5 presents selected baseline characteristics for the bonus and nobonus subgroups. While there are few differences in characteristics, a higher proportion of people are under intensive supervised release in the bonus subgroup (not shown in table).12 Box 5.2 shows an interesting pattern of differences in participation and job placement rates, measured using data from the St. Paul program’s MIS. The data presented in Box 5.2 suggest that TJ group members in the bonus subgroup participated in job readiness activities at much higher rates than TJ group members in the no-bonus group. The bonus group also had much higher placement rates in unsubsidized jobs. Both the higher rates of participation in job readiness activities and the program’s higher placement rates for the bonus group could be the result of an improvement in the job development function of the program or an effect of the employment retention bonus. In any case, these differences in participation in job readiness activities and job placement could have contributed to the larger impacts for the bonus group in St. Paul. While there are reasons to be cautious, there are also reasons to be optimistic about these results. The pattern of participation and impacts is consistent with what would be expected for this type of incentive. The largest impacts appear later in the follow-up period, after many left the transitional jobs for unsubsidized jobs. The pattern also shows more stability in employment, which is consistent with an earnings supplement for staying employed over time. Finally, these results are consistent with prior research findings, which have shown promising effects for earnings supplements.13 Based on these findings, further research and testing of retention bonuses for this population is recommended. 12 There is also an impact on parole violations concentrated in the bonus subgroup, and this impact does not appear to be related to the employment impacts (discussed in Chapter 6), suggesting that there may be other differences about that particular sample that are unrelated to the retention bonus. It is also possible that the recidivism reductions caused the employment impacts. Since TJ group members were less likely to be incarcerated, they were more available for work. 13 Michalopoulos (2005); Martinson and Hendra (2006). 81 Box 5.2 Participation in the St. Paul Transitional Jobs Program, by Bonus Exposure The table below shows participation rates for various program activities among transitional jobs (TJ) group members in St. Paul who were eligible to receive a bonus for remaining employed and those who were not. The bonus-eligible group participated in job readiness/job club activities at much higher rates than the no-bonus group (95 percent versus 68 percent). In St. Paul, site staff began to “market” the bonus to participants once they were “job ready” and had attended their first job development session. It is possible that once participants knew about the bonus, they became more motivated to find regular employment and started participating in job development at higher rates. The table shows that the bonus group members were also more likely to be placed in unsubsidized employment or to report it to a staff member. Because the data are from the program’s management information system (MIS), the job placement outcome could be measuring a true difference in job placement rates or it could be measuring a difference in participants’ reporting of unsubsidized employment. The bonus subgroup may have been more likely to report back to program staff about employment because of the incentive. It is unlikely that this difference is just measuring higher reporting among the bonus group, however, because state unemployment insurance records also show higher employment rates in Quarters 3 and 4 for the bonus-eligible TJ group members compared with the no-bonus TJ group members (see Table 5.3). The bottom panel of the table below shows that the bonus group received an average of three payments, totaling $631 over the one-year follow-up period. Outcome Transitional jobs Worked in a transitional job (TJ) (%) Average days workeda Other program activities Participated in any activity other than TJ (%) Had an individual meeting with a case manager Participated in job readiness/job club activities Participated in vocational training Placed in or reported an unsubsidized job (%) Among those placed in or reporting an unsubsidized job Received a retention bonus (%) Among those who received a retention bonus Number of retention bonuses received Total amount received in bonuses ($) Sample size (total = 253) Bonus No Bonus 98.8 64.2 96.4 57.6 100.0 95.3 95.3 22.1 44.2 98.8 96.4 68.3 31.1 26.9 76.3 0.0 3.3 630.9 0.0 0.0 86 167 *** *** SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll and MIS data from Goodwill/Easter Seals Minnesota. NOTES: Data include only participation activities that occurred within a year of random assignment. Statistical significance levels are indicated as: * = 10 percent; ** = 5 percent; *** = 1 percent. a Total hours worked divided by hours in a work day (6 to 8 hours) for each site. 82 Impacts by Study Enrollment Cohort As discussed in Chapter 2, unemployment rates began to rise dramatically in 2008. Economic conditions are expected to have implications for the levels of employment found in the sample. But, because these conditions exist equally for both TJ and JS group members, it is unclear how economic conditions will affect the impacts of the TJRD transitional jobs programs. Most studies, at least of welfare populations, have found modest effects of economic conditions on the impacts of policies and programs that are aimed at improving employment outcomes.14 However, the recession that took hold during the study follow-up period is unusual and much more severe than any recession in decades. Unemployment rates have not been as high since the early 1980s.15 Further, as Chapter 2 shows, all sites experienced a steep and steady increase in unemployment rates during the same timeframe of the study follow-up period. Since all the sites experienced a dramatic increase in unemployment rates at roughly the same time, there is an unusual opportunity to assess the effects of the recession on the impacts of the transitional jobs programs, while controlling (at least to some extent) for variations in implementation of the model. Table 5.4 presents the impacts of the transitional jobs programs on employment and earnings for an “early” and “late” cohort of participants, defined by the timing of enrollment in the study. The participants in the early cohort were randomly assigned between January 2007 and March 2008, and they experienced relatively good and stable economic conditions during most of their follow-up.16 Alternatively, the late cohort includes individuals who were randomly assigned between April and September 2008 and experienced the worst part of the economic downturn for most or all of their one-year follow-up. (See Figure 1.1 in Chapter 1 for an illustration of the follow-up periods for each of these cohorts.) Notably, the St. Paul site ended enrollment in May of 2008; thus, only a small number of participants (54) from St. Paul are present in the late cohort.17 14 Some studies have found that programs and policies are more effective when economic conditions are favorable; see, for example, Herbst (2008); Bloom, Hill, and Riccio (2001); Greenberg, Michalopoulos, and Robbins (2001). 15 In Detroit and St. Paul, the unemployment rates in June 2009 were within 1 percentage point of the record-high unemployment rate in that state (recorded during the recession of the early 1980s). In Chicago and Milwaukee, the unemployment rates were within 2 percentage points of the record highs (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2010). 16 Notably, those who were randomly assigned between January and March of 2008 could have had up to two quarters of their follow-up during the economic downturn. 17 When the small number of St. Paul participants are given additional weight in the analysis, the impact results are generally similar. 83 84 20.9 Employed in all 4 quarters (%) 72.2 74.7 50.5 38.5 92.7 Total employment (%) Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 2.4 16.7 26.8 30.5 30.6 52.3 Unsubsidized employment (%) Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Number of quarters employed 66.2 64.9 28.3 10.9 84.6 Transitional employmentc (%) Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Employment Outcome 12.0 1.5 32.2 43.6 36.0 34.0 62.2 32.5 43.5 36.1 34.1 62.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *** *** *** * *** *** *** *** ** *** *** *** *** *** 8.9 *** 0.9 *** 40.0 31.1 14.5 4.4 30.5 -15.8 -16.7 -5.6 -3.5 -9.6 66.2 64.9 28.3 10.9 84.6 Early Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.081 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.025 0.159 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 P-Valuea 17.8 2.1 71.6 75.9 38.8 23.4 92.5 15.3 23.3 28.7 21.3 42.4 67.2 66.6 14.9 2.1 87.8 10.1 1.1 29.6 35.5 27.1 22.1 50.0 29.8 35.1 27.1 22.1 49.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *** *** *** * *** *** *** *** ** 7.6 ** 1.0 *** 42.1 40.4 11.7 1.3 42.5 -14.5 *** -11.8 ** 1.5 -0.8 -6.9 67.2 66.6 14.9 2.1 87.8 Late Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) Cohort One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Cohort Table 5.4 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration 0.041 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.016 0.774 0.000 0.001 0.014 0.743 0.854 0.185 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.067 0.000 P-Valuea (continued) ††† † ††† ††† Difference Between Subgroup Impactsb 85 Sample size (total = 1,774) Total earnings Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) d Unsubsidized earnings Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Transitional job earningsc Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Earnings ($) Outcome 706 740 1,449 1,128 1,029 4,347 184 464 744 884 2,276 556 985 384 145 2,070 695 297 876 995 979 3,147 300 876 997 980 3,152 0 0 0 0 0 *** ** *** ** *** *** *** *** *** 444 *** 573 *** 133 50 1200 *** -115 -412 -252 -96 -876 556 985 384 145 2,070 Early Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) 0.000 0.000 0.206 0.682 0.000 0.016 0.000 0.015 0.424 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 P-Valuea 187 978 1,550 1,023 789 4,340 233 559 830 758 2,380 745 991 193 31 1,960 186 339 708 526 441 2,014 346 699 524 441 2,011 0 0 0 0 0 *** *** *** *** 639 842 497 348 2,326 *** *** *** ** *** -113 -140 306 * 316 * 369 745 991 193 31 1,960 Late Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) Cohort Table 5.4 (continued) 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.038 0.000 0.380 0.363 0.065 0.058 0.458 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.117 0.000 P-Valuea (continued) † † ††† †† †† ††† ††† ††† Difference Between Subgroup Impactsb 86 NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. The early cohort includes sample members randomly assigned before April 1, 2008 (N = 1,401). The late cohort includes those randomly assigned on and after that date (N = 373). aStandard errors are presented in this table for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000. Following are the standard errors for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000 (presented in the order in which they appear on the table starting with the "Early" cohort). Employment: 1.729, 1.819, 1.721, 1.194, 1.350, 3.603, 3.639, 2.717, 2.428, 2.233, 2.508, 2.567, 2.375, 2.474, 2.593, 2.047, 4.853, 4.919, 4.191, 0.068, 0.134, and 1.956. Earnings: 23.478, 41.204, 31.991, 20.993, 81.701, 56.842, 78.116, 45.498, 131.375, 84.428, 52.874, 90.008, 300.786, 135.265, 155.029, and 498.726. bThe H-statistic was used to test for statistically significant differences in impact estimates across subgroups. Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent; †† = 5 percent; † = 10 percent. cEarnings and employment from transitional jobs are based on payroll data from each of the sites. dTotal earnings may not be equal to the sum of transitional job earnings plus unsubsidized job earnings due to rounding. SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from each site and unemployment insurance data from each of the states in the demonstration (Illinois, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota). Table 5.4 (continued) As expected, levels of employment in unsubsidized jobs are lower for both research groups in the late cohort, and by as much as 12 percentage points in Quarter 4 for the JS group. The impacts of the transitional jobs programs on employment outcomes were similar in both cohorts and similar to the full sample results. The transitional jobs programs produced large impacts on total employment, driven by the transitional jobs in both cohorts. The substitution of transitional jobs for unsubsidized employment was less persistent, but still present, for the late cohort. Earnings impacts were also similar across the cohorts, for the first two quarters. In quarters 3 and 4, the transitional jobs programs generated a modest increase of about $300 in earnings from unsubsidized jobs for the late cohort. There were no differences in the average earnings of TJ group members across cohorts, but earnings for the JS group were much lower among the participants in the late cohort. This pattern suggests that transitional jobs programs may be more helpful in stabilizing employment when the counterfactual is likely to have lower rates of employment, such as during an economic downturn. At the same time, the programs improved their job development functions over time, which could have made the transitional jobs programs more effective for the late cohort. A second year of follow-up, planned for this study, will determine whether this pattern of effects continues, as all sample members will then have employment outcomes measured during the recession. Figure 5.1, discussed above, shows an unexpected pattern of declining employment rates for the JS group after Quarter 2. While this pattern is expected for TJ group members as they left the transitional jobs, it is unusual for the JS group. Table 5.4 shows that this pattern was present, but less severe, in the early cohort. The economy was relatively stable during the follow-up period for the early cohort, suggesting that it is only partially responsible for the declining employment rates over time. Higher rates of incarceration are another possible explanation for declining rates of employment. Over the course of the year, higher numbers of sample members were incarcerated, and that may explain why fewer were able to work later in the follow-up period. Appendix Table D.1 provides some evidence about whether the declining employment rates are linked to higher rates of incarceration over time and shows that even among those who are not in prison, employment rates decline over time. Thus, higher incarceration rates also do not explain the decline in employment rates. Chapter 6 discusses recidivism effects. Impacts for Other Subgroups The research team examined results for other subgroups based on literature suggesting that transitional jobs programs may have affected certain subgroups differently. For example, 87 prior research has shown that employment programs may be more successful for older men coming out of prison.18 To address this question, subgroup impacts were measured for those who were 26 or younger and those who were 27 or older. Impact results were also examined separately for groups that may be more disadvantaged, such as those who had never worked steadily in the past, those without a high school diploma or a General Educational Development certificate, and those with a lengthier criminal history. The hypothesis for analyzing these subgroups was that those who are more disadvantaged may benefit more from transitional employment models. Results for the subgroups are shown in Appendix G and are generally similar to results for the full sample. However, there were larger impacts on earnings among those who had never worked steadily, which appears to be the result of less substitution of unsubsidized employment (Appendix Table G.5). Conclusion The employment results from this study, combined with findings from the Center for Employment Opportunities (described in Chapter 1) and Transitional Work Corporation evaluations of transitional jobs programs, provide strong evidence that transitional jobs are effective at increasing employment for participants. Because of the transitional job, many of the TJ program participants worked who otherwise would not have worked. However, the findings show that these increases in employment are driven by the transitional job, and they provide no evidence that the transitional jobs programs, as implemented, led to better unsubsidized employment outcomes. The employment findings discussed above offer some suggestion that transitional jobs may be more effective when levels of employment and earnings are likely to be particularly low without the offer of a transitional job. For example, there was less substitution of the transitional job for regular employment in Detroit and better earnings effects for the late cohort, both situations characterized by extraordinarily low rates of employment for the JS group. Similarly, the subgroup analysis suggests slightly more positive effects among those who had never worked steadily. Because these impacts started to show up toward the end of the year, it will be interesting to learn whether this pattern continues for the second year of follow-up. The CEO evaluation also provided evidence that transitional jobs may be more effective for those who 18 Uggen (2000). 88 were recently released from prison and other high-risk groups.19 It may be worthwhile to target scarce resources to populations that are most likely to benefit from transitional jobs, but identifying those who are most disadvantaged among a large group of disadvantaged men (and women) can be difficult. The findings for the retention bonus in the St. Paul site are promising, but are not necessarily connected to the transitional jobs. It is possible that had the job search program also offered a retention bonus, similar effects would have been found for that program. Nonetheless, retention bonuses should be tested further and as part of a comprehensive transitional jobs program strategy. 19 Bloom, Redcross, Zweig, and Azurdia (2007); Redcross et al. (2009); Zweig, Yahner, and Redcross (forthcoming). 89 Chapter 6 Impacts on Recidivism When targeted to former prisoners, transitional jobs programs are designed not only to improve employment outcomes but also, largely by increasing employment, to reduce criminal activity. Employment is believed to be a key component in the successful transition back into society, as work may provide stability, lead former prisoners to develop more positive roles and social supports, and provide legitimate income that may discourage individuals from turning to illegal sources of earnings.1 Programs that provide employment in the period immediately following release, when recidivism rates are highest,2 are seen as especially promising.3 The results presented in Chapter 5 of this report show that the transitional jobs programs in the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration (TJRD) produced a large increase in employment, driven by the transitional jobs, especially in the first two quarters of the follow-up period. Although the programs did not have a positive impact on unsubsidized employment, the early impact on total employment could have led to decreases in recidivism. This chapter presents the transitional jobs programs’ one-year impacts on key measures of recidivism. The analysis uses administrative data on arrest and conviction, provided by the Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority, the Michigan State Police, the Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, and the State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, and prison data provided by the Department of Corrections (DOC) in each of the states. Impacts for the Full Sample Table 6.1 shows one-year impacts of the transitional jobs programs on key measures of recidivism, including arrest, conviction, and prison incarceration.4 The data include only 1 Solomon, Johnson, Travis, and McBride (2004). Langan and Levin (2002). 3 Solomon, Johnson, Travis, and McBride (2004). 4 Due to differences in the available data, the first year of follow-up for criminal justice measures differs slightly from the first year of follow-up for employment measures (presented in Chapter 5). Because unemployment insurance data are available only as quarterly measures, Year 1 employment measures include the quarter of random assignment plus the next three quarters. For the criminal justice measures, Year 1 includes the month of random assignment plus the next 11 months. Therefore, for individuals who were randomly assigned in the second or third month of a quarter, the two periods do not exactly overlap. For example, for an individual who was randomly assigned in March 2007, the Year 1 employment measures include Quarter 1 of 2007 (January to March) through Quarter 4 of 2007 (October to December), while the Year 1 recidivism measures include March 2007 through February 2008. Measures that combine incarceration and employment, such as those that appear in the bottom panel of Table 6.1, are adjusted so that incarceration measures line up exactly with the quarterly employment measures in terms of timing. 2 91 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table 6.1 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism: Full Sample Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Outcome Arrested (%) Difference (Impact) P-Value 38.8 35.3 3.5 0.119 13.6 9.0 4.3 14.5 7.9 4.9 -1.0 1.1 -0.7 0.556 0.393 0.489 2.3 4.7 3.8 3.7 2.7 4.9 3.0 4.2 -0.4 -0.2 0.8 -0.6 0.556 0.864 0.356 0.547 Admitted to prison (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a parole/probation violation Admitted to prison for other reason 35.1 6.2 22.4 8.9 36.4 4.8 23.9 9.7 -1.3 1.4 -1.5 -0.8 0.537 0.201 0.407 0.512 Total days incarcerated in prison 40.2 47.5 -7.3 ** 0.040 Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) 53.5 56.1 -2.6 0.250 Incarcerated and employed Incarcerated and not employed Not incarcerated and employed Not incarcerated and not employed 4.5 19.3 31.0 45.2 4.4 21.1 26.9 47.6 0.1 -1.8 4.1 * -2.4 0.927 0.338 0.053 0.287 Sample size (total = 1,808) 909 899 a Convicted of a crime (%) Convicted of a felony Convicted of a misdemeanor Conviction categoriesb (%) Convicted of a violent crime Convicted of a property crime Convicted of a drug crime Convicted of a public order crime c Status in the last quarter of Year 1 (%) SOURCES: Calculations based on data from unemployment insurance (UI) records in each site, Michigan State Police, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority, and the Department of Corrections in each state. NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or prison admissions per person during the follow-up period. aEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Some convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment. These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment. Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. bThe categorization of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). cMeasures whether a sample member was ever employed (in a transitional or UI-covered job) and whether he was ever in prison at any point during Quarter 4. A person could be considered incarcerated and employed during that quarter even if the employment and incarceration were not simultaneous. 92 “unsealed” events and only those events that occurred in the state in which the individual was randomly assigned.5 Box 6.1 describes the key recidivism outcomes in detail. The transitional jobs programs did not affect most key measures of recidivism in the first year of follow-up. During the year following random assignment, there were no significant impacts on the percentage of the sample that was arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison. The first row of Table 6.1 shows that 39 percent of the transitional jobs (TJ) group and 35 percent of the job search (JS) group was arrested, a difference that is not statistically significant.6 Generally, average national recidivism rates are somewhat higher than the rates found among the TJRD sample. According to the latest available statistics, measured among prisoners who were released in 1994, 44.1 percent were arrested, 21.5 percent were convicted of a crime, and 10.4 percent were admitted to prison for a new crime within one year of release.7 There are several possible reasons for the differences between these rates and those of the TJRD sample, including differences in the time periods and sample characteristics. As shown in Box 1.1 in Chapter 1, the two samples differ in some demographic and criminal history characteristics, including age, race, ethnicity, and length of last incarceration. In addition, the two samples may differ on unmeasured characteristics, such as level of motivation. Table 6.1 also shows no significant impacts on the percent convicted of a crime, either overall or by crime class or category. About 14 percent of sample members in both groups were convicted of a crime during the follow-up period, with between 8 and 9 percent convicted of a felony and about 5 percent convicted of a misdemeanor. For both groups, the convictions were spread fairly evenly across crime categories, which include violent, property, drug, and public order crimes. Less than 5 percent of study participants in either group were convicted of a crime in each of the four categories. 5 Records of arrests and convictions are sometimes sealed (that is, removed from public criminal history records) or expunged (that is, removed entirely from criminal history records) according to state law. For example, states may seal or expunge juvenile records or records of arrests that did not result in conviction. 6 Compared with the arrest rate among sample members in the Center for Employment Opportunities (CEO) evaluation, which tested a transitional jobs program in New York City, the arrest rate for the TJRD sample is high. Among CEO’s early release subgroup (which provides the best comparison with the TJRD sample because it included those who were randomly assigned within three months of release from prison), 24 percent of the control group was arrested. See Redcross et al. (2009). The difference between the CEO and TJRD arrest rates may be due to variation in state rules about the sealing of data. While New York State automatically seals some arrest records when they do not result in a conviction, some of the states included in the TJRD evaluation do not. Therefore, the TJRD sample may have more arrests included in the unsealed data provided by the states. 7 Langan and Levin (2002). 93 Box 6.1 Glossary of Recidivism Outcomes Admissions to prison. Admissions to state prison for any reason. Admissions to prison for a new crime. Admissions to state prison with a new sentence following a conviction for a new crime. New crime admissions do not include prison admissions based only on violations of parole conditions. Admissions to prison for a technical parole violation. Admissions to prison after a parolee has violated a condition of his parole from a previous incarceration. As a condition of release to parole, parolees must meet certain conditions, which may include reporting to a parole officer, abstaining from drugs and alcohol, participating in substance abuse treatment, attending anger management classes, or a number of other conditions. Depending on its severity, a violation of these rules may lead to the revocation of parole, resulting in a return to prison. Technical rule violations are not usually preceded by an arrest or conviction. Admissions to prison for other reason. Admissions to prison for a reason other than a new crime or parole violation. These reasons include returns after an escape and, in Wisconsin, admissions to prison for a Temporary Parole and Probation Hold. These holds, which typically last only a few days, but may be as long as 90 days, are not technically parole revocations; they may be used as a warning to a parolee who has broken a technical rule, to investigate a possible violation, or as a precursor to a revocation. Temporary holds, which can also occur in jail, occurred frequently in state prison in Milwaukee because the nearby Milwaukee Detention Facility was used for this purpose.a Arrests. Unsealed arrests. Depending on state rules for the sealing of arrest records, the data may include arrests that did not lead to a conviction. Convictions. Dispositions of guilty, whether by trial or plea. Some convictions may have been related to an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment. Felony or misdemeanor convictions. Convictions with felony or misdemeanor charges. For each conviction date, only the charge with the highest class, in order of felony, misdemeanor, and other, is included. Violent, property, drug, or public order convictions. Convictions with charges in the given crime category.b Crimes were categorized as follows: Violent crime: Homicide, manslaughter, kidnapping, sexual assault, robbery, assault, extortion, and other crimes against the person. Property crime: Arson, burglary, larceny, stolen vehicles, fraudulant activities, stolen property, damage to property, smuggling, and other property offenses. (continued) 94 Box 6.1 (continued) Drug crime: Drug trafficking, drug possession, and other drug offenses. Public order crime: Weapons offenses, traffic offenses, nonviolent sex offenses, obscenity, family offenses, commercialized sex offenses, obstructing the police or the judiciary, bribery, disturbing the public peace, invasion of privacy, and other public order offenses. ______________________________ NOTES: aState of Wisconsin Department of Corrections (2003). Holds that resulted in a parole revocation were counted only as admissions for technical violations. b Crimes were categorized based on the 1994 Bureau of Justice Statistics Special Report classifications (see Langan and Levin, 2002). The transitional jobs programs did not reduce the percentage admitted to prison in Year 1. Thirty-five percent of the TJ group and 36 percent of the JS group, which does not represent a statistically significant difference, were admitted to prison during that time. Most of the prison admissions were for technical parole violations, which occur when a parolee violates a condition of his release, such as abstaining from drugs, reporting to a parole officer, or being home by a specified curfew. Twenty-two percent of the TJ group and 24 percent of the JS group were returned to prison after a parole violation, a difference that is not statistically significant — though, as discussed below, there was a significant impact on this measure in the first half of Year 1. Lower percentages, about 6 percent in the TJ group and about 5 percent in the JS group, were admitted to prison on a new sentence after being convicted of a new crime. Finally, just less than 10 percent of the sample was admitted for another reason; this category includes mostly admissions in Milwaukee for temporary parole and probation holds, which do not occur in state prison in the other three study sites. Temporary parole and probation holds, which typically last only a few days but may be as long as 90 days, are not technically parole revocations and may be used to warn a parolee who has broken a technical rule, to investigate a possible violation, or as a precursor to a parole revocation. (See Box 6.1 for more information on reasons for incarceration.) Despite the lack of significant impacts on the percentage admitted to prison, the transitional jobs programs reduced the number of days spent in prison in Year 1 by about seven days. On average, in the year following random assignment, the TJ group spent 40.2 days in prison, compared with 47.5 days among the JS group,8 a statistically significant difference. This impact appears to be driven by a reduction in parole revocations in the first six months of the follow-up 8 Measures of the number of days in prison include zeroes for those who were not admitted to prison. 95 period (shown in Table 6.2 and discussed below). An analysis of impacts by site, discussed below, also shows that this impact was driven by the results in only one site, St. Paul. The last line before the bottom panel of Table 6.1 shows the percentage of sample members who were arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison in the year following random assignment. The transitional jobs programs did not have a significant impact on this recidivism composite measure. More than half of the sample members in both groups — 54 percent of the TJ group and 56 percent of the JS group (not significantly different) — experienced at least one criminal justice event during the follow-up period. The bottom panel of Table 6.1 shows impacts on combined measures of employment status and prison status in the last quarter of the year. These outcomes measure whether a sample member was ever employed — in a transitional job or a job covered by unemployment insurance (UI) — and whether he was ever in prison at any point during that quarter. A person could be considered incarcerated and employed during the same quarter even if the employment and incarceration were not simultaneous.9 The combined measures show that by the end of the year, the two groups were experiencing similar prison and employment outcomes. The only impact on these combined measures is an increase in the percentage employed but not incarcerated (31 percent of the TJ group and 27 percent of the JS group). This impact appears to be driven not by incarceration but by the 4 percentage point impact on total employment in that quarter, which was driven by a small number of people who were still working in transitional jobs (see Table 5.1 in Chapter 5). Over 45 percent of the sample in both groups was neither employed nor incarcerated in Quarter 4. Because no survey data were collected for TJRD, it is not possible to know what these individuals may have been doing to support themselves during this time period. See Appendix Table D.1 for impacts on combined measures for all quarters. There was a reduction in parole revocations and time in prison in the first half of the follow-up period, which was driven by impacts in one site, St. Paul. If being employed reduces the likelihood of crime, it might be expected that recidivism impacts would occur at the same time as, or soon after, employment impacts, such that when 9 Individuals are not likely to have been simultaneously in prison and employed in UI-covered jobs. Although individuals may have jobs in prison, these are not UI-covered and therefore do not appear in the employment data used in this report. Because the UI data are available only by quarter and do not provide specific dates of employment, it is not possible to test whether employers reported earnings for time periods that overlapped with incarceration spells. 96 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table 6.2 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Follow-up Time Periods: Full Sample Outcome Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Difference (Impact) P-Value Months 1 to 6 Arrested (%) 20.9 18.9 1.9 0.302 4.2 5.4 -1.2 0.250 Admitted to prison (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a technical parole violation Admitted to prison for other reason 20.6 1.7 13.3 6.0 22.7 1.6 16.1 5.4 -2.1 0.2 -2.8 * 0.5 0.249 0.787 0.071 0.600 Total days incarcerated in prison 11.3 16.8 -5.5 *** 0.000 Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) 33.5 35.9 -2.3 0.281 Arrested (%) 23.9 21.0 3.0 0.125 Convicted of a crimea (%) 10.0 9.6 0.3 0.810 Admitted to prison (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a technical parole violation Admitted to prison for other reason 18.4 4.4 10.4 3.9 18.1 3.2 10.0 5.2 0.3 1.2 0.4 -1.3 0.881 0.182 0.762 0.175 Total days incarcerated in prison 28.9 30.7 -1.9 0.469 Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) 36.3 36.0 0.3 0.901 Sample size (total = 1,808) 909 899 Convicted of a crimea (%) Months 7 to 12 SOURCES: Calculations based on data from Michigan State Police, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority, and the Department of Corrections in each state. NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aSome convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment. These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment. employment is increased, recidivism is reduced. If this were true, reductions in recidivism would be most likely to occur early in the follow-up period, since the largest impacts on employment occurred in the first two quarters. This hypothesis is considered in Table 6.2, 97 which shows impacts separately for the first six months of the follow-up period and the second six months of the follow-up period. As with outcomes for the year as a whole, there were few statistically significant impacts during either of these time periods. However, the table shows a small reduction in admissions to prison for a parole violation in the first six months, when 13 percent of TJ group members and 16 percent of JS group members had their parole revoked. This impact probably produced the reduction of 5.5 days in prison during this time period. The timing of this impact suggests that it is directly related to the transitional jobs employment. The impacts by site, discussed in the following section, indicate that this reduction in parole violations was driven by the results in the St. Paul site and did not occur in the other three sites. Impacts by Site Table 6.3 shows key recidivism impacts by site (see Appendix D for full recidivism impact tables for each site). Each panel of the table shows impacts for one of the four sites, and the column on the far right shows whether the impacts are significantly different across sites. As discussed in Chapter 2, the criminal justice context and a number of the sample characteristics differed substantially across sites. The results in Table 6.3 suggest that those differences led to variation across sites in the rates of recidivism. The rates of recidivism varied across sites. The arrest rates were especially high in Chicago, where 44 percent of the job search group was arrested during the one-year follow-up period. The number of prior arrests at baseline, shown in Table 2.2 in Chapter 2, was also highest for the Chicago sample. These relatively high rates of arrest may reflect the available data, as Illinois does not automatically seal the records of arrests that do not result in a conviction.10 While the other three states also do not automatically seal all arrest records, the process that is necessary to have an arrest record sealed may be less onerous in those states.11 The hypothesis that rules for sealing affect the arrest rates seems plausible, since the conviction rates, which would generally not be affected by rules for sealing 10 In Illinois, criminal records include all arrests, even in cases in which charges were dropped or the person was found not guilty, unless the individual successfully petitions to have his record removed. These petitions require the individual to obtain his own criminal records and detailed information about the case, pay a fee, and possibly appear in court. See Office of the State Appellate Defender (2010). 11 In Michigan, arrest records may not be automatically sealed once a person has had a prior conviction. See Michigan Legislative Council (n.d.). In Minnesota, records of arrests that did not lead to conviction may not be sealed, and may require a petition, fee, and a court hearing. See Minnesota Judicial Branch (n.d.). In Wisconsin, sealing is not automatic, but a petition to have them removed requires only a one-page form. See Crime Information Bureau (2009). 98 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table 6.3 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Site Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) Outcome Difference Between b P-Value Site Impacts Chicago Arrested (%) 45.8 44.2 1.6 0.761 Convicted of a crimea (%) 17.6 14.9 2.8 0.475 Admitted to prison (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a parole/probation violatio Admitted to prison for other reason 22.9 7.9 15.5 0.0 20.4 8.7 12.3 0.0 2.6 -0.8 3.2 0.0 0.545 0.776 0.380 0.000 Total days incarcerated in prison 22.3 24.7 -2.4 0.709 Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) 50.6 48.1 2.5 0.627 39.4 33.5 6.0 0.206 Convicted of a crime (%) 14.1 18.9 -4.8 0.180 Admitted to prison (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a parole/probation violatio Admitted to prison for other reason 15.4 7.2 7.8 0.4 12.4 5.0 7.3 0.1 3.0 2.1 0.5 0.4 0.377 0.378 0.842 0.446 Total days incarcerated in prison 18.4 16.4 2.0 0.701 Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) 43.0 40.8 2.2 0.647 33.7 30.7 3.1 0.455 Convicted of a crime (%) 10.2 11.9 -1.7 0.554 Admitted to prison (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a parole/probation violatio Admitted to prison for other reason 50.9 3.2 22.6 31.9 52.1 3.1 21.2 34.0 -1.3 0.1 1.3 -2.1 0.780 0.975 0.718 0.623 Total days incarcerated in prison 49.6 57.0 -7.3 0.344 Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) 59.6 62.2 -2.6 0.559 †† † Detroit Arrested (%) a †† † Milwaukee Arrested (%) a †† † (continued) 99 Table 6.3 (continued) Outcome Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) Difference Between b P-Value Site Impacts St. Paul Arrested (%) 37.7 35.3 2.4 0.586 Convicted of a crimea (%) 14.0 12.6 1.4 0.640 Admitted to prison (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a parole/probation violatio Admitted to prison for other reason 44.4 6.4 38.9 0.0 53.2 3.9 50.3 0.0 -8.7 ** 2.5 -11.4 *** 0.0 Total days incarcerated in prison 60.4 83.3 -22.9 *** 0.005 Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) 58.8 68.7 -9.9 ** 0.045 0.200 0.008 0.000 †† † 0.019 SOURCES: Calculations based on data from unemployment insurance records in each site, Michigan State Police, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority, and the Department of Corrections in each state. NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aSome convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment. These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment. bThe H-statistic was used to test for statistically significant differences in impact estimates across sites. Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent; †† = 5 percent; † = 10 percent. data, are fairly similar across sites, ranging from 12 percent to 19 percent. There may be some other reason for the large number of arrests in Chicago; for example, the sample in Chicago may be especially prone to arrest, or policing in Chicago may be especially stringent. There was also a good deal of variation across sites in prison admissions, especially in admissions resulting from a technical violation of parole. Returns to prison were rarest in Detroit, where only 7.3 percent of the job search group was returned to prison after a parole revocation. Because of Michigan’s “truth in sentencing” law, described in Chapter 2, prisoners in that state tend to serve out a relatively high percentage of their sentence before they are eligible for parole. As a result, they may have had relatively little time left on parole after release, and therefore less time for their parole to be revoked.12 12 Time left on parole was not measured at baseline. 100 In St. Paul, the proportion of participants who returned to prison after a parole revocation was especially high.13 There, because of a recruitment strategy that focused on halfway houses (see Chapter 3), a high proportion of the study sample — 65.6 percent — was on intensive supervised release (ISR), a parole status usually assigned to parolees with a history of sex offense, violence, or other serious crimes.14 Parolees in this status are more closely monitored than those on standard supervised release, have stricter parole conditions, and face more stringent penalties when those conditions are broken.15 The high rate of parole revocations in St. Paul is likely due to the high rate of individuals who are under intensive supervised release in the sample. Returns to prison in Milwaukee were also high, though most were neither new sentences nor parole revocations but temporary parole and probation holds (which, as noted above, may be used to warn a parolee who has broken a technical rule, to investigate a possible violation, or as a precursor to a parole revocation).16 Temporary holds, which can also occur in jail, occurred frequently in state prison in Milwaukee because a nearby state prison facility was used for this purpose.17 Since only state prison data were collected for this project, and these types of holds do not take place in state prisons in the other three states, the measured incarceration rates are higher for Milwaukee than for the other sites. Despite variation in the rates of recidivism across sites, there was little variation in impacts, as few impacts are statistically significant. However, there was a reduction in parole revocations and time in prison in St. Paul. Table 6.3 shows that, as was the case for the full sample, there were no statistically significant impacts in any of the sites on the percentage arrested or the percentage convicted of a crime in the year following random assignment. There were some significant differences on conviction classes and categories in some of the sites (shown in Appendix tables D.2 through 13 Because of Minnesota’s determinate sentencing laws, most individuals sentenced to prison in that state must spend two-thirds of their sentence in prison and one-third on supervised release. Thus, the length of supervision and the timing of release from prison are determined by a judge at sentencing and not by a parole board. See Minnesota Sentencing Guidelines Commission (2009). Therefore, most individuals under community supervision in Minnesota are under “supervised release,” which refers to release from an indeterminate sentence. However, for simplicity, this report refers to all individuals on post-release supervision as “parolees.” 14 At year’s end 2007, 24.9 percent of all prison releases under community supervision in Ramsey and Hennepin counties, which encompass St. Paul and Minneapolis, were on intensive supervised release. See Minnesota Department of Corrections (2008a). 15 Minnesota Department of Corrections (2008b), (2009). 16 The “other” category in this analysis includes only those cases in which the person was held in state prison and which did not lead to a parole revocation. Holds that resulted in a parole revocation were counted as admissions for technical violations. See Division of Community Corrections (2003). 17 According to a communication from staff of the Wisconsin Department of Corrections, the Milwaukee Secure Detention Facility is used for temporary parole and probation holds. 101 D.5), but there is no discernible pattern to these differences. Given the size of the site samples and the number of outcomes measured, it is likely that these differences occurred by chance and do not reflect true impacts of the transitional jobs programs. Transitional jobs program impacts on prison admissions and time spent in prison do differ by site, as there are statistically significant reductions in parole revocations and time spent in prison in St. Paul, but no significant impacts on these measures in the other three sites. This finding suggests that the full sample impacts on parole revocation and time in prison are driven primarily by the impacts in St. Paul. In that site, there was a decrease of 11 percentage points in prison admissions for parole violations, and TJ group members spent 23 fewer days in prison, on average, than their JS group counterparts.18 These impacts are significantly different from the impacts in the other three sites. It is not entirely clear why the St. Paul program reduced parole violations, while the other TJ programs did not. However, further analysis suggests that these impacts are driven by impacts among the parolees on intensive supervised release.19 As discussed above, individuals in that status are subject to relatively close monitoring and have more stringent parole conditions than typical parolees. As a result, they may be at relatively high risk of violating parole. It may be that transitional jobs are more effective at improving the behavior of these high-risk individuals or that they are effective at improving the specific behaviors that are monitored more closely in this population. Given the high level of monitoring, any behaviors that may lead to parole violation are more likely to be noticed by parole officers, and therefore any reduction in these behaviors is more likely to affect violations. Alternatively, it may be that the transitional jobs programs did not improve behavior but that, when parole violations were committed, the Department of Corrections (DOC) took employment, including employment in a transitional job, into account when deciding how to respond to the violation. When parole officers discover low-level parole violations, such as breaking curfew or failing a drug test for the first time, DOC has some discretion in deciding the level of sanction to apply to the parolee. According to Minnesota DOC guidelines, DOC may revoke parole and send the individual back to prison or it may impose some other sanction, like requiring the parolee to participate in drug treatment or modifying the parolee’s curfew. In making these decisions, employment can be considered a mitigating factor, such that the DOC 18 Measures of the number of days in prison include zeroes for those who were not admitted to prison. Additional analysis was conducted to determine whether the impact in Minnesota might be driven by sample characteristics. That analysis suggested that the difference between the impacts in St. Paul and the impacts in the other sites was driven largely by those who were living in transitional housing. Since 81 percent of ISR individuals live in transitional housing, it is likely that this impact is related to the large percentage of ISR individuals in the St. Paul sample. Other sample characteristics, including age, prior violent conviction, and race, did not appear to drive the difference. 19 102 may be more likely to revoke parole if a person is not employed and more likely to impose a lesser penalty if he is employed.20 Given this situation, the large impacts on employment early in the follow-up may have resulted in TJ group members being less likely to have their parole revoked when violations occurred. This process may have been especially common in St. Paul if intensive monitoring meant that ISR individuals were more likely than typical parolees to be caught violating low-level parole conditions. Impacts of the Retention Bonus in St. Paul Because the four sites in TJRD varied on multiple dimensions, including economic, criminal justice, and programmatic factors, it is difficult to determine whether particular program components may be effective. However, a change in the program in the St. Paul site allows for a test of the efficacy of retention bonuses. Partway through the follow-up period, the St. Paul site began to offer cash incentives to program participants who obtained unsubsidized employment and were able to document their continued employment on a monthly basis for up to six months.21 As described in detail in Chapter 5, using the St. Paul sample, a subgroup analysis was conducted to compare impacts among those sample members who were not eligible to receive a retention bonus because they were randomly assigned before the bonuses were offered, with impacts among those in the sample who were eligible to receive such a bonus because they were randomly assigned when the bonuses were offered. Table 6.4 shows impacts on key measures of recidivism by bonus group. There are no differences in arrest or conviction impacts. However, the results suggest that the impacts on parole violations in St. Paul were concentrated in the bonus-eligible sample. In that subgroup, there was a reduction of 25 percen- 20 The Minnesota Department of Corrections (2009) provided the following explanation: “A supervising agent has the responsibility to supervise and monitor the offender’s compliance with his/her conditions of release. Agents can and do frequently administer warnings and cautions to offenders when low-level violations of release conditions occur, such as missing curfew or failing a drug test for the first time. They, also, have the discretion, in consultation with a Field Supervisor, to formally initiate an immediate local sanction for lowlevel violation behavior that falls short of requiring a new or modified release condition to restructure supervision in the community or an arrest warrant following a determination of imminent risk to public safety. If violation behavior rises to the level of release condition restructure or warrant issuance, an agent must contact the Hearings and Release Unit [HRU] of the DOC. At this point, HRU will, along with agent input and DOC’s formal Revocation Guidelines, determine an appropriate sanction to be applied either through a restructure to remain in the community or a revocation hearing to consider a return to prison. When considering sanctions at any level, employment, as a constructive community activity, is considered a mitigating factor.” 21 The Milwaukee site also offered retention bonuses throughout the follow-up period. However, because the bonus was offered to all TJ program group members in Milwaukee, it is not possible to separate the effect of the bonus from the effects of other program services and local context. 103 104 c 59.1 60.8 Total days incarcerated in prison Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) 165 Sample size (total = 502) 8.7 20.3 34.1 36.9 Incarcerated and employed Incarcerated and not employed Not incarcerated and employed Not incarcerated and not employed Status in the last quarter of Year 1e(%) 46.8 6.0 41.6 0.0 4.3 4.4 4.1 4.1 15.8 9.8 6.1 39.0 Admitted to prison (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a technical parole violation Admitted to prison for other reason Conviction categoriesd (%) Convicted of a violent crime Convicted of a property crime Convicted of a drug crime Convicted of a public order crime Convicted of a crime (%) Convicted of a felony Convicted of a misdemeanor Arrestedb (%) Outcome 165 7.6 27.0 34.4 31.0 65.8 80.0 49.0 3.1 47.5 0.0 2.9 2.3 1.3 4.9 11.3 5.8 4.7 35.1 1.1 -6.7 -0.3 5.9 -5.0 -20.9 ** -2.1 3.0 -5.9 0.0 1.4 2.1 2.8 -0.8 4.6 4.0 1.4 3.9 0.722 0.153 0.953 0.276 0.334 0.037 0.694 0.184 0.264 0.000 0.495 0.284 0.133 0.735 0.240 0.185 0.602 0.473 86 1.3 23.5 47.7 27.5 53.9 65.0 39.5 8.1 32.3 0.0 5.0 2.8 0.0 3.5 11.3 7.7 3.6 35.9 86 8.0 25.3 23.2 43.4 75.2 87.6 61.6 4.7 57.2 0.0 5.4 5.3 0.0 4.6 14.2 6.2 9.1 35.1 -6.8 ** -1.8 24.5 *** -15.9 ** -21.2 *** -22.6 -22.1 *** 3.4 -24.9 *** 0.0 -0.4 -2.5 0.0 -1.1 -2.9 1.5 -5.5 0.8 0.044 0.795 0.002 0.032 0.006 0.134 0.005 0.395 0.001 0.000 0.910 0.429 0.000 0.744 0.600 0.721 0.188 0.922 (continued) ††† †† † † †† †† Difference Exposure to Retention Bonuses Between Not Exposed to Retention Bonuses Exposed to Retention Bonuses Transitional Job Search Difference Transitional Job Search Difference Subgroup Jobs Group Group (Impact) P-Value Jobs Group Group (Impact) P-Value Impactsa St. Paul One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Exposure to Retention Bonuses Table 6.4 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration 105 NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aThe H-statistic is used to assess whether the difference in impacts between the subgroups is statistically significant. Significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent, †† = 5 percent, and † = 10 percent. bEach arrest date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple crimes or charges on the same date, only the most serious charge is recorded in the analysis. cEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Some convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment. These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment. Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. dThe categorization of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). eIncarceration and employment status in Quarter 4 after random assignment. SOURCES: Calculations based on unemployment insurance data from Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension and the Minnesota Department of Corrections. Table 6.4 (continued) tage points in the percentage returned to prison for a parole violation, compared with no significant impacts among the participants in the no-bonus group. The impact on parole violations among those in the bonus group appears to have driven significant impacts on prison admission and on the composite recidivism measure, with TJ group members being 21 percentage points less likely to be arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison than their JS group counterparts. It is not clear why these subgroup differences exist, given that the impacts on parole violations occurred early in the follow-up period, before most participants could have worked long enough in a permanent job to receive a bonus. Given the timing of the impacts, it is not likely that the subgroup differences are attributable to the retention bonuses themselves. It is possible that they result from higher rates of transitional jobs participation among TJ group members in the bonus group. Table 5.3, in Chapter 5, shows that 99 percent of bonus-eligible TJ group members worked in a transitional job in the first quarter of the follow-up period compared with 89 percent of no-bonus TJ group members. It is possible that because, as discussed above, employment can be a mitigating factor when parole revocations are considered, the high rate of transitional jobs employment among the bonus group led to larger impacts on parole violations. Alternatively, the subgroup differences may reflect a difference in the proportion of ISR parolees in the two groups; in the bonus group, 72 percent were on ISR compared with 62 percent in the no-bonus group. Impacts for Other Subgroups In addition to impacts across sites and the subgroup analysis of retention bonus eligibility in St. Paul, other subgroup analyses were conducted to determine whether the impacts of the transitional jobs programs differed by age, random assignment cohort, employment history, or criminal justice history. The results of those analyses are shown in Appendix G. Past research suggests that the impacts of employment programs on recidivism vary by age, with reductions in crime among those age 27 years and older but little impact on crime among those under age 27 years.22 A subgroup analysis was run to test whether the impacts of the TJ programs differed by age subgroup. The results of this analysis do not show a pattern of systematic differences in recidivism impacts by age subgroup. (See Appendix Table G.2.) In order to determine whether the impacts of the TJ programs differed depending on the strength of the economy, a subgroup analysis was conducted that compared impacts by random assignment cohort. As shown in Figure 2.1 in Chapter 2, there was a steep rise in the unem22 Uggen (2000); Uggen and Staff (2001). 106 ployment rates in all four cities starting in November or December of 2008.23 The cohort subgroup analysis is designed to compare program impacts among those who experienced a relatively good economy before the change in unemployment rates with impacts among those whose follow-up period fell largely within the months in which unemployment rates were increasingly high. However, there could have been other changes over time that could produce differences between the two cohorts. The late cohort is defined as those who were randomly assigned on or after April 1, 2008, and the early cohort is defined as those who were randomly assigned before April 1, 2008.24 The results, presented in Appendix Table G.4, show that there is no consistent pattern of differences in recidivism impacts by cohort. Finally, subgroup analyses were also conducted to compare the impacts of the TJ programs by employment history (those who had worked for at least six months with the same employer in the past compared with those who had not), by criminal justice history (those with more than three past convictions compared with those with three or fewer past convictions), and by educational attainment (those who had a high school diploma or a General Educational Development certificate compared with those who did not). The results are shown in Appendix Tables G.6, G.8, and G.12. In all cases, there was not a consistent pattern of statistically significant differences in subgroup impacts. The Connection Between Employment and Recidivism As already observed, the theory behind the transitional jobs model for former prisoners is that transitional jobs will both increase unsubsidized employment and, via increases in transitional and unsubsidized employment, reduce recidivism. This logic assumes that employment is causally and inversely related to crime, meaning that all other things being equal, a former prisoner who becomes employed is less likely to commit a new crime than he would be if he were not employed. If this were true, positive impacts on employment would likely be associated with negative impacts on, or decreases in, recidivism. Since the transitional jobs programs led to large increases in employment, driven by transitional jobs, TJRD provides a test of whether employment in the form of transitional jobs — that is, temporary, minimum wage, 23 The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) dated the beginning of the recession as December 2007, but unemployment rates, presented in Figure 2.1, suggest that this decline did not strongly affect employment until late 2008. See www.nber.org/cycles/dec2008.html for NBER recession dates. 24 Study enrollment occurred at different rates and during somewhat different time periods in the four sites. The site that ended study enrollment earliest was St. Paul, which randomly assigned participants through May 2008. The latest site was Chicago, which enrolled participants through September 2008. Because of the different enrollment periods, some sites are under- or overrepresented in each cohort. However, an analysis that weighted each site equally within cohorts did not show substantially different results. 107 low-skilled work — leads to reduced recidivism. However, the recidivism impacts do not fit the expected pattern. Figure 6.1 shows the quarterly impacts of the transitional jobs programs on total employment and on arrests. The figure includes arrests because they are likely to be the cleanest measure, among those available, of criminal activity in real time.25 If these results were consistent with the hypothesis that employment of any kind is causally related to crime, the The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Figure 6.1 Quarterly Impacts on Employment and Arrests: Full Sample 40.5*** 1 Quarter after Random Assignment -1.1 32.9*** 2 2.6 13.5*** 3 2.5 Impact on employment 4.2* 4 Impact on arrests -0.1 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Impact (percentage) SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from each site and unemployment insurance, wage records from each of the states (Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin), and criminal justice data from Michigan State Police, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, and Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority. NOTES: Significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. 25 Unlike convictions and prison admissions, arrests usually occur at the same time as, or soon after, the criminal activity takes place. Further, unlike parole officers, who may take employment status into account when deciding whether to revoke parole, police officers are less likely to be influenced by or aware of employment status when making arrests. Therefore, arrests may be a better measure of criminal activity than parole violations. 108 figure would show an inverse relationship between employment and arrest impacts. When there were positive impacts on employment, there would be negative impacts on arrests, and these impacts would be largest in the early quarters when the employment impacts were largest. However, Figure 6.1 does not show this pattern. While there were large positive impacts on employment, driven by transitional jobs, there were no significant impacts on arrests at any point in the follow-up period. The two sets of impacts do not appear to be related to each other. This pattern of employment and arrest impacts suggests that employment, at least in the form of transitional jobs, may not be causally related to recidivism. Given that there were no increases in unsubsidized employment, these results do not provide evidence of whether higher quality, permanent employment would produce recidivism impacts. However, these results suggest that simply having employment of any kind may not affect a former prisoner’s propensity to recidivate. It will be important to discover whether a different pattern of results emerges during the second year of follow-up. Conclusion The TJ programs had little impact on key measures of recidivism in the year following random assignment. For the full sample, there were no statistically significant impacts on arrests or convictions. There was a small reduction in days spent in prison, which was driven by impacts early in the follow-up period in the St. Paul site. There was not a strong pattern of subgroup differences in recidivism impacts by age, cohort, employment history, criminal history, or education. Despite variation across sites in the rates of recidivism, there was little variation across sites in the recidivism impact results. As for the full sample, there were few significant impacts. The exception is in St. Paul, where there was a reduction in parole revocations. This impact appears to drive the small set of full sample impacts described above. The St. Paul results may be related to sample characteristics in that site, where a high percentage of sample members were on intensive supervised release, which is a more stringent form of parole. While TJRD cannot test whether permanent, higher quality, or unsubsidized employment reduces recidivism, a comparison of the pattern of employment impacts with the pattern of arrest impacts suggests that minimum wage, temporary employment may not be causally related to recidivism. 109 Chapter 7 Cost of the Programs in the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration The previous chapters in this volume reported on the implementation and impacts of the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration (TJRD) programs. This chapter presents estimates of the cost of providing TJRD services to research sample members. The cost of services provided to the typical transitional job (TJ) group member is compared with the cost of services provided to the typical job search (JS) group member. The chapter begins with a brief description of the methodology and data sources used in the cost analysis. The costs of providing transitional jobs and related services to the TJ group are then presented, followed by a comparison of those costs with the costs of the TJRD job search programs to provide services to the JS group. Methodology of the Cost Analysis The cost analysis measures the per person expenditures for providing transitional jobs or job search services to the research sample plus operating costs during the one-year follow-up period.1 Participants in the transitional jobs group received services from the programs for about four months each, on average, in Chicago, Detroit, and Milwaukee, and for an average of five months each in St. Paul. The cost analysis considers the value of all resources required for service provision, including staff salaries and fringe benefits, office space, supplies, and overhead costs. The general approach is to place dollar values on all resources that are used, whenever possible, either by directly measuring them or by estimating them. The costs are estimated and presented as an average cost per sample member. This cost analysis compares the cost for the TJRD transitional jobs programs to provide services to the TJ group members with the cost of services provided to JS group members by the TJRD job search programs. The analysis uses the cost of services provided by the St. Paul job search program as a proxy for the job search programs in all four sites. The cost of the St. Paul job search program, operated by the Wilder Foundation, represents the median cost of three of the TJRD job search programs and is considered representative of the cost to run the 1 Because costs are estimated for the first year following study enrollment, they cover services received by individuals during that time, but not any follow-up services received during subsequent years. 111 TJRD job search programs.2 To show how the cost comparisons are affected by the decision to use St. Paul as the job search program proxy, results are presented using alternative costs, by site, for two other job search programs in Appendix Table E.1.3 Data Sources The data for the cost analysis includes in-depth interviews with program staff, detailed financial reports from the TJRD transitional jobs and job search programs, and participation records from each program’s management information system (MIS). Financial expenditure reports from each transitional jobs and job search program cover fiscal year 2008; the exact months and years varied depending on the program.4 Study participants enrolled in the TJRD programs between January 2007 and September 2008. Therefore, fiscal year 2008 represents a “steady state” period of operation for the programs, as experienced by TJRD sample members. Expenditure data were combined with data from each program’s MIS on the number of individuals served in various activities during the same time period, to produce cost estimates for each program component. This analysis presents costs per participant, assuming that each participant receives the same average amount of services. In this study, service receipt was measured for one year after enrollment in the programs.5 2 The cost of services for the Chicago job search program, which was run by the Safer Foundation, was similar to the cost in St. Paul. The cost of Project RETURN, which served JS group members in Milwaukee, was much lower than the costs for the Chicago and St. Paul job search programs and was unusually low in comparison with the cost of other programs offering similar services (based on prior studies). For example, Aos et al. (2001) found that the average cost per participant for programs offering similar services was $772 (in 2001 dollars), which is roughly equivalent to the cost of the TJRD programs in 2008 dollars. 3 The job search programs in Chicago, St. Paul, and Milwaukee provided financial expenditure data. Data from the job search provider in Detroit were not collected. 4 That is, fiscal year expenses covered March 1, 2007, through February 29, 2008, for the programs in Detroit and St. Paul, and from July 1, 2007, through June 30, 2008, for the Milwaukee and Chicago programs. 5 To the extent that a participant receives services for longer or shorter time periods, this analysis could over- or underestimate the actual cost of providing services to each participant. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to account for the actual number of months each individual worked in a transitional job. The cost that was derived using this approach was very similar to the costs presented in this chapter. The average costs, accounting for varying lengths of participation, were within $100 of the costs presented in this chapter. The exact difference in costs that were found in the sensitivity analysis varied by site. The costs that were derived in the sensitivity analysis for Chicago and Detroit were within a few dollars of the costs presented in this chapter. The cost for Milwaukee was within $200, and the cost for St. Paul had the biggest difference, with $500 less per TJ group member in the sensitivity analysis. Thus, while it is possible that the average costs presented in this chapter may slightly overestimate the actual cost per TJ group member, the general similarity of costs found in the sensitivity analysis suggests that the costs presented here are likely to be an accurate estimate. 112 Cost Components Figure 7.1 illustrates the main cost components for the transitional jobs and job search groups. It shows that the expenditures for the TJRD transitional jobs program services (Box A) make up the gross cost for each TJ group member (Box B). The gross cost includes (1) expenses related to the transitional jobs, such as wages, fringe benefits, and field/site supervision expenses, and (2) expenses for other program activities, such as intake and orientation, case management, job readiness and job search services, and participant supports.6 Box C shows the TJRD job search program services — including intake and orientation, employment readiness and job search services, and in some cases, participant supports — which reflect the gross cost that accrued to JS group members (Box D).7 As described above, all gross costs include staff salaries and fringe benefits, overhead, and administration. The net cost of the TJRD transitional jobs programs — that is, the cost per TJ group member over and above the cost per JS group member — is represented in Box E of Figure 7.1. The net cost is obtained by subtracting the gross cost per JS group member from the gross cost per TJ group member. Limitations of the Analysis This analysis is not a cost-benefit analysis and therefore does not account for any benefits of the transitional jobs programs that might offset their costs. In other words, during the first year, the transitional jobs programs increased TJ group member’s employment and earnings, but the analysis does not account for any benefits from that increase, such as income tax benefits that accrue to government budgets or higher Earned Income Tax Credits (EITC) for participants, nor does it account for expected benefits stemming from the transitional jobs themselves. For example, TJ group members performed job functions while working in the transitional jobs, and presumably those job functions have some value. This analysis does not account for any offsetting benefits of the labor output from those jobs. The wages, fringe benefits, supervision, and administration of the transitional jobs are presented as part of operating costs, without accounting for the funding of those positions. In Chicago, for example, transitional job wages were paid by the transitional job worksite provider in that site (Allied Waste) and were not subsidized by the TJRD program (run by Safer). This 6 Examples of the participant supports provided by the transitional jobs programs include transportation costs (for example, bus passes), photo identification fees, housing rent/deposits, emergency food cards, driving fines (including fines for reinstating a license that has been suspended), work supplies, auto insurance, dental/medical care payments, and child support. Vocational training was offered only by the St. Paul transitional jobs program. 7 For example, the job search program in St. Paul (Wilder Foundation) provided participant supports for transportation costs, photo identification fees, work supplies, and other employment needs. 113 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Figure 7.1 Simplified Diagram of Major Cost Components in the Transitional Jobs and Job Search Programs Transitional Jobs Program Job Search Program A C Transitional Job Services: Job Search Services: Intake and orientation Employment readiness and job search Participant supports Transitional Job Expenses Transitional job wages Transitional job fringe benefits Field/site supervision Other transitional job expenses Other Expenses Intake and orientation Case management Job readiness/job club services Participant supports Counseling services Vocational training Job retention bonuses B D Sum = Total cost per Transitional Job group member Sum = Total cost per Job Search group member E Difference = Net cost per Transitional Job group member (E = B minus D) 114 analysis includes transitional job wages as a program cost, without regard to whether the wages were subsidized by the programs or by another source. This cost analysis also does not account for the cost of possibly displacing other workers as more TJ group members worked in the transitional jobs. This analysis does not measure nonmonetary costs or benefits of the transitional jobs programs, such as a possible increase in program participants’ self-esteem and/or readiness for change. Finally, this cost analysis includes only the costs associated with services that are provided by the TJRD transitional jobs and job search programs. It is likely that TJ and JS group members received services from other programs in the community during the follow-up period. The extent to which TJ or JS group members participated in other services outside of TJRD is not known. It is also not known whether there were differences between the research groups in participation rates in other services.8 Operating Costs The operating costs for transitional jobs programs cover expenditures for the average transitional jobs group member and have been estimated for all of the main components of the program. The average operating cost per transitional jobs group member for a specified activity was calculated by first estimating a unit cost for each activity (that is, the average operating cost per participant in that activity). To obtain the gross cost per TJ group member, the unit cost per participant was multiplied by the participation rate in that activity. Participation rates in various activities, also shown in Chapter 4, varied across the sites. The cost of providing transitional jobs program services, for the average length of time in the program of four months, was about $4,300 per TJ group member. Nearly half of those costs consisted of direct payments to participants in the form of transitional job wages, participant supports, and job retention bonuses. Table 7.1 presents the estimated unit and gross costs of operating the TJRD transitional jobs programs, with each cost representing the average across all four transitional jobs programs. The average cost of services was $4,309 per TJ group member, which covers the cost of transitional jobs services over the average length of time that participants received services in 8 Client surveys are sometimes helpful in providing information about services received by research sample members; however, as noted in earlier chapters, this project did not include a client survey. 115 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table 7.1 Estimated Unit and Gross Costs for the Transitional Jobs Group (2008 Dollars) Cost Componenta Average Cost per Participant in This Service Component Average Rate of Gross Cost per Participation in Average This Service Transitional Jobs Component Group Member Transitional job expenses Transitional job wages Transitional job fringeb Field/site supervision Other transitional job expensesc $2,041 $202 $394 $37 85.2% 85.2% 85.2% 85.2% $2,279 $1,739 $172 $336 $32 Other expenses Intake and orientation Case management Job readiness/job club activitiesd Participant supportse Counseling servicesf Vocational training Job retention bonuses $228 $835 $817 $130 $272 $1,120 $887 92.7% 74.0% 67.2% 76.6% 59.5% 20.8% 17.8% $2,031 $211 $618 $549 $100 $162 $233 $158 Total costs $4,309 SOURCES: MDRC calculations using financial expenditure reports for 2008 and in-depth interviews with program staff, combined with data on participation rates from each program's management information system. NOTES: aAll sites provided data for total transitional jobs (TJ) and other expenses, but not all sites provided information allowing these totals to be broken into individual cost components. Accordingly, the individual cost components that are presented represent the average across sites that provided such data. For all sites, administrative oversight and overhead costs are included under other expenses. Recruitment costs attributed to the research study are not included in costs. bFor example, workers' compensation insurance. cFor Chicago, includes only bonuses provided to TJ workers for retaining TJ employment, and work equipment (for example, safety vests). dIncludes job readiness/job club and job development activities. e Can include transportation (for example, bus cards), housing rent/deposit, emergency food cards, driving fines (including fines to reinstate a suspended driver's license), work supplies, auto insurance, photo ID fees, dental/medical care payments, and child support. fAvailable in Chicago only, this cost and participation rate was provided by program staff and includes counseling services for anger management and substance abuse. the TJ program, approximately four months.9 This cost figure is in line with those reported nationally and those found in other random assignment evaluations of two other transitional 9 The average time spent in a transitional job was 11 weeks, but those weeks may not have been consecutive. On average, the total length of time that participants spent in the TJRD program was approximately four months. 116 jobs programs, the Center for Employment Opportunities (CEO) and the Transitional Work Corporation (TWC).10 The CEO program in New York, which serves former offenders, showed an average cost of $4,200 per TJ group member,11 while TWC in Philadelphia, which serves welfare recipients, had an average cost of $3,500 per TJ group member.12 This analysis showed that the largest share of expenses for transitional jobs group members were for costs related to the provision of the transitional jobs. The average cost for wages was $1,739 per TJ group member. (Average cost includes zeroes for TJ group members who did not work in a transitional job.) An estimated $336 was spent on supervision and an estimated $172 was spent on transitional jobs fringe benefits such as workers’ compensation insurance. With regard to the gross costs for other transitional jobs program activities, the largest share of expenses was for case management ($618) and job readiness ($549). Job readiness costs also include those for job development and retention services because such costs could not be disentangled from one another. (For some sites, the same program staff were responsible for providing both types of services, which often overlapped.) In addition, an estimated $211 was spent on the initial recruitment, intake, and orientation into the program for each transitional jobs group member; this number excludes costs that are attributable to research-related activities. Participant support payments worth $100, on average, were provided to transitional jobs group members for things like transportation costs, photo identification fees, housing rent/deposits, and emergency food cards. Also, in two of the four transitional jobs programs (Milwaukee and St. Paul), participants were eligible for job retention bonuses, which cost an estimated $158 per transitional jobs group member. (That number includes zeroes for TJ group members who did not receive a bonus.)13 As described in previous chapters, the retention bonuses were special incentives for sustaining unsubsidized employment that were offered in two of the TJRD transitional jobs programs (Milwaukee and St. Paul). Additionally, data from St. Paul show that an estimated $233 per transitional jobs group member was spent on vocational training. Some participants in Chicago also received additional 10 Nationally, the cost of transitional jobs programs ranges from approximately $2,000 to $14,000 per person, with wages making up 13 percent to 59 percent of this total, depending on the program. See Kirby et al. (2002) for a study of six transitional jobs programs targeting long-term, hard-to-employ welfare recipients; see, also, National Transitional Jobs Network (2009). 11 Redcross et al. (2009). 12 Bloom et al. (2009). 13 Chapter 4 shows that among those who received a bonus, each person received an average of $618 in payments during the first year. 117 counseling support services, such as substance abuse treatment and anger management counseling, at an estimated cost of $162 per TJ group member. Costs by Site Table 7.2 shows the estimated gross costs per transitional jobs group member, separately for each of the four transitional jobs programs. In terms of total operating expenses, three of the four programs were within a range of a few hundred dollars of the average cost of $4,309 per TJ group member. The average cost per participant of Milwaukee’s transitional jobs program, at $3,551, was quite a bit lower than the average for the four demonstration programs. The Chicago and St. Paul TJ programs had the highest average costs per participant, at $4,756 and $4,889, respectively. The cost differences among the sites were driven mainly by differences in the implementation of the transitional jobs model or by the provision of additional services in certain sites. Specifically, both Chicago’s and St. Paul’s TJ program participants had longer stays or worked more hours, on average, in the transitional jobs, and thus the costs for TJ wages and other related expenses were higher in those two sites.14 As stated above, St. Paul also offered extra services such as vocational training and job retention bonuses. Chicago offered extra counseling services to participants, such as anger management counseling and substance abuse treatment. Milwaukee’s costs are lower because fewer program group members worked in a transitional job and because the site operated a scattered site TJ model; thus, the daily supervision of participants on the worksites was provided by staff at the worksites, which is less costly for the transitional jobs program. Notably, in Detroit, the costs of other program services (such as job readiness and case management) could not be disentangled given the structure of the financial data provided by the site; yet, the overall share of costs for other program services represents a portion that is in line with those provided by two of the other sites — that is, approximately half of total operating costs. Net Cost of the Transitional Jobs Programs The net cost of the transitional jobs programs is the difference between the cost of the TJRD transitional jobs program services and the cost of basic employment readiness and job search services, as provided by the TJRD job search programs. 14 In addition, differences in the minimum wage across sites may also account for site differences in costs. The minimum wage was highest in Chicago at $8.00 per hour and lowest in St. Paul at $6.15 per hour. 118 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table 7.2 Estimated Gross Costs for the Transitional Jobs Groups, by Site (2008 Dollars) Cost Componenta Chicago Detroit Milwaukee St. Paul Transitional job expenses Transitional job wages Transitional job fringeb Field/site supervisionc Other transitional job expensesd $3,230 $2,265 $317 $614 $34 $1,801 $1,334 $125 $342 NA $1,906 $1,496 $217 $193 NA $2,177 $1,824 $72 $281 NA Other expensese Intake and orientation Case management Job readiness/job club activitiesf Participant supportsg Counseling servicesh Vocational training Job retention bonuses $1,526 $121 NA $1,064 $119 $222 NA NA $2,239 NA NA NA $166 NA NA NA $1,645 NA $912 $623 $45 NA NA $65 $2,712 $457 $781 $571 $216 NA $319 $368 Total costs $4,756 $4,041 $3,551 $4,889 SOURCES: MDRC calculations using financial expenditure reports for 2008 and in-depth interviews with program staff, combined with data on participation rates from each program's management information system. NOTES: NA indicates that data were not available for that site. aAdministrative/oversight and overhead costs are included under other expenses. Recruitment costs attributed to the MDRC research study are not included in this table. bFor example, workers' compensation insurance. cFor Detroit, exact field/site supervision costs were not provided; thus, the same proportion of programming costs that field/supervision costs represented in St. Paul were applied to Detroit. dFor Chicago, includes only bonuses provided to TJ workers for retaining TJ employment, and work equipment (for example, safety vests). eFor Detroit, other expenses could not be separated into different components, except for participant supports. fFor Chicago, this category also includes case management time that could not be separated from job readiness/job club activities. gCan include transportation (for example, bus cards), housing rent/deposit, emergency food cards, driving fines (including fines to reinstate a suspended driver's license), work supplies, auto insurance, photo ID fees, dental/medical care payments, and child support. hAvailable in Chicago only, this cost and participation rate was provided by program staff, and includes counseling services for anger management and substance abuse. 119 The average cost of the TJRD transitional jobs programs per program group member was $3,340 more than the cost of services provided by the TJRD job search programs. The first column of Table 7.3 shows the costs of transitional jobs and other programming services for the average TJ group member, as discussed in the previous section. The second column of Table 7.3 presents estimates of expenditures by the TJRD job search programs to provide employment readiness and job search services to the JS group. The cost for the services provided by the TJRD job search program averaged about $969 per JS group member compared with the TJ programs’ average cost of $4,309 per program group member. Thus, the net cost of services for the transitional jobs group member was $3,340 over and above the average cost of services for the typical job search group member (represented by Box E in Figure 7.1). The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table 7.3 Estimated Net Costs for the Transitional Jobs Group (2008 Dollars) Gross Cost per Average Transitional Jobs Group Member Gross Cost per Job Search Group Memberb Net Cost per Average Transitional Job Group Member Transitional job expenses $2,279 $0 $2,279 Other expenses (job readiness, case management, etc.) $2,031 $969 $1,061 Total costs $4,309 $969 $3,340 Cost Componenta SOURCES: MDRC calculations using financial expenditure reports for 2008 and in-depth interviews with program staff, combined with data on participation rates from each program's management information system. NOTES: aCosts include only services provided by the transitional jobs (TJ) and job search (JS) programs in TJRD. bBased on costs obtained from the St. Paul JS program, which represents those of all JS programs in this analysis. See Appendix Table E.1 for costs of other TJRD job search programs. As discussed above, the job search program in St. Paul was used to represent the average cost of services that were provided to all job search group members in this cost analysis. Costs were also estimated for two other TJRD job search programs, and net costs, using these alternative costs for the local job search program, are presented in Appendix Table E.1. Notably, the alternative net costs are similar to the average net cost presented here: $3,571 in Chicago, $3,920 in St. Paul, and $3,358 in Milwaukee. 120 Conclusion This analysis has shown that the net cost of providing transitional jobs and other employment-related services was $3,340 more per TJ group member than the average cost to provide basic job search services to the JS group. Of this total, more than half of the costs were reflected in direct payments to transitional jobs group members in the form of wages, supportive payments, and job retention bonuses. The next largest share of costs was for case management and job readiness services. Costs for sites were generally similar, with the biggest differences being driven by differences in the implementation strategies and in the cost for “extra” services that were provided in two of the sites. The focus of this analysis has been on the monetary costs associated with the TJRD programs. This analysis does not attempt to estimate the monetary benefits resulting from participation in the transitional jobs programs, and consequently, any exploration of their cost effectiveness is beyond the scope of this analysis. However, because the transitional jobs programs generated few impacts on unsubsidized employment, earnings, and recidivism during the first year, the amount of any corresponding monetary benefits that might be associated with these programs is questionable. The programs likely added some value to the communities in which they were launched — for example, via the “ripple effect” of having an additional source of monetary funds flowing through otherwise disadvantaged communities. 121 Chapter 8 Qualitative Study of Transitional Jobs Group Members In addition to the quantitative analyses that were described in the preceding chapters, a qualitative study was undertaken as part of the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration (TJRD) project. The qualitative study was conducted to acquire an in-depth understanding of the experiences of a selection of men who were placed in transitional jobs. Rather than evaluating the program, the qualitative study was designed to document and illustrate the experiences, reactions, opinions, and beliefs of these men as they reunited with their friends and families, encountered transitional employment, and then attempted to integrate more formally into society generally and the world of work in particular. The initial sample included 33 men drawn from all four focal cities: Chicago, Detroit, Milwaukee, and St. Paul. (See Appendix F for demographic portraits of the sample.) The transitional jobs agency staff selected the cases to be included (so they may reflect men who represent the best-case scenarios for each agency), who were then contacted by the researcher for the qualitative study. Those who agreed to be interviewed made up the sample. The names given in this report for the men who were interviewed are fictional. The Field Work Plan The data for the qualitative study were collected from three rounds of in-person interviews that were conducted from 2008 to 2010, as well as intermittent telephone conversations and visits to the residential communities of 14 of the men. The men received gift cards for use at Target department stores; they received a $25 card for completing the first formal interview and a $20 card for each of the next two formal interviews. During the interviews, specific attention was given to the men’s views on the world of work and work opportunity in their respective cities and municipal regions, and their hopes, dreams, and desires in relation to the workplace, the residential community, and (if relevant) the family. A particular point of investigation concerned how these men thought about and managed their public identities as previously incarcerated men and how the transitional job informed their efforts in that direction. The first round of on-site interviews took place during January through March 2008. (Accordingly, all references to the men’s ages are based on the year 2008.) They were conducted at the transitional jobs program agencies. All of the first-round interviews took place with men who were actively engaged in their transitional jobs; the researcher for the qualitative study interviewed 17 of the men, and a research assistant who was trained in qualitative research interviewing techniques conducted 16 of the interviews. 123 While the men did not always provide all the requested information, the interview questions covered each participant’s history of family relations, educational attainment, schooling experiences, and employment prior to incarceration. Each participant was then asked about his history of convictions and periods of incarceration, and was asked to provide a general account of his incarceration experience, in particular employment-related training or schooling opportunities that he may have pursued while incarcerated. The next portion of the interview involved documenting each participant’s assessment of the local world of work and work opportunity to ascertain the extent to which each respondent maintained ideas about the kind of job opportunities that existed in his municipal region and the extent to which those perceived opportunities meshed with his desires and interests concerning longer-term employment. Each participant was then asked to discuss expected family obligations or personal interests that he wished to pursue now that he was no longer incarcerated. The interview concluded with each participant’s assessment of the social support that he believed he would need to secure a good job and (if relevant) to contribute to his family’s and his own well-being. The interviews also addressed the participants’ difficulties in dealing with the societal and technological changes that had taken place during their incarceration and for which they were unprepared. In the year that followed the first-round interviews, the researcher for the qualitative study had follow-up telephone conversations with 20 of the participants.1 These conversations provided brief reports on the men’s experiences with their transitional jobs as well as any issues that pertained to their transition from incarceration. Included in these conversations were updates on the men’s experiences with any additional or subsequent work, family interactions, potential changes in their outlook toward work and family, and potential changes in their perception of support needs. The second round of interviews took place in the late winter of 2009. With the exception of the Detroit-based sample, these interviews were also held at the agency that was charged with assigning the transitional jobs; the Detroit participants were interviewed at public establishments in or near their areas of residence. This second round of interviews generated more information about work and family experiences since the first interview, as well as each man’s assessment of the TJRD program from the perspective of having completed the transitional job some months earlier. The second round of interviews also allowed for more thorough documentation and investigation of any changes that the men may have had in their outlook toward work and family, and in their perceptions of social support needs since the first round of interviews. The third round of interviews took place in late winter of 2010. The Chicago and Milwaukee interviews were held at the transitional jobs program agencies. The Detroit interviews 1 Telephone interviews were conducted once with 3 of the men, twice with 12 of the men, and three or more times with 5 of them. 124 took place in public establishments in the men’s residential communities. None of the St. Paul participants could be contacted for a third round of interviews in time for their inclusion in this report. However, caseworkers provided telephone updates on the status of some of these men. As was the case with the second-round interviews, the third-round interviews generated documentation of each participant’s account of more recent work and family experiences, assessments of the TJRD program since completing the transitional job, changes in outlook toward work and family, and changes in perception of support needs. The Data Analysis Design With the assistance of a research team of University of Michigan students, the interview data were analyzed by the application of a coding scheme that categorized the commentary according to the topics described above — views on the local world of work, expectations and desires for future employment, expectations and desires for future quality of life, experiences with the transitional job, and interpretations of the social significance of having been incarcerated. The small sample allowed for manual coding of the data, which also allowed for a more intimate connection with the cases than is often possible through computer-based qualitative data analysis programs. Comparative analyses of the data by subgroups were done according to the four sites where the demonstration took place, project city of residence, patterns of incarceration (single terms of 10 years or more, serial terms totaling 10 years or more, single terms of 9 years or less, serial terms totaling less than 9 years), and age group (39 years and younger; 40 years and older). The data that were collected during the second and third rounds of interviews also compared men who were employed after their transitional job experience with those who were not employed. The paucity of racial and ethnic differences in the sample prevented meaningful comparative analyses along those lines. Limitations and Caveats of the Qualitative Study The relatively small sample for the qualitative study (33 men from more than 1,800 in the full program evaluation) prevents formally generalized findings. Accordingly, the qualitative study provides in-depth accounts by men who experienced the transitional job phase of the demonstration project, with detailed self-portraits of their transition from prison to working in a temporary, subsidized job to their life situation two years after their exposure to such jobs. Unless otherwise stipulated, each finding reflects a simple majority sentiment of the men in a particular subcategory (for example, men from the two large cities or men who experienced incarceration for a period of less than 10 years). Minority perspectives are given when they offer particularly illustrative or insightful information. 125 As the qualitative study involved four sites, less information was gathered about the men’s experiences at work following the transitional job and in their places of residence than would have been collected had the study occurred in one site. Furthermore, as the sample diminished over the three years of field work, the qualitative study draws upon fewer men (13 of the original 33 cases) for its year-to-year follow-up. Finally, as in the full sample, the majority of the men in the qualitative study were African-American. Both the qualitative researcher and the research assistant who conducted a portion of the first-round interviews are also African-American, and both have extensive research exposure and life experiences in communities that are similar to those where the men resided. These similarities facilitated interaction and conversation with most of the men in the qualitative study. In the course of the field work, the interviewers had extensive informal conversations with the study participants (often involving sports, local and national politics, and the tribulations of family life and raising children) that supplemented and enriched the formal exchanges. Those conversations are referred to where appropriate to add depth and substance to this chapter. Core Findings from the First Round of Interviews, 2008 During the winter of 2008, formal, in-person interviews took place with six men from Chicago, eleven men from Detroit, eight men from Milwaukee, and eight men from St. Paul. In addition, a number of interviews with the men took place via telephone during the spring. Return to Society The common sentiment of the men who were interviewed was that, as previously incarcerated men, they were at an extreme disadvantage compared with most job seekers. Gary, who was 35 years of age and had served six years for sexual assault in St. Paul, sounded like many of the men who were interviewed when explaining his outlook: I think it’s more of a challenge for people coming out of prison with their history, criminal history; it’s a little bit more difficult because, you know, we’re having people who have clean records who’s been at jobs for years and now they’re losing their jobs and out there trying to get a job . . . They would probably be more likely to get a job before somebody who, you know [has been in prison]. Another common sentiment was that reentry into society meant having to acquire all of the resources and accoutrements necessary for job readiness as quickly as possible, because incarceration had precluded easy access to such things as identification, appropriate clothing for work, transportation, a place to live, and so forth. Brock, a 39 year-old Detroit man who had served 20 years for killing a man while engaged in a narcotics transaction, put it as follows: 126 It’s been kind of hard to get my state ID and stuff like that [because] I was incarcerated for a long time, so the transition’s been pretty, you know, hectic . . . I mean, if you go by what’s on the news every day, jobs are scarce, you know what I’m saying? People are striking all over the place. People getting foreclosed on . . . It’s barely people making ends meet, trying to keep their heads above water. In assessing his situation, Brock went on to say: It was a lot easier being locked up than it is being out here . . . Being locked up, even though it’s drastic on the mental [level], you get three meals a day, you can sleep in a warm bed, warm room, you got your TV, you don’t have to . . . really do nothing but get up, go to school, maybe get a job, you know what I’m saying? And you’re confined to that one little area. But you come to the streets, man, you got to hustle to get a state ID, and what I mean by hustle, you got to drive here, try to get this paperwork, do this, try to make sure all your paperwork’s straight, and I still ain’t got a state ID. Trying to get your driver’s license, trying to get a place to stay, trying to get some medical insurance, trying to get benefits coming in. The men with shorter sentences (fewer than 10 years) were less anxious about acquiring the necessary materials to reestablish themselves as citizens and potential employees; for the most part, they already possessed many of those items. Hence, Brock’s comments reflect one end of the spectrum of reactions to reentry. However, even those who served considerably shorter sentences spoke of the hurried pace that is necessary for getting prepared for life after incarceration. In a rather telling commentary, Walter, a 23-year-old man who was incarcerated for narcotics distribution and who returned to Milwaukee after his release, said the following about his incarceration experience: “It humbled me, because I know that you can get everything took away from you and they don’t really care about that. So, I know that there is another side to life besides the streets and being out. It can always get took away from you, so it’s very humbling.” Walter’s observation points to the stress and difficulty that formerly incarcerated individuals face when entering new social and emotional situations upon their release from prison. Barry introduced another dimension of the humility that many men experience after serving time: What I’ve seen is that a lot of guys feel like there’s something owed to them when they come home . . . Some of them just feel like everything’s supposed to fall in place just like that, you know, job, house, wife, and it doesn’t happen that way. There’s nothing for me to be ashamed about, so I don’t try to hide it at all. These remarks help elucidate the mindsets of the men upon their initial reentry into society. Essentially, prior to incarceration, most of them saw themselves as highly efficacious men. For most of them, the past was a time when they were extremely capable of acquiring 127 what they wanted to get out of life, at least in terms of material resources. However, incarceration put them into positions of dependency and subordination, and upon being released they began to wrestle with how to assume their independence again. Yet, that often meant that they had to behave in ways that were largely foreign to them or inconsistent with their past experience. Hence, what was at stake for them was not simply finding secure positions in the world of work, but attaining security and comfort in their private lives. The need to balance those two goals, and the difficulty of doing so, was apparent in everything they said about their experiences with transitional jobs in particular and their return to society more generally. Social Support During the Reentry Process Virtually all the men who had served either a single short-term sentence (less than 10 years) or had experienced cyclical patterns of incarceration and reentry for a period of less than 10 years reported having more elaborate and more reliable social networks of support (family, friends) upon their release from prison than did the men who had served longer terms. They viewed this support base as equal in value to their transitional job in allowing them to begin to adjust to society. In contrast, those who experienced long-term incarceration expressed significant concern that they had few people to whom they could turn for assistance while making the transition back to society. These men were more emphatic about having to find immediate work upon completing their transitional jobs, as they were not secure about whom they could rely upon for various kinds of support (particularly financial) once the transitional job ended. Theodore, from Milwaukee, provides one example. At 43, Theodore had served multiple terms totaling 13 years for narcotics distribution. He mentioned his ex-wife as his only sure form of social support upon his release. As he explained: If you try to do it by yourself with a background like mine, it’s depressing. It’s not good, and you’ve got to take a lot of nos. This is anybody. Even without a criminal record, you’ve got to take a lot of nos. But, with a criminal background like mine, trying to do it yourself, it’s depressing. In fact, there was a lot of discussion from these men about the importance of social networks in adjusting to their new lives. The men with more extensive social networks were considerably more comfortable about asking for support, and each believed that the various people who made up his base of support would help him in his efforts to find employment and to secure other resources that were essential for his independence and stability. Those who believed that they had less support were much more preoccupied with securing employment. As far as they were concerned, they could rely only on themselves. Hence, they insisted that their survival depended upon securing consistent and rewarding employment. Self-sufficiency, then, was considerably more important for men who believed that they had fewer social contacts and resources to rely upon. 128 Coming Back to the Neighborhood The men from the two larger cities (Chicago and Detroit) were very focused on the need to remove or buffer themselves from the social encounters and contexts that proliferated in their communities and that often led to incarceration. A significant concern for these men was how to avoid interactions with the potentially problematic people and circumstances that surface in municipalities with more extensive crime and poverty problems. Martin, a 21-year-old man who returned to his Detroit neighborhood after serving a four-year term, said: People are being robbed and all kinds of stuff, and I wouldn’t want to get robbed, you know? That’s why I think . . . [returning to the old neighborhood will] affect me. The guy that got killed in front of my building — they robbed him and they killed him. And I think being over here and if someone tried to rob me, me being an ex-offender and all that and me with my personality, I’m not just going to sit around and let somebody just rob and kill me. In comparison, the men from Milwaukee and St. Paul, the two relatively smaller cities, were less concerned about potentially negative community effects because they had either relocated to areas that (at least as they saw it) were not characterized by crime and delinquency, or they believed that they were capable of avoiding problematic circumstances in their original neighborhoods because they considered those neighborhoods to be much less saturated with crime. Thus, the men in Chicago and Detroit were much more emphatic about securing jobs that could allow them both to relocate and to earn sufficient material support. In contrast, the men from the smaller cities rarely mentioned neighborhood relocation as an immediate goal. Confronting Societal and Technological Changes The length of time that men served in prison also distinguished the way they described their reentry experiences. One topic of intense preoccupation for them was the extent to which they viewed technology as overrunning the work sphere. They often said that the workplace, and society more generally, “moves faster today than it did before.” Men who had served 10 or more years described particular challenges related to the technological transformations that had taken place during the time they had been incarcerated, and they were the most anxious about being able to reenter a society and workplace that were vastly more computerized than when they were first incarcerated. Vasquez, a 37-year-old man from Chicago who served 17 years for his involvement in a gang-related murder, explained: 129 Man, the technology has changed dramatically; it’s like, that stuff is crazy. You know, trying to come back and get used to the cell phones and the computer. When I first got out, I tried to go get an application, they sent me to a computer, you know, there’s no more paper. And I’m like, “What am I supposed to do with this?” All the men who served lengthy terms were especially anxious about how they would learn to function in a vastly more technological society. In fact, Brock reported that in the first weeks of his release, he struggled to ride the bus in Detroit because he was not familiar with electronic fare cards, which had replaced the paper tickets that were in use prior to his incarceration. Brock said that as a grown man he felt embarrassed about asking people at bus stops to explain to him how to use devices that seemed to be so common for everyone else. His brief account reflects the degree of anxiety that the men felt upon their release, much of which pushed them to reconsider how prepared they were to reenter society and the world of work. In another example, Mel, a 56-year-old man from St. Paul who served 17 years for homicide, said, “So, I figured I had a pretty good handle on computers except for the fact that I knew nothing about the Internet, nothing about e-mail. It caught me pretty much off guard.” The feeling of being behind the times that was shared by those who served longer terms permeated their vision of the contemporary world of work in their respective municipalities. Here, however, many of the findings were tied to the fact that almost all of these men had life experiences that — whether by choice, given their involvement in illicit activities, or by circumstance, given the kinds of deprived neighborhoods in which they resided, or by a combination of both — had led to their exclusion from mainstream employment. Many of these men spoke of their prison terms as having “frozen them in time.” Upon release, they said, the pace of life seemed to pick up rapidly, and this meant that they had to find ways of “catching up.” In particular, many of them were unsure of what they needed to know about technology to secure satisfactory employment. Accordingly, for the majority of these men, much of their concern about employment was an insecurity about their ability to function effectively in both society and in the modern world of work. Envisioning the Modern World of Work When looking at the way in which these men conceptualized the world of work that they aspired to enter upon completing their prison terms, one common finding stood out among all others —that as previously incarcerated men, their prospects for work would not be as good as those of non-offenders. As Martin, who served a four-year term, explained, “I feel like it ain’t possible [to find a job], because I got a lot of family members that never been to prison with a high school diplo- 130 ma, and they can’t even find a job, so I know with me [it will be even harder], and I got a felony.” Aside from recognizing the paucity of jobs, the men offered very little in the way of explaining what was available or even possible in various municipal labor market sectors. That is, they had extraordinarily little to say about precisely what kinds of jobs they believed to be available in their respective cities and whether the availability of such jobs could survive the economic downturn. Essentially, the men expressed a strong desire for employment in order to help them achieve stability in their lives, but they demonstrated very little understanding of the world of work to which they aspired — for example, they had very little sense of what kinds of jobs may be more or less plentiful in the skilled blue collar or minimally skilled service sectors. Similarly, they demonstrated little or no knowledge of strategies for securing work beyond relying on case mangers for information about jobs and, as one man said, “just walking the streets” to try to find employment. Stephon, a 32-year-old man from Milwaukee who had served a total of six years for multiple terms, said: To be honest, you know, when you’re getting out of jail, you have to try to readjust back into the world. Once you get locked up, it’s like you’re dead, because you’re gone, you don’t hear nothing . . . When you get back out there, it’ll be hard for you to adapt because the only thing you know is one thing, and that’s fast money. You don’t know how to sit at a job and work at a job eight hours and collect a paycheck every Friday. You don’t know how to do that, because the one thing you’re used to is getting that money every day, fast money coming every day . . . Temptations is out there, man. Like a number of the men who spoke in similar terms, Stephon was trying to make the case that not only were men like him at a strong disadvantage in having to adjust to the contemporary world of work, but that they were constantly comparing their present-day disadvantage with the memory of their former ability to garner material resources. When first interviewed, each of the men who participated in the qualitative study was actively involved in a transitional job. Hence, whatever problems they identified in their vision of the modern world of work, they still had had some slight engagement with it. Unpacking that vision more fully, then, necessitates some consideration of how they thought about that job experience in relation to the larger world of work, which is described in the next section. Engaging with the Transitional Job as Preparation for the World of Work When asked to explain what they found interesting or even worthwhile about the transitional jobs program prior to entering it, the men said they believed that their participation would allow them to begin building work histories — which, because work history is an important 131 stepping stone to better and permanent employment, they saw as the essential step toward establishing economic and emotional stability and their principal need upon being released from prison. In a comment that applies to virtually all the men in this study, Sam, a 34-year-old man from St. Paul who served multiple terms totaling eight years, said, “Yeah, he [his parole officer] said they give you a chance to build yourself back up and also your work history. I’m like, man, that’s pretty good. To work yourself up, that takes time.” A few others said that they hoped to acquire some formal work-related skills that they never before had had a chance to cultivate. Mel reflected: [You need] skills. You need to have a certain kind of personality. You need to be able to present yourself as employable . . . You need to show them that, no matter what your past is, that the future is not my past, and that I have goals, I have skills, I have what they need. I need to impress upon them that I can be the employee that they need. And Chris, a 38-year-old man from Milwaukee who had served 20 years over multiple terms, observed: Transitional jobs do help you, especially if you’re getting out of prison because it motivates you to work. It motivates you to work, and then, through them four months that you’re working, you realize, yeah, I get a pay check. Now I get a pay stub. I ain’t got to go sell drugs or rob nobody. I work for a living now. Overall, these men were pleased to be earning an income but were thoroughly unsure about how that work experience would prepare them to get the kind of skilled blue collar jobs they hoped to find (which often were higher-skilled, factory-based jobs that involve working with machinery or small-scale construction). These men were not thrilled by their work, but they explained that they viewed their jobs as holding places until they could obtain more rewarding employment; they consistently said that their work gave them few skills that would be relevant for better employment. Perceptions by Age The men’s perceptions of how and whether their transitional job experience would prepare them for the world of work differed by age group. The men in the study who were over the age of 50 were considerably more anxious about finding unsubsidized employment and beginning the process of constructing personal work histories — with or without a transitional job — because they were acutely aware that they probably had fewer years to do so compared with younger men. Many of them referred to the challenge of beginning to build a work history past a point when others in their age group were thinking about retiring. 132 An example came from 53-year-old Joseph, who was from Chicago: “Because of my background, and I don’t have no high school diploma . . . You know, they want…somebody out there, you know, young, not old, not no 53-year-old man. The age make a lot of difference.” These men explained in great detail and with strong conviction how they were concerned that their bodies could not hold out for many more years. Hence, age was a central indicator of anxiety about the prospect of securing full-time employment, regardless of the transitional job. Quality of the Work Assignment When turning to the actual work experience, there was a clear dichotomy of views about the transitional job experience. The critical distinction was tied to the different qualities of the work assignments. The men in Detroit and St. Paul (who all whom worked for the Goodwill Industries agency in their respective cities) worked either in retail (St. Paul) or in light-scale factory work settings (Detroit and St. Paul). Each of them expressed slightly more comfort about their transitional jobs than did the men in Chicago. The Chicago-based men, who all worked in transitional jobs at the recycling plant, were the least enthusiastic about their experiences. As Terrence, a 36-year-old Chicago-based man who had served a series of short sentences for nonviolent crimes, explained: “I ain’t got no insurance . . . I’m asthmatic, I got sinus problems. The job that I’m working now, it bothers my sinus, it bothers my asthma. They don’t care. They work me to death.” The more middle-of-the-road perspective was offered by Travis, a 62-year-old sex offender in Milwaukee who worked in a retail capacity. He explained, “Work felt great because I was able to do something and . . . even though I’m on a monitor, the freedom of it was there.” For Travis, then, this freedom outweighed any negative aspects of the work experience itself. Thus, while the men who were working in retail or light-scale factory sectors voiced concerns that their jobs did not provide them with work-related skills that could help them to gain better employment, they certainly did not find their jobs as difficult or as disappointing as those in the recycling plant. Unlike Travis, however, almost all of the other Milwaukee-based men worked in a more quasi-professional capacity, as peer counselors to adolescent offenders, and they appeared to be considerably more satisfied with their work experiences. In fact, they consistently talked about how their work as counselors both provided them with a professional identity and allowed them to employ a set of skills (involving building social connections with troubled adolescents) to perform a job that they believed that were uniquely qualified to do. Indeed, the Milwaukee men who worked in this capacity all said that they hoped to continue doing that kind of work in a longer-term capacity following the transitional job. 133 One of these men, Hakim, who had served a 20-year term for narcotics distribution, said: Actually, it didn’t really feel like work at all, because, I don’t know, it just seemed like something I was always destined to do . . . Community outreach programs and just working with other community-based organizations in the neighborhood, I mean, that’s just what I’m about . . . We were doing a gang summons — pre-summons — trying to put together community workshops for everybody to come out so we could stop the violence. Basil, a 47-year-old man who had served a total of nine years for multiple offenses involving narcotics distribution, sounded more like the men who were incarcerated for longer periods: I really don’t care too much of what I do at this point. I just want to work. It’s simple for me. Some people think that that’s probably taking things lightly, but it’s not. It’s just that in my situation, I’ll take a laboring job. It pays my bills. It keeps me out of trouble. Indeed, most of the men who served lengthier sentences said that they simply wanted to work; their preoccupation was almost solely on getting a job rather than investing much thought in the kinds of jobs they preferred. Short-Term and Long-Term Goals The men were also asked about their short- and long-term goals concerning employment and overall quality of life. Not surprisingly, each of the men aspired to jobs that included benefits packages, at least some degree of upward mobility, and some degree of freedom and independence in the workplace. In terms of overall quality of life, the long-term goal of the majority of the men was to become a homeowner, and for many of those in Chicago and Detroit, the desire was to own a home in a residential neighborhood or suburb that was less “congested” than their current neighborhoods in the inner city — that is, they wanted to live in a neighborhood that had less temptation for pursuing or being exposed to criminal activity. Each of the men was quite aware of the fact that he was far from being able to achieve his ultimate goal of home ownership. Accordingly, each spoke quite specifically about shortterm objectives concerning work and residence. As for the short term, which meant the period following the completion of the transitional job, the men sought secure blue collar employment opportunities. Those who served shorter sentences were more elaborate about the kinds of jobs or careers they sought. Sam, for instance, said that he wanted to acquire a forklift operating license and place himself in a sector where he could make use of that skill. And Gary, who had served a six-year term, said that he would be comfortable starting a job at $10.00 per hour, but that he would prefer to earn $13.00 or $14.00, and that he wanted to work as an installer of copper cable or some similar material. 134 Overall, and given the quality of the job market at the time, these men were quite clear that lower-tier jobs were most likely in their immediate future. Gary essentially spoke for them all when he said: There are not a lot of good jobs. The type of jobs that exist for people like me are warehouse, some construction, a lot of manual labor, you know, no type of — just manual labor type of jobs I guess, you know. Slaughterhouse, you know — jobs of that nature. Nothing . . . in the kind of . . . corporate world where you can kind of break in, you know, show people that you are worthy of having a job of that nature. For most of these men, then, there was no strong connection between the transitional job and their ultimate desires in the world of work. Transition for them meant stepping into a job with better wages, prospects for upward mobility, and more intrinsic rewards from the work experience. As they saw it, however, navigating that transition involved dealing with their very public identities as previously incarcerated men. Managing the Public Identity Associated with Previous Incarceration At the very least, individuals who are released from prison and are seeking work are required to inform potential employers of their incarceration history, which can make it difficult to get hired. Basil observed: Mostly it’s the felony conviction that hinders employment for me . . . Felon, just the word, period, frightens people because they don’t really know. Some people don’t give you a chance because of the word “felon.” Martin, a 21-year-old participant from Detroit who had served a four-year term, explained: I’ll go in the store and ask them for an application. I’ll ask them if they’re hiring and they say, “Yeah.” Then I ask them straight up, right there, “Do y’all hire people with felonies?” They be like, “No, I don’t know. I don’t think you’re going to get the job.” As might be expected, these men regarded their former incarceration as the primary obstacle standing in their way of getting a job after the transitional job ended. All the men had strong hope that having a transitional job would minimize the social stigma of having to approach the labor market as previously incarcerated men. Yet almost all of them explained that they were beginning to realize how powerful that status is in the job search process. Vasquez, from Chicago, commented on the durability of the negative public image maintained by previously incarcerated men: I did 17 years in prison for murder. So, when you fill out the job applications, people look at that and [I] guess they’re scared. What they don’t know, though, is I’m a valuable worker. The nine months I was working (at the transitional job 135 in recycling, and then for a few months afterwards at the same location), I never missed a day. I was there, never late, all the time, but they don’t see this. It’s hard to land a job interview, because people look at the job application and see that murder and that scares them off. They don’t know I’m one of the best workers they’ll ever have, but I can’t get to the job interview, so I think that’s an obstacle. He went on to say: What people don’t know is that the average person that goes to jail for a murder is not necessarily a killer. It’s not like we go around killing people, we’re serial killers. We just made an accident. You know, when you coming up in the lifestyle of the gang life, you know, you run into accidents where some person may get killed, but it doesn’t mean that our intentions was to kill them, you know, it just so happens he got killed. When you young, you don’t know what you doing . . .We’re not killers. We go to jail and we realize we’re not killers. We go to jail, we do the time and we get smarter, but we’re not killers, man. At the opposite end of the incarceration continuum was Terrence, who had been incarcerated for nonviolent crimes. As he explained, “I ain’t hurt nobody or kill nobody, so it shouldn’t be held against me for life for something that I was doing when I was young.” Many of these men believed they could best counter the negative images associated with previously incarcerated men by developing positive identities as constructive and committed employees in the world of work. Accordingly, for these men the value of work was both what it delivered in terms of material support and the role that it played in their effort to construct a more sanitized public identity. In particular, the men who had been convicted of sexual assault and homicide/murder were the most emphatic about the significance of securing employment as a way to recreate themselves as worthy and positive public citizens. What was particularly interesting was the extent to which the men were convinced that others would judge their character based on their good habits and high levels of performance at work rather than on their criminal history. By way of example, Gary said: People can make a mistake in their life, but it doesn’t mean that their life is over. Being an ex-offender, I mean, it’s whatever emphasis you put on it. If you put a negative emphasis on it that you can’t achieve anything, then that’s what it is. That’s how I look at it. When asked if he believes that others look at him in a particular way because of his incarceration, he said: I’m sure they do initially until they really get to know me, get to meet me, really, and give me an opportunity to express myself and, you know, just talk to them. Basically people judge me, first of all, on the ex-offender thing — oh, he’s an ex-con or whatever. Then, you know, once they get to sit down and have a dis- 136 cussion with me and give me a chance to really express myself, you know, I hopefully change their minds. Finally, Sam was the only man in the qualitative study who believed that he could put a positive spin on having been incarcerated, especially when coupled with his participation in the transitional jobs project. He said: I look at it [being in prison] as an experience. It was an experience for me because maybe what I did was wrong and I admit that, but maybe it had to happen for me to get to this point, you know? If it wouldn’t never have happened, God knows where I’d be at now. So, right now, being an ex-offender is a great thing. I don’t mind ever telling anybody that I’m an ex-offender, and I smile and I feel good about it. It’s a great thing because a lot of positive has came out of the whole ex-offender thing. I mean, you still [find] doors being closed, but a lot more has opened, you know, because people see your dedication, your hard work, effort to not go back to where you came from. So, the whole ex-offender thing, I’m okay with it. While working in the transitional jobs and immediately after the jobs ended, these men were strongly focused on establishing various kinds of security for themselves — financial security in particular, but also emotional security and stability, and the social validation of themselves as decent people. Furthermore, when they talked about their transitional job experience and their future possibilities in the world of work, they did not focus solely on wages, but also on the other things they believed they needed (such as family and friends, better skills, a better public persona, a home, a better neighborhood) in order to attain these varied forms of security and stability. Core Findings from the Second Round of Interviews, 2009 During 2009, formal interviews were conducted in person with 13 of the original 33 research participants — as many as could be contacted directly in all four sites. These interviews were supplemented by periodic phone conversations with 20 of the men. The pattern and results of the site visits were as follows: Detroit. Three of the original 11 men in Detroit were interviewed for the second round, and updates were obtained from relatives via the case managers of the remaining eight participants. Two of the three men who were interviewed in this sample were working in full-time jobs at the time of the second interview. Chicago. Three of the original six men were interviewed for the second round in Chicago, and updates were obtained on the other three cases. Only one of the six men from this site who were originally interviewed in Round 1 was working full-time by midsummer 2009, according to a later telephone interview; he was self-employed, doing 137 small-scale landscaping and outdoor work. Another died in a house fire in March of 2009. Two were terminated from full-time jobs for inconsistent attendance. The two others who were interviewed during this second round were working part time in their original transitional jobs at the recycling plant. Milwaukee. Of the eight men who were interviewed in Round 1, five were interviewed in Round 2; updates were obtained on two; and one dropped out of the program shortly after the first round of interviews was conducted. Of the five men who were interviewed, two were working in full-time jobs by mid-summer 2009, according to telephone interviews that were conducted later; two were not working (one had been laid off from a retail trade job in the spring of 2009); and one began receiving disability benefits in 2009. Two men were reincarcerated; one, who was interviewed on the telephone, was reincarcerated for domestic abuse and robbery, and no information was available for the other reincarceration case. St. Paul. Second-round interviews were completed with two men of the original eight; updates were obtained for five men; and no information was available for one man. The two interviewed men and one man who was not interviewed were unemployed. One man had been reincarcerated for violating the terms of his parole for a sex offense conviction. Three were working at full-time jobs. One Year Later: The Return to Society One year after the first round of interviews, the men who left prison and returned to what they argued were fairly extensive networks of support had begun to rely more heavily on those networks for finding full-time employment, since their transitional jobs experience had not provided the means to do that. They expressed gratitude that those networks were available to them, and reported that they often felt as though they could count on nothing else, given the lack of job opportunities that were available to them. As Chris explained: Everybody’s still supportive of me. If we have a problem with each other, we always be able to sit down and talk about it. Yeah, they was real supportive when I was out of a job. Everybody always looked out and did what they could, and if they had it, they always asked me if I needed anything, but I was the kind of person, I would end up saying, no, I don’t need it, when I may have did. I just let my pride get in the way. A different perspective, from someone who had less of a social support system in place, was offered by Sam: Sometimes I’ll just be a little too independent and trying to do it myself, so I kind of lack on that [knowing how to rely on others], you know? It’s been pretty much me and, you know, in a way, I like it. I enjoy it because it’s something new 138 to me because the things I used to do and the people I used to be involved with and things like that — you know, it’s [being more independent] something new to me. It shows me experiences, it shows me responsibility, and it kind of helps me, you know, stand up as a man and accept whatever and just don’t give up because a situation is bad, you know? That being said, one year after the first formal interviews had been conducted, the men essentially reported little to no significant change in their patterns of social relations. Moreover, each of the men who was interviewed in the second round reported little to no tension, pressure, or compulsion to return to the social relations and activities that had led to their incarceration. Almost to a person they stated that they kept an appropriate distance from distracting or threatening situations, and had by now created public identities in their neighborhoods as men who, as one participant put it, “no longer lived that kind of life.” Some reported that they had casual interactions with old friends and associates who continued to engage in illicit or delinquent activities, but those interactions, the men reported, were very inconsistent and intermittent. For instance, Walter said, “It’s a lot of people that have offered me things and tried to get me back into the game, but I’m ‘no.’ They took too much from me the first time.” Envisioning the Modern World of Work In the second year of the study, the interviews generated comments about envisioning the modern world of work that were in most respects very similar to those made during the first round of interviews. The men continued to have a strong sense of their disadvantage in the labor market as formerly incarcerated men. In addition, they were keenly aware of the larger economic crisis that affected employment prospects in their respective cities and in the country more generally, and they knew that work opportunities were severely restricted because of the state of the economy. Furthermore, and more problematically, the men had no sense of how to navigate this crisis in order to find consistent employment. As most of them had remained on the margins of the work world during the preceding year, they had little to draw upon to enrich their understanding of possibilities in local labor market sectors. Many of the men simply said, “It’s just bad out here. I don’t know what to do about it, but it’s just bad.” Engaging with Work One Year After Leaving the Transitional Job The second-round interviews revealed that frustration and anxiety were beginning to emerge for the men who were not working. Many of them commented that they had begun to question whether their earlier investments in the transitional jobs program provided them with any meaningful advantages, given their lack of success finding work. Garfield, a 39-year-old man who had served 14 years for aggravated sexual assault while high on drugs, described his experiences trying to find work after completing his transi- 139 tional job in the retail store of St. Paul’s Goodwill center. He found a job in retail that was so distant from his residence that it involved hours of round-trip transportation to get to and from work. As he explained, “It didn’t work out too good. Just transportation-wise, I wasn’t driving. There was a bus. I could have been responsible and got on the bus every day, but I just said it was too much of a hassle.” Transportation problems factored into a number of cases when the men either struggled with the jobs that they found after the transitional job experience or could not find work at all. As Benjamin, a 32-year-old man from Chicago who had served multiple terms totaling 11 years, said: The reason why I lost that job was because it was out in . . . Cicero [a western suburb of Chicago] and I was staying on 51st and State [on the south side of Chicago] at the time . . . I had to be to work two hours early on the bus, and it was cold out and my car had broke down at the time. And one day it broke down and I didn’t get to work and I lost the job. While none of the men reported having to resort to criminal activity, about a third of them said that living for a year without work caused them to think more often about earlier periods in their lives when their illicit activities and involvements allowed them to be more economically secure. As Jerry, a 44-year-old man who had served a total of 19 years for various sentences in Detroit, put it, “If I feel that I can’t get a job, I can always go to dope because that’s always a job, you know what I’m saying?” And Tony, a 32-year-old man who had served 10 years for narcotics distribution in Detroit, said: I got a lot of friends who are still in the life now . . . or just selling little bags here and there to make their little extras or whatever, which most of the people who I know who are working right now, pretty much that’s what they do for their little extras, because it’s hard out here, man. I used to hear people say that all the time, like, man, it’s hard . . . Now [as a result of being unemployed], I see what they’re talking about, because they was trying to do the right thing. It’s hard to do the right thing, man. It’s easier to do wrong. For about half of the men, the security of the transitional job resulted in an emotional letdown when full-time employment did not follow. As Theodore explained: That kind of surprised me in a negative way . . . not being able to get employment shortly thereafter this one [transitional job], because I thought I was on a good roll, you know? So, that’s kind of surprising . . . they [employers] just haven’t called me and I’m circulating résumés and applications and I don’t know their reasons, you know? I’m kind of surprised that nobody would even throw me a bone by now . . . I don’t know if it was because I got hooked up with New Hope [doing offender counseling in Milwaukee], which made my 140 transition kind of not so bad, but now that I’m not with them, I do see the workforce here in Milwaukee being, you know, very few and rare. An even more despondent case was Nick, a 29-year-year old man from St. Paul who had served a total of seven years for various convictions. In assessing his months of failed job searching since completing his transitional job, he said: Then it got to the point where I was getting discouraged, nobody is trying to hire me, so I gave myself an excuse not to keep pounding and pounding. So I just gave up and went to the old me again. While he did not admit to returning to crime, he explained that the “old me” was the kind of person who thought more about how to hustle to make ends meet rather than seek formal employment. He said, “Because a criminal job, it don’t take much. All you need is the right people or a little bit of money and whatnot. Doing it legal is hard, because you can’t have no failings.” At the completion of the formal second-round interviews, the men were asked to reflect on the transitional jobs one year after completing them. The reactions were mixed. The few men who were employed since completing those jobs readily admitted that the transitional jobs had served them well in helping them make the transition from prison. Gary commented: I think the program is good program. I think it did what it could do for me and I’m appreciative of it. It gave me a work history, gave me a support group that I could go to twice a week, I think it was, to be able to just talk some of the struggles. I don’t really see at this point — I can’t really think of anything that they could have really done more. I mean, that was really pretty much the basic stuff of what a person needs. A person needs a support group, a person needs a job when they come out, you know. I really don’t know anything else more they could have did. Similarly, Chris said: Without them . . . I would have been lost, because I was contacted when I was in prison, and by me being in there a long period of time, I wouldn’t have known how to come out here and adjust to the job situation on the streets because I got a letter from them and I went and hooked up with them finally. They helped me out through a lot of stuff. Yeah, it was a big help. Without them, I wouldn’t have got no first job. Others who had been unemployed since completing the transitional job were not clear that they had benefited at all from the program, as represented here by Terrence: [The transitional job agency] get what they want out of us. That’s how I feel. Like now, I’m here [to be interviewed]. I don’t have to be here. I was asked to come here, but I don’t never get a call to see do I need a job, but they call me for this, you know what I’m saying? So, I feel like why would you call me now for 141 this and you won’t even call me when I’m out here and I’m not working to see how I’m doing? I show up at all y’all million programs. I don’t show up anymore, because y’all just send me on blank missions. If y’all going to send me on blank missions, I can go on a blank mission by myself. When asked to explain how he felt about his inability to find secure employment following his transitional job experience, Theodore said: I felt like I needed more. One of my biggest things is, you know, I’m 44 and I been locked away. I want to get somewhere where I can finally have somebody offer me some benefits, you know, because it’s not so much the money that I make hourly. In a similar vein, Hakim, also from Milwaukee, said: It’s only a matter of time, a matter of days, weeks, months, or years, and we’ll be back into the same loop again, which is called the revolving door of the penitentiary. They let us come out here. They want you to do better — no, you want to do better because you have to for your benefit and your fam’s benefit. But, if I got jobs closing the door in my face every time based on what I did way back in the days, what am I supposed to do? I got to eat, my fam got to eat, I got to pay bills, I got to live. So, what you want me to do? You want me to do the right thing, but you’re not giving me a chance. Hakim was not criticizing the transitional job experiences so much as he was despondent about the lack of help in Milwaukee for previously incarcerated men who were trying to find work. As both Theodore and Hakim had worked as peer counselors for their transitional jobs assignment, and both had enjoyed their work, it is not surprising that they were especially disappointed with their lack of employment nearly one year later. Also not surprisingly, Sam — one of the few men who found work following a period of unemployment after the transitional job had ended — incorporated the perspectives of both the employed and the unemployed in his assessment of the transitional job one year later: I really struggled [after completing the transitional job and finding no employment], I mean big time, but I didn’t give up. I had to make a way, and it had to be the right way and it wasn’t going to be the streets or whatever, it was going to be, I’m going to be a stand-up guy, responsible, and I’m going to make this through, you know. One year after completing the transitional job, then, most of the men who were interviewed expressed their frustration at remaining unemployed and questioned the value of their transitional job experience. In fact, the better their experience with the transitional job, the more frustrated they seemed to be if they had not found employment upon completing it. A major 142 part of the intensified frustration was rooted in what they saw as an enduring effect of their identities as previously incarcerated men. Managing the Public Identity Associated with Previous Incarceration: One Year Later Unlike the few men who were employed, the unemployed men who were interviewed emphasized how much their status as previously incarcerated men had continued to be a powerfully enduring barrier to reentering society in general and the world of work in particular. Alternatively, the employed men observed that their transitional jobs experience had enabled others to view them in a different, more positive light. Hence, while these men certainly maintained strong identities as previously incarcerated men in discussing their sense of self — as men who had survived or “bounced back from the bottom” — they believed that their status as such was rapidly diminishing as a crucial part of their public identities. As Chris said, “People don’t see me as just an ex-offender anymore; I am their coworker, or the guy that’s good at driving or greeting the customers.” When asked whether his understanding of what it means to be a previously incarcerated man had changed in the past year, Gary said: I think it’s changed in the fact that . . . I’ve changed some people’s minds, especially the people I work with, about offenders, you know, ex-offenders. You know, no matter what their crime may be, I think I’ve given them a different outlook on it . . . I have a sexual case in my history, and, you know, I believe that they looked at me like, oh, you know, this dude, he’s just a sex offender, blah, blah, blah. Even though they did give me a chance, I think they still had a negative look at me, and I think once . . . I really was able to sit down and articulate a lot of different things of how I used to look at life versus what I learned in prison, what I was willing to go through to be able to change my life and come out here and be a positive person, I think it changed their view about me dramatically. Those who were not working, however, remained preoccupied with the extent to which their identities as previously incarcerated men may have been keeping them out of work, especially in challenging economic times. As Theodore explained: I remember, long before I got in the system, watching movies and hearing people say, you paid your debt to society once you do your time. It angers me because society’s not forgiving like that, like the myth that they put out there. You know, there will be people that’s going to discriminate against me because of my record, but me, I keep just believing in myself that there’s going to be those that won’t and who will give me play. But, other than that, you know, I just get kind of — I get angry sometimes, and when I see applications and they pose this question, you know, like as if it’s nothing, oh, we just need to know, we just want you to be totally honest. I fill it out and I got all this information, great information about me, but question number nine is that question [“Have you ever been convicted of a felony?”], and I watch your eyes as you looking at my 143 résumé, you looking at my name, and then you got right to nine. Okay, so, I mean, that angers me a little bit, but what can I do? In a similar fashion, Vasquez said: Man, it’s hard to escape that identity. Once you get that on your background, it’s just hard. But, I’m maintaining, you know. I’m not letting it get the best of me. I’m still focused and trying to make it better . . . Man, it’s like, man, I hope things will be better with this identity, but as of now, it just doesn’t seem, you know — people won’t hire you. They hire people with nonviolence, you know, if you had a drug case or something that wasn’t violent. So, it’s hard to get over that. The situation was bleak for most of the men one year after completing the transitional job. Although they were aware of the economic downturn in the country, they were also frustrated by their personal situations and highly critical of the transitional jobs project — attitudes that were exacerbated by their feelings of being haunted by the public response to their history of incarceration. The small subgroup of men who were working held contrasting perspectives. For them, the transitional jobs did what they were designed to do, and they were overcoming the social stigma associated with their prior incarceration. Core Findings from the Third Round of Interviews, 2010 During 2010, formal in-person interviews were conducted in Chicago, Detroit, and Milwaukee with 13 of the original 33 research participants. It was very difficult to obtain updated information on the men in St. Paul; however, case managers from the St. Paul Goodwill agency did report on the employment status of two of the men who were initially interviewed. The results of the site visits and agency update in 2010 were as follows: Detroit. Complete updates were secured for four of the Detroit men, as well as anecdotal reports on the seven others from both case managers and other study participants. Eight of the men remained unemployed. One had begun to receive dialysis treatments and was unable to work. Two had fallen out of contact with the qualitative study researcher as well as with the staff of the transitional jobs agency (Goodwill of Detroit). Chicago. Three of the six men from this site who were originally interviewed were working in full-time jobs by the spring of 2010, according to telephone interviews. (Recall that one had died in a house fire in March of 2009.) One of the two men who were terminated from full-time jobs was self-employed, doing groundskeeping for homeowners, while the other had been unemployed since losing his job. Milwaukee. Three of the men could not be contacted. Two were incarcerated — one since the time of the second-round interview, and one who had been on disabili- 144 ty the year before. One man had continued to work in his full-time job, and the final two were unemployed. St. Paul. As noted above, none of the St. Paul participants could be contacted for a third round of interviews in time for their inclusion in this report. According to the caseworkers’ telephone updates, one of the men was employed full time and one had been reincarcerated. Social Support and the Return to Society The third round of interviews revealed a dramatic transformation in the men’s reported use of friends and family as support providers. Ten of the men who were interviewed during this third round and who were unemployed explained that they had been increasingly frustrated in the past year with their inability to secure employment. As they described it, their relatives were beginning to tire of serving as their means of support and had begun to express frustration over the inability of the men to assume roles as providers (although, importantly, none of the men reported that relatives or significant others encouraged them to resume illicit activities). While none of these men described their situations as crises, they no longer maintained that the households were as unconditionally supportive and secure as they had been in the recent past. Steve, a 28-year-old man who had served a total of 12 years for multiple convictions, said that his partner, who stayed with him throughout his turbulent adult life, had always stood by his side. He said, “If I ever fell out or ever went to jail or anything, all I had to do was pick up the phone and I was out. I had lawyers. I had money. I had bail and all that, so it wasn’t no problem with that.” When discussing his relationship more recently, he simply said, “Now, she’s like, it’s time for you to step up.” As he was not working (and had not worked since completing his transitional job in Detroit), he was deeply concerned about what he could offer, not only for himself, but for his partner. Theodore was in a similar situation. He said: I’m battling with that constantly, and then you got the peanut gallery, which could be my ex-wife, my friend-lady now, you know. They want to get attitudes, you know . . . hit me with, you know, “You’re just this and that,” and it all plays a part on my psyche because I’m already battling with, okay, you know I know how to make money [illicitly], but I don’t want to do that. So, you know, it’s a bad spot. You don’t know which way to fall. I’m trying to stay positive and say, no, I don’t need that, because I know how it ends. In talking further about the transformation in expectations that his relatives had of him, and how being incarcerated for so long had hindered his capacity to meet those expectations, he said: 145 I’ve always been distant, but it’s kind of how I kind of feel that they expect me, now that I’m kind of around, to just take on this role in the family. I don’t know. My friend’s girl tells me all the time, you’re probably not the family type person. I don’t know. I love my kids. I love my family. I don’t know, man. I walked on the dark side for so long. Now I’m out of that, but I still got some of those conditions. I’m conditioned to it. It’s probably not healthy. Essentially, while these men struggled constantly with the social ramifications of being previously incarcerated, one critical point of change for them was in their intimate social relations. Here many of the men began to experience significant and problematic changes. They were now expected to function in the ways that men were more traditionally expected to function in the household. Yet, most of the men were not employed, nor did they have much recent experience in environments that prepared them to tend to the emotional and social needs of others. Reflections on the Transitional Job: Two Years Later More than two years after completing their transitional jobs, only a few of the men continued to say that their experience with those jobs had failed to connect them to longer-term employment. Instead, during the third round of interviews, they said that those jobs had created a degree of stability for them in what was otherwise a very turbulent and anxiety-ridden period of their lives. Looking back to that period after two years allowed them to articulate more fully how much hope, yet also how much insecurity, they had had about the reentry process. Moreover, as many of these men had also gone without work since completing the transitional job, unemployment was no longer a sudden or immediate realization for them. Instead, it had become a long-term reality. Consequently, when they were asked two years later to reflect upon what it meant to have had a transitional job, their replies were uniformly positive and they now regarded the transitional job as a bright moment in a recent history of malaise. As Chris stated: [The transitional job] was good, because it gave me my first job and prepared me for long-term work. It helped me out a lot because I was thinking I wasn’t ever going to be able to work or get a job, so by going through that, it helped me out a lot. I was able to work two jobs through them . . . I thank them for it, because without them, I might have ended up back in jail. Some men spoke about important emotional gains that they realized they had gotten from the experience, even in the absence of securing full-time employment. Travis reflected most of the men’s sentiments during the third round: [The transitional job] gives you self-pride, and when you get that feeling, you know that you can do it and that you’re welcomed there by the people and you’re accepted. You feel great. That’s something that I believe inmates . . . when they come out, it’s something they have to learn — feeling. 146 And Hakim said: I really believe in the program. Since doing one of those transitional jobs, I even moved on to other things before my [re]incarceration. Working with Vessels of God, doing work with Resurrection Lutheran Church, Feed My Sheep. As a community resource coordinator, I was involved in many tasks, many community-based things, and I wouldn’t change the experience, man, for nothing in this world because I was able to try to put together gang summits to try to stop the violence, and I rubbed elbows with so many important folks in the community. It just felt good to be around some of the positive-ness. Even those men who had spoken more critically about the transitional jobs during the second round of interviews responded one year later more positively, as Theodore expressed: Even though I’m not affiliated or plugged necessarily with these guys [at New Hope] . . . I’ve got these guys as references and we talk and call and this and that . . . It’s great because I still think I’m very confident about myself, but it just gave me great confidence to get out the joint to be making that little money every week or whatever. It made me feel like, yeah, I’m changing . . . I just wish it was longer [laughs]. I have nothing but great things to say about that reentry thing, man. In fact, almost all the men who went through a third round of interviews stated that they wished that the transitional jobs could have lasted longer. When asked about how long they had hoped the jobs could have lasted, they said, not surprisingly, that the jobs should somehow have lasted until they found full-time employment. Ultimately, many of the men found that their only experience with employment over the previous two years had been the transitional job. Thus, the transitional job opportunity was the only period of their post-incarceration lives (or the most recent period following incarceration for those who had served multiple terms) when they were able to provide some material support for themselves, avoid the idleness and tension that accompanies unemployment, and begin to view themselves as being capable of successfully reengaging with society. Managing the Public Identity Associated with Previous Incarceration: Two Years Later For those men who remained unemployed two years after the transitional job had ended, a common and lingering concern was their seemingly inescapable public identity as formerly incarcerated men. As Terrence put it, “I did my crime so long ago and I served my time, but I still have the ‘X’ on my back.” Theodore concurred: The biggest crock that they can give you in the world is that a man can be convicted in these courts, and then serve his time and he’s paid his debt. That’s the 147 biggest crock in the world, because it’s so double jeopardy . . . Though I made those decisions to do those crimes and got myself in those situations, I’m still paying another debt each time they say no or each time they turn me away . . . It kind of fulfills the dream that people make us out to be and that’s why they turn us away, for the reason that, oh, he’s bad luck, or whatever, so we don’t touch that . . . I just had a birthday the twenty-third of March, so I’m five years from 50. I’m getting scared, like, how long can I keep struggling? I’m getting up there. Those men who were unemployed, but who had been issued relatively short sentences (of less than a few years) and had served a single short term, experienced considerable frustration with the idea that the rest of their lives could be marked by something that they had done for a short period (and, in some cases, on a single day) in their past. The men were extremely assertive about how much they felt they could offer to employers, and to society more generally, compared with the impression that was conveyed by their past incarceration. In the end, these men reflected a level of despondency that had not surfaced as obviously during the earlier interviews. In contrast to the unemployed men, the few men who had found and maintained work over the preceding year or two replied that their conduct and performance at work had been central to their efforts to reframe themselves as people who were more than simply previously incarcerated men. Each man had stories about how his associates, co-workers, bosses, and other significant contacts had begun to view him differently, thus allowing him to escape from the public identity that continued to “imprison” the other men. Ronald, who was self-employed as a residential groundskeeper — and who was by far the most financially successful of the men in the qualitative study — observed: Well, being an ex-offender means that, I mean, you do have a second chance. It all depends on how you conduct yourself, you know? So, if you put forth the effort, being an ex-offender don’t mean that you are a bad person. But, you got to put forth the effort and — how can you put it? Keeping yourself stable, challenges, just overcome them and just go out there, you know. And Chris, who spent most of his post-incarceration years working as a delivery man and stock person for a grocery store, said: [Being a former prisoner] means that I’m not doing the things that I used to do. I’m bettering myself. A life of crime wasn’t for me. It’s not for me now, but back then when I was offending, I didn’t care about it. I just wanted to commit crimes. Now, I know because I’m better out here than in there [prison], and everybody needs me out here. I’m useless in there . . . My family, when things go wrong or support or something, whenever they need something, they need me here, or even just to talk to them, or even just family gatherings, they’d rather see me there than coming up to see me [in prison] . . . [People] respect me for what I’m doing and how I was able to make that change. 148 While most of the men did not have good news to report during the third round of interviews, each seemed to have come to terms with his personal circumstances such that he looked back at the transitional job as a valuable experience. Conclusion We all make decisions, good and bad, and you have to reap what you sow . . . being an ex-felon doesn’t mean that the person was actually a waste. — Hakim The core finding in the qualitative study is that the transitional job served as an opportunity for these men to achieve significant stability and focus in what was otherwise an intense and turbulent period in their lives. Initially, the transitional job allowed them to feel efficacious about connecting to the world of work and constructing personal work histories. The existence of a weak economy throughout the three-year period following their release from incarceration meant that the transition to consistent and materially rewarding work did not become a reality. Hence, within a year after completing their transitional jobs, many of the men began to question their capacity to secure employment for themselves and the value of the transitional jobs program more generally. Yet, looking back on their experiences approximately two years removed from the transitional job, the men reevaluated that period of their lives such that they emphasized and ultimately found great value in experiencing the structure and stability that came with having transitional jobs. It is not difficult to speculate about why there was such a shift in thinking about the value of the transitional jobs from a period shortly after those jobs ended to two years later. In the period following the transitional job experience, the men were exposed to other individuals who had not been incarcerated and who had had little or no work during the prior three years. Hence, they experienced their local economies not simply in terms of how they could best fit into them in order to remedy the effects of being previously incarcerated, but also in terms of the extensive degree to which their neighbors and friends were suffering the consequences of a weak economy. That being said, prolonged unemployment had some critical lingering effects for most of these men, and they had no capacity to resolve or minimize those effects. For instance, they believed that the identity associated with their incarceration would endure irrespective of how much they stressed that they had paid their debt to society through both incarceration and proper behavior while on parole. As many of the men said, they had made mistakes at specific points in the past, but they felt that they now had to pay for the consequences of those mistakes for the rest of their lives. Coupled with this feeling was the sentiment that, as men, they were expected to contribute materially to their families. While many said that in the year following their 149 release, relatives and dependents did not ask much of them, but rather tried to serve as sources of support, the level of that support began to diminish as their families began to assert that the men had to begin making some form of return on those investments. Perhaps somewhat ironically, then, men who believed that they were well entrenched in supportive networks began, within a year of their release, to express concern and anxiety about their inability to reciprocate. For those few men who were gainfully employed at the time of the third round of interviews — three years after their release from prison and two or more years after their transitional jobs had ended — the remarkable finding was that they believed that their public identity was no longer rooted in their history as incarcerated individuals. All of these men spoke about the impressions they had made at work with coworkers, supervisors, or customers and clients, which convinced other people that they were more than once-upon-a-time-prisoners. 150 Chapter 9 Reflections and Next Steps This chapter describes where the transitional jobs programs in the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration (TJRD) stood approximately one year after the operational phase of the demonstration ended, and discusses some of the lessons that program managers learned from TJRD. It ends by discussing the implications of the first-year TJRD results for future policy and research. An Update on the TJRD Transitional Jobs Programs Enrollment into the TJRD project ended between May 2008 and September 2008 in all sites. Thus, the operational phase of the project was largely over by spring 2009. The research team conducted telephone interviews with managers in all four of the transitional jobs programs in spring 2010 to learn about their current programming and hear their reflections on TJRD. Although none of the organizations was still operating its TJRD program, in Chicago, Detroit, and St. Paul they were still running some kind of transitional jobs program for former prisoners; in Milwaukee, the New Hope project had undergone significant organizational changes and was not operating any transitional jobs programs at the time of the spring 2010 telephone interviews. The Safer Foundation’s contract to staff garbage recycling plants for Allied Waste ended when the City of Chicago changed its approach to recycling in fall 2008. Safer worked with the City to develop a new work crew model, and more than 200 Safer clients were transferred from Allied to the new program. Since that time, Safer and the City have further developed this model into a larger transitional jobs program using funds from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act. As of March 2010, Safer was managing more than 200 transitional jobs work slots in crews working on reclamation projects, neighborhood clean-up, and other tasks. Relative to the TJRD approach, the new program model has a more explicit focus on building skills: participants work 20 to 30 hours per week and engage in 15 hours of paid soft skills training. There is also a stronger emphasis on helping participants move into unsubsidized jobs. Goodwill/Easter Seals in St. Paul received funding from the U.S. Department of Education to operate an employment program for former prisoners with disabilities, mostly mental health conditions. Unlike in TJRD, participants begin with an assessment to determine whether they should start with a transitional job or move directly to job placement activities. The organization also has state and federal funding to operate transitional jobs programs for a broader group of former prisoners, for individuals with disabilities, and for welfare recipients. 151 Goodwill Industries in Detroit was still receiving funding from the Michigan Prisoner Reentry Initiative to operate a program that offers transitional jobs using a scattered site model. The program pays wages for 25 hours of work per week and encourages the host employer to pay for additional hours and to hire the participant after the subsidy ends. Across the three organizations that were still running a TJ program, the changes in program structure and target populations reflect both operational lessons from TJRD and the ongoing struggle to find stable sources of funding for transitional jobs programs. In several cases, the organizations changed the model or target group either to qualify for a particular funding stream or to reduce per-client costs to reflect the amount of funding available. Reflections on the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Administrators voiced generally positive views about their experiences in TJRD and reflected on some lessons they took from the demonstration. First, some sites discussed the challenge of determining who “needs” a transitional job. The TJRD project was designed to test the impact of transitional jobs, so sites were generally expected to offer such a position to everyone who was randomly assigned to the transitional jobs group. Given this reality, the research team encouraged sites to conduct some screening before random assignment, to try to weed out people who could find a job on their own relatively easily. Site staff explained to potential participants that the transitional jobs were temporary, minimum wage positions, in the hope that people who thought they could do better in the regular labor market would self-select out of the project; in some cases, potential participants were encouraged to look for a job for a couple of weeks before enrolling in TJRD. The challenge, of course, is that the potential participants were jobless, recently released prisoners with few sources of legitimate income at their disposal. When presented with the opportunity to enroll in a project that offered a 50/50 chance of an immediate paid job (albeit at minimum wage), people may have jumped at the chance even if they thought they might find an unsubsidized job with some additional effort. They might have assumed that they could look for a better job while working in the transitional job. Those who were assigned to the job search group then began looking for a job on their own, or with the assistance of the job search program, and some of them succeeded, which explains why the transitional jobs group had a lower rate of unsubsidized employment in three of the sites. The reduction in unsubsidized employment was particularly large in St. Paul, where the local economy was relatively strong, the job search program had substantial experience, and the transitional jobs program put people to work within 24 hours of random assignment. Perhaps not surprisingly, when they were interviewed in 2010, staff from the St. Paul transitional jobs program reported that they saw 152 advantages to their current model, which started with an assessment rather than an immediate transitional job. Second, program managers discussed the pros and cons of various transitional jobs models. For example, staff from the Safer Foundation expressed great satisfaction with their current crew-based transitional jobs program, which was put into place after the demonstration ended. The model that operated during the demonstration, in which transitional jobs group members worked in a recycling plant, was attractive to Safer because it generated revenue from the waste management company that employed the transitional workers (via Safer’s staffing agency). However, program staff reported that the arrangement was less than ideal in other ways because a private company is less likely to support a model that results in constant, planned turnover or allows workers to spend 15 hours a week in soft skills training. Thus, in some respects, the model that operated during the demonstration was not truly “transitional” — workers were employed full time, leaving little time for training or job search, and had financial incentives to work longer at the recycling plant. The demonstration model also gave Safer very little control over the day-to-day worksite experience while, under the current model, participants are organized into small crews with a Safer supervisor, who provides guidance and encourages peer support. The Detroit Goodwill agency had moved to a scattered site model, in which transitional workers are employed in private companies. During the demonstration, virtually all participants worked in Goodwill’s office, in light manufacturing or assembly work performed under contract to outside companies. As in Chicago, the demonstration model earned revenue, but the scattered site model allows participants to work in regular worksites, where they have a chance of rolling over into a permanent position, and may also provide a more diverse set of work opportunities. Third, some sites that had not worked extensively with former prisoners before the demonstration noted that they had learned a great deal about the nature and magnitude of the challenges facing this population. Although the participants’ criminal record was the most visible issue, many had few family or social supports, and no stable place to live. Moreover, staff struggled to help younger participants understand the consequences of the lifestyle choices they were making, notably selling drugs. These issues are discussed in the summary of the indepth interviews in Chapter 8. The transitional jobs programs also reported that they developed much closer linkages with criminal justice agencies through their collaborative work on TJRD. What Next? Over the years, subsidized employment programs have been designed to achieve different goals. Some have aimed primarily to provide work-based income support to jobless individ- 153 uals; others have sought to use the subsidized work experience to prepare hard-to-employ participants for permanent jobs; and still others have sought to emphasize both goals. Transitional jobs programs have been described primarily as a training strategy to help hard-to-employ individuals enter and succeed in the labor market. Although transitional jobs programs first emerged in the 1990s in the welfare system, several factors explain the rise of transitional jobs in the prisoner reentry field in recent years. First, many employers are quite reluctant to hire people with criminal records, but it is assumed that they might be more willing to consider someone who has demonstrated his reliability for several months in a transitional job; in other words, working in a transitional job is thought to improve a participant’s chance of getting hired. Second, since transitional jobs provide an opportunity to identify and address issues that will likely cause trouble in a regular job, the model may improve participants’ ability to hold a job. Third, a transitional job provides a source of legitimate income for a group of men with very high jobless rates who are unlikely to qualify for other forms of income support (other than the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, formerly the Food Stamp program). And, finally, given the widely accepted view that people who are employed are less likely to commit crimes, even temporary jobs are seen as a strategy to lower recidivism, especially during the critical period just following release from prison. The results of the TJRD project to date provide mixed evidence on those assumptions. On the one hand, the very high rates of participation in transitional jobs suggest that many former prisoners need income support and are willing to work for it. The transitional jobs operated on a relatively large scale and provided real work opportunities to participants. In retrospect, participants in the qualitative study recalled their time in the transitional jobs programs as a rare period of stability in an otherwise chaotic reentry process. On the other hand, neither the TJRD results to date nor the results of earlier evaluations provide much support for the assumption that transitional jobs, at least as currently designed and operated, help people get or hold permanent jobs. Indeed, the qualitative study participants who found unsubsidized jobs generally reported that they had found those jobs on their own or through family connections, not through the transitional jobs programs. The story with respect to recidivism is more complex. If there is indeed a strong causal connection between employment and recidivism, fewer arrests would have been expected among the transitional jobs group during the period when that group’s employment rate was 30 to 40 percentage points higher than the rate for the job search group. As described in Chapter 1, the Center for Employment Opportunities evaluation, which used a very similar design, did find reductions in recidivism. (See Box 9.1 for a comparison of the two studies.) Although there may be a broader connection between earnings from “real” jobs and crime, it does not appear to be 154 Box 9.1 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration and the Center for Employment Opportunities Evaluation: Similarities and Differences The pattern of employment results is quite similar in the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration (TJRD) and the Center for Employment Opportunities (CEO) evaluation, but the impacts on recidivism differ. In TJRD, there are no consistent impacts on measures of recidivism, while in CEO there were reductions in recidivism for sample members who came to the program within 90 days of release. It is not possible to pinpoint the reasons for the different results, but they may be explained by some of the differences between the two programs and study designs. Similarities Both studies compare a transitional jobs program with a job search assistance program. The demographic characteristics of study participants are generally similar in the two studies. Both studies targeted parolees who had served time in state prison. Differences CEO’s transitional jobs program uses a work crew model; none of the TJRD programs used this model during the demonstration. CEO had more extensive experience with reentry than most of the TJRD programs. The job search programs in TJRD generally provided more extensive services than the job search program in the CEO evaluation. the case that policymakers can ensure lower recidivism simply by offering temporary, minimum-wage jobs to former prisoners. That said, it will be important to watch the recidivism trends during Year 2 of this study. The emerging results from transitional jobs evaluations — along with the results from earlier studies described in Chapter 1 — suggest the need to clarify the goals of subsidized employment programs. The transitional jobs programs that have been tested have not led to long-term increases in unsubsidized employment, but that is not the only possible goal for a subsidized employment program. During the Great Depression, the Works Progress Administration and other subsidized work programs were mainly intended to provide income support in 155 a way that also improved public facilities and infrastructure; many have argued that the same needs exist today. In addition, even when the labor market is healthier, certain groups experience great difficulty finding and holding jobs. The employment rates for the job search group in the TJRD study were typically below 40 percent even before labor market conditions began to deteriorate. The question is whether society is willing to provide even work-based income support to these groups, particularly without strong evidence that subsidized jobs will improve long-term employability or reduce recidivism and crime. In the past, public support for this type of assistance has been strongest for parents who are raising children; single adults like those targeted in TJRD are largely left out of the safety net. Of course, many former prisoners are parents and, while relatively few live with their children, many more are expected to pay child support. Future Research The inability of current transitional jobs models to generate higher rates of unsubsidized employment and consistent reductions in recidivism underscores the importance of testing new subsidized employment approaches that might do a better job of improving long-term employability. The promise of various possible approaches depends on figuring out why the transitional jobs programs that have been tested so far have not increased long-term employment. One hypothesis is that the failure to achieve long-term employment gains is the result of weaknesses at the “back end” of the transitional jobs program — that is, the period when participants are making the transition to unsubsidized employment and follow-up. Thus, enhanced versions of the transitional jobs model might be tested that include stronger job development, job placement, and post-placement services. The results among study participants who were offered the employment retention bonuses in St. Paul suggest that financial incentives might be part of a post-placement model. A second hypothesis is that the programs fall short because they do not teach specific occupational skills that will allow participants to qualify for higher-paying jobs. This hypothesis suggests the need for models that combine subsidized work with skill-building. Such approaches might range from simple models in which participants split their time between traditional work sites and classroom training to apprenticeship-like models in which hands-on training is embedded into the work experience. A third hypothesis is that transitional jobs do not last long enough to make a real difference in long-term outcomes. Although this third hypothesis is plausible, it appears that relatively few TJRD sample members left their transitional jobs because they had reached a “time limit” and were let go. Most of the transitional jobs group members eventually found an 156 unsubsidized job, quit, or were terminated for cause before that point. At a minimum, it may be worth testing models in which subsidized jobs are seen as fallback positions that are available both before people get unsubsidized jobs and when they lose those jobs. A fourth hypothesis is that it is inherently difficult for people to make the transition from an artificial, subsidized work experience into a regular job, and that employers do not necessarily value experience in a “program” job when they are making hiring decisions. This hypothesis may argue for strategies that temporarily subsidize employment in private sector jobs where participants can eventually “roll over” into a permanent, unsubsidized position. It is not clear, however, how many employers would be willing to hire former prisoners, even with subsidies. In addition to hypotheses about how to improve employment impacts in transitional jobs programs for former prisoners, the early TJRD results also suggest some directions for future prisoner reentry research. For example, while the provision of subsidized jobs does not necessarily ensure lower recidivism, such jobs are able to engage former prisoners and might be a good platform for other interventions that address recidivism more directly — for example, behavioral strategies that aim to improve former prisoners’ decision-making skills. Similarly, the results from the St. Paul site suggest that subsidized jobs could be a component of efforts to reduce technical parole violations, which account for a large share of reincarceration. Stepping back, it seems clear that the early TJRD results, while disappointing in some respects, can create a strong foundation for future research on strategies to improve outcomes for former prisoners and other vulnerable groups. 157 Appendix A Timeline for the Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table A.1 Timeline of Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Study Date Activity 2006 January - July Site selection. August October Initial site visits: Focused on understanding the two service streams and beginning to plan procedures for identifying and recruiting study subjects and conducting random assignment. October Kick-off meeting, Wisconsin: Site staff, state Department of Corrections representatives, the research team, and funders met for the official project launch. 2007 January Random assignment begins. February March Early assessment site visits: The research team visited each site to assess and discuss any issues the sites were having with research procedures and their sample take-up. March Cross-site meeting: Staff from each site met in Chicago to review the project’s progress. The all-site meeting focused on many of the issues identified during the early assessment visits. July - September First implementation site visit: Devoted to collecting information on program operations and the local criminal justice context. 2008 January Peer-to-peer visit: Site staff and members of the evaluation team visited the Goodwill/Easter Seals site in St. Paul. May - June Second implementation site visit: Designed to update the findings from the first implementation site visit, focusing on areas where the programs changed over time. The team also collected cost information from each site. September Random assignment ends. January - March In-depth interviews, round 1. 2009 January - March In-depth interviews, round 2. 2010 January - March In-depth interviews, round 3. October One-year follow-up report. 161 Appendix B Supplementary Exhibits for Chapter 2 Appendix Table B.1 Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline Chicago Transitional Job Search Full Jobs Group Group Sample Characteristic Age (%) 18-24 25-34 35-44 45 or older 16.4 34.4 29.6 19.6 17.3 33.5 28.6 20.5 16.8 34.0 29.1 20.1 Average age (years) 35.2 35.0 35.1 Race/ethnicity (%) White/non-Hispanic Black/non-Hispanic Hispanic Other 3.2 89.7 6.5 0.5 3.9 87.8 8.3 0.0 3.6 88.8 7.4 0.3 Has any children under age 19 (%) 54.0 45.9 50.0 Among those with children Lives with own children under age 19 (%) Average number of children Has a child support order (%) 28.4 2.0 27.5 25.9 2.2 24.7 27.3 2.1 26.2 Among those with child support order a Average monthly support order ($) 849 644 769 Amount of child support owed a (%) None Less than $5,000 $5,000 - $14,999 $15,000 or more Don’t know 4.0 44.0 16.0 4.0 32.0 16.7 38.9 11.1 11.1 22.2 9.3 41.9 14.0 7.0 27.9 Education (%) GED certificate High school diploma Associate's degree/2- or 4-year college/beyond None of the above 36.0 19.1 5.6 39.3 30.9 22.8 8.0 38.3 33.5 20.9 6.8 38.8 Has occupational training certificate (%) 41.8 31.6 36.7 Marital status (%) Single Married, living with spouse Married, living away from spouse Legally separated/divorced/widowed 80.0 2.2 3.3 14.4 76.4 2.8 5.1 15.7 78.2 2.5 4.2 15.1 Sig. ** (continued) 165 Appendix Table B.1 (continued) Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Characteristic Total Housing status (%) Owns/rents house or apartment Lives with friends or relatives Has transitional housing Lives in shelter/other 19.0 58.7 15.2 7.1 21.0 58.6 10.5 9.9 20.0 58.6 12.9 8.5 Ever employed (%) 84.2 84.1 84.1 Ever employed 6 consecutive months for one employer (%) 47.7 53.4 50.6 Worked full time in the 6 months before incarceration (%) 43.8 45.7 44.7 Medical condition restricts ability to work (%) 1.7 4.0 2.8 Ever in drug or alcohol treatment program (%) 39.9 39.8 39.8 Public assistance (%) No government assistance Temporary Assistance for Needy Families Food stamps Social Security Medicaid Housing assistance 35.6 1.1 63.2 1.1 1.7 1.1 44.5 0.6 53.2 0.0 0.6 1.7 40.1 0.9 58.2 0.6 1.2 1.4 Family assists with (%) Finding a place to live Finding a job Dealing with a drug or alcohol problem Financial support None of the above 31.8 35.2 6.8 37.5 40.9 37.1 37.1 8.2 41.2 37.6 34.4 36.1 7.5 39.3 39.3 Facility type of most recent release (%) Prison Jail 99.4 0.6 98.9 1.1 99.2 0.8 Sample size 189 185 374 Sig. * * SOURCE: MDRC calculations using the Baseline Information Form. NOTES: In order to assess differences in characteristics across research groups, chi-square tests were used for categorical variables, and t-tests were used for continuous variables. Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. aThis measure is calculated only for those who have children and are ordered to pay child support. Some participants were ordered to pay but did not report the amount, they are missing from this measure. 166 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table B.2 Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline Detroit Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Characteristic Full Sample Age (%) 18-24 years 25-34 years 35-44 years 45 or older 12.5 29.5 37.1 21.0 12.1 35.7 27.2 25.0 12.3 32.6 32.1 23.0 Average age (years) 36.4 36.6 36.5 Race/ethnicity (%) White/non-Hispanic Black/non-Hispanic Hispanic Other 6.3 89.1 2.7 1.8 9.0 84.6 0.9 5.4 7.7 86.9 1.8 3.6 Has any children under age 19 (%) 49.1 50.9 50.0 Among those with children Lives with own children under age 19 (%) Average number of children Has a child support order (%) 39.1 1.9 46.4 28.1 1.8 40.4 33.5 1.9 43.3 453 88 305 Amount of child support owed a (%) None Less than $5,000 $5,000 - $14,999 $15,000 or more Don’t know 4.8 4.8 7.1 45.2 38.1 8.1 16.2 16.2 27.0 32.4 6.3 10.1 11.4 36.7 35.4 Education (%) GED certificate High school diploma Associate's degree/2- or 4-year college/beyond None of the above 63.0 11.1 4.2 21.8 60.8 10.8 5.2 23.1 61.9 11.0 4.7 22.4 Has occupational training certificate (%) 52.3 58.5 55.4 Marital status (%) Single Married, living with spouse Married, living away from spouse Legally separated/divorced/widowed 77.0 6.3 2.7 14.0 74.4 5.5 2.3 17.8 75.7 5.9 2.5 15.9 Among those with child support order Average monthly support order ($) Sig. [* ] a (continued) 167 Appendix Table B.2 (continued) Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Characteristic Full Sample Housing status (%) Owns/rents house or apartment Lives with friends or relatives Has transitional housing Lives in shelter/other 17.8 67.6 11.0 3.7 15.7 65.5 16.6 2.2 16.7 66.5 13.8 2.9 Ever employed (%) 84.5 87.4 85.9 Ever employed 6 consecutive months for one employer (%) 48.8 59.5 54.1 Worked full time in the 6 months before incarceration (%) 44.5 52.1 48.3 Medical condition restricts ability to work (%) 13.6 9.5 11.6 Ever in drug or alcohol treatment program (%) 52.7 46.8 49.8 Public assistanceb (%) No government assistance Temporary Assistance for Needy Families Food stamps Social Security Medicaid Housing assistance 45.8 2.1 52.1 2.1 8.3 3.1 51.0 3.1 41.7 3.1 12.5 6.3 48.4 2.6 46.9 2.6 10.4 4.7 Family assists with (%) Finding a place to live Finding a job Dealing with a drug or alcohol problem Financial support None of the above 54.7 43.9 30.4 43.5 24.8 48.6 40.0 23.2 36.4 31.8 51.6 41.9 26.7 39.9 28.3 Facility type of most recent release (%) Prison Jail 99.1 0.9 100.0 99.5 0.5 Sample size 224 224 448 SOURCE: MDRC calculations using the Baseline Information Form. NOTES: In order to assess differences in characteristics across research groups, chi-square tests were used for categorical variables, and t-tests were used for continuous variables. Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. When significance levels are shown in square brackets, 20 percent or more of the categories for the variable in question have cell sizes with fewer than 5 individuals. aCalculated only for those who have children and are ordered to pay child support. Some participants were ordered to pay but did not report the amount; they are missing from this measure. bCreated only for those who were randomly assigned after January 8, 2008, when the site began random assignment after release. 168 Sig. ** * The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table B.3 Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline St. Paul Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Characteristic Full Sample Age (%) 18-24 years 25-34 years 35-44 years 45 years or older 20.2 34.0 26.5 19.4 16.2 38.7 28.1 17.0 18.2 36.4 27.3 18.2 Average age (years) 34.2 34.1 34.2 Race/ethnicity (%) White/non-Hispanic Black/non-Hispanic Hispanic Other 20.2 65.5 4.8 9.5 21.7 61.7 7.1 9.5 21.0 63.6 5.9 9.5 Has any children under age 19 (%) 52.6 55.7 54.2 Among those with children Lives with own children under age 19 (%) Average number of children Has a child support order (%) 11.3 2.2 41.4 8.5 2.2 46.8 9.9 2.2 44.2 272 288 280 Amount of child support owed a (%) None Less than $5,000 $5,000 - $14,999 $15,000 or more Don’t know 5.7 28.3 26.4 26.4 13.2 9.4 15.6 31.3 28.1 15.6 7.7 21.4 29.1 27.4 14.5 Education (%) GED certificate High school diploma Associate's degree/2- or 4-year college/beyond None of the above 54.3 21.2 7.3 17.1 52.1 21.1 5.4 21.5 53.2 21.1 6.4 19.3 Has occupational training certificate (%) 44.4 37.1 40.8 Marital status (%) Single Married, living with spouse Married, living away from spouse Legally separated/divorced/widowed 70.2 1.2 8.7 19.8 77.1 0.4 6.5 15.9 73.6 0.8 7.6 17.9 Among those with child support order Average monthly support order ($) Sig. a (continued) 169 Appendix Table B.3 (continued) Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Characteristic Total Housing status (%) Owns/rents house or apartment Lives with friends or relatives Has transitional housing Lives in shelter/other 13.1 18.7 63.3 4.8 11.5 17.1 64.7 6.7 12.3 17.9 64.0 5.8 Ever employed (%) 89.9 88.8 89.3 Ever employed 6 consecutive months for one employer (%) 56.1 53.1 54.6 Worked full time in the 6 months before incarceration (%) 42.6 42.9 42.7 Medical condition restricts ability to work (%) 4.5 6.8 5.6 Ever in drug or alcohol treatment program (%) 60.5 64.5 62.5 Public assistance (%) No government assistance Temporary Assistance for Needy Families Food stamps Social Security Medicaid Housing assistance 52.2 27.7 12.9 2.4 27.7 11.2 52.4 22.6 15.7 2.4 27.8 14.1 52.3 25.2 14.3 2.4 27.8 12.7 Family assists with (%) Finding a place to live Finding a job Dealing with a drug or alcohol problem Financial support None of the above 25.6 21.5 10.2 26.8 55.3 27.4 21.8 12.9 29.4 55.6 26.5 21.7 11.5 28.1 55.5 Facility type of most recent release (%) Prison Jail 96.3 3.7 95.1 4.9 95.7 4.3 Sample size 253 253 506 SOURCE: MDRC calculations using the Baseline Information Form. NOTES: In order to assess differences in characteristics across research groups, chi-square tests were used for categorical variables, and t-tests were used for continuous variables. Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. aCalculated only for those who have children and are ordered to pay child support. Some participants were ordered to pay but did not report the amount; they are missing from this measure. 170 Sig. The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table B.4 Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline Milwaukee Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Characteristic Full Sample Age (%) 18-24 years 25-34 years 35-44 years 45 or older 19.5 39.5 22.7 18.4 22.3 36.3 27.5 13.9 20.9 37.9 25.0 16.2 Average age (years) 33.6 32.8 33.2 Race/ethnicity (%) White/non-Hispanic Black/non-Hispanic Hispanic Other 6.9 88.6 2.4 2.0 5.8 85.8 5.4 2.9 6.4 87.2 3.9 2.5 Has any children under age 19 (%) 50.4 55.8 53.1 Among those with children Lives with own children under age 19 (%) Average number of children Has a child support order (%) 16.4 2.3 28.9 15.5 2.4 34.3 16.0 2.3 31.6 Among those with child support order a Average monthly support order ($) 343 226 274 Amount of child support owed a (%) None Less than $5,000 $5,000 - $14,999 $15,000 or more Don’t know 0.0 8.5 25.4 29.6 36.6 3.8 17.7 19.0 34.2 25.3 2.0 13.3 22.0 32.0 30.7 Education (%) GED certificate High school diploma Associate's degree/2- or 4-year college/beyond None of the above 38.7 32.8 4.3 24.3 28.7 40.9 6.5 23.9 33.8 36.8 5.4 24.1 Has occupational training certificate (%) 49.6 49.6 49.6 Marital status (%) Single Married, living with spouse Married, living away from spouse Legally separated/divorced/widowed 75.9 3.7 3.3 17.0 84.0 3.0 2.5 10.5 79.9 3.3 2.9 13.8 Sig. * (continued) 171 Appendix Table B.4 (continued) Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Characteristic Total Housing status (%) Owns/rents house or apartment Lives with friends or relatives Has transitional housing Lives in shelter/other 19.3 55.6 23.5 1.6 22.0 51.9 20.7 5.4 20.7 53.7 22.1 3.5 Ever employed (%) 83.6 87.4 85.5 Ever employed 6 consecutive months for one employer (%) 43.8 56.7 50.2 Worked full time in the 6 months before incarceration (%) 39.2 44.9 42.0 Medical condition restricts ability to work (%) 11.6 5.6 8.6 Ever in drug or alcohol treatment program (%) 66.8 62.4 64.7 Public assistance (%) No government assistance Temporary Assistance for Needy Families Food stamps Social Security Medicaid Housing assistance 69.0 0.0 26.8 0.4 2.1 2.9 67.1 0.0 30.3 0.9 3.9 2.2 68.1 0.0 28.5 0.6 3.0 2.6 Family assists with (%) Finding a place to live Finding a job Dealing with a drug or alcohol problem Financial support None of the above 39.1 48.1 13.6 44.0 26.7 40.9 46.4 15.7 43.4 24.3 40.0 47.3 14.6 43.7 25.5 Facility type of most recent release (%) Prison Jail 92.2 7.8 89.5 10.5 90.9 9.1 Sample size 256 251 507 Sig. *** ** SOURCE: MDRC calculations using the Baseline Information Form. NOTES: In order to assess differences in characteristics across research groups, chi-square tests were used for categorical variables, and t-tests were used for continuous variables. Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. aCalculated only for those who have children and are ordered to pay child support. Some participants were ordered to pay but did not report the amount; they are missing from this measure. 172 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table B.5 Criminal History Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline Chicago Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Characteristic Full Sample Arrest history Any prior arrests (%) 99.5 99.5 99.5 Average number of arrestsa Number of prior felony arrests Number of prior misdemeanor arrests 15.2 4.7 5.4 15.4 4.8 5.8 15.3 4.7 5.6 97.3 95.1 96.2 4.5 3.2 0.6 4.3 3.3 0.5 4.4 3.2 0.6 Ever convicted of a violent crimec (%) 48.1 46.2 47.2 Ever convicted of a drug-related crimec (%) 64.9 65.2 65.0 2.2 1.1 1.6 Number of months in state prison 63.6 60.5 62.1 Days between latest state prison release and random assignment 70.8 55.3 63.1 Length of most recent incarceration (months) 27.3 27.7 27.5 Crime category (%) Violent crime Drug crime Property crime Public order crime 25.0 37.8 22.2 15.0 25.0 39.8 23.3 11.9 25.0 38.8 22.8 13.5 Admission reason (%) New crime Parole violation Other 83.9 15.1 1.1 80.8 18.7 0.5 82.3 16.8 0.8 Sample size 186 182 Conviction history Any prior convictionb (%) Average number of prior convictionsb Number of prior felony convictions Number of prior misdemeanor convictions Ever convicted of sexual assualt (%) State prison history Most recent criminal justice event 173 368 (continued) Appendix Table B.5 (continued) SOURCES: Calculations based on data from Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority and the Department of Corrections in Illinois. NOTES: All criminal history calculations include only events that occurred between January 1, 1980, and the date of random assignment. In order to assess differences in characteristics across research groups, chi-square tests were used for categorical variables, and t-tests were used for continuous variables. There are no statistically significant differences between the research groups on any measures in this table. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aEach arrest date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple crimes or charges on the same date, only the most serious charge is recorded in the analysis. bEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. cThe categorization of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). 174 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table B.6 Criminal History Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline Detroit Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Characteristic Full Sample Sig. Arrest history Any prior arrests (%) 98.1 96.2 97.2 4.3 3.1 0.4 4.5 2.9 0.6 4.4 3.0 0.5 100.0 98.6 99.3 * 3.7 2.7 0.5 3.9 2.8 0.5 3.8 2.7 0.5 55.9 62.7 59.3 43.7 40.1 41.9 1.9 4.2 3.1 Number of months in state prison 99.5 99.0 99.2 Days between latest state prison release and random assignment 21.7 21.1 21.4 Length of most recent incarceration (months) 51.0 57.3 54.2 Crime category (%) Violent crime Drug crime Property crime Public order crime 35.5 21.8 31.3 11.4 45.0 14.7 31.8 8.5 40.3 18.2 31.5 10.0 Admission reason (%) New crime Parole violation Other 62.4 37.1 0.5 66.8 32.7 0.5 64.6 34.9 0.5 Sample size 213 212 425 Average number of arrestsa Number of prior felony arrests Number of prior misdemeanor arrests Conviction history Any prior convictionb (%) b Average number of prior convictions Number of prior felony convictions Number of prior misdemeanor convictions Ever convicted of a violent crimec (%) c Ever convicted of a drug-related crime (%) Ever convicted of sexual assualt (%) State prison history Most recent criminal justice event (continued) 175 Appendix Table B.6 (continued) SOURCES: Calculations based on data from Michigan State Police and the Department of Corrections in Michigan. NOTES: All criminal history calculations include only events that occured between January 1, 1980, and the date of random assignment. In order to assess differences in characteristics across research groups, chi-square tests were used for categorical variables, and t-tests were used for continuous variables. Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aEach arrest date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple crimes or charges on the same date, only the most serious charge is recorded in the analysis. bEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Some convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment. These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment. Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. cThe classification of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). 176 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table B.7 Criminal History Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline St. Paul Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Characteristic Full Sample Sig. Arrest history Any prior arrests (%) 100.0 100.0 100.0 10.0 NA NA 10.4 NA NA 10.2 NA NA 97.2 97.2 97.2 4.3 2.9 1.4 4.5 2.9 1.5 4.4 2.9 1.4 Ever convicted of a violent crimec (%) 79.4 81.3 80.4 Ever convicted of a drug-related crimec (%) 24.5 34.3 29.4 Ever convicted of sexual assault (%) 34.0 34.7 34.3 Number of months in state prison 56.5 52.3 54.4 Days between latest state prison release and random assignment 23.1 19.9 21.5 Length of most recent incarceration (months) 21.7 20.6 21.1 Crime category (%) Violent crime Drug crime Property crime Public order crime 52.0 8.6 18.0 21.3 51.4 15.6 14.0 18.9 51.7 12.1 16.0 20.1 Admission reason (%) New crime Parole violation Other 66.4 33.6 NA 66.1 33.9 NA 66.3 33.7 NA Sample size 250 250 500 Average number of arrestsa Number of prior felony arrests Number of prior misdemeanor arrests Conviction history Any prior convictionb (%) Average number of prior convictionsb Number of prior felony convictions Number of prior misdemeanor convictions ** State prison history Most recent criminal justice event * (continued) 177 Appendix Table B.7 (continued) SOURCES: Calculations based on data from Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension and the Department of Corrections in Minnesota. NOTES: All criminal history calculations include only events that occured between January 1, 1980, and the date of random assignment. NA indicates data were not available for that site. In order to assess differences in characteristics across research groups, chi-square tests were used for categorical variables, and t-tests were used for continuous variables. Significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aEach arrest date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple crimes or charges on the same date, only the most serious charge is recorded in the analysis. bEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Some convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment.These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment. Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. cThe classification of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). 178 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Table B.8 Criminal History Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline Milwaukee Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Characteristic Full Sample Sig. Arrest history Any prior arrests (%) 99.6 100.0 99.8 7.7 4.2 2.4 7.8 4.1 2.6 7.7 4.1 2.5 98.0 98.4 98.2 3.8 1.9 1.2 3.5 1.8 1.1 3.7 1.8 1.1 42.4 41.4 41.9 56.9 53.0 54.9 7.1 4.8 5.9 Number of months in state prison 76.0 67.0 71.6 Days between latest state prison release and random assignment 77.1 63.7 70.4 Length of most recent incarceration (months) 34.3 29.2 31.7 Crime category (%) Violent crime Drug crime Property crime Public order crime 19.6 32.4 19.6 28.4 21.5 35.6 17.0 25.9 20.5 34.0 18.3 27.2 Admission reason (%) New crime Parole violation Other 35.9 54.3 9.8 37.1 47.4 15.5 36.5 50.9 12.6 Sample size 256 251 507 Average number of arrestsa Number of prior felony arrests Number of prior misdemeanor arrests Conviction history Any prior convictionb (%) Average number of prior convictionsb Number of prior felony convictions Number of prior misdemeanor convictions Ever convicted of a violent crimec (%) c Ever convicted of a drug-related crime (%) Ever convicted of sexual assault (%) State prison history * Most recent criminal justice event (continued) 179 Table B.8 (continued) SOURCES: Calculations based on data from State of Wisconsin Department of Justice and the Department of Corrections in Wisconsin. NOTES: All criminal history calculations include only events that occured between January 1, 1980, and the date of random assignment. In order to assess differences in characteristics across research groups, chi-square tests were used for categorical variables, and t-tests were used for continuous variables. Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aEach arrest date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple crimes or charges on the same date, only the most serious charge is recorded in the analysis. bEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Some convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment.These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment.Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. cThe classification of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). 180 Appendix C Supplementary Exhibits for Chapter 5 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table C.1 Quarterly Impacts on Employment and Earnings Chicago Outcome Transitional Jobs Group Job Search Difference Group (Impact) P-Valuea Employment (%) Transitional employmentb Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 65.4 60.2 22.1 10.6 87.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Unsubsidized employment Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 14.9 18.2 24.9 22.6 41.5 24.8 37.1 30.7 27.7 54.4 Total employment Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 71.8 68.6 44.1 31.3 93.4 24.5 36.9 30.7 28.0 53.8 Number of quarters employed 2.2 Employed in all 4 quarters (%) 65.4 60.2 22.1 10.6 87.5 *** *** *** *** *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -10.0 ** -18.9 *** -5.8 -5.2 -12.9 ** 0.019 0.000 0.228 0.264 0.016 47.3 31.7 13.4 3.4 39.6 *** *** *** *** 0.000 0.000 0.009 0.491 0.000 1.2 1.0 *** 0.000 16.6 8.9 7.7 ** 0.033 Transitional job earningsb Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 657 1,072 493 250 2,471 0 0 0 0 0 Unsubsidized earnings Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 116 307 655 751 1,829 175 635 764 795 2,369 Earnings ($) 183 657 1,072 493 250 2,471 *** *** *** *** *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -60 -328 *** -109 -44 -540 0.290 0.007 0.553 0.834 0.255 (continued) Appendix Table C.1 (continued) Outcome Transitional Jobs Group Total earningsc Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Sample size (total = 374) Job Search Difference Group (Impact) 773 1,379 1,148 1,001 4,300 174 651 768 790 2,383 189 185 598 728 380 211 1,918 P-Valuea *** *** * *** 0.000 0.000 0.053 0.323 0.000 SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from Safer and unemployment insurance data from the State of Illinois. NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. aStandard errors are presented in this report for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000. Following are the standard errors for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000 (presented in the order in which they appear in the table). Employment: 3.665, 3.721, 3.230, 2.381, 2.537, 4.694, 4.751, 5.046, 4.201, and 0.135. Earnings: 58.859, 97.242, 87.000, 61.965, 232.153, 77.344, 142.773, and 500.667. bEarnings and employment from transitional jobs are based on payroll data from Chicago. cTotal earnings may not be equal to the sum of transitional job earnings plus unsubsidized job earnings due to rounding. 184 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table C.2 Quarterly Impacts on Employment and Earnings Detroit Outcome Transitional Jobs Group Job Search Difference Group (Impact) P-Valuea Employment (%) Transitional employmentb Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 66.9 73.0 12.8 3.2 88.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.9 73.0 12.8 3.2 88.0 Unsubsidized employment Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 11.4 20.8 20.4 17.8 38.5 7.2 23.0 18.8 19.3 33.1 4.2 -2.1 1.5 -1.4 5.4 Total employment Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 70.3 77.0 31.6 20.5 92.4 6.2 23.8 19.3 19.1 34.7 64.1 53.2 12.3 1.4 57.7 Number of quarters employed 2.0 Employed in all 4 quarters (%) *** *** *** ** *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.011 0.000 0.175 0.624 0.715 0.728 0.284 *** *** *** *** 0.000 0.000 0.007 0.743 0.000 0.7 1.3 *** 0.000 10.3 3.6 6.6 ** 0.016 Transitional job earningsb Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 517 830 81 32 1,461 0 0 0 0 0 517 830 81 32 1,461 Unsubsidized earnings Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 191 523 486 500 1,700 96 336 372 447 1,252 95 187 113 54 448 Earnings ($) 185 *** *** *** * *** 0.000 0.000 0.007 0.073 0.000 0.394 0.232 0.400 0.822 0.389 (continued) Appendix Table C.2 (continued) Outcome Transitional Jobs Group Total earningsc Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Sample size (total = 388) Job Search Difference Group (Impact) 708 1,354 567 533 3,161 88 341 373 444 1,245 195 193 620 *** 1,013 *** 194 89 1,915 *** P-Valuea 0.000 0.000 0.157 0.711 0.000 SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from Goodwill and unemployment insurance data from the state of Michigan. NOTES: Statistcial significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. aStandard errors are presented in this report for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000. Following are the standard errors for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000 (presented in the order in which they appear in the table). Employment: 3.588, 3.364, 2.564, 2.494, 4.035, 4.470, 4.169, and 0.117. Earnings: 41.327, 59.996, 92.587, 122.558, 161.706, and 531.609. bEarnings and employment from transitional jobs are based on payroll data from Detroit. cTotal earnings may not be equal to the sum of transitional job earnings plus unsubsidized job earnings due to rounding. 186 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table C.3 Quarterly Impacts on Employment and Earnings St. Paul Outcome Transitional Jobs Group Job Search Difference Group (Impact) P-Valuea Employment (%) Transitional employmentb Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 92.1 72.5 34.2 12.1 97.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.1 72.5 34.2 12.1 97.1 *** *** *** *** *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Unsubsidized employment Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 15.8 27.8 35.6 36.4 59.1 50.6 54.4 43.8 39.1 74.5 -34.9 -26.6 -8.2 -2.8 -15.5 *** *** * 0.000 0.000 0.065 0.522 0.000 Total employment Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 92.1 81.4 56.4 44.4 98.7 49.4 54.2 43.6 39.0 74.0 42.6 27.1 12.8 5.4 24.7 *** *** *** Number of quarters employed 2.7 Employed in all 4 quarters (%) *** *** 0.000 0.000 0.004 0.216 0.000 1.9 0.9 *** 0.000 30.0 18.6 11.4 *** 0.003 Transitional job earningsb Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 807 1,057 414 131 2,410 0 0 0 0 0 807 1,057 414 131 2,410 *** *** *** *** *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Unsubsidized earnings Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 93 463 944 1,081 2,582 562 1,351 1,300 1,181 4,394 -469 -888 -357 -99 -1,813 *** *** * 0.000 0.000 0.066 0.599 0.000 (continued) Earnings ($) 187 *** Appendix Table C.3 (continued) Outcome Transitional Jobs Group Total earningsc Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Sample size (total = 506) Job Search Difference Group (Impact) 901 1,520 1,358 1,213 4,992 555 1,355 1,297 1,179 4,386 253 253 P-Valuea 346 *** 165 61 34 606 0.000 0.298 0.754 0.857 0.240 SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from Goodwill/Easter Seals and unemployment insurance data from the state of Minnesota. NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characterisitics. aStandard errors are presented in this report for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000. Following are the standard errors for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000 (presented in the order in which they appear in the table). Employment: 1.730, 2.851, 2.978, 2.089, 1.067, 3.944, 4.298, 4.206, 3.623, 4.006, 2.912, and 0.113. Earnings: 37.259, 63.500, 46.362, 29.985, 113.327, 80.580, 152.886, 507.815, and 88.140. bEarnings and employment from transitional jobs are based on payroll data from St. Paul. cTotal earnings may not be equal to the sum of transitional job earnings plus unsubsidized job earnings due to rounding. 188 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table C.4 Quarterly Impacts on Employment and Earnings Milwaukee Outcome Transitional Jobs Group Job Search Difference Group (Impact) P-Valuea Employment (%) Transitional employmentb Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 41.6 56.2 28.9 9.5 70.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Unsubsidized employment Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 22.5 34.8 36.6 35.4 58.1 36.9 46.0 38.2 34.6 66.5 Total employment Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 55.2 73.1 55.4 42.0 87.7 37.1 45.9 38.4 34.6 67.4 Number of quarters employed 2.3 Employed in all 4 quarters (%) 41.6 56.2 28.9 9.5 70.2 *** *** *** *** *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 -14.4 *** -11.2 ** -1.6 0.8 -8.3 * 0.001 0.012 0.717 0.859 0.055 18.1 27.2 17.0 7.4 20.4 *** *** *** * *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.090 0.000 1.6 0.7 *** 0.000 21.6 11.9 9.7 *** 0.004 Transitional job earningsb Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 406 972 361 91 1,831 0 0 0 0 0 406 972 361 91 1,831 Unsubsidized earnings Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 355 623 899 1,029 2,906 318 839 966 881 3,004 36 -216 -67 148 -98 Earnings ($) 189 *** *** *** *** *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.735 0.151 0.715 0.449 0.854 (continued) Appendix Table C.4 (continued) Outcome Transitional Jobs Group Total earningsc Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Sample size (total = 506) Job Search Difference Group (Impact) 761 1,596 1,260 1,120 4,737 315 828 965 879 2,986 256 250 447 *** 767 *** 296 241 1,751 *** P-Valuea 0.000 0.000 0.110 0.218 0.001 SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from New Hope and unemployment insurance data from the state of Wisconsin. NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment chracteristics. aStandard errors are presented in this report for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000. Following are the standard errors for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000 (presented in the order in which they appear in the table). Employment: 3.172, 3.244, 2.989, 1.912, 2.982, 4.453, 4.277, 4.482, 3.703, and 0.121. Earnings: 40.556, 73.874, 49.792, 23.430, 119.554, 157.420, and 184.390. bEarnings and employment from transitional jobs are based on payroll data from Milwaukee. cTotal earnings may not be equal to the sum of transitional job earnings plus unsubsidized job earnings due to rounding. 190 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table C.5 Characteristics of Sample Members at Baseline, by Exposure to Bonus Characteristic Exposed to Bonus Not Exposed to Bonus Full Sample Age (%) 18-24 years 25-34 years 35-44 years 45 or older 14.5 39.5 26.2 19.8 20.1 34.7 27.8 17.4 18.2 36.4 27.3 18.2 Average age (years) 34.7 33.9 34.2 Race/ethnicity (%) White/non-Hispanic Black/non-Hispanic Hispanic Other 22.7 58.7 11.6 7.0 20.1 66.1 8.4 5.4 21.0 63.6 9.5 5.9 Has any children under age 19 (%) 57.0 52.7 54.2 4.7 5.7 5.3 Among those with children Lives with own children under age 19 (%) Average number of children Has a child support order (%) 4.7 2.4 29.7 5.7 2.1 21.0 5.3 2.2 23.9 Among those with child support order a Average monthly support order ($) 282 278 280 Amount of child support owed a (%) None Less than $5,000 $5,000 - $14,999 $15,000 or more Don’t know 12.2 18.4 30.6 26.5 12.2 4.4 23.5 27.9 27.9 16.2 7.7 21.4 29.1 27.4 14.5 Education (%) GED certificate High school diploma Associate's degree/2-or 4-year college/beyond None of the above 53.9 21.0 5.4 19.8 52.8 21.3 6.9 19.1 53.2 21.1 6.4 19.3 Has occupational training certificate (%) 43.5 39.4 40.8 Marital status (%) Never married Married, living with spouse Married, living away from spouse Legally separated/divorced/widowed 66.1 0.6 11.1 22.2 77.6 0.9 5.8 15.6 73.6 0.8 7.6 17.9 Lives with own children under age 19 (%) (continued) 191 Appendix Table C.5 (continued) Exposed to Bonus Not Exposed to Bonus Full Sample Housing status (%) Owns/rents house or apartment Lives with friends or relatives Has transitional housing Lives in shelter/other 9.9 15.1 70.9 4.1 13.6 19.3 60.4 6.6 12.3 17.9 64.0 5.8 Ever employed (%) 91.2 88.3 89.3 Ever employed 6 consecutive months for one employer (%) 58.1 52.7 54.6 Worked full time in the 6 months before incarceration (%) 46.2 40.9 42.7 Medical condition restricts ability to work (%) 7.0 4.9 5.6 Ever in drug or alcohol treatment program (%) 64.9 61.3 62.5 Public assistanceb (%) No government assistance Temporary Assistance for Needy Families Food stamps Social Security Medicaid Housing assistance 51.5 30.4 13.5 1.2 24.0 15.8 52.8 22.4 14.7 3.1 29.8 11.0 52.3 25.2 14.3 2.4 27.8 12.7 Family assists with (%) Finding a place to live Finding a job Dealing with a drug or alcohol problem Financial support None of the above 27.1 20.6 12.4 25.3 57.6 26.2 22.2 11.1 29.6 54.3 26.5 21.7 11.5 28.1 55.5 Facility type of most recent release (%) Prison Jail 95.9 4.1 95.7 4.3 95.7 4.3 Under community supervision (parole/probation) (%) 95.9 97.5 97.0 Sample size (total = 506) SOURCE: MDRC calculations using the Baseline Information Form. 172 334 Characteristic NOTES: In order to assess differences in characteristics across research groups, chi-square tests were used for categorical variables and t-test were used for continuous variables. There are no statistically significant differences between research groups on any measure in this table. aCalculated only for those who have children and are ordered to pay child support. Some participants were ordered to pay but did not report the amount; they are missing from this measure. bFor Detroit this variable is created only for those who were randomly assigned after January 8, 2008, when the site began random assignment after release. 192 Appendix D Supplementary Exhibits for Chapter 6 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table D.1 Quarterly Impacts on Combined Measures of Employment and Prison: Full Sample Transitional Jobs Group Outcome (%) Job Search Difference Group (Impact) P-Value a Employed and in prison Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 4.9 8.4 6.7 4.5 31.1 2.6 5.6 4.7 4.4 20.5 2.3 2.9 2.0 0.1 10.6 ** ** * *** 0.010 0.017 0.069 0.927 0.000 Employed and not in prison Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 67.2 66.5 41.1 31.0 61.7 29.0 36.4 29.6 26.9 39.0 38.3 30.2 11.5 4.1 22.6 *** *** *** * *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.053 0.000 Not employed and in prison Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 1.1 7.8 15.4 19.3 2.9 5.9 13.6 19.3 21.1 14.7 -4.8 -5.8 -3.8 -1.8 -11.8 *** *** ** 0.000 0.000 0.028 0.338 0.000 Not employed and not in prison Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 26.8 17.2 36.8 45.2 4.3 62.5 44.5 46.4 47.6 25.8 -35.8 -27.3 -9.6 -2.4 -21.5 *** *** *** Sample size (total = 1,769) 890 879 *** *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.287 0.000 SOURCES: Calculations based on data from Michigan State Police, Minnesota Bureau of Crime Apprehension, State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, Illinois Crime Information Bureau, and the Department of Corrections in each state. NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. Measures in this table are based on fiscal quarters and therefore may not sum exactly to the percent for Year 1 outcomes shown in Table 6.1 (which is based on monthly data). aThese outcomes measure whether a sample member was ever employed (in a transitional or UI-covered job) and whether he was ever in prison at any point during that quarter. A person could be considered incarcerated and employed during the same quarter even if the employment and incarceration were not simultaneous. 195 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table D.2 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism Chicago Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Outcome Difference (Impact) P-Value Arrested (%) 45.8 44.2 1.6 0.761 Convicted of a crimea (%) Convicted of a felony Convicted of a misdemeanor 17.6 11.8 8.0 14.9 9.9 3.4 2.8 1.8 4.5 * 0.475 0.573 0.057 1.4 5.4 6.5 6.9 1.3 7.0 4.4 2.8 0.1 -1.6 2.1 4.1 * 0.938 0.517 0.383 0.077 Admitted to prison (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a parole/probation violation Admitted to prison for other reason 22.9 7.9 15.5 0.0 20.4 8.7 12.3 0.0 2.6 -0.8 3.2 0.0 0.545 0.776 0.380 0.000 Total days incarcerated in prison 22.3 24.7 -2.4 0.709 50.6 48.1 2.5 0.627 Incarcerated and employed Incarcerated and not employed Not incarcerated and employed Not incarcerated and not employed 0.9 14.7 30.4 54.0 0.7 17.5 27.3 54.6 0.2 -2.8 3.2 -0.6 0.822 0.467 0.517 0.913 Sample size (total = 374) 189 185 Conviction categoriesb (%) Convicted of a violent crime Convicted of a property crime Convicted of a drug crime Convicted of a public order crime Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) c Status in the last quarter of Year 1 (%) SOURCES: Calculations based on data from Illinois UI, Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority and the Department of Corrections in Illinois. NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Some convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment.These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment.Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. bThe classification of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). cIncarceration and employment status in Quarter 4 after random assignment. 196 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table D.3 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism Detroit Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) Outcome Arrested (%) P-Value 39.4 33.5 6.0 0.206 14.1 8.8 3.3 18.9 11.5 3.3 -4.8 -2.7 0.1 0.180 0.371 0.963 2.1 7.4 1.9 2.6 4.0 6.7 4.7 3.5 -2.0 0.8 -2.9 -1.0 0.259 0.759 0.118 0.571 Admitted to prison (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a parole/probation violation Admitted to prison for other reason 15.4 7.2 7.8 0.4 12.4 5.0 7.3 0.1 3.0 2.1 0.5 0.4 0.377 0.378 0.842 0.446 Total days incarcerated in prison 18.4 16.4 2.0 0.701 43.0 40.8 2.2 0.647 Incarcerated and employed Incarcerated and not employed Not incarcerated and employed Not incarcerated and not employed 0.6 12.8 20.0 66.6 0.5 8.8 18.7 72.0 0.1 4.0 1.3 -5.4 0.868 0.226 0.763 0.272 Sample size (total = 425) 213 212 a Convicted of a crime (%) Convicted of a felony Convicted of a misdemeanor b Conviction categories (%) Convicted of a violent crime Convicted of a property crime Convicted of a drug crime Convicted of a public order crime Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) c Status in the last quarter of Year 1 (%) SOURCES: Calculations based on data from the Michigan State Police and the Department of Corrections in Michigan. NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aEach arrest date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple crimes or charges on the same date, only the most serious charge is recorded in the analysis. bEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Some convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment. These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment. Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. cIncarceration and employment status in Quarter 4 after random assignment. 197 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table D.4 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism St. Paul Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) Outcome P-Value Arrested (%) 37.7 35.3 2.4 0.586 Convicted of a crimea (%) Convicted of a felony Convicted of a misdemeanor 14.0 9.0 5.1 12.6 6.1 6.4 1.4 2.9 -1.4 0.640 0.223 0.524 4.2 4.0 2.8 3.7 4.1 3.2 0.8 5.0 0.1 0.8 2.0 * -1.3 0.957 0.632 0.087 0.486 Admitted to prison (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a parole/probation violation Admitted to prison for other reason 44.4 6.4 38.9 0.0 53.2 3.9 50.3 0.0 -8.7 ** 2.5 -11.4 *** 0.0 0.045 0.200 0.008 0.000 Total days incarcerated in prison 60.4 83.3 -22.9 *** 0.005 58.8 68.7 -9.9 ** 0.019 Incarcerated and employed Incarcerated and not employed Not incarcerated and employed Not incarcerated and not employed 6.1 21.2 38.1 34.6 7.8 26.6 31.2 34.3 -1.8 -5.4 6.9 * 0.2 0.450 0.157 0.098 0.955 Sample size (total = 502) 251 251 Conviction categoriesb (%) Convicted of a violent crime Convicted of a property crime Convicted of a drug crime Convicted of a public order crime Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) c Status in the last quarter of Year 1 (%) SOURCES: Calculations based on data from St. Paul unemployment insurance records, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, and the Department of Corrections in Minnesota. NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Some convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment. These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment. Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. bThe classification of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). cIncarceration and employment status in Quarter 4 after random assignment. 198 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table D.5 One-Year Impacts on Recidivism Milwaukee Transitional Job Search Jobs Group Group Outcome Arrested (%) 33.7 30.7 10.2 7.5 1.9 11.9 5.1 5.6 1.1 2.8 4.3 2.7 Admitted to prison (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a parole/probation violation Admitted to prison for other reason Total days incarcerated in prison a Convicted of a crime (%) Convicted of a felony Convicted of a misdemeanor Difference (Impact) P-Value 3.1 0.455 -1.7 2.4 -3.6 ** 0.554 0.276 0.036 1.3 3.5 3.2 4.4 -0.2 -0.7 1.2 -1.7 0.867 0.647 0.499 0.329 50.9 3.2 22.6 31.9 52.1 3.1 21.2 34.0 -1.3 0.1 1.3 -2.1 0.780 0.975 0.718 0.623 49.6 57.0 -7.3 0.344 59.6 62.2 -2.6 0.559 Incarcerated and employed Incarcerated and not employed Not incarcerated and employed Not incarcerated and not employed 8.6 25.1 33.4 32.9 6.4 28.7 28.2 36.7 2.2 -3.6 5.1 -3.8 0.360 0.373 0.215 0.378 Sample size (total = 507) 256 251 Conviction categoriesb (%) Convicted of a violent crime Convicted of a property crime Convicted of a drug crime Convicted of a public order crime Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) c Status in the last quarter of Year 1 (%) SOURCES: Calculations based on data from Milwaukee unemployment insurance records, State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, and the Department of Corrections in Wisconsin. NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. The significance level indicates the probability that one would incorrectly conclude that a difference exists between research groups for the corresponding variable. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Some convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment. These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment. Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. bThe classification of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). cIncarceration and employment status in Quarter 4 after random assignment. 199 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table D.6 Quarterly Impacts on Combined Measures of Employment and Arrest: Full Sample Transitional Jobs Group Job Search Group Difference (Impact) Employed and arrested Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 3.5 9.4 6.3 2.7 36.5 1.3 3.4 2.5 2.0 18.8 2.2 6.1 3.7 0.7 17.7 *** 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.341 0.000 Employed and not arrested Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 68.7 65.6 41.7 32.9 56.5 30.5 38.6 31.7 29.2 40.8 38.3 27.0 10.0 3.7 15.7 *** *** *** * *** 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.087 0.000 Not employed and arrested Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 0.7 4.9 7.1 9.8 2.6 4.0 7.9 8.3 10.4 16.5 -3.3 *** -3.0 *** -1.1 -0.7 -14.0 *** 0.000 0.009 0.371 0.642 0.000 Not employed and not arrested Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 27.1 20.1 44.9 54.6 4.4 64.2 50.1 57.5 58.4 23.9 -37.2 -30.0 -12.6 -3.7 -19.5 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.113 0.000 Sample size (total = 1,765) 887 878 Outcome (%) P-Value *** *** *** *** *** *** *** SOURCES: Calculations based on data from Michigan State Police, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, Illinois Crime Information Bureau, and the Department of Corrections in each state. NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. The significance level indicates the probability that one would incorrectly conclude that a difference exists between research groups for the corresponding variable. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. Measures in this table are based on fiscal quarters and therefore may not sum exactly to the percent for Year 1 outcomes shown in Table 6.1 (which is based on monthly data). 200 Appendix E Supplementary Exhibits for Chapter 7 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table E.1 Estimated Net Costs for the Transitional Jobs Group Using Alternative Costs for Each Local Job Search Program, by Site (2008 Dollars) Cost Componenta Gross Cost per Transitional Jobs Group Member Gross Cost per Net Cost per Job Search Transitional Jobs Group Member Group Member Chicago Transitional job expenses $3,230 $0 $3,230 Other expenses (job readiness, case management, etc.) $1,526 $1,185 $341 Total operating costs $4,756 $1,185 $3,571 Transitional job expenses $1,801 $0 $1,801 Other expenses (job readiness, case management, etc.) $2,239 NA NA Total operating costs $4,041 NA NA Transitional job expenses $1,906 $0 $1,906 Other expenses (job readiness, case management, etc.) $1,645 $194b $1,451 Total operating costs $3,551 $194 $3,357 Transitional job expenses $2,177 $0 $2,177 Other expenses (job readiness, case management, etc.) $2,712 $969 $1,743 Total operating costs $4,889 $969 $3,920 Detroit Milwaukee St. Paul SOURCES: MDRC calculations using financial expenditure reports for 2008 and in-depth interviews with program staff, combined with data on participation rates from each program's management information system. NOTES: NA indicates that data were not available. aCosts include only services provided by the transitional jobs (TJ) and job search (JS) programs in TJRD. bThe estimated cost for the Milwaukee JS program is unusually low. The cost was based on information provided by that program about the amount spent on and the number of participants served. The number of participants reported was 2,251, which is extraordinarily high. In addition, the program has unusually low rental costs for office space. 203 Appendix F Characteristics of the Qualitative Study Sample The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Appendix Table F.1 Characteristics of Sample Members from the Qualitative Study, by Site Characteristic (number) Chicago Detroit Milwaukee St. Paul Total Age 19-24 25-30 31-39 40-49 50 or older 0 1 3 1 1 2 1 5 1 2 1 1 3 2 1 0 3 3 1 1 3 6 14 5 5 Race/ethnicity (%) White/non-Hispanic Black/non-Hispanic Hispanic 0 4 2 0 11 0 1 6 1 2 6 0 3 27 3 Education 8th grade Some high school High school diploma/GED certificate Some post secondary Bachelor's degree 0 4 2 0 0 0 3 5 3 0 0 2 6 0 0 1 1 4 1 1 1 10 17 4 1 Work history None (since age 16) Laborer, janitor, or custodian Fast food Retail clerk/cashier Automobile inspector Construction/skilled repair Barber 1 1 3 0 0 1 0 3 3 2 2 1 0 0 3 2 1 1 0 0 1 1 4 2 0 0 1 0 8 10 8 3 1 2 1 Employeda Round 2 interview Round 3 interview 4 3 2 0 3 2 4 1 13 6 Incarceration history One term (1-9 years) One term (10 years or more) Mutiple terms (1-9 years) Mutiple terms (10 years or more) 1 1 2 2 2 4 0 5 3 1 1 3 3 2 3 0 9 8 6 10 Sample size 33 SOURCES: Based on information collected from the qualitative study. NOTES: aEmployment status is given as reported at the time of the Round 2 (2009) and Round 3 (2010) interviews. Categories do not sum up to the total sample size because some sample members were incarcerated or deceased, or their employment status was unknown. 207 Appendix G Results of Subgroup Analyses 211 14.2 Employed in all 4 quarters (%) 71.8 69.3 41.8 31.9 93.6 Total employment (%) Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 2.1 16.9 23.3 26.9 26.8 50.9 Unsubsidized employment (%) Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Number of quarters employed 66.5 60.2 20.6 7.0 84.3 Transitional employment c (%) Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Employment Outcome 9.2 1.3 31.1 36.2 31.0 28.3 56.9 31.0 36.4 30.7 28.4 57.0 0.1 -0.4 0.2 -0.1 -0.4 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ** 5.0 0.9 *** 40.8 33.1 10.8 3.6 36.7 -14.1 *** -13.1 *** -3.8 -1.6 -6.2 66.4 60.5 20.4 7.1 84.7 Age 26 or Younger Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) 0.108 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.018 0.416 0.000 0.001 0.003 0.372 0.715 0.196 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 P-Valuea 22.2 2.4 72.2 77.1 50.0 37.0 92.9 16.7 27.1 31.2 29.8 50.4 66.0 67.0 27.1 9.8 85.7 12.5 1.4 31.7 43.8 35.4 32.1 60.1 31.8 43.6 35.5 32.2 59.7 -0.3 0.1 -0.2 -0.2 0.0 *** *** *** * *** *** *** *** * *** *** *** *** *** 9.8 *** 0.9 *** 40.6 33.2 14.5 4.9 32.8 -15.1 -16.6 -4.3 -2.3 -9.3 66.4 66.9 27.3 9.9 85.7 Age 27 or Older Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) Age at Baseline One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Age: Full Sample Appendix Table G.1 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.057 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.091 0.350 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 (continued) † †† Difference Between Subgroup P-Valuea Impactsb 212 849 1,179 886 872 3,785 Total earningsd Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 216 273 386 646 764 2,069 Unsubsidized earnings Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Sample size (total =1,774) 576 793 240 107 1,716 Transitional job earningsc Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Earnings ($) Outcome 244 258 574 567 544 1,943 259 574 563 545 1,941 -1 0 4 -1 2 591 604 319 328 1,842 14 -189 83 219 128 576 793 236 109 1,714 Age 26 or Younger Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) *** *** ** ** *** *** *** *** *** *** 0.000 0.000 0.037 0.043 0.000 0.902 0.155 0.576 0.170 0.791 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.000 P-Valuea 677 777 1,578 1,179 1,028 4,562 179 526 802 900 2,407 598 1,052 377 128 2,155 637 318 927 1,019 972 3,236 319 928 1,022 975 3,244 0 -1 -3 -3 -8 *** *** *** ** *** *** *** *** *** 458 *** 651 *** 161 56 1,326 *** -140 -402 -220 -75 -837 598 1,054 381 131 2,163 Age 27 or Older Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) Age at Baseline Appendix Table G.1 (continued) 0.000 0.000 0.141 0.655 0.000 0.004 0.000 0.041 0.548 0.005 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 (continued) † † ††† ††† †† Difference Between Subgroup P-Valuea Impactsb 213 NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. aStandard errors are presented in this table for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000. Following are the standard errors for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000 (presented in the order in which they appear in the table, beginning with the "Age 26 or Younger" group). Employment: 2.986, 3.272, 2.731, 1.741, 2.399, 1.829, 1.864, 1.759, 1.177, 1.370, 2.298, 2.573, 2.649, 4.23, 4.468, 3.832, 2.476, 2.517, 2.632, 2.122, .117, .070, and 2.060. Earnings: 41.85, 66.21, 45.15, 125.10, 25.886, 42.961, 32.992, 20.370, 83.789, 88.355, 124.033, 141.491, 492.158, 52.662, 92.892, and 305.269. bThe H-statistic is used to assess whether the difference in impacts between the subgroups is statistically significant. Significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent; †† = 5 percent; and † = 10 percent. cEarnings and employment from transitional jobs are based on payroll data from each of the sites. dTotal earnings may not be equal to the sum of transitional job earnings plus unsubsidized job earnings due to rounding. SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from each site and unemployment insurance data from each of the states in the demonstration (Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Illinois). Appendix Table G.1 (continued) 214 c 52.3 66.7 Total days incarcerated in prison Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) 6.0 22.3 25.9 45.8 223 Incarcerated and employed Incarcerated and not employed Not incarcerated and employed Not incarcerated and not employed Sample size (total = 1,808) Status in the last quarter of Year 1f (%) 46.6 3.8 30.2 14.6 2.0 3.2 6.2 4.1 15.1 10.5 3.7 47.4 Admitted to prisone (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for technical parole violation Admitted to prison for other reason Conviction categoriesd (%) Convicted of a violent crime Convicted of a property crime Convicted of a drug crime Convicted of a public order crime Convicted of a crime (%) Convicted of a felony Convicted of a misdemeanor Arrested (%) b Outcome 249 4.5 27.8 23.8 43.9 65.1 64.9 45.0 5.1 30.8 11.8 3.5 3.6 4.1 6.0 16.3 8.3 5.9 42.5 1.5 -5.5 2.1 1.9 1.6 -12.6 1.7 -1.3 -0.6 2.9 -1.5 -0.4 2.2 -1.9 -1.2 2.2 -2.2 4.9 Age 26 or Younger Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) 0.485 0.196 0.614 0.686 0.721 0.118 0.715 0.515 0.881 0.301 0.357 0.821 0.302 0.382 0.727 0.428 0.300 0.300 P-Value 686 4.0 18.0 33.0 45.0 48.8 35.7 31.0 6.9 19.8 6.8 2.3 5.2 3.2 3.4 13.0 8.6 4.3 35.7 650 4.2 19.0 27.8 49.0 53.2 41.4 33.4 4.7 21.4 9.2 2.5 5.5 2.4 3.7 13.9 7.7 4.7 32.8 0.099 0.147 0.321 0.093 0.469 0.069 0.858 0.783 0.389 0.759 0.615 0.558 0.750 0.241 (continued) † Difference Between Subgroup P-Value Impactsa -0.2 0.861 -1.0 0.645 5.2 ** 0.039 -4.0 0.126 -4.4 * -5.7 -2.4 2.1 * -1.5 -2.4 * -0.2 -0.3 0.8 -0.3 -0.9 0.9 -0.4 3.0 Age 27 or Older Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) Age at Baseline One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Age: Full Sample Appendix Table G.2 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration 215 NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aThe H-statistic is used to assess whether the difference in impacts between the subgroups is statistically significant. Significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent, †† = 5 percent, and † = 10 percent. bEach arrest date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple crimes or charges on the same date, only the most serious charge is recorded in the analysis. cEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Some convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment. These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment. Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. dThe categorization of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). eIncludes all reasons for prison admission such as sentences for new crimes, technical parole violations, and other reasons. fIncarceration and employment status in Quarter 4 after random assignment. SOURCES: Calculations based on data from unemployment insurance records in each site, Michigan State Police, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority, and the Department of Corrections in each state. Appendix Table G.2 (continued) 216 20.9 Employed in all 4 quarters (%) 72.2 74.7 50.5 38.5 92.7 Total employment (%) Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 2.4 16.7 26.8 30.5 30.6 52.3 Unsubsidized employment (%) Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Number of quarters employed 66.2 64.9 28.3 10.9 84.6 Transitional employmentc (%) Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Employment Outcome 12.0 1.5 32.2 43.6 36.0 34.0 62.2 32.5 43.5 36.1 34.1 62.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *** *** *** * *** *** *** *** ** *** *** *** *** *** 8.9 *** 0.9 *** 40.0 31.1 14.5 4.4 30.5 -15.8 -16.7 -5.6 -3.5 -9.6 66.2 64.9 28.3 10.9 84.6 Early Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.081 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.025 0.159 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 P-Valuea 17.8 2.1 71.6 75.9 38.8 23.4 92.5 15.3 23.3 28.7 21.3 42.4 67.2 66.6 14.9 2.1 87.8 10.1 1.1 29.6 35.5 27.1 22.1 50.0 29.8 35.1 27.1 22.1 49.3 -0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 *** *** *** * *** *** *** *** ** 7.6 ** 1.0 *** 42.1 40.4 11.7 1.3 42.5 -14.5 *** -11.8 ** 1.5 -0.8 -6.9 67.6 66.4 14.9 2.1 87.3 Late Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) Cohort One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Cohort: Full Sample Appendix Table G.3 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration †† † ††† ††† (continued) 0.041 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.016 0.774 0.000 0.001 0.014 0.743 0.854 0.185 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.067 0.000 Difference Between Subgroup P-Valuea Impactsb 217 740 1,449 1,128 1,029 4,347 Total earningsd Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 706 184 464 744 884 2,276 Unsubsidized earnings Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Sample size (total = 1,774) 556 985 384 145 2,070 Transitional job earningsc Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Earnings ($) Outcome 695 297 876 995 979 3,147 300 876 997 980 3,152 0 0 0 0 0 *** ** *** ** *** *** *** *** *** 444 *** 573 *** 133 50 1,200 *** -115 -412 -252 -96 -876 556 985 384 145 2,070 Early Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) 0.000 0.000 0.206 0.682 0.000 0.016 0.000 0.015 0.424 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 P-Valuea 187 978 1,550 1,023 789 4,340 233 559 830 758 2,380 745 991 193 31 1,960 186 339 708 526 441 2,014 346 699 524 441 2,011 -7 9 2 0 3 *** *** *** *** 639 842 497 348 2,326 *** *** *** ** *** -113 -140 306 * 316 * 369 752 982 191 32 1,957 Late Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) Cohort Appendix Table G.3 (continued) † † ††† †† †† ††† ††† ††† (continued) 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.038 0.000 0.380 0.363 0.065 0.058 0.458 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.117 0.000 Difference Between Subgroup P-Valuea Impactsb 218 NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. The early cohort includes sample members randomly assigned before April 1, 2008 (N = 1,401). The late cohort includes those randomly assigned on and after that date (N = 373). aStandard errors are presented in this table for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000. Following are the standard errors for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000 (presented in the order in which they appear in the table starting with the "Early" cohort). Employment: 1.729, 1.819, 1.721, 1.194, 1.350, 3.603, 3.639, 2.717, 2.428, 2.233, 2.508, 2.567, 2.375, 2.474, 2.593, 2.047, 4.853, 4.919, 4.191, 0.068, 1.956, and 0.134. Earnings: 23.478, 41.204, 31.991, 20.993, 81.701, 56.842, 78.116, 45.498, 131.375, 84.428, 52.874, 90.008, 300.786, 135.265, 155.029, 498.168. bThe H-statistic is used to assess whether the difference in impacts between the subgroups is statistically significant. Significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent, †† = 5 percent, and † = 10 percent. cEarnings and employment from transitional jobs are based on payroll data from each of the sites. dTotal earnings may not be equal to the sum of transitional job earnings plus unsubsidized job earnings due to rounding. SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from each site and unemployment insurance data from each of the states in the demonstration (Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Illinois). Appendix Table G.3 (continued) 219 c 42.7 55.7 Total days incarcerated in prison Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) 4.8 19.8 33.7 41.7 708 Incarcerated and employed Incarcerated and not employed Not incarcerated and employed Not incarcerated and not employed Sample size (total = 1,808) Status in the last quarter of Year 1f (%) 36.8 6.2 24.5 8.3 2.8 5.1 3.8 3.6 14.3 9.9 3.8 40.4 Admitted to prisone (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for technical parole violation Admitted to prison for other reason Conviction typed (%) Convicted of a violent crime Convicted of a property crime Convicted of a drug crime Convicted of a public order crime Convicted of a crime (%) Convicted of a felony Convicted of a misdemeanor Arrestedb (%) Outcome 699 4.7 21.1 29.3 44.9 56.7 49.4 37.3 5.1 25.2 9.0 2.8 4.3 2.9 4.4 14.1 7.7 5.1 35.0 0.1 -1.3 4.4 * -3.2 -1.0 -6.7 -0.5 1.1 -0.7 -0.6 0.0 0.9 0.9 -0.8 0.2 2.2 -1.3 5.5 ** Early Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) 0.904 0.533 0.078 0.220 0.696 0.106 0.826 0.371 0.745 0.627 0.966 0.431 0.352 0.460 0.914 0.140 0.242 0.032 P-Value 201 2.8 18.4 20.8 57.9 46.6 31.5 29.4 5.8 16.2 10.4 0.4 3.7 3.7 3.8 10.4 5.5 6.0 33.3 200 3.7 20.3 18.4 57.6 53.7 40.5 33.0 4.2 18.2 12.5 2.6 6.8 3.9 3.7 16.2 9.1 4.5 35.9 -0.9 -1.8 2.4 0.3 -7.1 -8.9 -3.6 1.6 -2.1 -2.1 -2.3 * -3.1 -0.2 0.0 -5.8 * -3.6 1.4 -2.7 Late Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) Cohort One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Cohort: Full Sample Appendix Table G.4 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration † (continued) 0.636 0.659 0.570 0.954 0.145 0.230 0.408 0.466 0.584 0.453 0.085 0.187 0.919 0.984 0.099 0.183 0.545 0.584 Difference Between Subgroup P-Value Impactsa 220 NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. The early cohort includes sample members randomly assigned before April 1, 2008 (N = 1,407). The late cohort includes those randomly assigned on and after that date (N = 401). aThe H-statistic is used to assess whether the difference in impacts between the subgroups is statistically significant. Significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent, †† = 5 percent, and † = 10 percent. bEach arrest date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple crimes or charges on the same date, only the most serious charge is recorded in the analysis. cEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Some convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment. These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment.Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. dThe categorization of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). eIncludes all reasons for prison admission such as sentences for new crimes, technical parole violations, and other reasons. fIncarceration and employment status in Quarter 4 after random assignment. SOURCES: Calculations based on data from unemployment insurance in each site, Michigan State Police, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority, and the Department of Corrections in each state. Appendix Table G.4 (continued) 221 19.8 Employed in all 4 quarters (%) 72.6 72.9 45.5 31.9 92.8 Total employment (%) Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 2.2 13.4 23.4 28.1 25.9 46.6 Unsubsidized employment (%) Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Number of quarters employed 67.3 64.6 23.9 7.7 85.7 Transitional employment c (%) Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Employment Outcome 8.7 1.2 28.9 39.3 29.8 25.6 56.8 30.0 39.1 29.8 25.7 56.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** * *** 11.1 *** 1.0 *** 43.7 33.6 15.7 6.3 35.9 -16.6 *** -15.7 *** -1.7 0.2 -10.2 *** 67.3 64.6 23.9 7.7 85.7 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.050 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.607 0.960 0.004 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 20.1 2.4 72.6 76.5 49.7 38.0 92.5 19.8 27.5 30.9 30.8 53.3 66.9 65.7 27.5 10.2 85.2 14.7 1.5 34.5 45.1 38.3 36.6 61.9 34.2 44.6 38.1 36.5 61.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *** *** *** *** *** *** ** * ** *** *** *** *** *** 5.5 ** 0.8 *** 38.2 31.3 11.4 1.5 30.6 -14.4 -17.2 -7.2 -5.7 -8.3 66.9 65.7 27.5 10.2 85.2 0.032 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.647 0.000 (continued) 0.000 0.000 0.025 0.072 0.011 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Difference Employment History Between Worked for Same Employer for 6 Months Never Worked for Same Employer for 6 Months Transitional Job Search Difference Transitional Job Search Difference Subgroup P-Valuea Jobs Group P-Valuea Impactsb Jobs Group Group (Impact) Group (Impact) One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Employment History: Full Sample Appendix Table G.5 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration 222 761 1,378 1,022 829 3,990 Total earningsd Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 420 164 416 704 717 2,002 Unsubsidized earnings Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Sample size (total =1,658) 598 962 318 111 1,989 Transitional job earningsc Quarter 1 (quarter of random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Earnings ($) Outcome 363 264 620 649 592 2,125 269 618 654 592 2,134 0 0 0 0 0 *** *** *** *** *** 498 758 373 237 1,866 *** *** *** * *** -105 -202 ** 50 125 -132 603 960 323 111 1,998 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.065 0.000 0.131 0.035 0.662 0.324 0.694 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 412 820 1,525 1,145 1,081 4,570 223 523 777 954 2,477 596 1,002 368 127 2,093 463 369 1,068 1,165 1,180 3,783 361 1,061 1,162 1,181 3,766 0 0 0 0 0 *** ** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 450 *** 457 *** -20 -99 788 * -138 -538 -386 -227 -1289 588 995 365 128 2,077 †† † †† †† †† † †† (continued) 0.000 0.000 0.889 0.556 0.055 0.043 0.000 0.008 0.176 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Difference Employment History Between Never Worked for Same Employer for 6 Months Worked for Same Employer for 6 Months Transitional Job Search Difference Transitional Job Search Difference Subgroup P-Valuea Jobs Group P-Valuea Impactsb Jobs Group Group (Impact) Group (Impact) Appendix Table G.5 (continued) 223 NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. aStandard errors are presented in this table for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000. Following are the standard errors for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000 (presented in the order in which they appear in the table, beginning with the "Never Worked for Same Employer for 6 months'" group). Employment: 2.427, 2.538, 2.271, 1.427, 1.846, 2.141, 2.230, 2.098, 1.432, 1.635, 2.854, 3.258, 2.978, 3.199, 3.205, 3.354, 3.424, 2.759, 3.043, 3.101, 2.616, 0.09, 0.087, and 2.523. Earnings: 33.867, 56.733, 42.714, 27.67, 113.912, 30.581, 49.373, 37.063, 22.789, 92.487, 118.948, 77.303, 105.868, 349.274, 72.370, and 122.187. bThe H-statistic is used to assess whether the difference in impacts between the subgroups is statistically significant. Significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent, †† = 5 percent, and † = 10 percent. cEarnings and employment from transitional jobs are based on payroll data from each of the sites. dTotal earnings may not be equal to the sum of transitional job earnings plus unsubsidized job earnings due to rounding. SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from each site and unemployment insurance data from each of the states in the demonstration (Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Illinois). Appendix Table G.5 (continued) 224 c 44.1 59.5 Total days incarcerated in prison Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison 4.6 21.4 27.2 46.8 428 Incarcerated and employed Incarcerated and not employed Not incarcerated and employed Not incarcerated and not employed Sample size (total = 1,691) Status in the last quarter of Year 1f (%) 25.3 10.3 24.7 11.4 373 2.7 25.0 22.7 49.6 57.1 51.5 39.3 5.9 3.0 4.4 3.4 3.5 14.0 7.9 4.4 36.5 39.4 6.5 2.5 4.1 5.7 2.8 14.5 10.7 3.0 43.9 Admitted to prisone (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a technical parole violation Admitted to prison for other reason Conviction categoriesd (%) Convicted of a violent crime Convicted of a property crime Convicted of a drug crime Convicted of a public order crime Convicted of a crime (%) Convicted of a felony Convicted of a misdemeanor Arrestedb (%) Outcome 1.9 -3.6 4.5 -2.8 2.5 -7.4 -0.6 1.1 0.1 0.6 -0.5 -0.3 2.3 -0.7 0.5 2.9 -1.5 7.4 ** 0.173 0.242 0.141 0.410 0.459 0.172 0.833 0.569 0.965 0.743 0.699 0.838 0.126 0.568 0.834 0.172 0.277 0.029 420 4.6 18.5 33.6 43.3 48.3 36.8 20.6 6.6 31.8 6.2 2.0 5.4 2.4 4.5 13.1 8.1 5.3 34.8 470 5.8 18.2 30.8 45.2 54.6 45.4 23.3 8.8 33.9 4.0 2.2 5.2 2.8 5.1 14.8 8.1 5.7 34.4 0.305 0.166 0.467 0.134 0.851 0.841 0.734 0.696 0.470 0.980 0.816 0.893 -1.2 0.3 2.8 -1.9 0.437 0.917 0.375 0.557 -6.2 * 0.060 -8.6 * 0.093 -2.7 -2.3 -2.2 2.2 -0.2 0.3 -0.4 -0.6 -1.7 0.0 -0.4 0.4 (continued) † Difference Employment History Between Never Worked for Same Employer for 6 Months Worked for Same Employer for 6 Months Transitional Job Search Difference Transitional Job Search Difference Subgroup Jobs Group Group (Impact) P-Value Jobs Group Group (Impact) P-Value Impactsa One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Employment History: Full Sample Appendix Table G.6 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration 225 NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aThe H-statistic is used to assess whether the difference in impacts between the subgroups is statistically significant. Significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent, †† = 5 percent, and † = 10 percent. bEach arrest date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple crimes or charges on the same date, only the most serious charge is recorded in the analysis. cEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Some convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment.These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment. Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. dThe categorization of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). eIncludes all reasons for prison admission such as sentences for new crimes, technical parole violations, and other reasons. fIncarceration and employment status in Quarter 4 after random assignment. SOURCES: Calculations based on data from unemployment insurance records in each site, Michigan State Police, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority, and the Department of Corrections in each state. Appendix Table G.6 (continued) 226 22.1 Employed in all 4 quarters (%) 71.9 77.0 53.1 38.6 93.7 Total employment (%) Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 2.4 16.5 26.3 33.9 32.2 53.6 Unsubsidized employment (%) Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Number of quarters employed 66.7 65.8 28.5 9.3 85.9 Transitional employmentc (%) Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Employment Outcome 12.7 1.5 31.0 46.0 37.8 34.9 62.8 31.0 45.7 37.6 34.8 62.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 9.5 *** 0.9 *** 40.9 31.1 15.3 3.7 30.9 -14.4 *** -19.4 *** -3.7 -2.6 -9.0 *** 66.7 65.8 28.5 9.3 85.9 3 or Fewer Past Convictions Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.236 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.236 0.398 0.005 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 P-Valuea 18.2 2.2 72.3 72.9 42.3 32.4 92.2 16.4 26.0 26.1 25.6 47.1 65.9 64.6 22.0 8.9 84.9 10.3 1.3 32.7 37.6 30.3 27.1 56.2 32.9 37.3 30.5 27.3 55.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** * *** 7.8 *** 0.9 *** 39.6 35.3 12.0 5.3 36.1 -16.6 *** -11.3 *** -4.4 -1.8 -8.5 *** 65.9 64.6 22.0 8.9 84.9 More than 3 Past Convictions Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) Criminal History One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Criminal History: Full Sample Appendix Table G.7 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.088 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.156 0.553 0.010 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 P-Valuea (continued) † †† Difference Between Subgroup Impactsb 227 802 1495 1228 1137 4662 Total earningsd Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 467 204 495 870 1033 2601 Unsubsidized earnings Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Sample size (total =1,765) 599 1,000 358 104 2,061 Transitional job earningsc Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Earnings ($) Outcome 455 314 944 1,036 957 3,252 310 936 1,032 954 3,232 0 0 0 0 0 *** *** *** *** *** 488 *** 551 *** 191 180 1410 *** -106 * -441 *** -162 78 -631 * 599 1,000 358 104 2,061 3 or Fewer Past Convictions Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) 0.000 0.000 0.121 0.238 0.000 0.099 0.000 0.187 0.606 0.073 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 P-Valuea 420 764 1430 958 819 3971 180 464 639 678 1960 584 966 319 141 2,011 423 308 736 750 746 2,540 312 739 757 751 2,560 0 0 0 0 0 *** *** *** *** *** 456 *** 693 *** 209 73 1431 *** -132 ** -276 ** -119 -74 -600 584 966 319 141 2,011 More than 3 Past Convictions Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) Criminal History Appendix Table G.7 (continued) 0.000 0.000 0.112 0.585 0.000 0.046 0.012 0.353 0.576 0.101 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 P-Valuea (continued) Difference Between Subgroup Impactsb 228 NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. aStandard errors are presented in this table for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000. Following are the standard errors for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000 (presented in the order in which they appear on the table beginning with the "3 or Fewer Past Convictions Group'" group). Employment: 2.141, 2.237, 2.142, 1.383, 1.625, 2.272, 2.327, 2.033, 1.376, 1.727, 2.717, 3.098, 2.921, 3.158, 2.911, 3.003, 3.184, 2.515, 3.115, 3.201, 3.274, 2.720, 0.083, 0.087, and 2.445. Earnings: 29.555, 49.693, 37.768, 22.923, 94.71, 32.609, 52.258, 38.229, 25.988, 102.027, 98.023, 68.374, 101.758, 353.524, 73.775, 117.899, and 377.591. bThe H-statistic is used to assess whether the difference in impacts between the subgroups is statistically significant. Significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent, †† = 5 percent, and † = 10 percent. cEarnings and employment from transitional job are based on payroll data from each of the sites. dTotal earnings may not be equal to the sum of transitional job earnings plus unsubsidized job earnings due to rounding. SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from each site and unemployment insurance data from each of the states in the demonstration (Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Illinois). Appendix Table G.7 (continued) 229 36.1 48.7 Total days incarcerated in prison Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) 4.2 17.3 34.5 44.0 480 Incarcerated and employed Incarcerated and not employed Not incarcerated and employed Not incarcerated and not employed Sample size (total = 1,802) Status in the last quarter of Year 1f (%) 23.5 10.9 21.0 10.2 469 4.1 22.3 30.8 42.8 51.2 47.6 36.2 4.0 32.5 3.8 3.6 2.5 2.4 3.4 11.3 7.2 3.6 29.0 Admitted to prisone (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a technical parole violation Admitted to prison for other reason 1.1 2.1 3.9 2.1 Conviction categoriesd (%) Convicted of a violent crime Convicted of a property crime Convicted of a drug crime Convicted of a public order crime 32.4 9.0 6.3 1.9 c Convicted of a crime (%) Convicted of a felony Convicted of a misdemeanor Arrestedb (%) Outcome 0.1 -5.0 * 3.7 1.2 -2.6 -11.5 ** -2.6 -0.7 -3.7 -0.2 -2.5 ** -0.4 1.4 -1.2 -2.3 -0.9 -1.8 3.4 0.930 0.055 0.232 0.692 0.408 0.020 0.312 0.689 0.201 0.882 0.010 0.656 0.224 0.250 0.246 0.568 0.101 0.248 424 4.8 21.1 27.4 46.7 58.4 43.7 23.7 7.7 37.6 8.5 3.4 7.5 3.8 5.3 18.2 11.9 6.8 45.1 429 4.7 20.7 22.5 52.1 62.1 49.1 24.8 8.3 37.2 6.0 2.0 7.7 3.7 5.2 18.6 9.0 6.6 43.0 0.1 0.3 4.9 * -5.4 -3.6 -5.4 -1.1 -0.6 0.5 2.5 1.5 -0.2 0.1 0.1 -0.4 2.9 0.2 2.1 0.921 0.900 0.099 0.103 0.273 0.305 0.682 0.725 0.881 0.167 0.199 0.927 0.949 0.951 0.868 0.163 0.916 0.534 (continued) ††† Difference Criminal History Between 3 or Fewer Past Convictions More than 3 Past Convictions Transitional Job Search Difference Transitional Job Search Difference Subgroup Jobs Group Group (Impact) P-Value Jobs Group Group (Impact) P-Value Impactsa One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Criminal History: Full Sample Appendix Table G.8 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration 230 NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aThe H-statistic is used to assess whether the difference in impacts between the subgroups is statistically significant. Significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent, †† = 5 percent, and † = 10 percent. bEach arrest date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple crimes or charges on the same date, only the most serious charge is recorded in the analysis. cEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Some convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment.These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment. Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. dThe categorization of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). eIncludes all reasons for prison admission such as sentences for new crimes, technical parole violations, and other reasons. fIncarceration and employment status in Quarter 4 after random assignment. SOURCES: Calculations based on data from unemployment insurance records in each site, Michigan State Police, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority, and the Department of Corrections in each state. Appendix Table G.8 (continued) 231 17.0 Employed in all 4 quarters (%) 75.8 76.1 42.2 31.0 94.2 Total employment (%) Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 2.3 14.1 21.4 25.2 24.5 45.4 Unsubsidized employment (%) Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Number of quarters employed 72.5 69.7 22.6 8.4 90.2 Transitional employmentc (%) Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Employment Outcome 10.5 1.3 26.3 39.1 32.0 29.2 54.3 26.5 39.1 32.1 29.2 54.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *** *** *** *** *** *** ** * *** *** *** *** *** *** 6.5 *** 1.0 *** 49.4 37.0 10.3 1.8 40.0 -12.5 -17.6 -6.9 -4.7 -8.7 72.5 69.7 22.6 8.4 90.2 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.518 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.011 0.079 0.003 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 25.8 2.4 66.1 73.8 57.5 43.2 90.7 20.6 33.6 38.2 36.5 58.6 56.2 58.4 30.2 10.0 77.5 13.0 1.6 40.1 46.0 37.6 34.4 67.8 40.3 45.8 37.4 34.3 67.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** ** *** 12.8 *** 0.8 *** 26.0 27.9 19.9 8.8 23.0 -19.6 *** -12.2 *** 0.8 2.2 -8.5 ** 56.2 58.4 30.2 10.0 77.5 Exposure to Retention Bonuses Not Exposed to Retention Bonuses Exposed to Retention Bonuses Transitional Job Search Difference Transitional Job Search Difference P-Valuea Jobs Group Group (Impact) Jobs Group Group (Impact) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.017 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.829 0.547 0.022 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 P-Valuea One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Exposure to Retention Bonuses: Full Sample Appendix Table G.9 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration (continued) † ††† ††† †† †† † † ††† ††† ††† †† Difference Between Subgroup Impactsb 232 775 1,389 958 838 3,961 Total earningsd Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 551 142 403 641 702 1,888 Unsubsidized earnings Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Sample size (total = 1,775) 633 986 317 136 2,072 Transitional job earningsc Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Earnings ($) Outcome 545 268 775 824 824 2,691 271 776 826 826 2,699 0 0 0 0 0 *** ** *** * *** *** *** *** *** 507 *** 614 *** 134 14 1270 *** -129 -373 -185 -124 -811 633 986 317 136 2,072 0.000 0.000 0.202 0.914 0.000 0.017 0.000 0.071 0.327 0.008 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 342 815 1,618 1,359 1,231 5,022 279 616 971 1,131 2,997 536 1,001 387 100 2,025 336 366 931 998 906 3,202 373 936 998 909 3,216 0 0 0 0 0 *** *** *** *** *** 449 686 361 324 1820 *** *** ** * *** -94 -320 ** -27 222 -219 536 1,001 387 100 2,025 Exposure to Retention Bonuses Not Exposed to Retention Bonuses Exposed to Retention Bonuses Transitional Job Search Difference Transitional Job Search Difference P-Valuea Jobs Group Group (Impact) Jobs Group Group (Impact) Appendix Table G.9 (continued) 0.000 0.000 0.026 0.054 0.000 0.259 0.012 0.866 0.187 0.622 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 P-Valuea (continued) † †† Difference Between Subgroup Impactsb 233 NOTES: In this table, the "Exposed to Retention Bonuses" subgroup includes all sample members in Milwaukee and the sample members from St. Paul who were eligible for the bonus (randomly assigned after November 2007). The "Not Exposed to Retention Bonuses" subgroup includes sample members from St. Paul who were not eligible for the bonus (randomly assigned before December 2007) and all sample members in Chicago and Detroit. Significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. aStandard errors are presented in this table for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000. Following are the standard errors for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000 (presented in the order in which they appear in the table beginning with the "Not Exposed to Retention Bonuses'"group). Employment: 1.923, 1.983, 1.793, 1.205, 1.281, 2.556, 2.742, 2.562, 1.660, 2.276, 2.361, 2.714, 3.539, 2.557, 2.734, 2.856, 2.303, 3.633, 3.636, 3.782, 3.045, 0.074, 0.103, and 2.988. Earnings: 27.95, 44.05, 35.125, 24.355, 93.99, 34.780, 62.411, 42.722, 21.652, 101.876, 89.867, 60.287, 95.662, 312.307, 86.600, 132.478, and 448.714. bThe H-statistic is used to assess whether the difference in impacts between the subgroups is statistically significant. Significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent; †† = 5 percent; † = 10 percent. cEarnings and employment from transitional jobs are based on payroll data from each of the sites. dTotal earnings may not be equal to the sum of transitional job earnings plus unsubsidized job earnings due to rounding. SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from each site and unemployment insurance data from each state in the demonstration (Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois). Appendix Table G.9 (continued) 234 32.1 50.8 Total days incarcerated in prison Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) 3.2 15.9 27.7 53.1 567 Incarcerated and employed Incarcerated and not employed Not incarcerated and employed Not incarcerated and not employed Sample size (total = 1,808) Status in the last quarter of Year 1 (%) f 20.6 0.0 20.3 0.2 562 2.6 17.1 26.5 53.8 50.4 37.2 25.4 5.4 2.8 5.4 3.6 3.9 27.3 7.3 2.6 5.9 4.0 4.3 15.4 9.4 3.7 37.3 Admitted to prison (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a technical parole violation Admitted to prison for other reason e Conviction categories (%) Convicted of a violent crime Convicted of a property crime Convicted of a drug crime Convicted of a public order crime d 15.7 10.0 5.7 Convicted of a crime (%) Convicted of a felony Convicted of a misdemeanor c 41.5 Arrested (%) b Outcome 0.6 -1.1 1.2 -0.6 0.4 -5.0 -0.2 0.2 1.9 1.9 -0.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.6 1.9 4.2 0.565 0.609 0.655 0.826 0.898 0.213 0.918 0.387 0.441 0.198 0.855 0.698 0.706 0.712 0.911 0.753 0.128 0.139 342 6.7 24.9 36.5 32.0 58.3 53.1 25.5 23.9 48.2 4.2 1.8 2.8 3.3 2.8 10.2 7.5 2.2 34.1 337 6.9 27.7 27.5 38.0 65.4 65.2 30.0 25.3 54.4 3.8 2.6 4.0 2.3 4.5 12.9 5.5 6.7 32.0 -0.2 -2.8 9.0 ** -6.0 -7.1 * -12.2 * -4.5 -1.4 -6.2 0.4 -0.8 -1.1 0.9 -1.7 -2.7 1.9 -4.6 *** 2.1 0.925 0.402 0.012 0.102 0.055 0.072 0.180 0.656 0.107 0.794 0.505 0.405 0.470 0.250 0.276 0.305 0.005 0.549 (continued) † † ††† Difference Exposure to Retention Bonuses Between Not Exposed to Retention Bonuses Exposed to Retention Bonuses Transitional Job Search Difference Transitional Job Search Difference Subgroup a Jobs Group Group (Impact) P-Value Jobs Group Group (Impact) P-Value Impacts One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Exposure to Retention Bonuses: Full Sample Appendix Table G.10 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration 235 NOTES: In this table, the "Exposed to Retention Bonuses" subgroup includes all sample members in Milwaukee and the sample members from St. Paul who were eligible for the bonus (randomly assigned after November 2007). The "Not Exposed to Retention Bonuses" subgroup includes sample members from St. Paul who were not eligible for the bonus (randomly assigned before December 2007) and all sample members in Chicago and Detroit. Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aThe H-statistic is used to assess whether the difference in impacts between the subgroups is statistically significant. Significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent, †† = 5 percent, and † = 10 percent. bEach arrest date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple crimes or charges on the same date, only the most serious charge is recorded in the analysis. cEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Some convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment.These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment.Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. dThe categorization of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). eIncludes all reasons for prison admission such as sentences for new crimes, technical parole violations, and other reasons. fIncarceration and employment status in Quarter 4 after random assignment. SOURCES: Calculations based on data from unemployment insurance records in each site, Michigan State Police, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, State of Wisconsin Despartment of Justice, Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority, and the Department of Corrections in each state. Appendix Table G.10 (continued) 236 22.7 Employed in all 4 quarters (%) 73.4 75.8 51.5 39.2 93.4 Total employment (%) Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 2.4 17.8 28.7 34.1 33.7 54.5 Unsubsidized employment (%) Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Number of quarters employed 67.4 65.0 25.8 7.9 85.5 Transitional employment c (%) Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Employment Outcome 14.1 1.5 35.5 45.8 37.3 35.6 63.1 35.7 45.7 37.4 35.7 62.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 8.6 *** 0.9 *** 37.9 30.1 14.2 3.6 30.3 -17.9 *** -17.0 *** -3.2 -2.0 -8.3 *** 67.7 65.0 25.9 8.0 85.5 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.186 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.230 0.463 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 15.9 2.1 71.3 73.6 41.2 27.4 91.9 13.0 19.0 22.4 18.7 40.0 67.2 66.8 24.6 10.2 87.3 5.7 1.0 21.3 32.4 27.3 22.4 50.4 22.3 33.1 27.3 22.5 50.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** *** 10.1 *** 1.1 *** 49.9 41.2 13.9 5.1 41.5 -9.3 ** -14.1 *** -4.9 -3.8 -10.8 ** 68.5 67.7 24.6 10.3 88.1 High School Diploma or GED Certificate Received Did Not Receive Transitional Job Search Difference Transitional Job Search Difference P-Valuea Jobs Group Jobs Group Group (Impact) Group (Impact) One-Year Impacts on Employment and Earnings, by Educational Attainment: Full Sample Appendix Table G.11 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.003 0.244 0.000 0.015 0.002 0.259 0.355 0.033 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 (continued) † †† †† †† † Difference Between Subgroup P-Valuea Impactsb 237 798 1,570 1226 1160 4,754 Total earningsd Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) 639 213 565 908 1046 2,733 Unsubsidized earnings Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Sample size (total =1,774) 585 1,005 318 113 2,021 Transitional job earningsc Quarter 1 (random assignment) Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Year 1 (Q1 - Q4) Earnings ($) Outcome 604 349 983 1,074 1,039 3,445 351 981 1,076 1,042 3,448 0 0 0 0 0 *** *** *** *** *** 450 *** 587 *** 152 121 1,309 *** -137 ** -416 *** -167 5 -716 ** 587 1,002 319 116 2,025 0.000 0.000 0.193 0.369 0.000 0.020 0.000 0.150 0.972 0.032 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 208 774 1,288 870 641 3,573 159 317 469 487 1,433 615 971 401 154 2,140 210 218 520 485 456 1,678 218 523 481 463 1,684 0 0 0 0 0 *** *** *** *** *** 556 768 385 185 1,895 *** *** *** *** -58 -205 * -11 24 -252 615 973 396 162 2,146 High School Diploma or GED Certificate Received Did Not Receive Transitional Job Search Difference Transitional Job Search Difference P-Valuea Jobs Group Group (Impact) Jobs Group Group (Impact) Appendix Table G.11 (continued) 0.000 0.000 0.008 0.215 0.000 0.478 0.061 0.932 0.871 0.523 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 (continued) †† Difference Between Subgroup P-Valuea Impactsb 238 NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Results in this table are regression-adjusted for pre-random assignment characteristics. aStandard errors are presented in this table for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000. Following are the standard errors for all impacts with a p-value of 0.000 (presented in the order in which they appear in the table, beginning with the "Age 26 or Younger" group). Employment: 1.853, 1.949, 1.778, 1.105, 1.416, 3.282, 3.412, 3.099, 2.152, 2.344, 2.432, 2.665, 2.704, 2.556, 2.594, 2.744, 2.124, 4.306, 4.733, 4.126, 0.073, 0.121, and 2.172. Earnings: 25.46, 43.63, 30.49, 19.74, 81.61, 48.977, 77.136, 64.709, 41.719, 163.480, 96.889, 63.401, 101.106, 336.306, 93.369, 126.282, and 422.444. bThe H-statistic is used to assess whether the difference in impacts between the subgroups is statistically significant. Significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent; †† = 5 percent; and † = 10 percent. cEarnings and employment from transitional jobs are based on payroll data from each of the sites. dTotal earnings may not be equal to the sum of transitional job earnings plus unsubsidized job earnings due to rounding. SOURCES: MDRC calculations using payroll data from each site and unemployment insurance data from each of the states in the demonstration (Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Illinois). Appendix Table G.11 (continued) 239 48.2 33.8 5.4 21.6 9.5 37.2 51.0 Admitted to prisone (%) Admitted to prison for a new crime Admitted to prison for a technical parole violation Admitted to prison for other reason Total days incarcerated in prison Arrested, convicted, or admitted to prison (%) 4.8 17.1 34.5 43.7 649 Incarcerated and employed Incarcerated and not employed Not incarcerated and employed Not incarcerated and not employed Sample size (total = 1,808) Status in the last quarter of Year 1f (%) 36.3 5.0 24.4 9.1 2.5 4.7 3.3 3.6 Conviction categoriesd (%) Convicted of a violent crime Convicted of a property crime Convicted of a drug crime Convicted of a public order crime 619 5.3 21.1 30.4 43.3 54.8 3.0 4.8 3.1 4.4 14.8 8.5 4.9 13.0 8.1 4.9 Convicted of a crimec (%) Convicted of a felony Convicted of a misdemeanor 34.5 36.1 Arrestedb (%) Outcome -0.5 -4.0 * 4.1 0.4 -3.8 -11.1 *** -2.4 0.5 -2.8 0.5 -0.5 -0.1 0.2 -0.8 -1.8 -0.4 0.1 1.6 0.690 0.073 0.125 0.877 0.157 0.009 0.337 0.707 0.211 0.728 0.596 0.920 0.847 0.470 0.346 0.818 0.950 0.540 212 4.5 25.0 23.1 47.4 61.3 48.8 37.8 9.0 24.2 6.7 2.1 5.8 5.4 4.1 17.0 13.0 2.4 47.9 213 1.8 24.0 20.2 54.0 62.1 48.6 37.9 5.1 24.8 10.2 2.7 4.6 4.1 4.8 16.1 8.3 5.6 40.1 2.7 1.0 2.9 -6.6 -0.7 0.2 -0.1 3.8 -0.6 -3.5 -0.6 1.2 1.3 -0.7 0.8 4.7 -3.1 7.9 * High School Diploma or GED Received Did not Receive Transitional Job Search Difference Transitional Job Search Difference Jobs Group Group (Impact) P-Value Jobs Group Group (Impact) One-Year Impacts on Recidivism, by Educational Attainment: Full Sample Appendix Table G.12 The Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration 0.137 0.813 0.483 0.189 0.882 0.980 0.986 0.138 0.878 0.151 0.694 0.589 0.533 0.732 0.816 0.127 0.115 0.096 (continued) Difference Between Subgroup P-Value Impactsa 240 NOTES: Statistical significance levels are indicated as follows: *** = 1 percent; ** = 5 percent; * = 10 percent. Subcategories may sum to more than the total due to multiple arrests, convictions, or incarcerations per person during the follow-up period. aThe H-statistic is used to assess whether the difference in impacts between the subgroups is statistically significant. Significance levels are indicated as follows: ††† = 1 percent, †† = 5 percent, and † = 10 percent. bEach arrest date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple crimes or charges on the same date, only the most serious charge is recorded in the analysis. cEach conviction date is counted only as a single event. If there are multiple convictions on the same date, only the most serious conviction is recorded in the analysis. Some convictions may have been associated with an arrest that occurred prior to random assignment. These convictions are counted in the analysis as occurring after random assignment. Total includes convictions for felony, misdemeanor, and other crime classes. dThe categorization of charges is based on definitions from Langan and Levin (2002). eIncludes all reasons for prison admission such as sentences for new crimes, technical parole violations, and other reasons. fIncarceration and employment status in Quarter 4 after random assignment. SOURCES: Calculations based on data from unemployment insurance records in each site, Michigan State Police, Minnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension, State of Wisconsin Department of Justice, Illinois Criminal Justice Information Authority, and the Department of Corrections in each state. Appendix Table G.12 (continued) References Aos, Steve, Polly Phipps, Robert Barnoski, and Roxanne Lieb. 2001. The Comparative Costs and Benefits of Programs to Reduce Crime, Version 4.0. Olympia, WA: Washington State Institute for Public Policy. Berlin, Gordon L. 2000. Encouraging Work, Reducing Poverty: The Impact of Work Incentive Programs. New York: MDRC. Bloom, Dan. 2009. “The Joyce Foundation’s Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration: Testing Strategies to Help Former Prisoners Find and Keep Jobs and Stay Out of Prison.” Policy Brief. Chicago: The Joyce Foundation. Bloom, Dan. 2010. Transitional Jobs: Background, Program Models, and Evaluation Evidence. New York: MDRC. Bloom, Dan, Cindy Redcross, Janine Zweig, and Gilda Azurdia. 2007. “Transitional Jobs for ExPrisoners: Early Impacts from a Random Assignment Evaluation of the Center for Employment Opportunities (CEO) Prisoner Reentry Program.” Working Paper. New York: MDRC. Bloom, Howard S., Carolyn J. Hill, and James Riccio. 2001. Modeling the Performance of Welfareto-Work Programs: The Effects of Program Management and Services, Economic Environment, and Client Characteristics. New York: MDRC. Bonczar, Thomas. 2008. “Characteristics of State Parole Supervising Agencies, 2006.” Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics. Bos, Johannes, Aletha C. Huston, Robert C. Granger, Greg J. Duncan, Thomas W. Brock, and Vonnie McLoyd. 1999. New Hope for People with Low Incomes: Two-Year Results of a Program to Reduce Poverty and Reform Welfare. New York: MDRC. Bureau of Justice Statistics. 2008. “Expenditures/Employment.” Web site: http://bjs.ojp.usdoj.gov/index.cfm?ty=pbdetail&iid=1022. Bureau of Labor Statistics. n.d. Databases & Tables. Local Area Unemployment Statistics. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Labor. Web site: http://data.bls.gov/cgi-bin/dsrv?la. Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2010. “Current Unemployment Rates for States and Historical Highs/Lows.” Databases & Tables. Local Area Unemployment Statistics. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Labor. Crime Information Bureau. n.d. “Removal of Arrest Information: Can Arrest Information Be Removed from My Criminal Record?” Madison, WI: Wisconsin Department of Justice. Web site: www.doj.state.wi.us/dles/cib/forms/brochures/remove_arrest.pdf. 241 Division of Community Corrections. 2003. Operations Manual. Rev. 2000 (updated 2003). Madison, WI: State of Wisconsin Department of Corrections. Web site: www.wi-doc.com/index_community.htm. Greenberg, David H., Charles Michalopoulos, and Philip K. Robins. 2001. A Meta-Analysis of Government-Sponsored Training Programs. New York: MDRC. Herbst, Chris. 2008. “Do Social Policy Reforms Have Different Impacts on Employment and Welfare Use as Economic Conditions Change?” Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 27, 4: 867-894. Holzer, Harry, Steven Raphael, and Michael Stoll. 2007. “The Effect of an Applicant’s Criminal History on Employer Hiring Decisions and Screening Practices: Evidence from Los Angeles.” In Shawn Bushway, Michael Stoll, and David Weiman (eds.), Barriers to Reentry. New York: Russell Sage Foundation. Illinois Department of Corrections. 2008. IDOC 2008 Annual Report. Springfield, IL: Illinois Department of Corrections. Jenks, Stephen, Lois MacGilliveray, and Karen Needels. 2006. Youth Offender Demonstration Project Evaluation Final Report: Volume One. Washington, DC: Research and Evaluation Associates. Kirby, Gretchen, Heather Hill, LaDonna Pavetti, Jon Jacobson, Michelle Derr, and Pamela Winston. 2002. Transitional Jobs: Stepping Stones to Unsubsidized Employment. Princeton: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Landenberger, Nana, and Mark Lipsey. 2005. “The Positive Effects of Cognitive-Behavioral Programs for Offenders: A Meta-Analysis of Factors Associated with Effective Treatment.” Journal of Experimental Criminology 1, 4: 451-476. Langan, Patrick, and David Levin. 2002. “Recidivism of Prisoners Released in 1994.” Bureau of Justice Statistics Special Report. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics. Lattimore, Pamela, and Christy Visher. 2009. The Multi-site Evaluation of the Serious and Violent Offender Reentry Initiative. Washington, DC: The Urban Institute. Martinson, Karin, and Richard Hendra. 2006. The Employment Retention and Advancement Project: Results from the Texas ERA Site. New York: MDRC. Michalopoulos, Charles. 2005. Does Making Work Pay Still Pay? An Update on the Effects of Four Earnings Supplement Programs on Employment, Earnings, and Income. New York: MDRC. Michigan Legislative Council. 2009. “Bureau of Criminal Identification and Records, Act 289 of 1925.” Lansing, MI: Michigan Legislature. Web site: www.legislature.mi.gov. 242 Minnesota Department of Corrections. 2008a. 2007 Probation Survey. April. St. Paul, MN: Minnesota Department of Corrections. Web site: www.doc.state.mn.us/publications/documents/04-082007ProbationSurvey.pdf Minnesota Department of Corrections. 2008b. “Intensive Supervised Release.” DOC Backgrounder (December). Web site: www.doc.state.mn.us. Minnesota Department of Corrections. 2009. Review of Guidelines for Revocation of Parole and Supervised Released: 2009 Report to the Minnesota Legislature. St. Paul, MN: Minnesota Department of Corrections. Web site: www.doc.state.mn.us/publications/legislativereports. Minnesota Judicial Branch. n.d. “Basics on Criminal Expungement.” Self Help Center. St. Paul, MN: Minnesota Judicial Branch. Web site: www.courts.state.mn.us/selfhelp/?page=328. Minnesota Sentencing Guidelines Commission. 2009. “Minnesota Sentencing Guidelines and Commentary.” St. Paul, MN: Minnesota Sentencing Guidelines Commission. Web site: www.msgc.state.mn.us/guidelines/guide09.pdf. Mitchell, Ojmarrh, David Wilson, and Doris MacKenzie. 2007. “Does Incarceration-Based Drug Treatment Reduce Recidivism? A Meta-Analytic Synthesis of the Literature.” Journal of Experimental Criminology 3: 353-375. National Bureau of Economic Research. 2008. “Determination of the December 2007 Peak in Economic Activity.” Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research. National Transitional Jobs Network. 2009. “Questions About the Transitional Jobs Strategy.” Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Administration for Children and Families, Welfare Peer Technical Assistance Network. Office of the State Appellate Defender. 2010. “How to Clear Your Illinois Criminal Record.” Chicago: Office of the State Appellate Defender. Pager, Devah. 2007. “Two Strikes and You’re Out: The Intensification of Racial and Criminal Stigma.” In Shawn Bushway, Michael Stoll, and David Weiman (eds.), Barriers to Reentry. New York: Russell Sage Foundation. Petersilia, Joan. 2003. When Prisoners Come Home: Parole and Prisoner Reentry. New York: Oxford University Press. Raphael, Steven, and Michael A. Stoll. 2007. “Why Are So Many Americans in Prison?” Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Paper No. 1328-07. Madison, WI: Institute for Research on Poverty. Redcross, Cindy, Dan Bloom, Gilda Azurdia, Janine Zweig, and Nancy Pindus. 2009. Transitional Jobs for Ex-Prisoners: Implementation, Two-Year Impacts, and Costs of the Center for Employment Opportunities (CEO) Prisoner Reentry Program. New York: MDRC. 243 Sabol, William, Heather West, and Matthew Cooper. (2009). “Prisoners in 2008.” Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice, Office of Justice Programs, Bureau of Justice Statistics. Solomon, Amy, and Gillian Thompson. 2004. Prisoner Reentry in Michigan. Washington, DC: The Urban Institute. Solomon, Amy, Kelly Johnson, Jeremy Travis, and Elizabeth McBride. 2004. From Prison to Work: The Employment Dimensions of Prisoner Reentry. Washington, DC: Urban Institute. Uggen, Christopher. 2000. “Work as a Turning Point in the Life Course of Criminals: A Duration Model of Wage, Employment, and Recidivism.” American Sociological Review 67: 529-546. Uggen, Christopher, and Jeremy Staff. 2001. “Work as a Turning Point for Criminal Offenders.” Corrections Management Quarterly 5, 4: 1-16. Van Stelle, Kit, and Janae Goodrich. 2009. 2008/2009 Study of Probation/Parole Revocation. Madison, WI: University of Wisconsin Population Health Institute. Visher, Christy, Laura Winterfield, and Mark Coggeshall. 2005. “Ex-Offender Employment Programs and Recidivism: A Meta-Analysis.” Journal of Experimental Criminology 1: 295-315. West, Heather C. 2010. “Prison Inmates at Midyear 2009 Statistical Tables.” NCJ 230113. Washington, DC: Bureau of Justice Statistics. Web site: http://bjs.ojp.usdoj.gov/index.cfm?ty=pbdetail&iid=2200. Western, Bruce, Jeffrey Kling, and David Weiman. 2001. “The Labor Market Consequences of Incarceration.” Working Paper No. 450. Princeton: Princeton University Industrial Relations Section. Wilson, David, Ojmarrh Mitchell, and Doris MacKenzie. 2006. “A Systematic Review of Drug court Effects on Recidivism.” Journal of Experimental Criminology 2, 4: 459-487. Wyckoff, Laura, and Carol Clymer. 2005. Job Development Essentials: A Guide for Job Developers. New York: Public/ Private Ventures. Zweig, Janine, Jennifer Yahner, and Cindy Redcross. Forthcoming. For Whom Does a Transitional Jobs Program Work? Examining Recidivism Effects of the Center for Employment Opportunities Program on Former Prisoners at High, Medium, and Low Risk of Re-Offending (working title). New York: MDRC. 244 EARLIER MDRC PUBLICATIONS ON TRANSITIONAL JOBS Transitional Jobs Background, Program Models, and Evaluation Evidence 2010. Dan Bloom. Alternative Welfare-to-Work Strategies for the Hard-to-Employ Testing Transitional Jobs and Pre-Employment Services in Philadelphia 2009. Dan Bloom, Sarah Rich, Cindy Redcross, Erin Jacobs, Jennifer Yahner, Nancy Pindus. Transitional Jobs for Ex-Prisoners Implementation, Two-Year Impacts, and Costs of the Center for Employment Opportunities (CEO) Prisoner Reentry Program 2009. Cindy Redcross, Dan Bloom, Gilda Azurdia, Janine Zweig, and Nancy Pindus. The Joyce Foundation’s Transitional Jobs Reentry Demonstration Testing Strategies to Help Former Prisoners Find and Keep Jobs and Stay Out of Prison. 2009. Dan Bloom. ____________________________ NOTE: All MDRC publications are available for free download at www.mdrc.org. 245 About MDRC MDRC is a nonprofit, nonpartisan social policy research organization dedicated to learning what works to improve the well-being of low-income people. Through its research and the active communication of its findings, MDRC seeks to enhance the effectiveness of social and education policies and programs. Founded in 1974 and located in New York City and Oakland, California, MDRC is best known for mounting rigorous, large-scale, real-world tests of new and existing policies and programs. Its projects are a mix of demonstrations (field tests of promising new program approaches) and evaluations of ongoing government and community initiatives. MDRC’s staff bring an unusual combination of research and organizational experience to their work, providing expertise on the latest in qualitative and quantitative methods and on program design, development, implementation, and management. MDRC seeks to learn not just whether a program is effective but also how and why the program’s effects occur. In addition, it tries to place each project’s findings in the broader context of related research — in order to build knowledge about what works across the social and education policy fields. MDRC’s findings, lessons, and best practices are proactively shared with a broad audience in the policy and practitioner community as well as with the general public and the media. Over the years, MDRC has brought its unique approach to an ever-growing range of policy areas and target populations. Once known primarily for evaluations of state welfare-to-work programs, today MDRC is also studying public school reforms, employment programs for exoffenders and people with disabilities, and programs to help low-income students succeed in college. MDRC’s projects are organized into five areas: Promoting Family Well-Being and Child Development Improving Public Education Promoting Successful Transitions to Adulthood Supporting Low-Wage Workers and Communities Overcoming Barriers to Employment Working in almost every state, all of the nation’s largest cities, and Canada and the United Kingdom, MDRC conducts its projects in partnership with national, state, and local governments, public school systems, community organizations, and numerous private philanthropies.